Core Viewpoint - The company, Hoshine Silicon Industry (合盛硅业), continues to face a decline in profits despite a slight increase in revenue, primarily due to falling product prices and high inventory levels, leading to significant financial strain [1][5]. Group 1: Performance Decline - In 2024, Hoshine Silicon achieved revenue of 26.692 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.41% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders dropped by 33.64% to 1.74 billion yuan, influenced by economic fluctuations and price declines [2][5]. - The average prices for key products in 2024 showed significant declines, with industrial silicon prices down 16.36% to 11,174.75 yuan/ton [3][4]. - The company has experienced three consecutive years of revenue growth coupled with profit declines, with net profit reductions exceeding 30% each year [5]. Group 2: High Inventory Impact - Hoshine Silicon's inventory reached 9.509 billion yuan by the end of 2024, a 33.02% increase year-on-year, primarily due to production outpacing sales in industrial silicon and organic silicon [7][8]. - The company recorded asset impairment losses totaling 894 million yuan in 2024, with 933 million yuan attributed to inventory write-downs [8][9]. - The high inventory levels have created financial pressure, as the company faces challenges in liquidating excess stock while maintaining production levels [6][9]. Group 3: Debt Burden - As of the first quarter of 2024, Hoshine Silicon's total debt reached approximately 298 billion yuan, with short-term debts posing significant pressure [1][10]. - The company has been actively seeking financing solutions, including issuing asset-backed securities and bringing in strategic investors to alleviate cash flow issues [10][11]. - Nearly half of the shares held by the controlling family are pledged, indicating a reliance on external financing to manage the company's financial challenges [11][12].

Group 1 - The organic silicon concept index rose by 2.09%, ranking 10th among concept sectors, with 33 stocks increasing in value, including Zhongqi New Materials and Sanfu Co., which hit the daily limit [1] - Notable gainers in the organic silicon sector included Huami New Materials, Xiangyuan New Materials, and Silicon Treasure Technology, which rose by 7.92%, 6.97%, and 6.92% respectively [1] - The stocks with the largest declines included ST Hongda, Hesheng Silicon Industry, and Fuxiang Pharmaceutical, which fell by 5.13%, 2.62%, and 2.09% respectively [1] Group 2 - The organic silicon sector saw a net inflow of 142 million yuan, with 14 stocks receiving net inflows, and 5 stocks attracting over 10 million yuan [2] - Sanfu Co. led the net inflow with 56.01 million yuan, followed by Yian Technology and Silicon Treasure Technology with net inflows of 55.80 million yuan and 51.88 million yuan respectively [2] - The top net inflow ratios were recorded by Sanfu Co. at 27.30%, followed by Huanxing Technology at 13.89% and Yian Technology at 12.13% [3] Group 3 - The trading volume and turnover rates for the top stocks in the organic silicon sector were significant, with Sanfu Co. showing a turnover rate of 3.78% and a price increase of 9.98% [3] - Other notable stocks included Yian Technology with a 5.92% increase and a turnover rate of 6.91%, and Silicon Treasure Technology with a 6.92% increase and a turnover rate of 8.53% [3][4] - Decliners in the sector included ST Hongda, which dropped by 5.13% with a turnover rate of 0.05%, and Hesheng Silicon Industry, which fell by 2.62% with a turnover rate of 0.28% [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock price over the next six months [6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing pressure on profitability due to low prices in the industrial silicon and organic silicon markets, with a projected revenue of 26.692 billion yuan in 2024, a slight increase of 0.41% year-on-year, but a significant decline in net profit by 33.64% to 1.740 billion yuan [1][3]. - The industrial silicon sector shows strong production and sales performance, with a production increase of over 25% to 4.71 million tons in 2024, despite low pricing, which has decreased by 16.36% year-on-year to an average selling price of 11,174 yuan per ton [2]. - The organic silicon market is stabilizing, with demand supported by sectors like new energy and home appliances, while the supply side is expected to improve as new capacity releases slow down [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 26.692 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.740 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 33.64% [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 5.228 billion yuan, down 3.47% year-on-year, and a net profit of 260 million yuan, a decrease of 50.81% year-on-year [1]. Industrial Silicon - The industrial silicon market is characterized by increased production and sales, with a total output of 471,000 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of over 25% [2]. - Exports of industrial silicon rose by 27% to 720,000 tons, driven by recovering overseas demand [2]. - The average selling price for industrial silicon has decreased significantly, impacting overall profitability [2]. Organic Silicon - The organic silicon sector is expected to see improved supply-demand dynamics as new capacity additions slow down, despite current pricing pressures leading to losses in the industry [3]. - Demand remains stable, particularly in the new energy and home appliance sectors, although the real estate sector shows weakness [3]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast has been adjusted, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 projected at 1.744 billion, 2.394 billion, and 3.284 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a recovery trend [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 and Q1 2025 is under pressure due to the decline in prices of industrial silicon and other products [1] - The company achieved a revenue of 26,692 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.41%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 33.64% to 1,740 million yuan [5] - The report highlights significant growth in industrial silicon production and sales, with a production increase of 38.1% to 1,870,000 tons in 2024 [6] - The company is focusing on optimizing production costs and expanding into high-value-added areas such as organic silicon deep processing and silicon-based new materials [9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 266.92 billion yuan and a net profit of 17.40 billion yuan, with a significant decline in profitability due to lower product prices [5][9] - For Q1 2025, the company recorded a revenue of 52.28 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.47% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.60 billion yuan, down 50.81% year-on-year [5][7] Production and Sales - The company’s industrial silicon revenue reached 138 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 1.10%, while organic silicon revenue was 122 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.1% [6] - The production of industrial silicon in Q1 2025 was 36.2 million tons, a decrease of 17.1%, but sales volume increased by 53.2% [7] Cost and Margin Analysis - The overall gross margin for Q1 2025 was 14.6%, a decline of 8.3 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to falling product prices [7] - The average selling price of industrial silicon in Q1 2025 was 9,342 yuan per ton, down 29.8% year-on-year [7] Future Outlook - The company is expected to face continued pressure on earnings due to declining prices of industrial silicon and organic silicon products, leading to revised profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [9][10] - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1,897 million yuan, 2,600 million yuan, and 3,368 million yuan, respectively [10]

Core Viewpoint - The financial report of Hoshine Silicon Industry shows stable growth in 2024, with historical highs in revenue and net profit, driven by the industrial silicon and organic silicon markets [1][3] Financial Performance - Hoshine Silicon's 2024 revenue reached 26.692 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.740 billion yuan and a net cash flow from operating activities of 4.517 billion yuan, reflecting a healthy cash flow level [1] - The overall gross profit margin for the company improved to 20.54%, an increase of 0.39 percentage points compared to 2023 [3] Business Segments - The industrial silicon segment generated approximately 13.763 billion yuan in revenue with a gross margin of 26.10%, while the organic silicon segment achieved around 12.2 billion yuan in revenue with a gross margin of 16.71% [2] - In 2024, industrial silicon production reached 1.8714 million tons, with sales of 1.23 million tons, marking a year-on-year production increase of 38.11% and sales growth of 20.93% [2] Market Dynamics - The domestic industrial silicon consumption increased by 22.1% year-on-year, with significant demand growth from the polysilicon and organic silicon sectors [3] - The organic silicon market is expected to see continued double-digit growth in 2025, driven by new applications in sectors like 5G and new energy vehicles [6][7] Supply Chain and Cost Management - Hoshine Silicon has optimized its resource allocation and reduced energy costs, with coal prices decreasing by 20.68% year-on-year [5][12] - The company has implemented a digital transformation strategy to enhance operational efficiency and cost control [12] R&D and Innovation - R&D investment increased to 575 million yuan, representing 2.15% of total revenue, focusing on downstream processing products and emerging fields like silicon carbide [6][11] - The company has made significant advancements in silicon carbide technology, with production capabilities for 6-inch and 8-inch substrates [11] Industry Position - Hoshine Silicon is a leading player in the domestic silicon-based new materials industry, with a market share of approximately 26% in the organic silicon segment [8] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the anticipated recovery in the organic silicon market, with expectations of a new growth cycle starting in 2025 [7][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4][11] Core Views - The company is experiencing pressure on overall performance due to increased product volume but decreased prices in 2024. The revenue for 2024 is projected at 26,692 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.41%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1,740 million yuan, a decrease of 33.64% year-on-year [4][5] - The company anticipates gradual recovery in profitability within the silicon industry chain, maintaining a "Buy" rating despite downward adjustments in profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 26,692 million yuan, with a net profit of 1,740 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 33.64%. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a net profit of 286 million yuan, down 34.73% year-on-year and 39.97% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 5,228 million yuan, a decrease of 3.47% year-on-year and 17.30% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 260 million yuan, down 50.81% year-on-year and 9.21% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] - The company forecasts net profits of 2,005 million yuan in 2025, 3,097 million yuan in 2026, and 4,004 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 1.70, 2.62, and 3.39 yuan respectively [4][5] Product and Price Trends - In 2024, the production of industrial silicon and organic silicon reached 1,871,000 tons and 1,621,000 tons, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 38% and 19%. Sales volumes were 1,230,000 tons and 949,000 tons, reflecting year-on-year increases of 21% and 11% [5] - The average prices for industrial silicon, silicone rubber, silicone oil, and cyclic siloxane in 2024 were 11,175 yuan, 12,405 yuan, 10,013 yuan, and 13,000 yuan per ton, showing year-on-year changes of -16.36%, -4.30%, +7.18%, and -2.23% respectively [5] - In Q1 2025, the average prices for these products further declined, with industrial silicon at 9,342 yuan per ton, down 29.80% year-on-year [5] Cost and Raw Material Trends - The procurement prices for key raw materials in 2024 showed significant decreases, with prices for ore, petroleum coke, and coal down by 4.24%, 44.27%, and 20.68% respectively [5] - The company expects that the current prices of industrial silicon and organic silicon are at the bottom of the cycle, with limited downward price pressure due to strong cost support [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4][11] Core Views - The company is experiencing pressure on overall performance due to increased product volume but decreased prices in 2024. The revenue for 2024 is projected at 26,692 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.41%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1,740 million yuan, a decrease of 33.64% year-on-year [4][5] - The company anticipates gradual recovery in profitability within the silicon industry chain, maintaining a "Buy" rating despite downward adjustments in profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 266.92 billion yuan, with a net profit of 17.40 billion yuan, reflecting a significant decline in profitability [4][5] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 52.28 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.47%, and a net profit of 2.60 billion yuan, down 50.81% year-on-year [4][5] - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2,005 million yuan, 3,097 million yuan, and 4,004 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.70, 2.62, and 3.39 yuan [4][5][6] Production and Pricing Insights - In 2024, the production of industrial silicon and organic silicon reached 1,871,000 tons and 1,621,000 tons respectively, with year-on-year increases of 38% and 19%. However, the prices for these products have seen a decline [5] - The average selling prices for industrial silicon and organic silicon in 2024 were 11,175 yuan/ton and 12,405 yuan/ton, reflecting year-on-year decreases of 16.36% and 4.30% respectively [5] Cost and Margin Analysis - The cost of raw materials has decreased, with procurement prices for key inputs like petroleum coke and coal dropping significantly in 2024 [5] - The gross margin for 2024 is projected at 20.5%, with a net margin of 6.5%, indicating a challenging profitability environment [6][8]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Hoshine Silicon Industry (合盛硅业), continues to experience a decline in operating performance due to falling product prices, with a significant drop in net profit for three consecutive years [1][4][5] Financial Performance - In 2024, Hoshine Silicon achieved operating revenue of 26.692 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.41% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.740 billion yuan, down 33.64% year-on-year [2][4] - The quarterly breakdown for 2024 shows revenue of 5.416 billion yuan, 7.856 billion yuan, 7.099 billion yuan, and 6.321 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of -5.46%, +26.53%, -10.68%, and -5.62% respectively [2] - The net profit for the quarters was 528 million yuan, 450 million yuan, 476 million yuan, and 286 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of -47.36%, -42.25%, +18.42%, and -34.73% respectively [2] Inventory and Pricing Issues - The company reported high inventory levels, with a book value of 9.402 billion yuan as of March 2024, which is approximately 2.2 times higher than the 2.915 billion yuan reported in the same period of 2021 [5] - A significant factor in the decline of net profit in 2024 was the provision for inventory impairment losses, amounting to approximately 933 million yuan [5] Financial Pressure and Debt - As of the end of March 2024, Hoshine Silicon had cash and cash equivalents of 2.166 billion yuan against interest-bearing liabilities of approximately 29.8 billion yuan, indicating a debt-to-cash ratio of 13.75 times [8] - The company's financial expenses have been increasing, with total expenses of 892 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of approximately 57% [6][8] Dividend Policy - Despite ongoing financial pressures, Hoshine Silicon has maintained a high dividend payout ratio, distributing 798 million yuan and 528 million yuan in cash dividends for 2023 and 2024 respectively, with both years having a dividend payout ratio of around 30% [8][9] R&D Investment - The company has seen a decline in R&D investment over the past three years, with expenditures of 728 million yuan, 567 million yuan, and 575 million yuan from 2022 to 2024, representing only 2.15% of operating revenue in 2024 [7]

证券代码：603260 证券简称：合盛硅业 公告编号：2025-034 合盛硅业股份有限公司 2024 年度暨 2025 年一季度业绩说明会预告公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 一、说明会类型 合盛硅业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已于 2025 年 4 月 24 日在上海 证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）披露了《合盛硅业 2024 年年度报告》及《合 盛硅业 2025 年第一季度报告》。为便于广大投资者更加全面深入地了解公司经 营业绩、发展战略等情况，公司定于 2025 年 5 月 6 日（星期二）15:30-16:30 在 "价值在线"（www.ir-online.cn）举办合盛硅业股份有限公司 2024 年度暨 2025 年一季度业绩说明会，与投资者进行沟通和交流，广泛听取投资者的意见和建议。 会议召开时间：2025 年 5 月 6 日（星期二）15:30-16:30 会议召开地点：价值在线（www.ir-online.cn） 会议召开方式：网络互动方式 会 议 问 题 ...

实际上，从去年年底开始，通威股份、大全能源等硅料大厂几乎同步"带头"减产以响应相关部门及中国 光伏行业协会提出的光伏产业"反内卷"倡议。据第一财经记者了解，截至目前，我国所有在产多晶硅企 业基本处于降负荷运行状态。不过据硅业分会披露，本月总计1家企业进入检修状态，预计对整体产量 影响较为有限。 除了各环节供需矛盾，下游终端市场需求的疲软，也是导致眼下光伏产业链从上至下各环节价格均走低 的一大原因。 在硅业分会看来，近期硅片环节价格的下行主要变化不在于供给端，而在需求端。"下游终端组件需求 快速回落，导致电池排产下降，对硅片需求大幅减弱。" 光伏主产业链由上至下主要分为硅料（多晶硅）、硅片、电池、组件四大环节。4月24日晚间，中国有 色金属工业协会硅业分会（下称"硅业分会"）披露的数据显示，过去一周，多晶硅价格震荡下行，硅片 价格继续下行，电池和组件价格同样呈继续下探趋势。 "多晶硅市场处于僵持博弈状态，现货市场鲜少成交，买方与卖方暂时没有达成较为一致的价格共 识。"据硅业分会分析，上游多晶硅环节价格再度下滑的主要原因在于，目前二季度硅片的产出不及预 期。"整体来看，4月硅料签单水平不及3月，而5月硅片开工预计 ...