Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Increase" [4] Core Viewpoints - After the double holiday, pig prices have rapidly declined to below 12 yuan/kg, with self-breeding and self-raising profitability dropping to -152.15 yuan/head, a decrease of 47.2 yuan/head from the previous week. The pressure from high supply is expected to continue to weigh on pig prices, leading to increased market pessimism and a potential for further price declines. However, there is an expectation for a mid-to-long-term price reversal driven by policy and proactive production cuts [1][15][19] - The average selling price of lean pigs nationwide is 11.39 yuan/kg, down 6.1% from last week. The current valuation remains relatively low, suggesting investment opportunities in low-cost pig farming companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [2][16] - In poultry farming, the price of white feather chickens is 6.88 yuan/kg, down 0.1% from last week, while the average price of chicken products remains stable at 8.65 yuan/kg. The price of meat chicken chicks has increased by 0.6% to 3.22 yuan each. There are expectations for a price rebound in the chicken market [2][16][34] Summary by Sections Livestock - The average weight of pigs sold is 128.48 kg, showing a 0.5% increase from the low point in early August. Feed prices have also increased, indicating a gradual rise in pig inventory since July [1][15] - The profitability of self-breeding and self-raising pigs is -152.15 yuan/head, while the profitability of purchased piglets is -301.04 yuan/head, indicating significant losses in the sector [19][20] Poultry - The price of yellow feather chickens has seen a week-on-week increase of 1.9%, with the current price at 14.18 yuan/kg. This suggests seasonal price elasticity opportunities [2][16][40] - The profitability of parent breeding chickens is 0.47 yuan/head, while the profitability of meat chickens is -2.23 yuan/head, reflecting challenges in the poultry sector [38][44] Agricultural Products - The approval of genetically modified varieties is expected to lead to commercial sales, with potential growth for industry companies as prices and profit distribution become clearer [2][16] Feed and Vaccines - The volatility in agricultural product prices is increasing, and leading feed companies are expected to replace smaller competitors due to their advantages in procurement and scale [2][16]

Investment Rating - The report gives an investment rating of "Positive" for the agricultural products sector [11] Core Viewpoints - The swine breeding industry has transitioned from a rapid growth phase to a stable development phase, with medium to long-term capacity regulation becoming the new normal. High-quality breeding companies are expected to see significant improvements in profit margins and profitability levels [2][20] - The report highlights a divergence in profitability within the breeding sector, with leading companies still achieving good performance despite overall industry challenges. The poultry sector is experiencing a recovery in yellow-feathered chicken prices, which is gradually improving profitability [2][20] - The aquaculture feed industry continues to show strong performance, with leading companies like Haida Group expected to achieve simultaneous growth in volume and profit [2][20] - The pet food sector is experiencing sustained high growth in proprietary brands, with overseas factories demonstrating resilience in exports. Key recommendations include Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co [2][20] Summary by Sections Swine Breeding Sector - The swine breeding sector is gradually entering a loss phase, with significant divergence in profitability among listed companies. The average price of live pigs in Q3 2025 is approximately 14.0 CNY/kg, down 4% quarter-on-quarter and 28% year-on-year. The average profit for self-bred pigs is about 42 CNY/head, while purchasing piglets incurs a loss of 118 CNY/head [7][21] - High-quality breeding companies have a complete cost below 12 CNY/kg, maintaining a profit of over 200 CNY/head, while companies with higher costs may still face losses [7][21] - Future pig prices are expected to rise in Q4 2025 and 2026 due to increased supply indicators and policy-driven capacity restrictions [26] Feed Sector - The feed industry maintains growth in production, with aquaculture feed demand recovering. Haida Group's feed sales are expected to grow by about 20% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with net profit in the feed sector expected to increase by 30%-40% year-on-year [8][43] - The report notes that the structure of feed products is improving, with higher-margin products gaining a larger share of sales [8][43] Poultry Sector - The yellow-feathered chicken prices have bottomed out and are recovering, which is enhancing the profitability of the poultry breeding sector [2][20] Pet Food Sector - The pet food sector continues to see high growth in proprietary brands, with Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co recommended for their resilience in overseas sales. Online sales growth for the pet food industry is around 7.7%, with Guibao's proprietary brand growing by 21% [9][20]

Core Insights - The aquaculture sector experienced a rise of 0.72% on October 10, with Lihua Co. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3897.03, down 0.94%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13355.42, down 2.7% [1] Aquaculture Sector Performance - Lihua Co. (300761) closed at 22.95, up 3.52% with a trading volume of 161,900 shares and a transaction value of 368 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included: - Luoniushan (000735) at 6.49, up 3.34% [1] - Xiaoming Co. (300967) at 22.43, up 2.28% [1] - Minhe Co. (002234) at 8.57, up 2.15% [1] - The overall trading volume and transaction values for various stocks in the aquaculture sector were significant, indicating active market participation [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The aquaculture sector saw a net inflow of 134 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.31 billion yuan [2] - The main stocks with significant capital flow included: - Muyuan Foods (002714) with a net inflow of 199 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Wens Foodstuff Group (300498) with a net inflow of 15.53 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Retail investors showed a negative trend in net inflows across several stocks, indicating a cautious sentiment among smaller investors [2][3]

Group 1 - The company reported sales of 351,800 pigs in September 2025, generating revenue of 577 million yuan from pig sales, with 348,800 of those being market pigs [2][3] - The sales data is based on internal statistics and may differ from periodic report disclosures, serving as a reference for investors [3] - The company faces systemic risks in the pig farming industry, including significant price fluctuations and animal diseases, which could impact operational performance [3] Group 2 - As of September 30, 2025, the cumulative amount of the convertible bond "Juxing Convertible Bond" that has been converted is 100,261,000 yuan, resulting in 3,976,890 shares, accounting for 0.7858% of the total shares before conversion [7][13] - The amount of unconverted "Juxing Convertible Bond" as of September 30, 2025, is 899,739,000 yuan, representing 89.9739% of the total issuance [7][13] - No conversions occurred in the third quarter of 2025, with a conversion amount of 0 yuan and 0 shares formed [8][13] Group 3 - The company issued a total of 1,000 million yuan in convertible bonds on April 25, 2022, with a face value of 100 yuan per bond and a maturity of 6 years [9] - The bond was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on May 17, 2022, under the name "Juxing Convertible Bond" [10] - The conversion price for the bonds was adjusted from 25.24 yuan to 25.21 yuan on August 8, 2023, and further adjusted to 25.04 yuan on June 17, 2025 [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic pig prices have sharply declined, with futures contracts dropping nearly 6% to below 12,000 yuan per ton, attributed to a combination of reduced demand and increased supply pressure [2][3]. Group 1: Price Trends - The weighted price of October pig futures has already seen a monthly decline of 7.9%, following an 8.4% drop in September, marking the largest monthly decline since January [3]. - The sales data from listed pig companies indicate a significant increase in sales volume despite the drop in average selling prices, with companies like Wens Foodstuffs reporting a 32.46% year-on-year increase in sales [4]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - There is a notable increase in the planned slaughter volume for October, with a 5.48% rise compared to September, indicating ongoing supply pressure [5][6]. - The market consensus suggests a phase of demand inertia decline post-holiday, with expectations of reduced consumer demand and limited new orders from major slaughterhouses [7]. Group 3: Market Sentiment - The overall market sentiment is pessimistic, with many institutions expressing a bearish outlook for pig prices over the next three months due to high levels of breeding sows and slow capacity reduction [8][9]. - The industry is experiencing a phase of losses, with companies focusing on cost-cutting and cash flow management, leading to a challenging environment for price recovery [8].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The company has reported the cumulative conversion results of its convertible bonds, indicating a low conversion rate and significant outstanding bonds yet to be converted. Group 1: Convertible Bond Conversion Status - As of September 30, 2025, the cumulative conversion amount of the "Giant Star Convertible Bonds" is 100,261,000 yuan, resulting in 3,976,890 shares, which accounts for 0.7858% of the company's total shares before conversion [2][7] - The amount of "Giant Star Convertible Bonds" that has not been converted as of September 30, 2025, is 899,739,000 yuan, representing 89.9739% of the total issuance [2][7] - In the third quarter of 2025, the conversion amount was 0 yuan, with no shares created from conversion [2][7] Group 2: Convertible Bond Issuance and Listing - The company issued convertible bonds totaling 100 million yuan on April 25, 2022, with a face value of 100 yuan per bond, and a maturity of six years with varying interest rates [3] - The "Giant Star Convertible Bonds" were listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on May 17, 2022, under the code "113648" [4] Group 3: Conversion Price Adjustments - The conversion price for the "Giant Star Convertible Bonds" was initially set at 25.24 yuan per share and was adjusted to 25.21 yuan on August 8, 2023, following the annual profit distribution [5] - A further adjustment reduced the conversion price to 25.04 yuan per share, effective from June 17, 2025 [6] Group 4: Livestock Sales Performance - In September 2025, the company sold 351,800 pigs, with 348,800 being commercial pigs, generating sales revenue of 577 million yuan [9] - The sales data for the first nine months of 2025 is also reported, although specific figures are not detailed in the provided content [10]

智通财经APP讯，巨星农牧(603477.SH)发布公告，2025年9月，公司销售生猪35.18万头，其中商品猪销 售34.88万头，生猪销售收入5.77亿元。 ...

乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司 2025 年 9 月养殖业务销售情况简报 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）现将 2025 年 9 月养殖业 务销售情况披露如下： | 证券代码：603477 | 证券简称：巨星农牧 | 公告编号：2025-090 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：113648 | 债券简称：巨星转债 | | 二、2025 年 1 至 9 月养殖业务销售情况 | | | | 生猪销售量 | | 生猪销售收入 | | 商品猪销价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 月份 | | （万头） | | （亿元） | | （元/公斤） | | | | | 当月 | 累计 | 当月 | 累计 | 当月 | | 2025 | 年 | 1 月 | 25.37 | 25.37 | 4.83 | 4.83 | 15.65 | | 2025 | 年 | 2 月 | 24.03 | 4 ...

格隆汇10月9日｜巨星农牧公告，2025年9月，公司销售生猪35.18万头，同比增长42.75%，其中商品猪 销售34.88万头。生猪销售收入5.77亿元。2025年1至9月，累计销售生猪293.42万头，累计销售收入51.53 亿元。 ...

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ● 累计转股情况：截至 2025 年 9 月 30 日，乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司（以 下简称"公司"、"本公司"）可转债"巨星转债"累计转股金额为 100,261,000 元，累计因转股形成的股份数量 3,976,890 股，占可转债转股前公司已发行股份 总额的 0.7858%。 | 债券代码:113648 | | --- | | 证券代码:603477 | 债券代码：113648 债券简称：巨星转债 证券代码：603477 证券简称：巨星农牧 公告编号：2025-089 乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司 可转债转股结果暨股份变动公告 公司于 2023 年 6 月 19 日召开 2022 年年度股东大会，审议通过了《关于公 司 2022 年度利润分配的预案》。根据《募集说明书》的相关规定，"巨星转债" 的转股价格由原来的 25.24 元/股调整为 25.21 元/股，调整后的转股价格自 2023 年 8 月 8 日起生效。具体内容详见公司于 2023 年 8 月 2 日在 ...