来源：银行家杂志 2025年前三季度，国内外宏观环境复杂多变，上市农村商业银行（以下简称"上市农商银行"）坚守"支 农支小"定位，坚持稳中求进策略，总资产规模稳步增长、资产负债结构持续优化、资产质量不断提 升。与此同时，上市农商银行的经营策略也在发生边际变化，比如相较于规模增长，更加重视成本管 控，通过持续压降负债成本、运营成本和风险成本，提升经营效益和增长质量。 规模增速保持平稳，重在调整资产结构 总资产规模增长略低于行业平均水平 2025年三季度末，上市农商银行总资产规模为5.58万亿元，同比增长7.56%，整体来看，农商银行板块 的规模增速趋于稳健，且在各类银行中相对偏低。前三季度，城商行同比增长16.12%（见表1），国有 大行同比增长9.95%，明显高于农商银行，这反映了在不同资源禀赋、市场定位和宏观环境下，各类型 银行的发展策略与增长动能存在差异。从上市农商银行内部结构来看，头部银行如重庆农商银行（总资 产16558.10亿元）和上海农商银行（总资产15580.94亿元）增速有所放缓，部分位于经济活跃区域的农 商银行增速相对较快，如瑞丰农商银行同比增长8.98%、常熟农商银行同比增长10.89%、 ...

来源：市值风云 作者 | 萧瑟 编辑 | 小白 热界面材料（TIM）是一种用于改善发热元器件与散热器件之间接触热传导性能的功能性材料，起到提 高传热效率、电气绝缘、抑制燃烧等作用，可谓电子设备中的"热量桥梁"。 一般热界面材料由基体材料（聚氨酯、环氧树脂等）和填料（导热剂、阻燃剂等）两部分构成，显然后 者是决定热界面材料性能的关键。 近期风云君就注意到，一家号称导热填料领域国内领先的公司——广东金戈新材料股份有限公司（"金 戈新材"）正在冲击北交所IPO，由中金公司担任保荐人。 这家企业成色如何？我们今天就一起来看看。 主营导热填料，聚焦氧化铝路线 透过现象看本质。 金戈新材主要从事功能性材料的研产销，目前产品涵盖导热粉体材料、阻燃粉体材料、吸波粉体材料三 大系列，下游客户通过将公司相关产品填充至高分子材料中，使其具备导热、阻燃、吸波等特性。 从招股书中的这段描述看，金戈新材的生态位正是热界面材料产业链上游的填料环节。 其中，导热粉体材料的地位举足轻重，2024年实现收入3.20亿，贡献了公司总营收的68.4%，毛利占比 达83.5%。 阻燃粉体材料同期收入为1.29亿，收入占比为27.7%，但其毛利率仅6. ...

12月5日，深交所披露公告，深交所上市审核委员会定于2025年12月12日召开2025年第29次上市审核委 员会审议会议，审议成都宏明电子股份有限公司(首发)。 尽管公司强调消费电子行业已呈现回暖趋势，但供应链格局的重构可能使其难以恢复原有市场份额，该 业务板块的复苏前景仍存在较大不确定性。 报告期内，宏明电子研发费用占营业收入比例始终保持在8%以上，显著高于行业平均水平，彰显其"技 术立身"的战略定位。然而，高强度的研发投入并未有效转化为营收的强劲增长。监管问询直指其核心 产品高可靠电容器正面临"销售单价、销量下降"的压力，暗示"量价齐跌"趋势可能长期存在。在军品定 价机制改革与行业竞争加剧的背景下，公司盈利能力受到持续挤压。 面对监管层关于"进一步论证成长性"的要求，公司目前的披露仍显薄弱。尤其在核心产品面临价格下行 压力的背景下，缺乏对业绩波动的敏感性分析，例如价格变动、核心客户订单变化对盈利能力的量化影 响。这削弱了投资者对公司未来业绩可预测性的判断依据。 为缓解收入压力，宏明电子在报告期内扩大了低价格区间客户的采购占比，并通过工业/商业级等低毛 利产品维持整体营收规模。这种"以量补价"的策略虽短期维 ...

Core Viewpoint - The aviation transportation sector has shown a strong recovery, with private airlines like Juneyao Airlines outperforming state-owned carriers, despite a general trend of "volume increase and price decrease" in the market for 2024 [3][4]. Group 1: Industry Performance - The aviation market in 2024 is characterized by a significant increase in passenger transport volume, reaching historical highs during the peak summer travel season, while airlines have lowered prices to compete with high-speed rail and adapt to market changes [3][5]. - The overall civil aviation industry saw a 6.0% year-on-year increase in passenger volume, with international passenger transport growing by 28.5% [8]. Group 2: Company Performance - Juneyao Airlines reported operating revenue of 17.48 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, remaining stable year-on-year, but total profit and net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 13.1% and 14.3%, respectively [5]. - In Q3 2025, the company generated revenue of 6.41 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders dropping by 25.3% [7]. - The decline in profits is attributed to non-operating costs, particularly due to engine maintenance affecting domestic capacity and increasing related expenses, which is seen as a temporary operational adjustment [8]. Group 3: Strategic Focus - Juneyao Airlines has shifted its strategic focus towards international markets, with a slight decrease in domestic passenger volume by 6.2% to 11.34 million, while international passenger volume surged by 45.9% to 2.10 million in the first half of 2025 [10][11]. - The company optimized its international route network, operating 12,370 international flights and opening new destinations such as Kobe and Kuala Lumpur [11]. - The comprehensive passenger load factor improved to 85.2%, with domestic and international load factors rising to 88.1% and 78.4%, respectively, although revenue per passenger kilometer declined from 0.47 yuan to 0.45 yuan, reflecting the market trend of "price for volume" [11].

Core Insights - The banking sector in Chongqing is facing increased regulatory scrutiny, with multiple banks receiving fines for various violations, indicating a trend of heightened enforcement in the industry [1][8]. Regulatory Actions - Industrial Bank's Chongqing branch was fined 4.2 million yuan for serious violations, including inadequate loan "three checks," poor credit management, and evasion of recording regulations [3][4]. - Chongqing Bank was fined 2.2 million yuan for similar issues, including inadequate loan "three checks" and imprudent investment practices [5][9]. - Hengfeng Bank's Chongqing branch was fined 2.6 million yuan for covering up bad loans and failing to manage investments properly [1]. Violations and Consequences - The violations at Industrial Bank included multiple serious issues such as inadequate loan checks, misclassification of assets, and poor management of non-standard investment businesses [3][4]. - Several individuals associated with these violations received warnings or fines, highlighting accountability within the institutions [3][5]. Industry Trends - In the third quarter of 2025, banks received a total of 1,448 fines amounting to 829 million yuan, representing an 84.63% year-on-year increase, with credit business violations being a significant concern [8]. - The trend of violations has shifted from real estate to other areas, including the repayment of bad loans and investment in stocks and funds [8]. Financial Health of Chongqing Bank - As of July 2023, Chongqing Bank's total assets reached 1,008.7 billion yuan, but the bank's risk management shortcomings have been exposed by repeated fines [7]. - The bank's non-performing loan ratio stood at 1.17% as of mid-2025, with declines in key capital adequacy ratios compared to the end of 2024 [7]. Expert Opinions - Experts attribute the frequent violations to a combination of factors, including banks prioritizing short-term performance over risk management and a lack of compliance systems in rapidly expanding new business areas [10]. - The increased regulatory penalties serve as a warning about management vulnerabilities and signal a normalization of stringent regulatory oversight in the banking sector [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Agricultural Bank of China [1] Core Insights - Agricultural Bank of China continues to lead among major banks in performance, with a 2.0% year-on-year revenue growth and a 3.0% increase in net profit for the first nine months of 2025 [4][6] - The bank's non-interest income has seen a significant increase of 20.7% year-on-year, contributing positively to revenue growth despite a decline in net interest income [6][10] - The bank's asset quality remains strong, with a slight decrease in the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio to 1.27% and a high provision coverage ratio of 295% [6][10] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - For 2025, the bank is projected to achieve total revenue of 718.7 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.15% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 290.5 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 2.99% [5] - The bank's return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to be 10.10% in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.43 [5] Performance Metrics - As of September 30, 2025, the bank's total assets amounted to 48.14 trillion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.5% [10] - The total loans increased by 9.3% year-on-year, with total deposits also growing by 9.3% [10] - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) is projected to be 1.30% for 2025, down from previous levels due to competitive pressures [6][10]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance for the first three quarters of 2025, with a slight decline in revenue but a significant increase in net profit, driven by lower fuel costs and effective cost control measures [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 89.345 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.82%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.712 billion yuan, an increase of 51.48% [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company recorded revenue of 32.152 billion yuan, down 1.62% year-on-year, but net profit rose to 2.133 billion yuan, up 61.18% [1]. - The average on-grid electricity price for the first three quarters was 430.19 yuan per megawatt-hour, a decrease of approximately 4.32% year-on-year [1]. Operational Metrics - The company and its subsidiaries completed a total on-grid electricity generation of 206.241 billion kilowatt-hours in the first three quarters, an increase of 2.02% year-on-year, with Q3 alone contributing 82.248 billion kilowatt-hours, up 3.13% [1]. - In Q3 2025, the coal machine business generated 55.534 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 0.53% [1]. Cost Management and Profitability - Despite a slight decline in revenue, the company's operating costs decreased by 10.34% year-on-year in Q3 2025, attributed to lower coal prices, enhancing profit margins [2]. - The company's gross margin and net margin for Q3 2025 were 20.94% and 10.43%, respectively, reflecting increases of 7.70 and 3.86 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Long-term Growth Potential - As of mid-2025, the company had an installed capacity of 80,889.68 megawatts and an additional 9,195 megawatts under construction, with 1,812.839 megawatts added in Q3 2025 [2]. - The company has a substantial pipeline of projects, indicating significant long-term growth potential as these projects come online [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 6.416 billion yuan, 7.524 billion yuan, and 8.619 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 42.38%, 17.27%, and 14.56% [3]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for the company are projected to be 10.90, 9.30, and 8.12 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3].

Core Viewpoint - Yangnong Chemical reported a revenue of 9.156 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.23%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.055 billion yuan, up 2.88% year-on-year [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company achieved a revenue of 2.923 billion yuan in the third quarter, a year-on-year increase of 26.15%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 5.01% to 250 million yuan [1][2] - Earnings per share for the third quarter were 0.62 yuan, with operating cash flow per share at 5.24 yuan [1] Business Segment Performance - For the first three quarters, the revenue breakdown is as follows: - Active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) revenue was 5.409 billion yuan, an increase of approximately 588 million yuan year-on-year - Formulations revenue was 1.332 billion yuan, a decrease of 64 million yuan year-on-year - Trade and other business revenue was approximately 2.424 billion yuan, an increase of 617 million yuan year-on-year [3] - The sales volume for APIs and formulations was 86,300 tons and 33,200 tons, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +10,200 tons and -1,100 tons [3] - The average selling prices for APIs and formulations were 62,700 yuan/ton and 44,400 yuan/ton, reflecting year-on-year declines of 1.1% and 4.9% respectively [3] Gross Margin and Expenses - The overall gross margin for the first three quarters was 22.4%, down 1.7 percentage points year-on-year; the gross margin for the third quarter was 19.6%, down 3.9 percentage points year-on-year and down 2.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4] - Research and development expenses for the third quarter were 111 million yuan, an increase of approximately 29 million yuan year-on-year, while management expenses decreased by about 33 million yuan to 111 million yuan [4] - Credit impairment losses were approximately 5.34 million yuan, an increase of 33.29 million yuan year-on-year, negatively impacting net profit [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Considering product price changes and project progress, the forecasted net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025 to 2027 are 1.3 billion, 1.62 billion, and 1.93 billion yuan respectively, with previous estimates being 1.47 billion, 1.78 billion, and 2.04 billion yuan [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3]. Core Views - The company experienced a slight decline in third-quarter performance, with revenue of 23.55 billion yuan, down 6.46% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.37 billion yuan, down 22.14% year-on-year [1][7]. - Despite the decrease in product prices, the company managed to mitigate performance pressure through increased sales volume, particularly in new energy materials and chemical fertilizers [7]. - The company is actively advancing project launches and has several new projects in the pipeline, which are expected to enhance future growth potential [7]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company reported total revenue of 27.26 billion yuan for 2023, with a projected decline of 10% year-on-year, followed by a recovery of 26% in 2024 [2][14]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 3.24 billion yuan, reflecting a 17% decrease from the previous year, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to be 1.53 yuan [2][14]. - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 15.0 for 2023, expected to decrease to 12.2 by 2027, indicating a potential undervaluation [2][14]. Sales and Production Insights - The average selling prices of core products have decreased year-on-year, with significant drops in new energy materials and chemical fertilizers, but sales volumes have increased, helping to offset revenue declines [7]. - The company’s gross margin improved to 19.1% in the third quarter, up 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, despite a slight decline from the previous quarter [7]. Project Development - The company is efficiently advancing project launches, with several new projects already in the preparatory stages, including a 20,000-ton BDO project and a 30.39 billion yuan investment in a gasification platform upgrade [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jianghan New Materials [1][10][13] Core Views - The decline in silane prices has negatively impacted the company's performance, but there are signs that prices may have bottomed out, which could benefit the company in the long term [5][9][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.425 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 322 million yuan, down 29.50% year-on-year [5][6] - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 480 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 9.40%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.89%. The net profit for the same period was 112 million yuan, down 22.85% year-on-year and down 1.63% quarter-on-quarter [5][6] Sales and Margins - The average selling price of functional silane in Q3 2025 was 15,229 yuan per ton, a decrease of 2,255 yuan per ton year-on-year and a decrease of 658 yuan per ton quarter-on-quarter. The sales volume increased to 31,200 tons, up 2,080 tons year-on-year and up 3,125 tons quarter-on-quarter [7][9] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 29.29%, down 5.46 percentage points year-on-year and down 1.14 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [8][10] Future Outlook - The report forecasts the company's revenue for 2025-2027 to be 1.95 billion, 2.564 billion, and 3.184 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 418 million, 571 million, and 719 million yuan, respectively. The corresponding P/E ratios are projected to be 23, 17, and 13 times [10][12] - The report suggests that the functional silane industry may be recovering, as prices have recently increased from their lows, which could benefit Jianghan New Materials as a leading player in the sector [9][10]