Core Viewpoint - Leshan Giant Star Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd. reported significant growth in its pig farming sales for September 2025, indicating a strong performance in the livestock sector [1] Sales Performance - In September, the company sold 351,800 pigs, representing a year-on-year increase of 42.75% [1] - The sales of commercial pigs accounted for 348,800 units, generating a revenue of 577 million yuan [1] - Cumulatively, from January to September, the company sold 2,934,200 pigs, with total sales revenue reaching 5.153 billion yuan [1] Data Disclosure - The disclosed figures only include pig sales and are unaudited, which may differ from periodic reports [1] Industry Risks - The pig farming industry faces systemic risks such as market price fluctuations and animal diseases, which could impact company performance [1]

Market Overview - On October 9, the aquaculture sector rose by 0.21% compared to the previous trading day, with *ST Tianshan leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3933.97, up 1.32%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13725.56, up 1.47% [1] Stock Performance - The top-performing stocks in the aquaculture sector included: - *ST Tianshan: Closed at 8.70, up 4.32% with a trading volume of 64,800 shares and a turnover of 55.68 million yuan [1] - Jingji Dron: Closed at 16.82, up 3.44% with a trading volume of 166,300 shares and a turnover of 276 million yuan [1] - Lihua Co.: Closed at 22.17, up 2.12% with a trading volume of 133,000 shares and a turnover of 288 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The aquaculture sector experienced a net outflow of 361 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 92.07 million yuan [2] - Notable capital flows included: - Shengnong Development: Net inflow of 23.73 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 41.17 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Zhengbang Technology: Net inflow of 16.55 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 21.71 million yuan from retail investors [3] Summary of Key Stocks - Stocks with significant net inflows from institutional investors included: - *ST Tianshan: 5.84 million yuan, representing 10.50% of total inflow [3] - New Hope: 4.72 million yuan, representing 1.19% of total inflow [3] - Stocks with notable net outflows from retail investors included: - Shengnong Development: -41.17 million yuan, representing -12.38% of total outflow [3] - Zhengbang Technology: -21.71 million yuan, representing -5.89% of total outflow [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the agricultural sector, indicating that it is expected to outperform the overall market [2][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant decline in pig prices during the National Day holiday, leading to losses in both piglet and fat pig farming, and emphasizes the importance of monitoring the capacity reduction process in the industry [1][3]. - The report suggests that the pig farming industry is entering a phase of accelerated capacity reduction due to losses and policy-driven "anti-involution" measures, marking the end of the current pig cycle [3][4]. - It identifies potential investment opportunities in leading pig farming companies, which are expected to undergo a value reassessment due to improved long-term profitability and shareholder returns [3][4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shenwan Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Index rose by 0.2%, while the CSI 300 increased by 2.0% [3][4]. - Top-performing stocks included Hualv Biological (+6.0%) and Honghui Fruits and Vegetables (+4.1%) [4][11]. Pig Farming - The average price of external three yuan pigs was reported at 11.61 yuan/kg as of October 8, down 0.67 yuan/kg from the previous week, indicating a significant price drop [3][12]. - The average cost of self-breeding pig farming is estimated between 12.5-13.0 yuan/kg, leading to widespread losses across the industry [3][12]. - The price of weaned piglets fell to 236 yuan/head, a decrease of 23 yuan/week, marking a new low for the year [3][13]. Chicken Farming - The white feather broiler market showed signs of price recovery, with the average selling price of broiler chicks at 3.27 yuan/chick, up 5.48% week-on-week [3][16]. - The yellow feather chicken market experienced a slight decline in prices, with the average price at 5.16 yuan/jin, down 9% week-on-week [3][16]. Pet Food Market - Online sales of pet food reached approximately 2.4 billion yuan in August, reflecting an 11% year-on-year increase [3][4]. - Notable companies in the pet food sector, such as Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co., reported significant growth in sales [3][4]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the pig farming sector, including Muyuan Foods, DeKang Agriculture, and Wens Foodstuffs, as they are expected to benefit from the ongoing capacity reduction and value reassessment [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the agriculture industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The pig farming sector is expected to see a long-term performance improvement due to ongoing capacity reduction driven by both policy and market forces, with key companies continuing to show profitability and increasing dividend rates [3][46] - The current prices for fat pigs and piglets have dropped significantly, leading to widespread losses in the industry, which may trigger a market-driven capacity reduction [3][12] - The planting sector is showing positive fundamentals with an established upward trend in grain prices, highlighting significant investment opportunities [3][46] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Fundamentals - Pig prices continue to decline, with the average price for fat pigs at 12.45 yuan/kg, down 1.81% week-on-week, and piglet prices at 21.29 yuan/kg, down 4.81% week-on-week [12][54] - The average weight of pigs at slaughter is stabilizing, but the pressure from capacity release continues, leading to a sustained decline in prices [12] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the pig farming sector, highlighting companies such as Muyuan Foods (002714) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498) as key investment targets [3][46] - For the post-cycle sector, rising pig inventory is expected to boost demand for feed and animal health products, with companies like Haida Group (002311) and Reap Bio (300119) identified as potential beneficiaries [3][46] - In the planting chain, companies like Suqian Agricultural Development (601952) and Beidahuang (600598) are noted for their favorable investment outlook due to rising grain prices [3][46] - The pet food sector is also highlighted for its growth potential, with companies like Guibao Pet (301498) and Zhongchong Co. (002891) recommended for investment [3][46] Market Performance - The agriculture sector underperformed the market, with the agricultural index down 1.97% during the week, compared to a 0.21% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [48][49] - Key sub-sectors such as feed, animal health, and livestock farming all experienced declines, with livestock farming down 2.14% [48]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The logic of breeding sow reduction is strengthening, and beef and milk are expected to achieve upward linkage in 2026. As of September 26, 2025, the average price of live pigs in China is 12.50 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.20 yuan/kg and a year-on-year decrease of 5.51% [11][16] - The investment logic for live pigs is marginally improving, driven by both fundamental and policy factors. The price of live pigs is expected to rise in the second half of 2025 due to strong support from previous breeding sow reductions and winter piglet losses [29][32] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The logic of breeding sow reduction is strengthening, and beef and milk are expected to achieve upward linkage in 2026. The average price of live pigs is 12.50 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.20 yuan/kg and a year-on-year decrease of 5.51% [11][16] - The average price of beef is 66.27 yuan/kg, with a month-on-month increase of 2.10% and a year-on-year increase of 7.74% [23] Weekly Market Performance (September 22-26) - The agricultural index underperformed the market by 2.18 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.21% and the agricultural index falling by 1.97% [34][36] - Leading stocks include ST Jinggu (+15.68%), Huaying Agriculture (+5.76%), and Biological Shares (+3.78%) [34][40] Price Tracking (September 22-26) - The average price of live pigs is 12.45 yuan/kg, down 1.81% from the previous week. The average price of piglets is 21.29 yuan/kg, down 4.87% [46] - The average price of beef is 65.90 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.30 yuan/kg [54] Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the pig sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Juxing Agriculture [20][29] - In the feed sector, recommended stocks include Haida Group and New Hope [29] - In the pet food sector, recommended stocks include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Shares, and Petty Shares [32]

Market Overview - The aquaculture sector experienced a slight decline of 0.05% on September 26, with Jingji Zhino leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3828.11, down 0.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13209.0, down 1.76% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the aquaculture sector included Huaying Agriculture (+1.38%), Xiantan Co. (+1.32%), and Shengnong Development (+1.27%) [1] - Jingji Zhino saw a decline of 0.88%, with a closing price of 16.85 and a trading volume of 241,300 shares [2] - The total trading volume for the aquaculture sector was significant, with major stocks like Muyuan Foods and New Hope also experiencing minor declines [2] Capital Flow - The aquaculture sector saw a net inflow of 10.71 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 192 million yuan [2][3] - Major stocks like Muyuan Foods and Jingji Zhino had varying levels of net inflow and outflow, indicating mixed investor sentiment [3] - The overall capital flow indicates a preference for institutional investment over retail participation in the aquaculture sector [3]

Core Insights - The report indicates a narrowing profitability in pig farming while the pet food sector continues to grow [1][5] - The investment rating is maintained as "positive" for the sector [1] Pig Farming - Supply pressure has led to a decline in pig prices, with the average price in July-August 2025 at 14.63 CNY/kg, down from 14.96 CNY/kg in Q2 2025 [5] - The average profitability for self-breeding and purchased piglets in the industry has shifted to losses, with figures of 53.0 CNY/head for self-breeding and -106.7 CNY/head for purchased piglets as of September 19 [5] - The outflow of pigs from listed companies has shown a growth rate of 26.2% in Q2 2025 and 20.0% in July-August 2025 [5] - The report suggests that the ongoing policy guidance for capacity adjustment and weight reduction will likely elevate the price center of pigs in the future [5] - Recommended companies for investment include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, Dekang Agriculture, Juxing Agriculture, Shennong Group, Tiankang Biological, and Tangrenshen [5] Animal Health - Demand for animal health products is on the rise, with significant year-on-year growth in various vaccines, such as a 30% increase for swine fever vaccines in July-August 2025 [5] - Companies like Keqian Biological and Ruipu Biological are highlighted for their strong internal growth potential due to new product launches [5] Poultry Farming - The price of white feather chickens has rebounded due to seasonal demand and tighter supply, with an average price of 6.92 CNY/kg as of September 19, 2025 [5] - The report notes a 17.66% year-on-year decrease in the number of breeding chickens updated in the first eight months of 2025, indicating potential long-term benefits for the white feather chicken industry [5] - Recommended companies include Shennong Development and Yisheng Livestock [5] Pet Food Sector - Domestic sales of pet food are driven by consumption upgrades and domestic substitution, with a reported growth rate of 11% across major e-commerce platforms from January to August 2025 [5] - The report highlights the introduction of new products and the strengthening of brand power among leading companies [5] - Recommended companies in the pet food sector include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., Petty Co., and Lusi Co. [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the ongoing adjustment in the pig industry, highlighting the potential for value reassessment due to production capacity control and low-cost performance realization [3][16] - The poultry sector is expected to see improvements in fundamentals, with a focus on the white feather chicken breeding segment and price trends [4][29] - The animal health sector is witnessing a competitive landscape improvement and technological innovation, with several new products receiving clinical approval [5][37] - The pet economy is thriving, with domestic brands rapidly emerging, indicating sustained profitability improvements in the sector [9][59] Summary by Sections Pig Industry - Continuous deepening of pig price control measures is noted, with a focus on maintaining prices within a reasonable range [3][16] - Current average pig price is 13.15 yuan/kg, with a slight weekly decline [15] - Recommended companies include Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs, with ongoing recommendations for Juxing Agriculture and Shennong Group [3][16] Poultry Industry - The white feather chicken breeding segment shows potential for improvement, with significant updates in breeding stock [4][29] - Current prices for white feather chicken and related products are stable, with slight fluctuations noted [27][28] Animal Health Industry - The competitive landscape is improving, with notable profit differentiation among leading companies [5][36] - Several new vaccines have received clinical approval, marking significant advancements in the sector [5][37] Planting Industry - Prices for corn and soybean meal have shown a week-on-week decline, with ongoing commercialization of genetically modified seeds benefiting early adopters [7][42] Feed Industry - Feed prices are experiencing fluctuations, with a noted increase in production volume [8][48] - Recommended companies include Haida Group, with a focus on rising industry concentration [8][49] Pet Industry - The pet market is projected to reach 300.2 billion yuan in 2024, with a notable increase in consumer spending on pets [9][58] - Recommended companies in the pet food sector include Guobao Pet and Zhongchong Co., with a focus on the growing pet medical segment [9][59]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Juxing Agriculture and Animal Husbandry has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.05% and a year-to-date increase of 17.11% [1][2]. Company Overview - Juxing Agriculture and Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd. was established on December 24, 2013, and listed on December 18, 2017. The company is located in Chengdu, Sichuan Province [2]. - The main business activities include breeding and feed production and sales, as well as the research, manufacturing, and sales of mid-to-high-end natural leather [2]. - The revenue composition is as follows: 92.32% from pig breeding, 4.80% from feed, 2.72% from leather products, and 0.16% from other sources [2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Juxing Agriculture achieved a revenue of 3.717 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 66.49%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 181 million yuan, with a significant increase of 504.12% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 222 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 102 million yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders was 36,300, an increase of 0.70% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person decreased by 0.70% to 14,044 shares [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include various funds, with notable changes in holdings, such as a decrease in shares held by Yin Hua Needy Selected Mixed Fund and a new entry by Guotai Zhongzheng Livestock Breeding ETF [3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The investment logic for the pig industry continues to strengthen due to dual catalysts from policies and diseases, with a recommendation for long-term positioning despite current price lows [3][5] - The pet food export volume continues to grow year-on-year, indicating a sustained positive trend in the pet food market [4][28] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The pig price is running at a low level, with the national average price at 12.71 yuan/kg as of September 21, 2025, down 0.50 yuan/kg week-on-week and down 5.73 yuan/kg year-on-year [3][13] - The average weight of pigs sold is 128.45 kg, showing a slight increase week-on-week and year-on-year [3][13] - The pig industry is expected to see a strong execution of policies aimed at capacity reduction, which will enhance the expectations for substantial capacity reduction [3][13] Weekly Viewpoint - The investment logic for the pig industry is marginally improving, with a recommendation for companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [5][24] - The domestic feed market is benefiting from the post-cycle of poultry and livestock, with strong overseas demand supporting prices [5][25] - The pet food sector is experiencing a rise in domestic brands due to consumption upgrades and tariff barriers [5][28] Market Performance (September 15-19) - The agricultural index underperformed the market by 1.40 percentage points, with the agricultural index down 2.70% [6][29] - Leading stocks included Shennong Biotechnology (+9.36%), Xuelong Biotechnology (+7.64%), and Tianma Technology (+3.90%) [6][29] Price Tracking (September 15-19) - The average price of pigs was 12.68 yuan/kg, down 0.66 yuan/kg from the previous week [7][37] - The average price of piglets was 22.38 yuan/kg, down 1.57 yuan/kg week-on-week [7][37] - The average price of beef was 65.60 yuan/kg, showing a slight increase [44][37] Key News (September 15-19) - Notification regarding the central reserve frozen pork storage auction scheduled for September 23, 2025, with 15,000 tons available for auction [35]