Core Viewpoint - Zhonggu Logistics has shown a mixed performance in stock price and financial results, with a notable increase in net profit despite a decline in revenue [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, Zhonggu Logistics reported a revenue of 5.338 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.99% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.072 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 41.59% [1]. Stock Performance - The stock price of Zhonggu Logistics increased by 26.22% year-to-date, but has seen a slight decline of 0.55% over the last five trading days and 2.70% over the last twenty days [1]. - The stock was trading at 10.83 yuan per share with a market capitalization of 22.744 billion yuan as of October 17 [1]. Shareholder Information - The number of shareholders increased by 32.52% to 27,400 as of June 30, 2025, while the average number of circulating shares per person decreased by 24.54% to 76,636 shares [1]. - Major shareholders include Huatai-PB SSE Dividend ETF and Guotai Junan Securities, with notable changes in their holdings [2]. Dividend Distribution - Zhonggu Logistics has distributed a total of 8.127 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 4.386 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [2]. Market Position - The company operates in the container logistics service sector and is classified under the transportation and shipping industry [1]. - It is associated with several market concepts, including cold chain logistics and high dividend yield [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the transportation industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the overall market performance [12]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in profits for the express delivery sector driven by anti-competition policies, with an expected increase in prices leading to improved profitability for companies like Shentong Express and YTO Express [5][6]. - The shipping sector is experiencing strong demand, particularly for oil tankers, with historical high freight rates observed in August and September 2025. The report anticipates continued demand growth due to OPEC+ production increases and a release of pent-up inventory demand [5]. - The shipbuilding industry is in a phase of profit release as high-priced orders are being delivered, with a strong demand for replacing old vessels. The report notes that the implementation of the 301 policy is expected to stimulate order volumes and ship prices [5]. - The airline sector is projected to see significant improvements in operational performance due to increased capacity and a recovery in international travel, with major airlines like China Eastern Airlines and Southern Airlines expected to benefit [5][6]. - The report also indicates that the highway and railway sectors are likely to maintain growth in traffic volumes, with improvements in railway freight performance anticipated due to the retraction of previous freight rate reductions [5]. Summary by Sections Shipping - Oil tanker freight rates reached historical highs in August and September 2025, with a projected 14% decline in VLCC market rates for Q3, while Cape-sized bulk carriers are expected to see a 19% increase in rates [5]. - The report recommends companies such as China Merchants Energy Shipping and China Merchants Heavy Industry, highlighting the strong demand and supply constraints in the sector [5]. Shipbuilding - The shipbuilding industry is characterized by a tight supply-demand balance, with ongoing demand for replacing old vessels. The report suggests that the implementation of the 301 policy will positively impact order volumes and ship prices [5]. - Recommended companies include China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation and China State Shipbuilding Corporation, which are expected to benefit from the current market dynamics [5]. Airlines - The airline sector is entering a peak travel season with increased capacity and improved passenger flow. The report anticipates significant operational improvements for major airlines due to favorable external factors such as lower oil prices [5][6]. - Companies like China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines are highlighted as key beneficiaries of this trend [5]. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is expected to see a recovery in profits due to rising prices and reduced competition. The report notes a 12.3% year-on-year growth in express delivery volume in August 2025 [5]. - Recommended companies include Shentong Express and YTO Express, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing price increases [5]. Highway and Railway - The report forecasts growth in highway traffic and railway passenger and freight volumes, with a notable increase in railway freight performance expected in Q3 2025 [5]. - Recommended companies include Zhejiang Huhangyong and Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway, which are expected to perform well in the current environment [5].

Core Insights - The shipping industry is undergoing a digital transformation driven by technologies such as big data, cloud computing, and the Internet of Things, leading to the emergence of smart shipping as a key driver for industry upgrade [1][11] - China's smart shipping market is projected to grow from 48.41 billion yuan in 2018 to 68.78 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.03% [1][12] - The development of smart shipping in China is supported by various government policies aimed at promoting innovation and high-quality growth in the shipping sector [6][7] Smart Shipping Industry Overview - Smart shipping integrates modern information and artificial intelligence technologies with shipping elements to enhance operational efficiency, reduce costs, and improve service quality [4][11] - The main components of smart shipping include intelligent vessels, smart ports, shipping assurance, regulatory services, and smart shipping services [4] Government Policies - Recent policies emphasize the importance of smart shipping as a key engine for high-quality development in the shipping industry, including initiatives for green and intelligent transformation [6][7] - The government is promoting pilot applications of autonomous navigation and smart shipping technologies [6] Industry Chain - The smart shipping industry chain consists of upstream technologies such as autonomous navigation and environmental sensing, midstream operations focusing on intelligent vessels and ports, and downstream applications in various transportation sectors [8] Market Growth - The smart port market in China is expected to grow from 1.334 billion yuan in 2018 to 5.3 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 25.85% [15][16] - The intelligent vessel market is projected to increase from 38.99 billion yuan in 2018 to 52.02 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 4.92% [13][14] Competitive Landscape - The smart shipping industry in China features a multi-layered competitive landscape with participation from state-owned enterprises, local companies, and private firms, focusing on intelligent technology applications and digital platform development [17] - Key players include COSCO Shipping Holdings, COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation, and others, each specializing in various segments of the shipping industry [17][18][19] Development Trends - The smart shipping industry is moving towards enhanced efficiency through digitalization and automation, aiming to improve operational efficiency and international competitiveness [20] - Green initiatives are being adopted, promoting the use of low-carbon fuels and technologies to reduce emissions [21] - Safety is a fundamental aspect of sustainable development, with the industry leveraging IoT and AI for comprehensive monitoring and risk management [22][23]

Group 1: Oil Shipping - The fourth quarter is a traditional peak season for oil shipping, with freight rates expected to rise starting in October [2][3] - Current freight rates reflect tight supply levels, and the demand for oil products in the Northern Hemisphere winter typically lasts for three months [1][2] - OPEC+ is expected to continue small production increases in October, contributing to sustained demand for shipping [1][2] Group 2: Near Coastal and Domestic Shipping - After the National Day holiday, freight rates for near coastal and domestic shipping are anticipated to gradually increase [3] - The near coastal shipping market has improved supply-demand dynamics this year, with no new supply of small vessels and aging fleets causing efficiency losses [3] - Increased cargo volumes between Southeast Asia and China, Japan, and South Korea are expected to support demand growth [3] Group 3: Dry Bulk Shipping - Historical data suggests that the BDI index typically rises in September and early October due to increased demand for grain shipments [4] - The post-holiday rush effect is likely to drive freight rates up after the National Day holiday, although rates may decline after the peak grain shipping period [4] - Winter energy demand is expected to boost transportation needs for coal and iron ore, leading to a potential rise in freight rates in late November [4] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The company sees potential investment opportunities in the shipping sector due to ongoing supply tightness and marginal demand improvements [5] - Specific companies highlighted for potential growth include COSCO Shipping Energy (600026), China Merchants Energy Shipping (601872), China Merchants Jinling Shipyard (601975), Seaspan Corporation (01308), and Zhonggu Logistics (603565) [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The express delivery industry is experiencing resilient demand, with a shift towards "quality over quantity" leading to price increases, which will enhance corporate profitability. Companies like SF Express and JD Logistics are expected to benefit from cyclical recovery and cost reduction [4][13] - The shipping sector is anticipated to benefit from the OPEC+ production cycle and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with a notable improvement in the oil transportation market expected in Q4 2025 [13] - The aviation industry is projected to see long-term demand growth due to macroeconomic recovery, with short-term ticket booking data indicating a rebound [13] Summary by Sections Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is witnessing a significant price increase, with over 90% of regions in China experiencing price hikes, which is expected to improve profitability for companies [4] - Key companies to watch include YTO Express, Shentong Express, Zhongtong Express, and SF Express, all of which are positioned to benefit from the industry's positive trends [13] Shipping and Shipbuilding - The shipping sector is expected to see a cyclical recovery, particularly in oil transportation due to OPEC+ production increases and geopolitical uncertainties enhancing VLCC rate elasticity [13] - The shipbuilding market is in a green transition phase, with new orders expected to improve as market conditions stabilize [13] Aviation - The aviation sector is experiencing low supply growth with increasing demand, leading to a favorable long-term outlook. Companies like China Southern Airlines and Air China are highlighted for their potential [13][14] Logistics and Ports - The logistics sector is seeing a positive trend with companies like Shenzhen International and Debon Logistics expected to benefit from improved competition and operational efficiencies [13] - Port operations are stable, with a focus on cash flow and growth potential in hub ports like China Merchants Port and Qingdao Port [13]

报告要点 丨证券研究报告丨 [TaSummary] 今年以来，受资金风格切换等因素影响，交运板块核心红利资产标的均面临一定程度股价调整， 估值及股息率重回高性价比区间，显著领先十年期国债收益率，对于绝对收益资金吸引力逐步 提升。基于行业特征，我们重点推荐交运板块中具有低估值、高股息特征的垄断性资产，1）买 低波稳健+分红确定：优选高速公路龙头（招商公路以及宁沪高速等），以及大秦铁路与青岛港； 2）短期看，港股市场估值折价明显、股息率更具性价比，建议关注港股向上弹性。 行业研究丨行业周报丨运输 [Table_Title] 当前时点，如何看待交运红利资产配置价值？ 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490512020001 SAC：S0490520020001 SAC：S0490519060002 SAC：S0490520080027 SAC：S0490524120001 SFC：BQK468 SFC：BWN875 韩轶超 赵超 鲁斯嘉 张银晗 胡俊文 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title2] 当前时点，如 ...

9月26日，中谷物流盘中下跌2.01%，截至14:03，报11.24元/股，成交1.96亿元，换手率0.82%，总市值 236.05亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出93.13万元，特大单买入857.07万元，占比4.38%，卖出830.88万元，占 比4.24%；大单买入2428.09万元，占比12.40%，卖出2547.40万元，占比13.01%。 截至6月30日，中谷物流股东户数2.74万，较上期增加32.52%；人均流通股76636股，较上期减少 24.54%。2025年1月-6月，中谷物流实现营业收入53.38亿元，同比减少6.99%；归母净利润10.72亿元， 同比增长41.59%。 分红方面，中谷物流A股上市后累计派现81.27亿元。近三年，累计派现43.86亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年6月30日，中谷物流十大流通股东中，华泰柏瑞上证红利ETF（510880）位 居第三大流通股东，持股4557.78万股，相比上期减少931.25万股。国投证券股份有限公司位居第四大流 通股东，持股2915.17万股，为新进股东。香港中央结算有限公司位居第八大流通股东，持股1927.97万 股，相比上期减 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhonggu Logistics has shown a significant increase in stock price and trading activity, indicating positive market sentiment and potential growth opportunities in the logistics sector [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of September 25, Zhonggu Logistics' stock price rose by 2.01% to 11.68 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 203 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.84%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 24.529 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has increased by 29.63% year-to-date, with a 4.85% rise over the last five trading days, 10.19% over the last 20 days, and 21.16% over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Zhonggu Logistics reported a revenue of 5.338 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 6.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 41.59% to 1.072 billion CNY [1]. - The company has distributed a total of 8.127 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 4.386 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 32.52% to 27,400, with an average of 76,636 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 24.54% [1]. - Major shareholders include Huatai-PB Shanghai Composite Dividend ETF, which holds 45.5778 million shares, and Guotai Junan Securities, which is a new shareholder with 29.1517 million shares [2].

Market Performance - The shipping and port sector increased by 0.67% on September 24, with Nanjing Port leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3853.64, up 0.83%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13356.14, up 1.8% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Nanjing Port (002040) saw a significant rise of 10.01%, closing at 11.98 with a trading volume of 437,200 shares and a turnover of 506 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included: - China Merchants Heavy Industry (601872) up 2.87% to 8.96 with a turnover of 934 million yuan [1] - HNA Technology (600751) up 1.94% to 4.74 with a turnover of 238 million yuan [1] - COSCO Shipping Energy (600026) up 1.49% to 12.27 with a turnover of 654 million yuan [1] Declining Stocks - Ningbo Port (601018) decreased by 2.36% to 3.73 with a trading volume of 2,439,400 shares and a turnover of 909 million yuan [2] - Other declining stocks included: - Ningbo Ocean Shipping (601022) down 2.24% to 10.91 [2] - COSCO Shipping Specialized (600428) down 1.05% to 6.62 [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The shipping and port sector experienced a net outflow of 187 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 105 million yuan [2] - Notable capital flows included: - China Merchants Heavy Industry (601872) had a main fund net inflow of 11.3 million yuan [3] - Nanjing Port (002040) saw a main fund net inflow of 31.56 million yuan [3] - COSCO Shipping Energy (600026) had a main fund net inflow of 39.95 million yuan [3]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 9月22日晚间，中谷物流发布2025年半年度权益分派实施公告称，公司2025年半年度权益 分派方案为A股每股现金红利0.43元（含税），股权登记日为2025年9月26日，除权（息）日及现金红利 发放日均为2025年9月29日。 ...