Summary of Kingsoft Office (688111 CH) Research Report Company Overview - **Company**: Kingsoft Office - **Ticker**: 688111 CH - **Sector**: Software - **Market Cap**: CNY 164,664 million (USD 22,603 million) [7][15] Key Financial Highlights - **4Q24 Preliminary Results**: - Revenue: CNY 1,494 million, up 16% year-over-year (y-o-y) [19] - Net Profit: CNY 605 million, up 43% y-o-y [19] - **Earnings Estimates**: - 2025 Revenue: CNY 6,071 million (up 3% from previous estimates) [4][21] - 2025 Net Profit: CNY 2,156 million (up 10% from previous estimates) [4][21] - **Target Price**: Raised to RMB 388.00 from RMB 318.00, implying a 9% upside [5][29] Core Insights - **AI Monetisation**: - Enhanced AI capabilities through DeepSeek-R1 are expected to accelerate monetisation efforts [2][3] - Strong demand for AI functions in enterprise software is anticipated to support revenue growth [3][11] - **SaaS Transition**: - A smoother transition to standard Software as a Service (SaaS) is expected, driven by improved WPS AI functions [2][5] - **Localisation Demand**: - Increased orders for office software localisation from local government entities are projected, with completion expected by 2027 [3][21] Revenue and Profit Growth - **Revenue Growth**: - Expected CAGR of 18.4% from 2024 to 2026 [28] - 2026 Revenue Estimate: CNY 7.2 billion [29] - **Net Profit Growth**: - 2025-26 net profit estimates are 14-15% higher than Wind consensus [2][4] Risks and Challenges - **Budget Constraints**: - Potential lower-than-expected budgets for office software localisation from government entities could impact demand [36] - **Competition**: - Increased competition from both internet giants and traditional office software manufacturers may pressure pricing and sales [36] - **User Conversion**: - Slower-than-expected conversion of individual subscription users could hinder revenue growth [36] Valuation Metrics - **Price-to-Sales (PS) Ratio**: - Target PS raised to 25x from 21x based on improved revenue growth expectations [5][28] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2025 EPS estimate: CNY 4.67, reflecting a 9.5% increase from previous estimates [8][12] Conclusion - **Investment Recommendation**: Maintain Buy rating due to expected solid earnings growth and a positive outlook on AI monetisation and software localisation demand [5][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the computer industry, specifically for companies like Kingsoft Office, Tonghuashun, and Yonyou Network [7][10][26]. Core Insights - DeepSeek has opened its Infra core code, enhancing model efficiency and hardware compatibility, particularly with domestic GPUs, which is expected to lower application costs and improve performance [1][2][3]. - The report highlights a divergence in strategies between domestic and overseas model companies, with overseas firms focusing on large computing power while domestic firms prioritize efficiency optimization [4]. - The potential for model capabilities to become fundamental resources akin to "water and electricity" is emphasized, suggesting significant advantages for companies leveraging these capabilities [5]. Summary by Sections Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for Kingsoft Office (688111 CH), Tonghuashun (300033 CH), and Yonyou Network (600588 CH) with target prices of 351.05, 425.23, and 16.12 respectively [10][26]. DeepSeek Developments - DeepSeek's recent open-source initiatives include core optimizations in MLA, communication-computation, and matrix multiplication, which are expected to enhance global model training and inference efficiency [2][3]. - The report notes that DeepSeek's model training has been optimized for CUDA, with successful adaptations for domestic GPUs, indicating a growing ecosystem for local chip manufacturers [3]. Market Dynamics - The report identifies a trend where overseas companies like xAI and OpenAI are expanding their GPU clusters to enhance performance, while domestic companies are focusing on software and hardware efficiency improvements [4]. - The analysis suggests that the cost-profit margin for DeepSeek's services could reach 545% under optimal conditions, highlighting the financial viability of its model [1][22]. Recommended Companies - Companies with user, data, and scenario advantages are recommended, including Kingsoft Office, Tonghuashun, and Yonyou Network, as well as other relevant players in the 2B and 2C application sectors [5][10][26].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Kingsoft Office (688111.SH) is maintained at "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's performance exceeded expectations, leading to an upward adjustment in the net profit forecast for 2024-2026 to 1.645 billion, 2.064 billion, and 2.542 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.56, 4.46, and 5.50 yuan per share [4][5] - The growth is attributed to the robust performance of core business revenues, improved operational efficiency, and increased investment income [5] - The integration of WPS AI with Deepseek marks a shift from "assistive tools" to "cognitive partners" in smart office tools, enhancing user engagement and conversion rates [6] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company is expected to achieve a total revenue of 5.121 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.4% [5] - The projected net profit for 2024 is 1.645 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 24.8% [5] - The gross margin is expected to remain stable around 85%, while the net margin is projected to increase to 32.1% in 2024 [8] - The P/E ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are forecasted at 97.3, 77.6, and 63.0 respectively [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Kingsoft Office (688111.SH) is maintained at "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has exceeded market expectations with its performance, leading to an upward adjustment in the net profit forecast for 2024-2026 to 1.645 billion, 2.064 billion, and 2.542 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.56, 4.46, and 5.50 yuan per share [4][5] - The continuous upgrade of the WPS AI product is expected to open up new growth opportunities, reinforcing the "Buy" rating [4] Financial Performance Summary - For the year 2024, the company is expected to achieve a revenue of 5.121 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.4%, and a net profit of 1.645 billion yuan, up 24.84% [5] - The fourth quarter alone is projected to generate a revenue of 1.494 billion yuan, a 16.2% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 605 million yuan, reflecting a 42.7% growth [5] - The company’s gross margin is expected to remain stable around 85%, with a net margin projected to increase to 32.1% in 2024 [8] Product Development and Market Position - The integration of WPS AI 2.0 with Deepseek marks a shift from "assistive tools" to "cognitive partners," enhancing user engagement and conversion rates [6] - New features such as AI writing assistant, AI reading assistant, and AI data assistant are expected to significantly improve user experience and retention [6] Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected at 97.3, 77.6, and 63.0 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend as earnings grow [8] - The projected return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise to 14.6% in 2024 and further to 16.8% by 2026 [8]

Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2024 reached RMB 5,120,838,798.82, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.40%[3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company was RMB 1,645,080,509.02, up 24.84% compared to the previous year[3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, was RMB 1,556,392,879.84, reflecting a growth of 23.30% year-on-year[3] - Basic earnings per share increased to RMB 3.56, a rise of 24.48% from the previous year[3] - The weighted average return on equity improved to 15.52%, an increase of 1.34 percentage points[3] - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were RMB 15,912,888,756.23, up 13.87% from the beginning of the period[3] - Equity attributable to shareholders of the parent company rose to RMB 11,355,557,559.61, marking a 14.14% increase[3] Business Strategy and Operations - The company focused on enhancing its product system in the fields of collaboration and AI, driving innovation and market competitiveness[5] - The company reported steady growth in its main business revenues, supported by improved operational efficiency and increased investment income[5] Reporting and Auditing - The financial data presented is preliminary and unaudited, with final figures to be confirmed in the 2024 annual report[6]

证券代码：688111 证券简称：金山办公 公告编号：2025-002 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大 遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本次股票上市类型为股权激励股份；股票认购方式为网下，上市股数为 148,361 股。 本次股票上市流通总数为 148,361 股。其中，2021 年限制性股票激励计划预 留授予激励对象第三个归属期归属 32,300 股，2022 年限制性股票激励计划首 次授予第二类激励对象第二个归属期归属 2,145 股，2022 年限制性股票激励 计划预留授予激励对象第二个归属期归属 62,568 股，2023 年限制性股票激励 计划预留授予激励对象第一个归属期第一批次归属 51,348 股。 本次股票上市流通日期为 2025 年 3 月 5 日。 根据中国证监会、上海证券交易所、中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分公 司有关业务规则的规定，北京金山办公软件股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于近 日收到中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分公司出具的《证券变更登记证明》， 公司已完成 2021 年限制性股票激励 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Company and Industry - The discussion primarily revolves around Kingsoft Office and its position within the AI and cloud collaboration industry [1][4]. Core Points and Arguments - **AI Investment in Beijing**: There is an anticipated increase in AI investment from the Beijing government, which is expected to significantly benefit Kingsoft Office due to its strong performance in application development and a monthly active user base of 600 million [1]. - **Business Model**: Kingsoft Office operates on a dual business model consisting of subscription and licensing. The advertising business was shut down in December 2023 [1]. - **Subscription Growth Trends**: - Personal and institutional subscription growth rates have been declining since last year. However, it is projected that by 2025, subscription growth will stabilize at a normal level [2]. - Institutional subscriptions have seen increased demand from small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) due to economic conditions, with a shift of some revenue to liabilities last year, which is expected to rebound this year [2]. - **Research and Development**: The company has increased its R&D efforts significantly since the introduction of large models in 2023, although the overall operational capacity is expected to remain stable [3]. - **Deepfake Technology**: Kingsoft Office has integrated deepfake models into its applications, enhancing the effectiveness of tools like PPT generation. The company anticipates improved performance and higher conversion rates due to this upgrade [4]. - **Opportunities from HarmonyOS**: The HarmonyOS platform is seen as a potential avenue for expanding into new commercial markets beyond existing offerings [4]. Financial Projections - **Revenue Forecast for 2025**: Projected revenue is estimated at 6.45 billion, with institutional subscription growth expected at 7%, institutional licensing growth turning positive, and institutional subscription growth at 21%. Personal subscription growth is projected at 28% [5]. - **Profit Expectations**: The net profit for 2025 is anticipated to be close to 1.9 billion [5]. - **Valuation Benchmarking**: The valuation is benchmarked against leading Chinese software companies and AI firms [5]. Additional Important Content - **Government Support for Innovation**: Since late August of the previous year, there have been supportive policies and funding from the central government aimed at promoting innovation at the regional level [3]. - **Market Dynamics**: The overall economic situation is influencing the willingness of SMEs to invest in annual service subscriptions, which is a critical factor for institutional subscription growth [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - Kingsoft Office is a leading domestic office software provider, leveraging WPS to capture the office scenario entry point. With the integration of DeepSeek R1 large model, the commercialization of AI applications is expected to exceed expectations. As of June 30, 2024, the monthly active devices for Kingsoft Office's main products reached 602 million, with a cumulative annual paid user count of 38.15 million. The enhanced WPS product experience after integrating DeepSeek is anticipated to further boost both monthly active and paid user numbers [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Exceeding Expectations Logic - Market expectations suggest that Kingsoft Office primarily benefits from the trend of domestic office software localization, with current penetration rates for products like WPS being relatively high, limiting exponential growth potential. However, the DeepSeek model, as a leading open-source AI large model, is expected to significantly drive the penetration and application of AI in China, marking a "GPT moment" for the country. Kingsoft Office, as one of the four major AI application sectors (office, finance, healthcare, education), is well-positioned to utilize DeepSeek's text capabilities, enhancing the WPS AI experience [2][3]. Verification Metrics and Catalysts - Key metrics for verification include the company's monthly active users (MAU), AI product user count, overseas user count, payment rate, and average revenue per user (ARPU). Financial performance indicators such as revenue growth rate, gross margin, and net margin will also be monitored. Potential catalysts include advancements in domestic foundational large models, the launch of new features in WPS based on the DeepSeek model, and a decrease in AI inference costs [4]. Research Value - A unique perspective is presented, countering the market view that Kingsoft Office lacks leading AI large model technology and cannot establish technological barriers based on AI. The company's products primarily target individual users, where user perception and reputation form a core moat, while AI can enhance market capacity. Progress in foundational large models is expected to increase user willingness to pay and enrich application scenarios. As a leading domestic office software provider, Kingsoft Office is poised to benefit from the widespread adoption of DeepSeek's advanced large model capabilities [5][11].

证券代码：688111 证券简称：金山办公 公告编号：2025-001 北京金山办公软件股份有限公司 具体内容详见同日刊载于上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）的《金山 办公关于公司及子公司涉及诉讼的进展公告》（公告编号：2024-044）、《金山 办公关于公司及子公司涉及诉讼的结果公告》（公告编号：2024-064）。 关于公司及子公司涉及诉讼的结果进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大 遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 北京金山办公软件股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）与子公司北京数科网 维技术有限责任公司（以下简称"数科网维"）于近日收到最高人民法院（2025） 最高法民申 166 号《应诉通知书》。现将具体情况公告如下： 一、本次诉讼的基本情况 北京冠群信息技术股份有限公司（以下简称"冠群公司"）因与北京金山办 公软件股份有限公司、北京数科网维技术有限责任公司的侵害计算机软件著作权 纠纷向北京知识产权法院提起诉讼。北京知识产权法院于 2024 年 6 月作出一审 判决，驳回原告冠群公司的全部诉讼请求，案件受 ...

Group 1 - On February 5, a total of 2,490 stocks received net financing purchases, with 42 stocks having net purchases exceeding 100 million yuan [1] - Among these, 7 stocks had net financing purchases exceeding 200 million yuan [2] - The stock with the highest net financing purchase was Zhongji Xuchuang, with a net purchase of 405 million yuan [2] Group 2 - Other notable stocks with significant net financing purchases include Kingsoft Office, China Ping An, CATL, Runhe Software, Inspur Information, and Kweichow Moutai, with net purchases of 321 million yuan, 304 million yuan, 238 million yuan, 232 million yuan, 212 million yuan, and 201 million yuan respectively [2]