计算机 2025 年 08 月 27 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -26% 0% 26% 53% 79% 106% 132% 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 计算机 沪深300 相关研究报告 《重视计算机的 3 个投资方向—行业 周报》-2025.8.24 《积极拥抱 AI 投资大时代—行业周 报》-2025.8.17 《坚定看好AI应用产业趋势—行业周 报》-2025.8.10 "人工智能+"行动意见发布，迎接 AI 投资大时代 ——行业点评报告 | 陈宝健（分析师） | 李海强（分析师） | | --- | --- | | chenbaojian@kysec.cn | lihaiqiang@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520080001 | 证书编号：S0790524070003 | lihaiqiang@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524070003 事件：国务院发布"人工智能+"行动意见 8 月 26 日，国务院发布关于深入实施"人工智能+"行动的意见，目标到 2027 年新一代智能终端、智能体等应用普及率超 70%，到 2030 ...

Group 1: First Capital (002797.SZ) - The core conclusion indicates that First Capital has a distinctive focus on fixed income business, with significant growth potential driven by asset management and investment banking [1][6][7] - The company has transitioned towards a trading-driven model in its fixed income business, with revenue increasing from 288 million to 646 million, and its share of total revenue rising from 11.03% to 18.29% over the past three years [7] - The asset management and investment banking sectors are identified as the main growth drivers, with asset management projected to account for 32.4% of revenue by 2024 [7] Group 2: TMT Technology Industry - The report highlights a positive outlook for the AI computing chain, with expected growth across various sectors including computing chips, servers, and optical modules [2][11] - NVIDIA's introduction of Spectrum-XGS Ethernet aims to create AI super factories by overcoming existing limitations in data center expansion [9] - The domestic computing industry is focusing on enhancing the performance and capacity of domestic computing chips, while the overseas sector is advancing high-end technology and global layout [10] Group 3: Real Estate Industry - Shanghai's recent policy adjustments are seen as a significant step towards market stabilization, with measures including the removal of purchase limits for certain demographics and adjustments to mortgage rates [12][14] - The new policies are expected to stimulate demand and improve sales performance in the real estate market, particularly benefiting first-time buyers and non-local purchasers [13][14] - The report suggests that the recent policy changes serve as a positive signal for the industry, indicating a commitment to stabilizing the market [14] Group 4: Kingsoft Office (688111.SH) - Kingsoft Office reported a steady revenue growth of 10.12% year-on-year, with a projected revenue of 5.9 billion, 7 billion, and 8.5 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][16] - The company is increasing its R&D investment, which reached 9.6 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a 19% year-on-year increase [18] - The WPS365 business is experiencing rapid growth, with a 62.27% increase in revenue, indicating strong market demand for its services [17] Group 5: Huadong Medicine (000963.SZ) - Huadong Medicine reported a revenue increase of 3.39% year-on-year, with a net profit growth of 7.01% in the first half of 2025 [30] - The pharmaceutical industrial segment is showing robust growth, driven by innovative product offerings and increased R&D investment [30][31] - The medical aesthetics segment is experiencing a recovery, with improvements noted in the second quarter of 2025 [31] Group 6: Sunshine Power (300274.SZ) - Sunshine Power achieved a revenue of 43.53 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 40.34%, with a net profit increase of 55.97% [32] - The company is expanding its product offerings in the energy storage sector, which saw a significant revenue increase of 128% [32][33] - New product launches in the energy storage segment are expected to enhance the company's market position [33]

Market Performance - Global markets continued to rise last week, with MSCI Global up by 1.5%, MSCI Developed up by 1.5%, and MSCI Emerging up by 1.3%[3] - The US stock market's earnings expectations for 2025 were revised upward, with the S&P 500 EPS forecast increased from 268 to 269[4] Economic Expectations - Global economic expectations were adjusted upward, with the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index for the US rising due to dovish signals from the Fed[4] - The issuance of new special bonds by local governments reached 2392.7 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 76.7%[19] Industry Insights - In the home appliance sector, TCL Electronics reported a total revenue of 54.777 billion HKD for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.4%[15] - The gaming industry saw a record high of 166 domestic game approvals in August, with a total of 1050 approvals in the first eight months of 2025, significantly higher than the previous year's 850[31] Investment Recommendations - In the home appliance sector, recommended stocks include Stone Technology and Ecovacs for their strong performance and growth potential[14] - For the construction industry, low valuation high-dividend companies such as China State Construction and China Railway Construction are recommended due to their expected benefits from PPP policy catalysts[39]

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 8月27日，科创信息技术ETF（588100）开盘涨0.75%，报1.753元。科创信息技术ETF（588100）重仓股 方面，中芯国际开盘涨1.26%，海光信息涨1.49%，寒武纪涨3.75%，澜起科技跌0.39%，中微公司跌 1.86%，金山办公涨5.98%，传音控股跌0.04%，九号公司涨1.00%，芯原股份跌1.11%，石头科技涨 0.15%。 科创信息技术ETF（588100）业绩比较基准为上证科创板新一代信息技术指数收益率，管理人为嘉实基 金管理有限公司，基金经理为张钟玉，成立（2022-05-18）以来回报为74.24%，近一个月回报为 24.37%。 ...

Group 1: Haitong Development - In the first half of 2025, Haitong Development achieved revenue of 1.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.74%, but net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 64% to 87 million yuan, mainly due to a decline in market freight rates and ship repair impacts [1] - The company plans to expand its fleet to 100 vessels by 2028-2029, adding approximately 15 vessels annually, covering various ship types [1] - Haitong Development remains optimistic about the dry bulk market in the second half of the year and the coming years, supported by favorable supply and demand factors [1] Group 2: Kingsoft Office - Starting from the first quarter of 2025, Kingsoft Office will gradually make basic I functions free, while newly developed unique I functions will remain exclusive to members [2] - The release of WPS I 3.0 has led to an exponential increase in token consumption, with expectations for continued growth [2] - The company aims to enhance penetration and promote paid user conversion, focusing on the introduction of new I capabilities in the second half of the year [2] Group 3: Tianfu Communication - In the first half of 2025, Tianfu Communication reported revenue of 2.456 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 57.84%, and net profit of 899 million yuan, up 37.46% [3] - The growth in active business is primarily driven by the increased delivery of high-speed active products, with strong demand for these products [3] - The company maintains high R&D investment and collaborates with clients to develop new products, while expanding production capacity based on orders [3] Group 4: Silver Hua Fund - As of now, Silver Hua Fund has an asset management scale of 576.932 billion yuan, ranking 22nd among 210 [4] - The fund's best-performing product in the past year is the Silver Hua National Index Hong Kong Stock Innovation Drug ETF, with a recent net value of 0.99 and a growth of 134.1% over the past year [4] - The latest public fund product launched is the Silver Hua CSI All-Index Securities Company ETF, with a subscription period from August 25 to August 27, 2025 [4]

Group 1 - Jiangsu Bank achieved operating income of 44.864 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.78%, and a net profit of 20.238 billion yuan, up 8.05% year-on-year in H1 2025 [4][5] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio reached a historical low of 0.84%, with total assets growing to 4.79 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.99% [4][5] - The bank's net interest income rose significantly by 19.10% year-on-year, contributing to the overall high growth in revenue and profit [4][5] Group 2 - Kingsoft Office reported total operating income of 2.657 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.12%, with a net profit of 727 million yuan, up 5.77% year-on-year [6][7] - The WPS personal business generated 1.748 billion yuan in revenue, growing by 8.38% year-on-year, while WPS 365 business saw a remarkable growth of 62.27% [8][11] - The launch of the AI assistant Lingxi is expected to significantly enhance the company's revenue potential by integrating various AI functionalities into office workflows [14] Group 3 - Qiaqia Food reported a revenue of 2.752 billion yuan in H1 2025, down 5.05% year-on-year, with a net profit of 89 million yuan, a decrease of 73.68% [21][22] - The company faced pressure from high raw material costs, leading to a gross margin of 20.31%, down 8.10 percentage points year-on-year [22][23] - E-commerce and overseas channels showed strong growth, with revenues of 451 million yuan and 278 million yuan, respectively, indicating a successful expansion strategy [23] Group 4 - Yun Aluminum achieved operating income of 29.08 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18%, with a net profit of 2.77 billion yuan, up 10% [26][27] - The company reported a significant increase in aluminum production, with a total output of 1.6132 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 15.6% [27] - The mid-term dividend was raised to 40%, reflecting the company's strong financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders [28] Group 5 - Mango Super Media reported H1 2025 revenue of 5.96 billion yuan, down 14.3% year-on-year, with a net profit of 760 million yuan, a decrease of 28.3% [35][36] - The company’s membership revenue showed resilience, with a slight increase of 0.4% year-on-year, indicating strong user engagement [37] - The introduction of new policies by the broadcasting authority is expected to enhance the flexibility and commercial efficiency of the company's content production [36] Group 6 - Miaokelando reported H1 2025 revenue of 2.567 billion yuan, an increase of 7.98% year-on-year, with a net profit of 133 million yuan, up 86.27% [42][43] - The cheese business experienced double-digit growth, contributing significantly to the overall revenue, with a focus on expanding product offerings [43][44] - The company’s sales expenses were optimized, leading to an improved net profit margin of 5.18%, up 1.19 percentage points year-on-year [45] Group 7 - Tianrun Dairy reported H1 2025 revenue of 1.395 billion yuan, down 3.30% year-on-year, with a net loss of 22 million yuan, although the loss narrowed compared to the previous year [47][48] - The company’s second-quarter performance showed a significant recovery in profitability, with a net profit margin of 6.67%, indicating improved operational efficiency [49][50] - The company is focusing on product innovation and market expansion to enhance its competitive position in the dairy sector [50]

Group 1 - The State Council released opinions on the implementation of the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative, aiming for over 70% application penetration of new intelligent terminals and intelligent agents by 2027, and over 90% by 2030 [1] - The initiative includes building national AI application pilot bases, promoting the intelligent transformation of software and information service companies, and developing AI application service providers [1] - The focus is on creating a smart product ecosystem, with significant development in smart connected vehicles, AI smartphones and computers, smart robots, smart homes, and wearable devices [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities believes that generative AI is entering a new development stage dominated by AI agents, which are seen as "digital employees" capable of understanding, planning, and executing complex tasks [2] - The demand for energy and semiconductors is rapidly increasing as AI agents transition from experimental to large-scale deployment, making these resources strategic and bottleneck factors for AI development [2] - Northeast Securities highlights that edge AI is evolving terminal devices from "single-function" to "scene intelligence," creating a core technology foundation for the Internet of Everything [2] Group 3 - Companies involved in AI applications across various sectors include: - AI + Government: Taiji Co., South威 Software, Newpoint Software, Digital Government, and Tuoer Si [3] - AI + Justice: Jinqiao Information, Huayu Software, and Tongda Hai [3] - AI + Finance and Tax: Tax Friend Co., Zhongke Jiangnan, and Bosi Software [3] - AI + Enterprise Services: Kingsoft Office, Yonyou Network, Kingdee International, Inspur Digital Enterprise, Guangyun Technology, Zhiyuan Interconnection, and Fanwei Network [3] - AI + Programming: Jin Modern and Puyuan Information [3] Group 4 - Companies such as Kute Intelligent and Nanxing Co. are identified as active entities in the AI agent space [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the computer industry, expecting overall returns to exceed the CSI 300 index by more than 5% in the next six months [27]. Core Insights - The computer industry index rose by 7.93% during the week of August 18-24, 2025, ranking 4th among 31 primary industries, with a year-to-date increase of 28.86%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 17.60 percentage points [3][22]. - The release of DeepSeek-V3.1 is expected to drive the domestic AI industry, enhancing the capabilities of programming and search agents significantly [4][8]. - DeepSeek-V3.1 features a hybrid reasoning architecture, improved efficiency, and enhanced agent capabilities, marking a significant advancement in AI technology [12][14]. Summary by Sections 1. DeepSeek-V3.1 Release - DeepSeek-V3.1 was officially released on August 21, 2025, featuring a hybrid reasoning architecture that supports both thinking and non-thinking modes with an expanded context of 128K [12]. - The new version shows improved reasoning efficiency, with a score of 88.4 in AIME 2025, compared to 87.5 for the previous model [13]. - Enhanced agent capabilities were achieved through post-training optimization, significantly improving performance in programming and multi-step tasks [14][16]. 2. Market Review - The computer industry index increased by 7.93% in the week of August 18-24, 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 28.86%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 17.60 percentage points [22]. - The top five companies in terms of weekly gains included Yuyin Co. (+46.2%), Chengmai Technology (+34.92%), and Kexin Information (+33.94%) [24][25]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that will benefit from the release of DeepSeek-V3.1, including Haiguang Information, Zhiwei Intelligent, and Lenovo Group [8]. - Application-side recommendations include Kingsoft Office, Yonyou Network, and Saiyi Information, among others [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5][11] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.657 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.12%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 747 million yuan, up 3.57% year-on-year [1][5] - The WPS 365 business showed significant growth, with revenue reaching 309 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62.27% [1][5] - The company is increasing its R&D investment, with 960 million yuan spent in H1 2025, a 19% increase year-on-year, and a R&D expense ratio of 36.1% [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.36 billion yuan, up 14% year-on-year, with the WPS personal business generating 890 million yuan, a 6% increase [2] - The WPS 365 business in Q2 generated 160 million yuan, reflecting a 62% year-on-year growth [2] - The total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 2.657 billion yuan, with a breakdown showing WPS personal business at 1.748 billion yuan (up 8.38%), WPS 365 at 309 million yuan (up 62.27%), and WPS software business at 542 million yuan (down 2.08%) [1][5] R&D and Innovation - The company has a total of 3,533 R&D personnel, accounting for approximately 66% of the total workforce [3] - The launch of WPS AI 3.0 has led to a monthly active user count of nearly 30 million, with expectations for continued growth in the second half of the year [3] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 5.906 billion yuan, 7.038 billion yuan, and 8.467 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 1.832 billion yuan, 2.179 billion yuan, and 2.653 billion yuan [4][10] - The company anticipates a recovery in demand and accelerated AI implementation, maintaining a "Buy" rating [3][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company has successfully expanded its overseas market and the launch of the Lingxi AI assistant is expected to accelerate AI revenue realization [2] - In H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 2.657 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.12%, and a net profit of 727 million yuan, up 5.77% year-on-year [5][6] Revenue Breakdown - WPS personal business generated 1.648 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 8.38%, contributing 65.80% to total revenue [6][7] - WPS 365 business revenue reached 309 million yuan, showing a significant growth of 62.27%, with new enterprise clients added [10] - WPS software business generated 542 million yuan, with a slight decline of 2.08% year-on-year [6][11] Cost and Expense Management - The company maintained stable cost and expense management, with a gross margin of 85.03% and a research and development expense ratio of 36.07%, reflecting an increase of 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [12] AI Integration and Future Outlook - The launch of the Lingxi AI assistant is expected to reshape office workflows and create significant incremental revenue opportunities [13] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 6.199 billion, 7.543 billion, and 9.167 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 1.936 billion, 2.290 billion, and 2.920 billion yuan [14][15]