Core Insights - The China Securities Index for the Hong Kong and Shanghai Cloud Computing Industry (SHS Cloud Computing) rose by 6.85% to 2572.54 points, with a trading volume of 127.65 billion yuan [1] - Over the past month, the index increased by 6.81%, 12.07% over the last three months, and 16.03% year-to-date [1] - The index comprises 50 listed companies involved in cloud computing services and hardware, reflecting the overall performance of the cloud computing sector in mainland China and Hong Kong [1] Index Composition - The top ten weighted companies in the index are: - NewEase (9.69%) - Zhongji Xuchuang (9.66%) - Tencent Holdings (8.97%) - Alibaba-W (8.68%) - Zhongke Shuguang (6.34%) - Kingsoft Office (4.07%) - Inspur Information (3.58%) - Kingdee International (3.33%) - Hengsheng Electronics (3.17%) - Unisplendour (3.09%) [1] - The market share by exchange is as follows: - Shenzhen Stock Exchange: 52.47% - Hong Kong Stock Exchange: 25.33% - Shanghai Stock Exchange: 21.90% - Beijing Stock Exchange: 0.30% [1] Sector Allocation - The sector allocation of the index is: - Information Technology: 48.81% - Communication Services: 41.54% - Consumer Discretionary: 8.68% - Industrials: 0.97% [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - Public funds tracking the SHS Cloud Computing index include various funds from Huatai-PB and Tianhong [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the computer industry for Q2 2025, indicating an expected improvement in performance [2][4]. Core Insights - The report predicts a gradual recovery in industry profits starting from Q2 2025, with revenue growth rates of 5% and 21% for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 respectively, and net profit growth rates of -68% and 82% [4][5]. - A total of 55 tracked A-share and Hong Kong-listed computer companies are analyzed, with 13 companies expected to achieve over 50% net profit growth, representing 23.6% of the sample [4][5]. - The report identifies key investment targets across various segments, including AIGC, digital economy leaders, and data innovation [4][5]. Summary by Category Company Performance Predictions - Companies with over 50% net profit growth include: - Jinzheng Co. (4493%) - Zhongke Chuangda (333%) - Zhina Zhen (313%) - Kalait (265%) - Hengsheng Electronics (233%) [4][5][6]. - Companies with 30%-50% net profit growth include: - Dameng Data (48%) - Fanwei Network (39%) - New Point Software (38%) [4][5][6]. - Companies with 0%-30% net profit growth include: - Dongfang Caifu (27%) - Haiguang Information (27%) - Desai Xiwai (27%) [4][5][6]. - Companies with -30% to 0% net profit growth include: - Weining Health (-4%) - Nova Star Cloud (-11%) [4][5][6]. - Companies with less than -30% net profit growth include: - Qiming Star (-30%) - Top Point Software (-36%) [4][5][6]. Key Investment Targets - AIGC Segment: Jinshan Office, Wanxing Technology, Daotong Technology, Hongsoft Technology, and others [4]. - Digital Economy Leaders: Hikvision, Jinshan Office, Hengsheng Electronics, and others [4]. - Data Innovation: Haiguang Information, Ruantong Power, Suocheng Technology, and others [4]. - AIGC Computing Power: Langchao Information, Haiguang Information, and others [4].

Group 1 - The A-share market's AI sector experienced a significant afternoon rally, indicating strong investor interest in AI-related stocks [1] - Guangyun Technology saw a rise of over 9%, reflecting positive market sentiment towards the company [1] - Hand Information and Haitai Ruisheng both increased by more than 8%, showcasing their strong performance in the AI sector [1] - Aofei Data rose by over 7%, contributing to the overall upward trend in the AI industry [1] - Other companies such as Kingsoft Office and New Zhisoft also showed gains, indicating a broader positive movement in the sector [1]

Group 1: Artificial Intelligence ETF Performance - The liquidity of the Artificial Intelligence ETF showed a turnover of 1.76% during the trading session, with a half-day transaction volume of 60.298 million yuan. The average daily transaction volume over the past month reached 132 million yuan as of July 11 [3] - The latest scale of the Artificial Intelligence ETF reached 3.408 billion yuan, with leveraged funds continuing to invest. The net financing amount on the previous trading day was 3.8182 million yuan, and the latest financing balance stood at 115 million yuan [3] - The net value of the Artificial Intelligence ETF increased by 33.88% over the past year. The highest monthly return since inception was 30.38%, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being three months and the maximum cumulative increase of 43.97%. The average return during the rising months was 6.80% [3] Group 2: Index Composition and Key Stocks - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Artificial Intelligence Industry Index accounted for 52.07% of the index. The leading stocks include Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Keda Xunfei, and others [4] - The weight and performance of key stocks in the index are as follows: Zhongke Shuguang (6.42%, -0.12%), Han's Laser (6.33%, +2.35%), and others, with varying performance metrics [6] Group 3: Industry Outlook - The overseas computing power industry is forming a positive feedback loop characterized by reduced costs of technological iteration, application promotion, explosive demand for inference, growth in tokens, and accelerated iteration of data growth models. The AI application sector is still in its early stages, and the optical module industry, as a foundational component for computing clusters, continues to exhibit high growth potential [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the domestic computing power and AI application sectors, highlighting significant growth potential in these areas [6]. Core Insights - A new round of AI "arms race" has commenced globally, with the release of major models like Grok4 and Kimi K2 expected to significantly boost domestic computing power demand and application ecosystems [4][10]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on domestic AI computing power, particularly in chip design, advanced wafer manufacturing, and liquid cooling technologies [4]. - Various AI application sectors are highlighted, including office automation, programming, terminal AI, ERP/CRM, judicial applications, financial/taxation services, education, healthcare, and customer service [4]. Summary by Sections Market Review - During the week of July 7-11, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.82%, the SME index increased by 0.73%, and the ChiNext index saw a rise of 2.36%. The computer sector (CITIC) experienced a growth of 3.37% [2]. Industry News - Notable company developments include Zhuoyi Information's plan to reduce its shareholding by up to 2,271,445 shares, representing no more than 1.88% of total shares [3]. - Wanjie Technology received nine invention patent certificates from the National Intellectual Property Administration [3]. Weekly Insights - The report suggests focusing on key players in the domestic AI computing power sector, such as Cambrian and Haiguang Information in chip design, and SMIC in advanced wafer manufacturing [4]. - The report also identifies various AI application companies across different sectors, including Kingsoft Office, Hehe Information, and Keda Xunfei in office automation and education [4]. Recent Developments - The report outlines significant investments and acquisitions in the AI sector, including Amazon's potential additional investment in Anthropic and Google's acquisition of AI programming startup Windsurf's core talent and technology [16][17]. - The report notes that xAI, led by Elon Musk, is negotiating a new funding round that could value the company at up to $200 billion, reflecting the growing interest and investment in AI technologies [10][18]. AI Application Ecosystem - The report highlights the rapid growth of AI applications, with OpenAI and Anthropic achieving annual recurring revenues (ARR) of $10 billion and $3 billion, respectively [22]. - Domestic AI applications like deepseek and Doubao are showing significant commercial potential, with user engagement metrics comparable to leading international AI applications [22]. Global AI Company Rankings - The report provides a ranking of global AI companies based on their ARR, with OpenAI leading at $10 billion, followed by Anthropic at $3.008 billion [23].

证 券 研 究 报 告 计算机行业周报（20250707-20250711） Grok 4 发布：xAI 引领 Agent 加速落地 行业研究 计算机 2025 年 07 月 13 日 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 8.2% | 4.0% | 51.4% | | 相对表现 | 6.1% | 5.5% | 37.8% | 推荐（维持） 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴鸣远 邮箱：wumingyuan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040001 联系人：周志浩 邮箱：zhouzhihao1@hcyjs.com 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 338 | 0.04 | | 总市值(亿元) | 45,343.43 | 4.40 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 39,023.53 | 4.82 | 相对指数表现 -9% 21% 52% 82% 24/07 24/09 24/12 25/02 25/04 25/07 2024-07-15~2025-07-11 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - The expectation for stablecoin policy is likely to strengthen, with the Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission holding a special study meeting on the development trends and response strategies for cryptocurrencies and stablecoins [11][18] - The Hong Kong Stablecoin Regulation has been officially released and is expected to be implemented on August 1, 2025, establishing a licensing system for fiat-backed stablecoin issuers and enhancing the regulatory framework for virtual asset activities [2][19] - The tokenization ecosystem is extending, with application scenarios continuously enriching, as real asset tokenization is accelerating from regional pilots to global collaboration [3][12] Summary by Sections Stablecoin Policy Expectations - The Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission's meeting indicates a potential strengthening of domestic stablecoin policies following the implementation of overseas and Hong Kong regulations [11][18] - The Hong Kong Stablecoin Regulation aims to maintain financial stability while promoting financial innovation, with a licensing system for stablecoin issuers [2][19] Tokenization Ecosystem - The tokenization of real assets is gaining momentum, with companies like Ant Group collaborating with Circle Internet Group to adopt stablecoins on their blockchain platform [3][12] - The recent launch of GFToken by Guangfa Securities (Hong Kong) marks a significant step in deploying multi-currency interest rate mechanisms on-chain [3][12] Investment Recommendations - Beneficiary stocks include: - RWA: Xiexin Energy Technology, Langxin Group, Hongbo Co., Hainan Huatie, Youfang Technology, Yingfeng Environment, etc. - Stablecoins: Sifang Jingchuang, Yuxin Technology, Lakala, New Guodu, Jingbeifang, Tianyang Technology, Hengbao Co., Xiongdi Technology, Yuyin Co., Chutianlong, Dazhihui, Yonyou Network, Xinan Century, etc. - Hong Kong stocks: Zhong'an Online, Lianyi Technology, Lianlian Digital, China Everbright Holdings, Yika, etc. - Licensed: China Post Capital, Nanhua Futures, Hongye Futures, Ruida Futures, Guotai Junan International, Yaocai Securities Finance, etc. [6][34] Market Performance - The computer industry saw a weekly increase of 3.22%, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 0.82% [35][36] - Among 321 stocks in the computer sector, 256 stocks rose, indicating a strong market performance [42] Core Recommended Stocks - The top-performing recommended stock was Yuxin Technology, with a weekly increase of 7.59%, while Langxin Group experienced a decline of 3.42% [48] Valuation Overview - The SW computer industry PE (TTM) has risen from a low of 37.60 times in 2018 to 84.59 times, exceeding the historical average of 58.17 times from 2010 to 2025 [51]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the AI industry index and related ETFs shows mixed results, with notable fluctuations in individual stocks and overall market activity [1][3][4]. Group 1: AI Industry Index Performance - As of July 10, 2025, the CSI Artificial Intelligence Industry Index (931071) decreased by 0.26% [1]. - Among the constituent stocks, Lexin Technology (688018) led with a rise of 5.77%, while companies like Cambricon (688256) and Zhongke Xingtu (688568) experienced declines [1][6]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 52.07% of the total index weight, with notable companies including Zhongke Shuguang (603019) and Keda Xunfei (002230) [4][6]. Group 2: AI ETF Performance - The AI ETF (515980) had a recent price of 1.03 yuan, with a trading volume of 1.10 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 3.27% [1][3]. - Over the past year, the AI ETF's net value increased by 35.14%, with the highest monthly return reaching 30.38% since its inception [3]. - The ETF's management fee is 0.50%, and the tracking error over the past month is 0.012% [3]. Group 3: Market Activity and Trends - As of July 9, 2025, the net buying amount of leveraged funds in the AI ETF was 2.18 million yuan, with a total financing balance of 116 million yuan [3]. - Nvidia's stock reached a record high of $164.42, with a market capitalization exceeding $4 trillion, marking it as the first company to achieve this milestone [6].

Group 1: Software ETF Performance - The Software ETF has a turnover rate of 1.57% with a transaction volume of 49.91 million yuan, and its average daily transaction volume over the past year is 161 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [1] - Over the past two weeks, the Software ETF has seen a scale increase of 1.77 million yuan, achieving significant growth and ranking first in new scale among comparable funds [1] - In the last ten trading days, the Software ETF experienced net inflows on six days, totaling 240 million yuan [1] - The latest margin buying amount for the Software ETF reached 8.39 million yuan, with a margin balance of 112 million yuan [1] - As of July 9, the Software ETF's net value has increased by 55.55% over the past year, ranking 141 out of 2907 in the index equity fund category, placing it in the top 4.85% [1] - The highest monthly return since inception for the Software ETF is 39.35%, with the longest consecutive monthly increase being three months and the longest increase percentage being 69.40% [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook and Key Stocks - Citic Securities suggests focusing on "AI mainline" opportunities, particularly in AI Agents and computing power sectors, including management/office software, medical IT, computing power, servers, and cloud vendors, while also considering structural opportunities in stablecoins, trusted computing, low-altitude economy, and robotics [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Software Service Index include iFlytek, Kingsoft Office, Tonghuashun, Hang Seng Electronics, Runhe Software, 360, Softcom Power, Tuowei Information, Guiding Compass, and China Software, collectively accounting for 60.56% of the index [2] Group 3: Stock Performance - The stock performance of key companies shows slight declines for iFlytek (-0.15%), Kingsoft Office (-0.67%), and Hang Seng Electronics (-0.59%), while Tonghuashun saw a slight increase of 1.07% [4]

Investment Rating - The report rates the computer industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The computer industry continues to follow core trends of AI, localization, and robotics, with significant developments from Huawei, Hong Kong's digital asset policies, and Xiaomi's product launches [3][18] - Huawei's Developer Conference introduced HarmonyOS 6 and new AI cloud services, marking a new phase for the HarmonyOS ecosystem [3][18] - Hong Kong's Digital Asset Development Policy 2.0 aims to establish the region as a global hub for digital assets, emphasizing blockchain's role in enhancing financial transactions [3][19] - Xiaomi's YU7 model achieved remarkable pre-order success, indicating strong market demand and the company's commitment to R&D investment [3][20] Summary by Relevant Sections Huawei Developer Conference - The conference showcased HarmonyOS 6, with over 40 devices now running the system and more than 9000 applications in development [3][18] Hong Kong Digital Asset Policy - The new policy aims to create a diverse digital asset ecosystem, enhancing Hong Kong's position as a leading international financial center [3][19] Xiaomi Product Launch - Xiaomi's YU7 model received over 200,000 pre-orders within 3 minutes, highlighting its market impact and the company's future R&D investment plans [3][20] Key Companies to Watch - The report highlights key companies in the sector, including Empyrean Technology, Dameng Data, Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Newland Digital Technology, Jiangsu Tongxingbao, Kingdee International, and Huhu Information [3][18]