行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 机械行业周报（20251208-20251214） 经济会议定调看好工程机械，核聚变领域中 推荐（维持） 标公告密集发布产业化有望提速 重点公司盈利预测、估值及投资评级 | 简称 | 代码 | 股价（元） | | EPS（元） | | | PE（倍） | | PB（倍） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 评级 | | 汇川技术 | 300124.SZ | 73.90 | 2.11 | 2.54 | 3.00 | 35.04 | 29.13 | 24.64 | 6.15 | 强推 | | 法兰泰克 | 603966.SH | 10.97 | 0.60 | 0.77 | 0.94 | 18.30 | 14.34 | 11.63 | 2.49 | 强推 | | 信捷电气 | 603416.SH | 55.10 | 1.83 | 2.30 | 2.7 ...

2025 年 12 月 15 日 总量研究 交易信心有所提振，后市仍将震荡上行 ——金融工程市场跟踪周报 20251215 要点 本周市场核心观点与市场复盘： 本周（2025.12.08-2025.12.12，下同）A 股震荡上行，市场量能有所提振。截 至周五（2025.12.12，下同），主要宽基指数量能择时指标均转为看多信号。沪 深 300、中证 500 指数时序波动率、横截面波动率均有提升，Alpha 环境好转。 资金面方面，融资增加额环比提升，资金交易情绪积极。 12 月中央经济工作会议进一步提振市场信心，资金面叠加情绪指标改善下，市 场或进一步震荡上行。风格方面，本周市场大市值风格显著、基本面因子表现相 对占优，市场或逐步实现资金面驱动向基本面驱动的过渡。中长线持续看好"红 利+科技"配置主线。 本周上证综指下跌 0.34%，上证 50 下跌 0.25%，沪深 300 下跌 0.08%，中证 500 上涨 1.01%，中证 1000 上涨 0.39%，创业板指上涨 2.74%，北证 50 指数 上涨 2.79%。 截至 2025 年 12 月 12 日，宽基指数来看，上证指数和上证 50 指数处于估 ...

2026 年度策略：周期与成长共舞 20251214 性最强，而估值较低的标的弹性更大。 摘要 工程机械行业迎来第三轮周期，预计从 2024 年 9 月开始，持续五年， 目前处于第一年，受益于二手机和矿挖市场，预计明年估值切换将带来 25%-30%的收益率，龙头白马股确定性强，低估值标的弹性大。 2025 年船舶板块新接订单量同比下降 45%，但钢材价格下跌降低了船 厂成本，盈利能力提升。全球船舶交付能力与订单基本匹配，前景良好， 部分民营企业已释放业绩。海工板块受益于美元降息，高负债率项目有 望松绑，行业景气度上升带来回补机会。 顺周期板块确定性低于工程机械和船舶海工，国内行情不明朗，但受益 于人形机器人概念估值较高。企业积极拓展海外市场，关注低位个股， 其估值提升潜力较大，但能否支撑目前估值取决于人形机器人泡沫化进 展及整体恢复情况。 AI 产业链中，人形机器人是热点，数据自我迭代能力突破将带来人机界 面的 GPT 时刻。智能缝纫机、智能焊接、无人农机、矿卡等垂直应用， 以及数据中心和算力中心相关领域（如燃气轮机）都是明确受益方向， AI 产业链仍在加速前进。 Q&A 2026 年华特机械的年度策略是什么 ...

参与此次调研的睿远基金是一家以价值投资、研究驱动和长期投资风格为主的长期价值投资机构，聚焦 于权益投资和固定收益投资领域。截至目前，管理基金数量5只，其中睿远成长价值混合A最新单位净 值为1.9589，近一年增长61.37%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 调研情况显示，伟创电气正全面推进"一核两新"战略布局，在机器人领域取得显著进展，近期发布了 12mm-21mm微型无框电机、6-16mm空心杯电机、轴向磁通电机等新品，并推出6DOF腱绳仿生驱动灵 巧手、超短款谐波关节模组等具身智能核心部件，产品精准适配AGV/AMR、服务机器人等应用场景， 公司凭借技术积累获得移动机器人产业联盟颁发的"十年荣耀 移动机器人供应链质量标杆奖"。 在船舶与海工领域，公司AC800系列及AC310-Pro系列变频器已获得中国船级社型式认可证书，推出涵 盖电力推进、轴带发电、电池/氢燃料电池混合动力直流组网以及纯电新能源船舶等应用场景的产品与 系统解决方案；绿色能源方面，公司围绕光伏、储能、氢能等方向，成功推出光伏扬水系统、VPS系列 微电网混合逆变器、制氢系统及电动 ...

Group 1: Engineering Machinery - Domestic demand for excavators is expected to recover to around 120,000 units in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 19.6% in the first ten months of 2025 [1][15] - The export of excavators reached 93,800 units in the first ten months of 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 14.4%, with an expected annual growth rate of around 15% [1][29] - The recovery in domestic demand is primarily driven by small excavators, reflecting increased demand for machinery in rural and small-scale water conservancy projects [15][20] Group 2: Shipbuilding and Offshore Engineering - The global shipbuilding industry saw a decline in new orders, with a total of 9,483.31 million deadweight tons in the first ten months of 2025, down 44.67% year-on-year [2] - The shipbuilding price index has shown a general decline, but there is a recovery in orders for bulk carriers and oil tankers in October 2025 [2] - The upcoming replacement cycle in shipbuilding, combined with tightening global environmental policies, is expected to drive a new round of demand growth [2] Group 3: Cyclical Industries - The cyclical sector is showing signs of recovery in 2025, supported by low baselines and the expansion into new industries [3] - The industrial control market is rebounding, with a notable increase in the OEM market, while project-based markets are showing weaker performance [3] - The industrial robot market is expected to grow by over 10% year-on-year in 2025, indicating a sustained recovery [3] Group 4: AI and Robotics - The AI sector is driving significant changes in various industries, with a focus on humanoid robots, data center equipment, and vertical applications [4] - The demand for data center backup power sources is increasing due to global capacity shortages, with domestic alternatives expected to accelerate [4] - The introduction of humanoid robots is becoming a reality, with significant production plans announced by companies like Tesla for 2026 [4] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the engineering machinery sector, particularly companies like SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and LiuGong, which are expected to benefit from domestic and international demand [5][9] - In the shipbuilding and offshore engineering sector, China International Marine Containers (CIMC) is highlighted as a potential beneficiary of the recovery [5][9] - The AI and robotics sector presents investment opportunities in companies like Weichuang Electric and Jack Technology, which are positioned to benefit from the ongoing industrial transformation [5][9]

PLC概念板块领涨，上涨1.63%，其中汇川技术上涨3.16%，伟创电气上涨3.12%，海得控制上涨 0.37%。（AI生成） ...

每经AI快讯，同步磁阻电机板块上涨1.76%。其中，孚日股份上涨10.01%，伟创电气上涨5.3%，卧龙电 驱上涨0.25%。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，12月10日，PLC概念板块领涨，上涨1.63%。其中，汇川技术上涨3.16%，伟创电气上涨 3.12%，海得控制上涨0.37%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market-A" for the humanoid robot industry, indicating an expected return that will exceed the CSI 300 index by 10% or more over the next six months [3]. Core Insights - The Trump administration is accelerating the development of robotics technology, with significant statements from multiple government departments, suggesting a strong governmental push for AI and robotics as part of broader initiatives to enhance the U.S. position in global AI [1]. - Tesla's Optimus robot has demonstrated significant advancements, including a smooth running video and the showcasing of its humanoid dexterous hands at the NeurIPS conference, indicating progress that may lead to the release of Optimus V3.0 in Q1 2026 [2]. Summary by Sections Government Initiatives - The U.S. Commerce Secretary has met with robotics industry executives, emphasizing support for robotics and advanced manufacturing as key to bringing production back to the U.S. [1] - The U.S. Department of Transportation plans to announce a robotics working group, potentially enhancing the industry's development [1]. Tesla's Optimus Developments - On December 3, Tesla's Optimus team released a video showing the Optimus V2.5 robot running smoothly, marking a significant improvement in its movement capabilities [2]. - The humanoid hands of Optimus, featuring 22 degrees of freedom, were showcased at the NeurIPS conference, demonstrating advanced dexterity comparable to human hands [2]. Investment Focus - As the production timeline for Optimus V3.0 approaches, the report suggests focusing on the supply chain related to Tesla, including companies like Sanhua Intelligent Controls, Top Group, and Hengli Hydraulic [3].

PLC概念板块领跌，下跌1.38%，其中英杰电气下跌7.54%，伟创电气下跌2.63%，信捷电气下跌 1.36%。（AI生成） PLC概念板块领跌，下跌1.38%，其中英杰电气下跌7.54%，伟创电气下跌2.63%，信捷电气下跌 1.36%。（AI生成） ...