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2025年中国氨纶纤维‌行业产业链、行业产能、供需格局、市场价格、竞争格局及发展趋势研判:行业供需维持紧平衡格局,氨纶市场价格持续低位震荡运行[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-08-25 00:55
Core Viewpoint - The spandex industry in China is experiencing significant growth driven by increasing demand in various sectors, particularly in textiles and medical applications, while facing challenges related to pricing and supply-demand dynamics [1][12][20]. Industry Overview - Spandex, known for its exceptional elasticity and durability, is widely used in textiles, medical supplies, and industrial applications. Its production is primarily based on polyurethane, with a notable elongation rate of 500%-800% and over 95% recovery [2][4]. - The Chinese spandex industry is characterized by a concentrated midstream sector, with leading companies like Huafeng Chemical holding nearly 80% of the market share [4][16]. Production and Capacity - China's spandex production capacity is projected to increase from 950,000 tons in 2020 to 1,380,000 tons by 2024, with an annual growth rate of 9.78% [10][12]. - By 2025, the total production capacity is expected to exceed 1,440,000 tons, further solidifying China's position as the largest global producer [10][21]. Demand and Consumption - The demand for spandex is anticipated to maintain an annual growth rate of over 7%, driven by sectors such as sportswear and medical textiles, with functional and high-end applications gaining traction [20][22]. - The textile and apparel sector accounts for over 70% of spandex consumption, with rapid growth in sportswear and underwear segments [1][6]. Pricing Trends - The spandex market has seen a cumulative price decline of 19.11% in 2024, with expectations of a fluctuating price trend in 2025 [14][20]. - Current market conditions reflect a lack of cost support and pronounced supply-demand conflicts, limiting upward price movement [14]. Competitive Landscape - The spandex industry in China is marked by a concentration of leading players, with the top three companies holding a market share of 57% as of 2024 [16][20]. - Smaller companies are increasingly focusing on differentiated products and transitioning towards sustainable practices to remain competitive [16][18]. Future Development Trends - The industry is expected to shift towards structural optimization, innovation-driven growth, and green development, with a focus on high-quality production and technological advancements [20][23]. - Key trends include a slowdown in capacity expansion, a rise in demand for high-end and functional products, and a transition towards low-carbon and intelligent manufacturing processes [21][22][23].
氨纶:落后产能出清进行时,龙头企业有望受益 | 投研报告
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights the increasing demand for spandex driven by its growing penetration in the textile and apparel sector, with 76% of spandex used for clothing production in 2024 and an apparent consumption volume of 102.69 million tons, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 9.21% from 2020 to 2024, significantly higher than other mainstream fibers like polyester filament and staple [1][2] - The sales revenue of domestic apparel, footwear, and textile categories is expected to grow year-on-year from 2023 to 2024, with a cumulative sales increase of 3.10% in the first half of 2025, indicating a positive trend in clothing consumption that will further boost spandex demand [2] - The emergence of trendy products such as yoga and sun-protective clothing since 2020 has notably driven the overall demand for spandex, alongside a projected export volume of 7.88 million tons in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 13.23% [2] Group 2 - The spandex industry is currently facing severe overcapacity, with nominal production capacity consistently exceeding apparent consumption since 2022, leading to prolonged negative profit margins and high inventory levels [3] - As of August 2025, the average gross profit margin for spandex is projected to be -5,217 yuan per ton, indicating over two years of continuous losses, which has resulted in reduced operational willingness among companies and a decline in overall industry operating rates [3] - The exit of outdated production capacities is underway, exemplified by the closure of operations by companies like Taiguang and Xiaoxing, which will contribute to the gradual clearing of excess capacity in the spandex industry [3][4] Group 3 - The supply-demand dynamics of the spandex market may gradually improve as excess capacity is cleared, with leading companies likely to benefit first from this shift [4] - In 2024, leading spandex manufacturers Huafeng Chemical and Xinxiang Chemical Fiber are expected to have unit costs of 22,406 and 25,263 yuan per ton, respectively, which are significantly lower than the industry average of 29,711 yuan per ton, allowing them to maintain positive gross margins of 13.66% and 0.30% despite a challenging market environment [5] - If no substantial anti-involution policies are implemented, the ongoing capacity clearing combined with rising demand could lead to gradual improvements in the spandex industry's overall market conditions, with Huafeng Chemical recommended as a key investment target [5]
开源证券:落后产能出清进行时 氨纶龙头企业有望受益
智通财经网· 2025-08-22 01:27
Core Viewpoint - The spandex industry is expected to benefit from increased downstream penetration and functional consumption trends, with a projected apparent consumption of 1.0269 million tons in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.21%, significantly higher than polyester and other synthetic fibers [1][2]. Demand Side Summary - The demand for spandex is primarily concentrated in the textile and apparel sector, with 76% of spandex used for clothing production in 2024. The CAGR for apparent consumption from 2020 to 2024 is projected at 9.21%, outpacing mainstream synthetic fibers like polyester [2]. - Sales in domestic apparel, footwear, and textiles are expected to grow year-on-year from 2023 to 2024, with a cumulative sales growth of 3.10% in the first half of 2025. This growth in clothing consumption is anticipated to further drive spandex demand [2]. - The emergence of trendy products such as yoga and sun-protective clothing since 2020 has significantly boosted overall spandex demand. In 2024, spandex exports are projected to reach 78,800 tons, a year-on-year increase of 13.23%, providing strong support for spandex demand [2]. Supply Side Summary - The spandex industry is facing severe overcapacity, with negative profit margins and historically high inventory levels. In 2024, new spandex capacity is expected to increase by 135,000 tons, a year-on-year growth of 10.88%, continuing a trend of overcapacity since 2022 [3]. - The average gross profit for spandex is projected to be -5,217 yuan per ton by August 2025, indicating over two years of continuous losses. High inventory levels are affecting operational willingness, leading to a decline in overall industry operating rates compared to the same period in 2024 [3]. - Some companies are beginning to clear out outdated capacity, with reports of production line shutdowns, such as Tai Guang Industry and Xiao Xing Spandex, indicating that capacity reduction is underway [3]. Market Outlook - With the ongoing capacity clearance, the supply-demand balance in the spandex market may gradually improve, allowing leading companies to benefit first. The unit costs for leading firms like Huafeng Chemical and Xinxiang Chemical Fiber are significantly lower than the industry average, enabling them to maintain positive gross margins even in a low-demand environment [4]. - If no substantial anti-competitive policies are implemented, the spandex industry may see gradual improvement in market conditions as demand increases. The potential for capacity upgrades or clearances of older production facilities could alleviate supply pressures in the future [4]. - Recommended stocks include Huafeng Chemical, with beneficiaries including Xinxiang Chemical Fiber and Taihe New Materials [4].
新乡化纤20250821
2025-08-21 15:05
Summary of the Conference Call for Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the chemical fiber industry, focusing on Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's performance and market dynamics, particularly in the spandex and viscose filament sectors [2][3][4]. Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's spandex sales exceeded expectations with a growth of 19.4%, despite facing net losses due to the US-China trade war affecting prices and raw material costs [2][4]. - The average cost increased by 1,000 RMB due to the depreciation of the RMB, which pressured profit margins [2][3]. - The viscose filament sales saw a slight increase, with sales volume growing by a few hundred tons, but profitability was impacted by rising costs from imported wood pulp [3][19]. Market Dynamics - The spandex industry is experiencing a decline in production capacity as smaller manufacturers exit the market, indicating a market bottom [4][9]. - Changing consumer habits are driving demand for spandex, with increased usage in various applications [4][9]. - The viscose filament sector is benefiting from the "anti-involution" policy, which is expected to maintain high operational levels [3][24]. Strategic Initiatives - Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's grass pulp project has reached a milestone, with planting in Xinjiang expected to expand from 30,000 mu by the end of 2025 to 70,000 mu by the end of 2026, although it remains in the early stages [2][5][21]. - The company aims to replace imported wood pulp with domestic alternatives, aligning with national strategies, though current profitability is not ideal [11][15][22]. Competitive Position - Xinxiang Chemical Fiber holds a leading position in spandex technology, utilizing advanced 120-head technology, which provides a cost advantage over industry averages [16][17]. - The company faces challenges in operational efficiency compared to competitors like Huafeng, primarily due to differences in turnover rates and depreciation timelines [16][17]. Export and International Market - The company has seen rapid growth in foreign sales, particularly in viscose filament exports to India, Pakistan, and Turkey, with Pakistan showing the fastest growth due to improved logistics via the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor [20][21]. Future Outlook - The spandex market is expected to maintain stable prices in the winter of 2025, with a potential market reversal contingent on the exit of weaker competitors [10]. - The viscose filament industry is anticipated to face price elasticity influenced by the anti-involution measures, which may affect production methods and capacity [24][26]. Inventory and Production Rates - Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's spandex production operates at approximately 90% capacity, while the overall industry operates between 70% and 80% [27]. Additional Important Insights - The grass pulp project is still in the testing phase, with high costs impacting profitability, particularly in Henan [22][23]. - The viscose filament industry is currently self-regulating, with government policies expected to gradually influence the sector [26]. This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting the financial performance, market dynamics, strategic initiatives, competitive positioning, export growth, future outlook, and additional insights relevant to Xinxiang Chemical Fiber and the chemical fiber industry.
行业深度报告:氨纶:落后产能出清进行时,龙头企业有望受益
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-08-21 09:02
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The demand for spandex is expected to continue growing due to increasing penetration rates in the textile industry and rising consumer preferences for comfort [5][13] - The spandex industry is currently facing severe overcapacity, with outdated production capacity gradually being eliminated [6][22] - The supply-demand dynamics are expected to improve as outdated capacity is cleared, benefiting leading companies in the industry [7][44] Summary by Sections Demand Side - Spandex is primarily used in the textile and apparel sector, with 76% of spandex consumption in 2024 dedicated to clothing production, resulting in an apparent consumption volume of 1.0269 million tons [5][14] - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for spandex apparent consumption from 2020 to 2024 is 9.21%, significantly higher than other mainstream fibers [14] - The retail sales of clothing, shoes, and textiles in China increased by 3.10% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, further driving spandex demand [14][19] Supply Side - The spandex industry has been experiencing significant overcapacity, with an average gross profit margin of -5,217 yuan/ton as of August 13, 2025, indicating prolonged losses [6][25] - In 2024, new spandex production capacity is expected to increase by 135,000 tons, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.88%, continuing a trend of over 10% growth for three consecutive years [25][39] - The industry concentration ratio (CR5) stands at 79.53%, indicating a high level of market concentration among leading companies [33][35] Future Outlook - Leading companies such as Huafeng Chemical and Xinxiang Chemical Fiber are expected to benefit from their cost advantages, with unit costs significantly lower than the industry average [7][39] - The anticipated new production capacity for spandex in 2025 is only 111,000 tons, indicating a slowdown in capacity growth [33][48] - Recommended stocks include Huafeng Chemical, with other beneficiaries being Xinxiang Chemical Fiber and Taihe New Materials [45][48]
新乡化纤:2025年半年度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为62746869.12元
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-08-21 07:07
证券日报网讯 8月20日晚间,新乡化纤发布公告称,2025年半年度公司实现营业收入3,737,722, 115.87元,同比下降1.52%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润为62,746,869.12元,同比下降58.58%。 (文章来源:证券日报) ...
新乡化纤:关于为参股公司新疆锦鹭新材料科技有限公司提供担保暨关联交易的公告
(编辑 李家琪) 证券日报网讯 8月20日晚间,新乡化纤发布公告称,公司于2025年8月19日召开了第十一届董事会第二 十三次会议,会议审议通过了《关于为参股公司新疆锦鹭新材料科技有限公司提供担保暨关联交易的议 案》,同意公司为参股公司新疆锦鹭提供相关担保,担保额度不超过人民币3,760万元。因公司董事季 玉栋在新疆锦鹭担任法定代表人职务,根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》等相关规定,新疆锦鹭系 公司关联法人,本次交易构成关联交易,在相关议案审议时,关联董事季玉栋已回避表决。本次担保提 供后,公司对外担保总余额为88,560万元,占公司最近一年度(2024年末)经审计净资产的13.63%。 ...
新乡化纤:上半年归母净利润6274.69万元,同比下降58.58%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 10:56
新乡化纤8月20日披露的半年报显示,公司上半年实现营业收入37.38亿元,同比下降1.52%;归属于上 市公司股东的净利润6274.69万元,同比下降58.58%;基本每股收益0.0379元。 ...
8月20日晚间重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 10:23
Group 1 - Weicai Technology achieved a net profit of 101 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 831.03% [1] - The company reported an operating income of 634 million yuan, up 47.53% year-on-year, with a basic earnings per share of 0.68 yuan [1] - Weicai Technology specializes in wafer testing, chip finished product testing, and related integrated circuit testing services [1] Group 2 - Changhua Group received a project development notification from a domestic automotive company, with an expected total sales amount of approximately 190 million yuan over an 8-year lifecycle [2] - The project is set to begin mass production in the third quarter of 2026 [2] - Changhua Group focuses on the research, production, and sales of automotive metal components [2][3] Group 3 - Junhe Co. reported a net profit of 30.99 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 19.53% [3] - The company achieved an operating income of 578 million yuan, up 5.53% year-on-year, with a basic earnings per share of 0.08 yuan [3][4] - Junhe Co. specializes in the research, design, manufacturing, and sales of household water pumps and their accessories [4] Group 4 - Tonghua Jinma reported a net profit of 16.80 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 34.77% [5] - The company achieved an operating income of 650 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.12% year-on-year, with a basic earnings per share of 0.0174 yuan [5] - Tonghua Jinma focuses on the research, production, and sales of pharmaceutical products [5][6] Group 5 - Xing Shuai reported a net profit of 122 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 31.79% [8] - The company achieved an operating income of 1.132 billion yuan, up 8.59% year-on-year, with a basic earnings per share of 0.37 yuan [8] - Xing Shuai specializes in the research, production, and sales of various types of refrigeration compressor thermal protectors, starters, and temperature controllers [8] Group 6 - Ice Wheel Environment reported a net profit of 266 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 19.71% [9] - The company achieved an operating income of 3.118 billion yuan, down 6.92% year-on-year, with a basic earnings per share of 0.27 yuan [9] - Ice Wheel Environment focuses on the research, design, and sales of artificial environment control technology and energy comprehensive utilization technology [9][10] Group 7 - Jiangsu Huachen reported a net profit of 47.27 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18.37% [18] - The company achieved an operating income of 938 million yuan, up 40.46% year-on-year, with a basic earnings per share of 0.2901 yuan [18] - Jiangsu Huachen specializes in the research, production, and sales of energy-saving transformers and smart electrical equipment [18] Group 8 - Hanma Technology reported a net profit of 27.73 million yuan in the first half of 2025, reversing from a loss of 153 million yuan in the same period last year [18] - The company achieved an operating income of 2.847 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50.03% [18] - Hanma Technology focuses on the production, research, and sales of heavy trucks, special vehicles, and automotive components [18] Group 9 - Tianyue Advanced announced the listing of its H-shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising approximately 1.938 billion HKD [19] - The global offering consisted of 47.7457 million shares, with a price of 42.80 HKD per share [19] - Tianyue Advanced specializes in the research, production, and sales of silicon carbide semiconductor materials [19][20] Group 10 - Kesi Technology signed a sales framework contract worth up to 401 million yuan with Beijing Tianyuan Innovation Technology Co., Ltd. [21] - The contract is valid for two years and involves a comprehensive information integration service project [21] - Kesi Technology focuses on the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of electronic information equipment [21][22]
新乡化纤(000949.SZ)发布上半年业绩,归母净利润6274.69万元,同比下降58.58%
智通财经网· 2025-08-20 09:24
智通财经APP讯,新乡化纤(000949.SZ)发布2025年半年度报告,报告期内,公司实现营业收入37.38亿 元,同比下降1.52%。实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润6274.69万元,同比下降58.58%。实现归属于上 市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润3635.95万元,同比下降76.03%。基本每股收益0.0379元。 ...