Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced a significant rally in the afternoon, with multiple stocks showing strong performance [1] - Xinxiang Chemical Fiber (000949) hit the daily limit up, indicating robust investor interest [1] - Luxi Chemical (000830) also approached the daily limit up, reflecting positive market sentiment [1] Group 2 - Xinjiang Tianye (600075) saw an increase of over 8%, contributing to the overall upward trend in the sector [1] - Wanhu Chemical (600309) and Jinniu Chemical (600722) were among several stocks that rose, indicating a broad-based recovery in the chemical industry [1]

项目一期工程全面建成投产后，预计年新增销售收入约11.5亿元、利润约1亿元。新乡化纤副总经理张 家启指出，该项目深度融入"5G+工业互联网"理念，旨在打造智能化、数字化、高效节能的现代化工 厂。 中化新网讯 1月4日，新乡化纤举行"年产10万吨功能性氨纶纤维项目一期工程"开工仪式。该项目采用 连续聚合干法纺丝生产工艺，核心技术及装备采用新研的"150头/200头超高密度纺丝技术"，单线产能 60吨/天。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry is experiencing a significant upward trend, driven by a combination of cost support, demand recovery, and supply optimization, leading to a tighter supply-demand balance [4][12]. Group 1: Industry Performance - As of January 19, the Shenwan Basic Chemical Index rose by 2.70%, reaching 4758.50 points, with leading stocks like Xinxiang Chemical Fiber and Letong Co. hitting the daily limit [1][8]. - Multiple chemical products have seen collective price increases, including propylene, ammonium sulfate, acetone, and lithium hydroxide, driven by upstream oil price stabilization and pre-holiday stocking demand [3][11]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The current price increase in chemical products is attributed to three main factors: cost support from stable oil prices, reduced effective capacity due to pre-holiday maintenance, and concentrated demand from downstream sectors [4][12]. - The industry is witnessing a trend of mergers and acquisitions as companies seek to expand into high-value sectors, such as integrated circuit materials and high-end electronic chemicals [5][13]. Group 3: Policy and Future Outlook - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments have issued a plan aiming for an annual growth of over 5% in the petrochemical industry from 2025 to 2026, focusing on technological innovation and high-quality development [5][14]. - The Shandong Provincial Government has set a target for the petrochemical industry to achieve over 5% year-on-year growth by 2026, emphasizing the importance of high-end chemical products [6][14]. - The industry is transitioning from chaotic expansion to a phase of stable growth and transformation, supported by both national and local policies [7][15].

证券之星消息，1月19日化学纤维板块较上一交易日上涨3.75%，新乡化纤领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4114.0，上涨0.29%。深证成指报收于14294.05，上涨0.09%。化学纤维板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000949 | 新乡化纤 | 6.78 | 10.06% | 73.54万 | | 4.83亿 | | 002064 | 华峰化学 | 12.68 | 6.38% | 47.48万 | | · 5.92亿 | | 002254 | 泰和新材 | 12.43 | 6.24% | 40.11万 | | 4.88亿 | | 601113 | रून के लिए से | 5.01 | 5.25% | 69.66万 | | 3.43亿 | | 002427 | 尤夫股份 | 7.62 | 5.25% | 61.77万 | | 4.61亿 | | 000782 | 恒申新材 | 5.55 | 4.32% | 25.13万 | | 1.3 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongfang Securities indicates that the spandex industry is currently at a historical low in terms of price and demand, but with industry restructuring, there is potential for price recovery and demand growth in the future [1] Supply Side - The spandex industry is in the late stage of capacity expansion, with domestic production capacity increasing from 593,900 tons in 2015 to an expected 1,420,000 tons by January 2026, led by Huafeng Chemical with 475,000 tons [2] - Currently, only the first phase of the Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's 100,000-ton project, which is 50,000 tons, is under construction and is expected to be operational by 2027 [2] - Since 2019, over 200,000 tons of capacity from small enterprises have been shut down, leading to a reduction in the share of capacity below 50,000 tons from 47% in 2015 to 16% in 2025, indicating a trend towards concentration of supply among leading companies [2] - The industry has faced negative gross margins since May 2023, making it difficult for unprofitable companies to sustain operations, which may lead to further exits from the market [2] Demand Side - Spandex is primarily used in clothing to provide elasticity, with applications in casual wear, jeans, underwear, fitness apparel, swimwear, and socks [3] - The demand for spandex is expected to continue growing due to trends in sports and tight-fitting clothing, with apparent consumption increasing from 510,000 tons in 2017 to an estimated 1,027,000 tons by 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 10.51% [3] - The combination of high elasticity and durability of spandex enhances the core performance of garments, contributing to its increasing penetration in downstream markets [3] Related Companies - Key companies in the spandex industry include Huafeng Chemical (002064.SZ), Taihe New Materials (002254.SZ), and Xinxiang Chemical Fiber (000949.SZ) [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the basic chemical industry, specifically for the spandex sector [5]. Core Insights - The spandex industry is expected to improve as supply and demand dynamics optimize due to accelerated capacity clearance. The report highlights the potential for recovery in spandex prices and profitability for leading companies with significant domestic capacity and cost advantages [3][43]. Supply Side Summary - The spandex industry is at the end of its expansion phase, with domestic capacity increasing from 593,900 tons in 2015 to 1,420,000 tons by January 2026, with major players like Huafeng Chemical leading the market [8][20]. - Since 2019, over 200,000 tons of capacity from small and medium enterprises have been shut down, leading to a concentration of supply among leading companies [26]. - The industry has faced prolonged negative gross margins since May 2023, indicating financial difficulties for many companies, which may lead to further exits from the market [29][41]. Demand Side Summary - Spandex demand is projected to grow significantly, driven by trends in activewear and tight-fitting clothing. The apparent consumption of spandex is expected to rise from 510,000 tons in 2017 to 1,027,000 tons by 2024, with a CAGR of 10.51% [33][35]. - The demand for spandex is primarily concentrated in the apparel sector, which accounts for 76% of total usage, with applications in leisurewear, jeans, underwear, and swimwear [33][34]. Supply-Demand Balance Summary - The supply-demand balance for the domestic spandex industry is improving, with limited new capacity expected and ongoing pressure on existing capacity. The anticipated demand growth from the activewear trend is expected to support this balance [40][41]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in leading companies with price and volume elasticity, specifically Huafeng Chemical (002064, Buy), Taihe New Materials (002254, Buy), and Xinxiang Chemical Fiber (000949, Not Rated). The potential profit increases from spandex price rises are highlighted, with significant earnings boosts projected for these companies [3][43][44].

Core Viewpoint - The expansion phase of the spandex industry is nearing its end, and the elimination of backward production capacity is expected to drive an upward trend in industry prosperity [1][2]. Supply Side - As of the end of 2025, China's spandex production capacity is projected to be 1.44 million tons per year, with an industry operating rate of 85%. The supply-demand situation from 2022 to 2025 is expected to remain loose, with an average annual operating rate between 70% and 80%, leading to many companies operating at a loss [2]. - The concentration of the spandex industry is high, with a CR5 of 84% as of the end of 2025. The leading companies by production capacity are Huafeng Chemical (400,000 tons/year), Xiaoxing Spandex (246,000 tons/year), Zhujing Huahai (225,000 tons/year), Xinxiang Chemical Fiber (220,000 tons/year), and Taihe New Materials (100,000 tons/year) [2]. - New production capacity additions by 2025 include Huafeng Chongqing (75,000 tons/year), Xiaoxing Ningxia (36,000 tons/year), and Lycra Yinchuan (10,000 tons/year). Huafeng Chongqing is expected to continue expanding in 2026, while Xinxiang Chemical Fiber plans to add 100,000 tons/year, with the first phase of 50,000 tons/year expected to start construction in Q1 2026 [2]. - A total of 58,000 tons/year of spandex production capacity is expected to be eliminated by 2025, including 30,000 tons/year from Lianyungang Du Zhong Spandex and 28,000 tons/year from Taiguang Chemical Fiber [2]. Demand Side - The performance of spandex is excellent, with a projected CAGR of 11% for apparent consumption in China from 2017 to 2024. Spandex is often referred to as the "MSG of textiles," significantly enhancing the performance and quality of fabrics even at low addition ratios [3]. - Spandex is primarily used in blends with other fabrics, commonly found in tight-fitting clothing, sportswear, swimwear, and hygiene products such as medical bandages and diapers. The demand for spandex is expected to grow rapidly as its application range and addition ratios expand [3]. Related Companies - Huafeng Chemical: By the end of 2025, spandex production capacity will be 400,000 tons/year, with an additional 75,000 tons/year expected to be gradually put into production by the end of 2026 [4]. - Xinxiang Chemical Fiber: By the end of 2025, spandex production capacity will be 220,000 tons/year, with a planned additional capacity of 100,000 tons/year, including a first phase of 50,000 tons/year expected to start construction in Q1 2026 [4]. - Taihe New Materials: By the end of 2025, spandex production capacity will be 100,000 tons/year [4].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the issue of a small shareholder being denied access to the temporary shareholders' meeting of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co., Ltd., raising concerns about shareholder rights and the company's compliance with regulations [1][4]. Group 1: Shareholder Meeting Incident - On January 15, 2026, Xinxiang Chemical Fiber held its first temporary shareholders' meeting, where a small shareholder was denied entry due to alleged non-compliance with identity verification requirements [1][2]. - The shareholder had purchased 100 shares on January 5, 2026, and provided necessary documentation to prove ownership, but the company staff rejected the documents as insufficient [2][3]. - The company offered a "substitute solution" allowing the shareholder to listen to the meeting without voting rights, which was refused by the shareholder [2][3]. Group 2: Legal Implications - Legal experts indicated that the refusal to allow the shareholder to attend the meeting could render the meeting's validity questionable, as all registered shareholders have the right to attend and vote [4]. - The lawyers emphasized that companies must ensure fair access to meetings and cannot impose unreasonable restrictions on shareholder participation [4]. Group 3: Company Performance - Xinxiang Chemical Fiber primarily engages in the production and sale of chemical fibers, including biomass cellulose filament and spandex fibers [5]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 5.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.28%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 51.42% to 94.25 million yuan [5]. - The company undertook a production line modification starting October 1, 2025, which was expected to reduce revenue by approximately 185 million yuan and total profit by about 48 million yuan, with normal production resuming on January 1, 2026 [5]. - As of January 16, 2026, the company's stock price was 6.16 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 10.5 billion yuan [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The supply side of the spandex industry is nearing the end of capacity expansion, and the elimination of outdated capacity is expected to improve industry prosperity [4][9] - The demand for spandex is robust due to its excellent performance and wide application, with a CAGR of 11% in apparent consumption from 2017 to 2024 [4][19] - The competitive landscape shows that China is a major producer of spandex, with a high industry concentration, as indicated by a CR5 of 84% by the end of 2025 [4][22] Supply Side Summary - As of the end of 2025, China's spandex capacity is 1.44 million tons/year, with an industry operating rate of 85% [4] - The industry has been experiencing a continuous oversupply from 2022 to 2025, with an average annual operating rate between 70%-80% [4][24] - Major spandex producers include Huafeng Chemical (400,000 tons/year), Xiaoxing Spandex (246,000 tons/year), and others, indicating a significant head effect in the industry [4][24] Demand Side Summary - Spandex is often referred to as the "MSG of textiles," significantly enhancing the performance and quality of fabrics even in small proportions [4][19] - The demand for spandex is expected to grow rapidly as its application range and blending ratio in textiles expand [4][19] Competitive Landscape Summary - China's spandex production capacity accounts for 79% of the global total, with a production capacity of 1.375 million tons in 2024 [22] - The industry is characterized by fierce competition, with many companies operating at a loss due to low overall operating rates [22][24] Price Review and Outlook Summary - As of January 15, 2026, the price of spandex in China is 23,000 yuan/ton, with a price difference of 10,864 yuan/ton [4][28] - The price of spandex has been under pressure due to oversupply, but the report anticipates a recovery in prices as outdated capacity is eliminated [27][31] Investment Targets Summary - Key investment targets in the spandex industry include Huafeng Chemical, Xinxiang Chemical Fiber, and Taihe New Materials, each with varying capacities and profitability levels [33][47] - Huafeng Chemical is noted for its significant market share and cost advantages, while Xinxiang Chemical Fiber is expanding its capacity despite market fluctuations [47][56]

Group 1 - The company, Xinxiang Chemical Fiber, announced the approval of several key resolutions at its first extraordinary general meeting of shareholders in 2026, including the change of the purpose of repurchased shares and their cancellation [2] - The revised proposals and the expected plan for daily related transactions for the year 2026 were also approved during the meeting [2]