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农林牧渔行业2025年第10周周报:2月第三方能繁小幅惯性增长,重视生猪板块低估值&预期差!
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-03-09 10:23
Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [11] Core Insights - The pig sector shows slight inertia growth in breeding stock, highlighting the undervaluation and expectation gap in the sector [3][16] - The poultry sector emphasizes the fundamentals of white chickens and the marginal changes in breeding imports [17][18] - The feed sector recommends Hai Da Group due to its fundamental turning point and relatively low valuation [21] - The pet sector sees a rise in domestic brands and a positive trend in pet food exports [25][26] Summary by Sections Pig Sector - As of March 8, the national average pig price is 14.68 CNY/kg, remaining stable week-on-week, with a profit of approximately 154 CNY per head for self-breeding farms [1][15] - The supply side shows an average market weight of 127.06 kg for pigs, with a 4.23% share of pigs over 150 kg, indicating a potential seasonal decline in prices due to weak demand [2][15] - The sector is characterized by low valuations, with major companies like Muyuan and Wens below 2000 CNY per head, suggesting a historical low valuation [3][16] Poultry Sector - The white chicken sector faces uncertainty in breeding imports due to outbreaks of avian influenza, leading to a significant drop in domestic breeding stock [4][17] - Chicken prices have rebounded, with the average price for live chickens in Shandong at 3.30 CNY per bird, supported by positive restocking sentiment [4][18] - Investment recommendations include Shengnong Development and attention to Yisheng and Minhe [5][18] Feed Sector - Hai Da Group is recommended due to its market share increase and expected improvement in the aquaculture feed market after a prolonged downturn [21] - Prices for various aquatic products have shown significant increases, indicating a potential recovery in the aquaculture sector [21] Pet Sector - Domestic brands like Guibao Pet are expanding their market share through independent brand operations, targeting different price segments [25][26] - Pet food exports have seen a substantial increase, with a year-on-year growth of 26% in volume and 22% in value, reflecting a robust market [25][26] Agricultural Technology - The application of genetically modified technology is expected to accelerate, enhancing agricultural productivity and competitiveness among leading seed companies [23][24] - The low-altitude economy is projected to grow significantly, with policies supporting the development of smart agriculture and drone applications [23][24]
2025年第8周周报:本周猪价与仔猪价格走势背离,如何解读?-2025-03-07
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-03-07 08:57
Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [11] Core Views - The pig sector shows a divergence between pig prices and piglet prices, with pig prices rebounding while piglet prices continue to decline. The average price of pigs is 14.87 CNY/kg, up 1.09% from last week, with an average profit of approximately 225 CNY per head for self-breeding and self-raising operations [1][15] - The poultry sector is experiencing low valuations and elasticity, particularly in the white chicken segment, where supply pressures are exacerbated by restrictions on overseas breeding imports due to avian influenza outbreaks [3][17] - The feed sector is recommended for investment due to a fundamental turning point and relatively low valuations, with Hai Da Group highlighted as a key player [5][21] Summary by Sections Pig Sector - Pig prices have rebounded, with an average price of 14.87 CNY/kg as of February 22, 2025, while piglet prices are declining, indicating a potential short-term weakness in piglet pricing [1][15] - Supply remains low with an average slaughter weight of 125.68 kg, and the proportion of pigs over 150 kg is 4.11% [1][15] - The sector is considered undervalued, with major companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs having head valuations below 2000 CNY per head, suggesting potential for recovery [2][16] Poultry Sector - The white chicken segment faces supply pressure due to halted overseas breeding imports, leading to a significant drop in domestic breeding stock [3][17] - Chicken prices have stabilized, with the average price for live chickens at 2.80 CNY per bird, and expectations for price recovery as processing plants resume operations [3][17] - Investment recommendations include Shengnong Development and other companies in the poultry sector due to anticipated demand recovery [4][18] Feed Sector - Hai Da Group is highlighted as a key investment opportunity due to improving market conditions in aquaculture feed after a prolonged downturn [5][21] - The prices of various aquatic products have shown a mixed trend, with some prices increasing due to supply constraints [5][21] Seed and Agricultural Technology - The application of genetically modified technology is expected to accelerate, enhancing the competitiveness of leading seed companies [7][23] - The low-altitude economy is identified as a growth area, with significant potential for agricultural applications of drones [7][23] Pet Sector - Domestic pet brands are rapidly growing, with significant sales increases in pet food, indicating a robust market for local brands [9][25] - Pet food exports have also seen substantial growth, reflecting a healthy export market [9][25] - Recommended companies in the pet sector include Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co., Ltd. due to their strong market positions [9][27]
农林牧渔行业月度点评:关注生物育种产业化进程,重视后周期板块机遇-2025-03-07
Caixin Securities· 2025-03-07 07:54
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [2] Core Insights - The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry underperformed the market in February, with a 0.20% increase compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 2.16% increase [12][8] - The report highlights that the pig farming sector is expected to maintain profitability in 2025, supported by favorable policies and a gradual recovery in pig inventory [49][50] - The poultry farming sector, particularly white feather chicken, is anticipated to see marginal price improvements as the macroeconomic environment stabilizes [52] - The feed and animal health sectors are projected to experience performance recovery as pig inventory gradually increases [53] Summary by Sections Market Review - The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry index ranked 25th among 31 industry indices in February, with a year-to-date decline of 2.79% [12][8] - The sub-sectors of fruit and vegetable processing, comprehensive III, and grain and oil processing showed positive growth, while pet food and poultry farming lagged behind [13] Pig Farming - In February, the average price of external three yuan pigs decreased by 6.80% month-on-month, while the average price of external three yuan piglets increased by 21.91% [20] - The average profit for self-bred pigs was approximately 37.35 yuan per head, while for purchased piglets, it was 10.95 yuan per head [20] Poultry Farming - The average price of white feather chicken in February was 6.05 yuan per kilogram, down 18.34% month-on-month [34] - The average price of meat chicken seedlings was 2.12 yuan per chick, down 19.67% month-on-month [34] Fisheries - In February, the prices of various freshwater fish remained stable, while the price of shrimp decreased by 11.11% [45] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining a focus on high-quality pig farming companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs, which are expected to continue generating profits in 2025 [49][52] - The report recommends attention to the feed sector as a post-cycle investment opportunity, particularly in leading companies like Haida Group [53] - In the seed industry, companies with strong research capabilities are highlighted as key players, including Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [54] - The pet food sector is expected to grow, with recommendations to monitor companies like Guobao Pet and Zhongchong Co., which are expanding their market presence [56]
隆平高科(000998) - 关于申请向特定对象发行股票获得深圳证券交易所上市审核中心审核通过的公告
2025-03-06 12:47
证券代码:000998 证券简称:隆平高科 公告编号:2025-03 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司 关于申请向特定对象发行股票获得深圳证券交易所 上市审核中心审核通过的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有虚假记 载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于 2025 年 3 月 6 日收 到深圳证券交易所(以下简称"深交所")上市审核中心出具的《关于袁隆平农业 高科技股份有限公司申请向特定对象发行股票的审核中心意见告知函》,深交所发 行上市审核机构对公司提交的向特定对象发行股票的申请文件进行了审核,认为公 司符合发行条件、上市条件和信息披露要求,后续深交所将按规定报中国证券监督 管理委员会(以下简称"中国证监会")履行相关注册程序。 公司本次向特定对象发行股票事项尚需获得中国证监会作出同意注册的决定 后方可实施,最终能否获得中国证监会同意注册的决定及其时间尚存在不确定性。 公司将根据该事项的进展情况,按照有关规定和要求及时履行信息披露义务, 敬请广大投资者注意投资风险。 特此公告 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司董事会 二〇二五年三月七日 ...
隆平高科(000998) - 2025年2月11日-2月21日投资者关系活动记录表
2025-02-21 09:14
4.巴西隆平业绩不达预期的原因?是否触发商誉减值? 证券代码:000998 证券简称:隆平高科 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号:2025-02 | 投资者关系活动 | ☑特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 类别 | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | | | | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | | | □现场参观 | | | | | □其他 (请文字说明其他活动内容) | | | | 参与单位名称及 | 详见投资者参会清单 | | | | 人员姓名 | | | | | | 年 月 日 15:00-16:00、2 月 日 9:00-10:30、2 月 2025 2 11 13 | 日 | 18 | | 时间 | 14:00-15:30、2 月 21 日 14:30-15:30 | | | | 地点 | 线上会议、线下交流 | | | | 接待人员姓名 | 董事会秘书 胡 博 | | | | | 证券事务代表、董事会办公室总经理 罗明燕 1.水稻产业情况? | | | | | 2024 年国内极端气候多发,种子生产、大田表现都 ...
隆平高科(000998) - 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司与中信建投证券股份有限公司关于袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司申请向特定对象发行股票的审核问询函之回复(修订稿)(豁免版)
2025-02-17 14:16
证券代码:000998 证券简称:隆平高科 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司 与 中信建投证券股份有限公司 关于 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司 申请向特定对象发行股票 的审核问询函之回复 (修订稿) 保荐人(主承销商) (北京市朝阳区安立路 66 号 4 号楼) 二〇二五年二月 深圳证券交易所: 根据贵所于 2024 年 11 月 4 日下发的《关于袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司 申请向特定对象发行股票的审核问询函》(审核函〔2024〕120045 号)(以下简 称"审核问询函")的要求,袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司(以下简称"公司" "上市公司""隆平高科""发行人")会同中信建投证券股份有限公司(以下 简称"保荐人")、湖南启元律师事务所(以下简称"律师")、天健会计师事 务所(特殊普通合伙)(以下简称"会计师"),本着勤勉尽责、诚实守信的原 则,就审核问询函所提问题逐条进行了认真调查、核查及讨论,并完成了《袁隆 平农业高科技股份有限公司与中信建投证券股份有限公司关于袁隆平农业高科 技股份有限公司申请向特定对象发行股票的审核问询函之回复》(以下简称"本 回复"),现回复如下,请予审核。 如无特殊说明,本回复中简 ...
隆平高科(000998) - 隆平高科向特定对象发行股票募集说明书(修订稿)
2025-02-17 14:16
股票简称:隆平高科 股票代码:000998 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司 向特定对象发行股票 募集说明书 (湖南省长沙市芙蓉区合平路 638 号) (修订稿) 保荐人(主承销商) 本公司及全体董事、监事、高级管理人员承诺募集说明书及其他信息披露资 料不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏,并对其真实性、准确性及完整 性承担相应的法律责任。 公司负责人、主管会计工作负责人及会计机构负责人保证募集说明书中财务 会计资料真实、准确、完整。 中国证监会、交易所对本次发行所作的任何决定或意见,均不表明其对申请 文件及所披露信息的真实性、准确性、完整性作出保证,也不表明其对发行人的 盈利能力、投资价值或者对投资者的收益作出实质性判断或保证。任何与之相反 的声明均属虚假不实陈述。 根据《证券法》的规定,证券依法发行后,发行人经营与收益的变化,由发 行人自行负责。投资者自主判断发行人的投资价值,自主作出投资决策,自行承 担证券依法发行后因发行人经营与收益变化或者证券价格变动引致的投资风险。 投资者若对本募集说明书存在任何疑问,应咨询自己的股票经纪人、律师、会计 师或其他专业顾问。 1-1-1 募集说明书 重大事项提示 二〇 ...
隆平高科(000998) - 湖南启元律师事务所关于袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司2024年度向特定对象发行A股股票的补充法律意见书(一)
2025-02-17 14:16
s 湖南启元律师事务所 1 关于 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司 2024年度向特定对象发行A股股票的 补充法律意见书(一) 二零二五年二月 致:袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司 湖南启元律师事务所(以下简称"本所")接受袁隆平农业高科技股份有限 公司(以下简称"隆平高科""发行人"或"公司")的委托,担任发行人2024 年度向特定对象发行A股股票(以下简称"本次发行")的专项法律顾问。 本所根据《中华人民共和国公司法》(以下简称"《公司法》")、《中华 人民共和国证券法》(以下简称"《证券法》")、《上市公司证券发行注册管 理办法》(以下简称"《发行注册管理办法》")、《律师事务所从事证券法律 业务管理办法》《律师事务所证券法律业务执业规则(试行)》等法律、行政法 规、部门规章和规范性文件的有关规定,按照律师行业公认的业务标准、道德规 范和勤勉尽责精神,就发行人本次发行事宜已出具《湖南启元律师事务所关于袁 隆平农业高科技股份有限公司2024年度向特定对象发行A股股票的法律意见书》 (以下简称"《法律意见书》")及《湖南启元律师事务所关于袁隆平农业高科 技股份有限公司2024年度向特定对象发行A股股票的律师工作报告 ...
隆平高科(000998) - 中信建投证券股份有限公司关于袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司向特定对象发行股票之发行保荐书(修订稿)
2025-02-17 14:16
中信建投证券股份有限公司 关于 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司 向特定对象发行股票 之 发行保荐书 (修订稿) 保荐人 二〇二五年二月 保荐人出具的证券发行保荐书 释 义 在本发行保荐书中,除非另有说明,下列词语具有如下特定含义: | 中信建投证券、本保荐人、 | 指 | 中信建投证券股份有限公司 | | --- | --- | --- | | 保荐人 | | | | 隆平高科、公司、发行人 | 指 | 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司 | | 中信集团 | 指 | 中国中信集团有限公司 | | 中信农业 | 指 | 中信农业科技股份有限公司 | | 本次发行、本次向特定对象 发行、本次向特定对象发行 | 指 | 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司本次向特定对象发 | | | | 行股票事宜 | | 股票 | | | | 深交所 | 指 | 深圳证券交易所 | | 报告期 | 指 | 2021 年、2022 年、2023 年和 2024 年 1-9 月 | | 中国、我国、国内 | 指 | 中华人民共和国 | | 《公司法》 | 指 | 《中华人民共和国公司法》 | | 《证券法》 | 指 | 《中华人民共和国证券法》 ...
隆平高科(000998) - 中信建投证券股份有限公司关于袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司向特定对象发行股票之上市保荐书(修订稿)
2025-02-17 14:16
中信建投证券股份有限公司 关于 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司 向特定对象发行股票 之 上市保荐书 (修订稿) 保荐人 二〇二五年二月 保荐人出具的上市保荐书 保荐人及保荐代表人声明 中信建投证券股份有限公司及本项目保荐代表人杨慧泽、王明超已根据《中 华人民共和国公司法》《中华人民共和国证券法》等法律法规和中国证监会及深 圳证券交易所的有关规定,诚实守信,勤勉尽责,严格按照依法制定的业务规则 和行业自律规范出具上市保荐书,并保证所出具文件真实、准确、完整。 3-3-1 | 释 义 3 | | --- | | 一、发行人基本情况 4 | | 二、发行人本次发行情况 15 | | 三、本次证券发行上市的保荐代表人、协办人及项目组其他成员情况、联系地址、 | | 电话和其他通讯方式 17 | | 四、关于保荐人是否存在可能影响公正履行保荐职责情形的说明 20 | | 五、保荐人按照有关规定应当承诺的事项 21 | | 六、保荐人关于发行人是否已就本次证券发行上市履行了《公司法》《证券法》 | | 和中国证监会及深圳证券交易所规定的决策程序的说明 22 | | 七、保荐人关于发行人是否符合国家产业政策所作出的专业判断以 ...