内容概要：卫星通信载荷天线是由天线面（体）和信号馈源构成的星载核心器件，需适配空间特殊环 境，承担卫星上行信号接收与下行信号定向传输功能，其性能直接决定通信质量与覆盖范围，在卫星载 荷中占据75%的价值量，其中T/R组件占天线系统价值的50%，核心地位突出。在"航天强国"战略及系 列产业政策支持下，我国低轨星座部署加速，千帆星座、中国星网等密集组网，行业应用从传统应急、 军用领域向手机直连卫星、汽车网联等大众商用场景拓展，2024年相关市场规模稳步增长，展现广阔发 展空间。未来，行业将沿着三大方向进阶：技术上以高频化、智能化融合为核心，突破有源相控阵等关 键技术；产业链上深化"国家队+民企"协同，推进核心部件国产化与规模化量产；应用上向6G天地一体 化、低空经济等领域跨界融合，以小型化、模块化产品构建全域通信服务生态。 上市企业：中国卫通（601698.SH）、上海瀚讯（300762.SZ）、信科移动（688387.SH）、通宇通讯 （002792.SZ）、*ST铖昌（001270.SZ） 相关企业：中国电子科技集团有限公司、中国航天科技集团有限公司、银河航天（北京）网络技术有限 公司、成都天锐星通科技股份有 ...

（来源：淘金ETF） 国内少数能提供卫星互联网相控阵T/R芯片完整解决方案的企业，是微波毫米波射频集成电路领域的"隐 形冠军"。公司专注于GaN、GaAs和硅基工艺的相控阵T/R芯片研发生产，产品覆盖功率放大器、低噪 声放大器、模拟波束赋形芯片等核心品类，频率可覆盖L波段至W波段，广泛应用于星载、机载、舰载 等多场景相控阵雷达，在卫星互联网领域实现星载与地面芯片的全场景适配。凭借深厚的技术积累，其 星载相控阵T/R芯片已在某系列卫星中大规模应用，性能达到国际先进水平，同时研制的硅基毫米波模 拟波束赋形芯片已与多家科研院所及企业开展合作，助力卫星互联网元器件国产化。作为国家专精特 新"小巨人"企业，叠加国产替代、6G等热点概念，深度受益于卫星通信芯片需求放量与高端射频芯片 进口替代进程，是卫星互联网核心元器件领域的标杆企业。 5. 华力创通（300045） 卫星通信终端核心供应商，在天通卫星通信基带芯片领域掌握核心算法，是华为Mate60系列手机卫星 通信功能的关键合作方，直接受益于消费级卫星通信终端的普及浪潮。公司业务布局覆盖卫星通信、北 斗导航、仿真测试等多个领域，核心产品包括卫星通信模块、北斗导航终端、雷 ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment outlook for the commercial aerospace industry, highlighting significant growth opportunities driven by technological advancements and market demand [2]. Core Insights - The commercial aerospace sector is characterized by market-driven activities involving both private and mixed-ownership enterprises, focusing on investment, operation, and risk management across the entire aerospace value chain [2][38]. - Global satellite frequency and orbital resources are becoming increasingly scarce, leading to a surge in satellite constellation construction, with countries competing for these critical resources [2][46]. - The Starlink project by SpaceX is leading the global satellite constellation efforts, while China is rapidly advancing with its own satellite constellation plans [2][47]. - The era of reusable rockets in China is beginning, with several new commercial rocket models expected to launch by the end of 2025, which could accelerate the deployment of low Earth orbit satellite constellations [2][34]. - Investment recommendations include focusing on satellite manufacturing, rocket launching, and space computing, with specific companies highlighted for their potential in these areas [2][34]. Summary by Sections Commercial Aerospace Overview - Commercial aerospace is defined as market-driven activities involving investment, operation, and risk management by enterprises, covering the entire aerospace technology development, manufacturing, launching, and application [2][38]. - The industry is segmented into upstream manufacturing, midstream launching, and downstream application and operation [2][38]. Satellite Industry Overview - The global aerospace industry is projected to reach $415 billion by 2024, with satellite industry revenues estimated at $293 billion [20]. - Satellite services account for 37% of the total satellite industry revenue, while satellite manufacturing and launching services contribute 6.9% and 3.2%, respectively [25]. Satellite Communication Market - The satellite communication market is expected to grow significantly, with China's satellite internet market projected to reach 75.1 billion yuan by 2025 and 151.2 billion yuan by 2030 [34]. - The demand for satellite communication is primarily driven by commercial and government sectors, accounting for 55% and 31% of the market, respectively [28]. Domestic Satellite Constellation Plans - China has ambitious plans for satellite constellations, with three major projects aiming to deploy over 30,000 satellites, including the GW constellation, G60 constellation, and Honghu-3 constellation [79][81]. - As of October 2025, the GW constellation has launched 116 satellites, marking significant progress in China's satellite internet development [84].

与此同时，"太空算力"正成为全球科技巨头竞逐的焦点。所谓太空算力，指的是将数据中心部署于太空轨道，以 期突破地面数据中心在能耗、散热和土地资源上的瓶颈。近日，北京市科委、中关村管委会等单位宣布，拟在 700-800公里晨昏轨道建设运营超过千兆瓦（GW）功率的集中式大型数据中心系统，以实现将大规模AI算力搬上 太空。此外，海外的英伟达、SpaceX、谷歌也在积极布局。这一趋势将商业航天从传统的通信、导航领域，直接 延伸至炙手可热的AI算力基础设施领域。 随着AI计算需求以及火箭发射成本下降，未来太空算力在全球有望得到极大发展，建议提前关注相关产业投资机 会：一是火箭发射链，可回收技术是降低发射成本百倍的关键，是产业规模化前提，相关材料、部件、发动机公 司直接受益；二是卫星制造与载荷链，太空算力星座建设需大量高性能卫星，带来从相控阵T/R芯片（射频核 心）、激光通信（高速互联）、星载计算机到电源散热系统的增量需求。此外，测试服务与地面站作为配套环 节，需求或将同步放量。 综合多家机构观点，可关注以下方向的公司：一是火箭及核心配套领域，包括航天动力、超捷股份、斯瑞新材、 高华科技；二是卫星制造与运营领域，包括中国卫 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating an expected performance exceeding the benchmark index by more than 10% [1][40]. Core Insights - Nvidia's GTC event provided a significant CAPEX guidance of $500 billion for the Blackwell-Rubin series, with North American CSPs showing a clear upward trend in capital expenditures for Q3 2025 [4][16]. - The report highlights a strong growth trend in AI infrastructure investments, with North American CSPs' capital expenditures reaching a total of $113.3 billion in Q3, marking a 75% year-on-year increase [5][17]. - The A-share communication industry is experiencing high growth in AI computing performance, although there is a mismatch between high short-term expectations and actual performance releases [5][17]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Nvidia's guidance for North American CSPs suggests CAPEX could reach $443 billion, $549 billion, and $632 billion from 2025 to 2027, with GPU shipments expected to total 20 million units [4][16]. - The report emphasizes the stability of capital markets regarding concerns over "AI bubble" investments, with Nvidia's roadmap enhancing investment certainty in areas like 1.6T optical modules and quantum computing [4][16]. A-Share Communication Industry Overview - The report notes that leading companies in optical modules, such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Technology, continue to expand production, with stable gross margin trends despite short-term performance fluctuations [5][17]. - The bottleneck effects in core materials like optical chips are becoming more pronounced, with domestic chip manufacturers expected to gain market share as overseas giants slow down production [5][17]. Market Performance - The overall market showed mixed performance during the week of October 27 to October 31, 2025, with the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 0.67% and the communication index declining by 3.59% [11][20]. - The report identifies cloud computing as the leading sector with a weekly increase of 22.48%, followed by IDC and equipment manufacturers [11][20]. Recommended Companies - The report suggests focusing on companies in various segments, including optical devices (e.g., Guangke Technology, Shijia Photon) and AIOT solutions (e.g., Rockchip, Yiyuan Communication) [20].

Core Viewpoint - Heertai (002402.SZ) reported significant growth in its subsidiary Chengchang Technology, which specializes in T/R chips for phased array radar and satellite communication, indicating a strong recovery in downstream user demand and an increase in orders and projects [1] Company Summary - Chengchang Technology's T/R chips are now being mass-produced and applied in various fields including spaceborne, ground, and airborne phased array radar and satellite communication [1] - The company achieved a revenue of 306 million yuan and a net profit of 90.36 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [1] - Chengchang Technology maintains a leading position in the domestic market for phased array T/R chip research and production, collaborating closely with downstream users [1] Industry Summary - The T/R chip is a critical component of phased array systems, characterized by high integration, complex structure, and stringent performance parameters [1] - In China, the main entities capable of R&D and mass production of phased array T/R chips are research institutes and a few private enterprises with tier-three and tier-four supporting capabilities [1] - The company has developed several new products targeting the next generation of low-orbit communication satellites and ground support equipment [1]

Core Viewpoint - The aerospace industry in China is experiencing a significant upturn, driven by increased satellite internet launches, the emergence of reusable rockets, and a surge in IPO activities among commercial rocket companies. The convergence of favorable policies, strong performance, and technological advancements is highlighting a turning point in the industry [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - *ST Chengchang has a first-mover advantage in the satellite communication sector, launching a complete set of satellite communication T/R chip solutions. The company reported a revenue of 306 million yuan and a net profit of 90.36 million yuan for the first three quarters, with Q3 revenue reaching 105 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 266.57%, and a net profit of 33.73 million yuan, marking a return to profitability [2]. - Zhenray Technology is focusing on the commercial low-orbit satellite market, achieving a revenue of 302 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 65.76%, and a net profit of 101 million yuan, with a staggering increase of 598.09%. In Q3, the company reported revenue of 97.51 million yuan, up 51.33%, and a net profit of 38.64 million yuan, up 337.49% [3]. - Aerospace Development reported Q3 revenue of 1.008 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 209.17%, leading to a total revenue of 1.697 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a growth of 42.59%. However, the company recorded a net loss of 110 million yuan in Q3, although this was an improvement compared to previous quarters [3]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China emphasizes the importance of developing the real economy, with a focus on intelligent, green, and integrated directions, accelerating the construction of a strong manufacturing and aerospace nation. This aligns with the strategic development of emerging industries such as aerospace during the 14th Five-Year Plan [4]. - The aerospace industry is witnessing continuous growth, with successful launches of low-orbit satellites, including the "National Grid Constellation" and the "Qianfan Constellation," which set a record for the number of satellites launched in a single mission, surpassing 100 satellites in orbit [4]. - Multiple reusable rockets are expected to make their maiden flights within the year, with companies like Blue Arrow Aerospace, CAS Space, Tianbing Technology, Xinghe Power, and Interstellar Glory initiating their IPO processes [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Aerospace Zhizhuang is actively seizing opportunities in commercial aerospace, focusing on promoting ground simulation equipment, micro-systems, and microprocessor chips. The company aims to enhance its core competitiveness and expand its market presence to achieve strong operational performance [5]. - *ST Chengchang is expanding its product coverage in the satellite sector, particularly in low-orbit satellite applications, which will support its business development as the low-orbit satellite networking progresses [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" [3] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profitability, with a 204.78% year-on-year increase in revenue to 306 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, and a net profit of 90.36 million yuan, reversing losses from the previous year [1] - The company is experiencing strong demand in downstream markets, leading to continuous growth in performance [1] - The company has successfully entered a phase of normalized bulk delivery for remote sensing satellite projects, which is expected to drive future growth [7] - The company is optimizing its cost structure through refined management and economies of scale, resulting in improved gross and net profit margins [7] Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue is projected to reach 413 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 95% [2] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 120 million yuan in 2025, a significant recovery from a loss of 31 million yuan in 2024 [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.58 yuan in 2025, compared to -0.15 yuan in 2024 [2] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to be 79.3 in 2025, indicating a recovery in valuation metrics [2] Stock Performance - The company's stock has shown a 12% absolute performance over the past month and a 40% increase over the past six months [5] Key Financial Ratios - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 69.72%, an increase of 17.68 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve to 8.4% in 2025, up from -2.2% in 2024 [13] - The asset-liability ratio is expected to rise to 17.0% in 2025, indicating a gradual increase in leverage [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the military industry [2] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the timely achievement of the centenary goal of building a strong military, highlighting the modernization of national defense and military capabilities [13] - It identifies three dimensions—defense budget, military trade, and military-civilian integration—as key areas for growth in the military industry, indicating that the sector still has significant growth potential [20] - The report outlines a new "three-step" strategy for national defense and military modernization, aiming for substantial advancements by 2035 and a world-class military by the mid-21st century [17] Summary by Sections Section 1: National Defense and Military Goals - The Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee emphasizes achieving the centenary goal of building a strong military and advancing military modernization [13] - The session outlines a strategic framework for military development, focusing on political, reform, technological, and talent-driven advancements [13] Section 2: Defense Budget and Military Trade - China's defense budget for 2025 is projected at 1.7847 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of 7.2%, which is higher than the GDP growth target [23] - The report notes that China's defense spending as a percentage of GDP has room to grow, with a current ratio lower than that of major Western countries [23][25] - China's military trade share in the global market is approximately 6%, with potential for significant growth if it reaches 10%-20% [28] Section 3: Military-Civilian Integration - The report highlights the commercial aviation sector's potential for growth, estimating that the domestic commercial aircraft market could be 2.5 times the current military aircraft market [33] - It discusses the expected growth in the commercial aerospace sector, driven by advancements in satellite technology and the establishment of large satellite constellations [39] Section 4: Space Industry Development - The Fourth Plenary Session calls for accelerated construction of a strong aerospace nation, with significant investments in commercial space initiatives [39] - The report details plans for multiple large-scale satellite constellations, with significant deployment milestones set for 2025, 2027, and 2030 [52][48] Section 5: Investment Strategy for the Military Industry - The report suggests a focus on companies that enhance product capabilities, market penetration, and customer pricing as key investment targets [71] - It emphasizes the importance of selecting stocks based on their potential for growth in the context of military modernization and technological advancements [71]

Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 30,609.58 million CNY, a significant increase of over 565.20% compared to the same period last year [2][3] - The net profit for Q3 2025 reached 9,035.86 million CNY, marking a successful turnaround from previous losses [2][3] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 30,609.58 million CNY and a net profit of 9,035.86 million CNY [2][5] Group 2: Market Demand and Project Progress - The growth in revenue is attributed to sustained demand in downstream markets and a steady increase in project orders [3][4] - Key projects in the T/R chip product line are progressing well, particularly in the traditional phased array radar and low Earth orbit satellite communication sectors [4][6] - The company is actively expanding into emerging application markets while maintaining a strong focus on core business areas [3][4] Group 3: Profitability and Cost Structure - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 69.72%, indicating a stable and high profitability level [5][6] - Cost optimization has been achieved through improved R&D efficiency and production processes, contributing to the enhancement of gross margins [5][6] Group 4: Risk Management and Future Outlook - The company aims to lift the risk warning status by ensuring that the audited profit totals for 2025 are positive or that the revenue exceeds 300 million CNY [5] - The management has confidence in maintaining reasonable gross margins based on current project orders and production plans [5][6] - The company is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for satellite internet and related technologies, which are expected to become new revenue growth points [6]