隆基绿能分析称，2025年，光伏行业供需错配、低价内卷式竞争持续，开工率维持低位，同时国内电力 市场化改革不断深入，海外贸易壁垒持续加剧，导致了光伏企业经营环境严峻复杂。 不过，随着"反内卷"的持续深入，部分光伏企业正走出亏损"泥潭"——相较2024年，隆基绿能最高预计 减亏30.38%、爱旭股份最高减亏77.44%。 中国光伏行业协会名誉理事长王勃华此前公开指出，2025年前三季度，光伏主产业链环节营业收入同比 下降16.9%，但毛利率持续改善至3.64%，其中第三季度达5.61%，同时产能无序扩张得到有效控制。 此外，值得一提的是，虽然光伏行业整体仍深陷亏损的寒冬，多家光伏龙头近期在股权激励等方案中制 定了2026年利润转正的目标。 "预亏"成为各光伏企业2025年业绩预告单的关键词。 随着2025年业绩预告的陆续披露，A股光伏上市企业的经营状况已经逐步明晰。整体来看，第一财经记 者注意到，因受经营环境和行业供需影响，多数光伏企业仍延续亏损状态。 "预亏"成为各家业绩预告单的关键词。以出货量领先的头部企业为例，2025年，通威股份 （600438.SH）预亏90亿元至100亿元；隆基绿能（601012.S ...

转自：新华财经 紫金矿业"最赚钱" 周期股优势明显 数据显示，602家预计2025年实现盈利的公司中，紫金矿业以520亿元的预告净利上限居首，洛阳钼业以208亿元的预告净利上限紧随其后。 预告盈利规模前10位的上市公司还包括了立讯精密、牧原股份、药明康德、宝丰能源、上汽集团、盐湖股份、招商轮船和华友钴业。其中上汽集团预计净利 同比增长438%-558%，在10家公司中增速排名第一。而牧原股份预计同比净利下滑12.2%-17.79%，是10家公司中唯一一家预计净利出现下滑的公司。 从行业来看，盈利规模前10位公司中有3家有色金属行业公司，分别是紫金矿业、洛阳钼业和华友钴业，再加上化工行业的宝丰能源和盐湖股份，周期股占 比达到一半。 | 代码 名称 | | 净利下限(万元) 净利上限(万元) 增长下限 增长上限 | 浄利同比 浄利同比 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (%) | (%) | | 601899.SH 紫奈矿业 | 5,100,000.00 | 5,200,000.00 | 59.00 | 62.00 | | 603993.SH 洛阳钼亦 | 2 ...

Q&A 如何看待本轮被动元器件涨价行情？20260125 摘要 被动元器件市场几乎全品类涨价，包括电容、电阻、二极管、电感和磁 珠等，覆盖市场大部分份额，主要受原材料通胀驱动，与 2017-2022 年人为控盘不同，本次各方表现更为理性，未出现大规模囤积。 涨价传导分层明显：贸易商随行就市，中小型终端客户承受 30%-40% 涨幅，大型客户因长期合同受影响较小，涨幅低于 10%。 MLCC 虽未正式提价，但高容产品价格已上涨，原厂态度谨慎，避免重 蹈覆辙。渠道商采取减少出货量策略，优先满足高价需求。 MLCC 市场格局稳定，村田、三星、国巨和三环占据 80%份额。村田和 三星减产提门槛，三环则采取扩充代理及营业额目标策略，暂不涨价以 抢占市场份额。 下游需求方面，存储器件受益于 AI，价格大幅上涨，但对整体毛利影响 有限。各行业心态谨慎，按订单生产，避免过度备货。 国产替代加速，客户从不接受到主动要求性价比更高的国产品牌，如潮 州三环，表明国内厂商市场份额提升。 未来元器件价格走势取决于原材料价格，银、铜等价格上涨将推高成本。 AI 眼镜领域可能成为新的增长点，但整体市场需求仍以稳定为主。 当前被动元器件涨价 ...

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) sector in A-shares has seen a significant surge, with multiple stocks experiencing a 20% increase, driven by Elon Musk's endorsement of space photovoltaics at the Davos Forum. However, the industry faces a harsh reality of prolonged losses, overcapacity, and persistent price pressures, with major companies expected to report substantial losses in 2025 [3][4][5]. Group 1: Industry Performance and Financial Outlook - A total of 32 listed PV companies have issued profit warnings, with 23 companies, over 70%, expected to incur losses in 2025 [5]. - Major players like Tongwei Co. are projected to face losses between 9 billion to 10 billion yuan, a significant increase from the previous year's loss of 7.04 billion yuan, marking it as the only company with a projected loss exceeding 10 billion yuan [5][6]. - Trina Solar and JinkoSolar are also expected to report substantial losses, with Trina Solar's losses estimated at 6.5 billion to 7.5 billion yuan, up from 3.44 billion yuan the previous year [5][6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Challenges - The PV industry is grappling with a dual weakness in supply and demand, leading to significant price declines across the supply chain, including silicon materials, cells, and modules [8][9]. - The rapid expansion of manufacturing capacity in recent years has coincided with a slowdown in global demand, resulting in severe supply-demand imbalances [9]. - The cost of key raw materials, particularly silver, has surged, further straining the profitability of PV companies. Silver prices have increased by over 118% since October of the previous year, significantly impacting production costs [9][10]. Group 3: Future Industry Prospects - The path to recovery for the PV industry hinges on supply-side reforms, including capacity utilization improvements and the elimination of outdated production capabilities [10]. - The industry must address the current overcapacity and restore a healthy balance between supply and demand to improve product pricing and overall profitability [10].

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a brutal survival elimination race and a deep restructuring of the industrial pattern, with the next phase expected to be redefined after this intense reshuffle [2][4]. Group 1: Industry Performance and Losses - In 2025, major companies in the photovoltaic sector are expected to report significant losses, with JinkoSolar forecasting a net loss of 5.9 billion to 6.9 billion yuan, Trina Solar predicting a loss of 6.5 billion to 7.5 billion yuan, and Tongwei expecting a loss of 9 billion to 10 billion yuan [2][6]. - The total expected losses from leading companies amount to hundreds of billions, indicating that the photovoltaic industry is still mired in a loss-making situation [2][5]. - The industry has shifted from a phase of rapid expansion to a deep adjustment period, with companies generally operating at a loss to maintain operations, severely squeezing overall profitability [7][12]. Group 2: Causes of the Crisis - The root cause of the current industry crisis is attributed to aggressive expansion in the past, leading to severe structural oversupply and intense price competition [3][6]. - The prices of key materials such as silicon have plummeted from 300,000 yuan per ton in 2022 to around 55,000 yuan per ton, while silver prices have nearly doubled in recent months, further exacerbating the challenges faced by companies [4][10]. Group 3: Strategic Responses and Industry Restructuring - In response to the crisis, leading companies are turning to mergers and acquisitions to strengthen competitiveness or are extending into related fields such as energy storage and hydrogen energy to seek strategic breakthroughs [4][12]. - TCL Zhonghuan announced plans to invest in a new energy technology company to enhance its integrated strategy and expand battery and module production capacity [12]. - The industry is experiencing a "淘汰赛" (elimination race), with smaller companies likely to exit the market or seek mergers as the competitive landscape narrows [13][14]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Recovery Potential - Companies like Tongwei have seen some operational profitability in the latter half of 2025, but overall losses are expected to continue due to declining sales prices and rising raw material costs [9][10]. - The recovery of profitability is contingent on the overall price recovery across the supply chain and the expansion of photovoltaic application scenarios, which could provide significant growth opportunities [9][10]. - The photovoltaic industry is witnessing a recent increase in component prices, with some manufacturers raising prices by 0.04 to 0.15 yuan per watt, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [18][19].

近日，A股光伏板块全线爆发，多只个股上演20%涨停潮，连城数控（920368.BJ）、欧普泰 （920414.BJ）更是录得"30cm"涨停，港股市场太阳能概念股亦同步共振。引爆行情的是美国富豪马斯 克在达沃斯论坛上对太空光伏的最新力挺，其为低迷已久的光伏板块注入了强烈的题材预期。 然而，掀开概念炒作的表层，光伏行业面临的却是连续两年半的普遍亏损、产能阶段性过剩与产品价格 持续承压的"弱现实"。第一财经记者根据已披露的2025年业绩预告统计发现，包括通威股份 （600438.SH）、晶科能源（688223.SH）、天合光能（688599.SH）、晶澳科技（002459.SZ）、TCL中 环（002129.SZ）、钧达股份（002865.SZ）在内的多家光伏制造巨头，预计2025年净利润亏损幅度进一 步加剧，预亏金额在40亿元到100亿元区间。 仅少数光伏企业如大全能源（688303.SH）、隆基绿能（601012.SH）、双良节能（600481.SH）等同比 实现减亏。在强预期炒作与弱现实基本面的显著背离下，行业资产负债表持续承压，结构性修复迫在眉 睫。 业内人士普遍认为，太空光伏的发展路径存在较高不确定性， ...

据了解，MFSS注册地为新加坡，系胜宏科技全资孙公司。MFSS为一家成立于1988年的柔性印刷电路 和互连解决方案创新提供商，从事于高密度、多层数柔性电路板的设计与生产等业务。 TCL中环表示，本次交易旨在优化Maxeon资本结构，盘活低效资产，提升其资产变现能力，有助于补 充Maxeon流动资金，增强其抗风险能力；本次交易是Maxeon整合资产优化配置、聚焦提升经营效率的 重组整合计划的一部分，也有利于发挥各方优势，充分提升资源使用效率。本次其出售资产不会对公司 产生重大影响。 北京商报讯（记者 王蔓蕾）1月24日，TCL中环（002129）披露公告称，公司控股子公司Maxeon的全资 子公司SPT与MFSS于近日签署了《股权出售及购买协议》，SPT拟向MFSS出售其马来西亚全资子公司 SPMY100%股权。本次交易总对价不超过5100万美元，最终交易价格根据交易文件的约定确定。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Major photovoltaic companies such as JinkoSolar, Tongwei Co., and LONGi Green Energy have recently announced significant projected losses for 2025, primarily due to rising silver prices impacting their performance [3][4]. Group 1: Financial Projections - JinkoSolar expects a net loss of 5.9 billion to 6.9 billion yuan for 2025, while Tongwei Co. anticipates losses between 9 billion to 10 billion yuan, and LONGi Green Energy projects a net loss of 6 billion to 6.5 billion yuan [3]. - The rising costs of silver paste, a key material in photovoltaic cell production, have been cited as a major factor contributing to these losses [4]. Group 2: Cost Structure and Material Impact - Silver paste, which is crucial for manufacturing photovoltaic cells, accounts for approximately 62% of the non-silicon costs in TOPCon solar cells, with a projected cost of 0.138 yuan/W by the end of 2025 [4]. - The current spot price of silver has surged to over $100 per ounce, having more than tripled in the past year, adding to the cost pressures faced by these companies [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Pricing Strategies - Companies are attempting to pass on costs by slightly increasing the prices of photovoltaic modules; however, this is constrained by a supply-demand imbalance in the industry [5]. - The domestic market demand is weakening, and overseas procurement is also declining, which may further limit the ability of companies to raise prices [5]. Group 4: Technological Developments - Companies are exploring alternatives to reduce silver usage, such as the development of "silver-free" technologies and the use of copper plating [5][6]. - While significant R&D efforts are underway, the maturity and effectiveness of these technologies remain uncertain, and their economic viability is under scrutiny [6]. Group 5: Future Outlook on Silver Prices - In the short term, the impact of alternative technologies on silver prices is expected to be limited due to their nascent stage of development [7]. - Long-term trends may see downward pressure on silver prices as these technologies mature and photovoltaic installation volumes potentially decline [7]. - The strategic resource status of silver, influenced by policy changes, may continue to support its price [8].

据悉，本次交易旨在优化Maxeon资本结构，盘活低效资产，提升其资产变现能力。 TCL中环（002129）(002129.SZ)公告，公司控股子公司Maxeon的全资子公司SUNPOWER TECHNOLOGY LTD.与MFS TECHNOLOGY(S)PTE LTD.于近日签署了《股权出售及购买协议》，SPT 拟向MFSS出售其马来西亚全资子公司SunPower Malaysia Manufacturing Sdn.Bhd(简称"SPMY")100%股 权。本次交易总对价不超过5100万美元，交易完成后标的公司将不再纳入公司合并报表范围。 ...

智通财经APP讯，TCL中环(002129.SZ)公告，公司控股子公司Maxeon的全资子公司SUNPOWER TECHNOLOGY LTD.与MFS TECHNOLOGY (S) PTE LTD.于近日签署了《股权出售及购买协议》，SPT 拟向MFSS出售其马来西亚全资子公司SunPower Malaysia Manufacturing Sdn. Bhd(简称"SPMY")100%股 权。本次交易总对价不超过5100万美元，交易完成后标的公司将不再纳入公司合并报表范围。 据悉，本次交易旨在优化Maxeon资本结构，盘活低效资产，提升其资产变现能力。 ...