证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 11 年 月 日 建筑材料 预计建材需求旺季不旺，淡季不淡 2025 年 5 月 6 日至 5 月 9 日建筑材料板块（SW）上涨 0.92%，其中水泥 （SW）上涨 0.57%，玻璃制造（SW）上涨 0.38%，玻纤制造（SW）下 跌 0.39%，装修建材（SW）上涨 1.85%，本周建材板块相对沪深 300 超 额收益-0.07%。本期建筑材料板块（SW）资金净流入额为-0.14 亿元。 【周数据总结和观点】 本周国新办发布会发布一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期，总量方面，降 低存款准备金率 0.5 个百分点，下调政策利率 0.1 个百分点，地产方面， 降低个人住房公积金贷款利率 0.25 个百分点，5 年期以上首套房利率由 2.85%降至 2.6%，其他期限的利率同步调整，此外，会议还指出加快 出台与房地产发展新模式相适配的系列融资制度，助力持续巩固房地产市 场稳定态势。根据 wind 统计，2025 年 4 月地方政府债总发行量 6932.91 亿元，发行金额同比 2024 年 4 月增长 101.6%，截至目前，2025 年一般 债 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company has a leading position in the refractory materials industry, with significant growth potential in its active magnesium oxide business for wet metallurgy [3][15] - The company is expected to see a recovery in profitability from its domestic refractory business in 2025, driven by improved competition dynamics and raw material price stabilization [2][3] Company Overview - Established in 2002 and listed in 2008, the company has over 30 years of experience in high-temperature industrial products and solutions [15] - The company has expanded internationally since 2000, with production bases in the USA and Serbia, and a strong brand presence [15][16] - In 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenue of 5.19 billion yuan and a net profit of 140 million yuan [1] Industry Overview - The refractory materials industry in China is under pressure, with a projected production of 22.07 million tons in 2024, down 4% year-on-year, primarily due to the downturn in the steel industry [2][54] - The steel industry is the main downstream market for refractory materials, accounting for approximately 70% of demand [58] Domestic Refractory Business - The competitive landscape is expected to improve due to rising concentration in the steel industry and enhanced environmental standards [2][79] - The company’s revenue from overall contracting services in 2024 is expected to account for 49% of total revenue [79] Overseas Refractory Business - The company is positioned to benefit from its overseas operations, with 28% of revenue coming from international markets in 2024 [2][16] - The company has established a direct sales network overseas, making it the first domestic refractory materials company to do so [16] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenue growth from 5.61 billion yuan in 2025 to 6.37 billion yuan in 2027, with net profit expected to rise from 299 million yuan to 498 million yuan over the same period [4] - The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 18, 14, and 11, respectively [3] Raw Material Prices - The price of alumina is expected to decline in 2025, while magnesium sand prices may stabilize or increase [2][3][72]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [10] Core Viewpoints - The sales decline of the top 100 real estate companies has stabilized, with a year-on-year sales amount decrease of 7.8% and a sales area decrease of 18.9% from January to April 2025, showing a significant narrowing compared to the previous year [5][6] - Cement prices continue to decline, while prices for fiberglass from small and medium enterprises are loosening [5][6] - Recommendations include focusing on the African supply chain and computing power chain, with leading companies in existing markets being the main focus for the year [8][9] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In April 2025, the year-on-year sales amount for the top 100 real estate companies decreased by 10.3%, and the sales area decreased by 18.3%, showing slight improvement compared to the previous month [5][6] - The sales amount in April decreased by 12.4% month-on-month, which is better than 2024 but weaker than the average from 2018 to 2024 [5] Cement Market - As of late April, domestic cement market demand has slightly improved, with a national shipment rate of 49.3%, up by approximately 2.1 percentage points month-on-month but down by 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [6][23] - The national average cement price is 391.94 yuan/ton, down by 3.06 yuan/ton month-on-month but up by 27.74 yuan/ton year-on-year [24] Glass Market - The domestic float glass market is experiencing weak transactions, with limited price adjustments and general market demand [7][34] - The national average glass price is 75.13 yuan/weight box, up by 0.06 yuan/weight box month-on-month but down by 17.23 yuan/weight box year-on-year [37] Fiberglass Market - The market for non-alkali roving has seen price loosening among some small and medium enterprises, with overall trading activity declining [42] - The electronic yarn market prices have remained stable, with downstream purchasing being demand-driven [42] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the African supply chain, particularly highlighting Keda Manufacturing as a leading local player with advantages in production, channels, and brand [8] - In the computing power chain, Zhongcai Technology is recommended as a leading domestic special fiberglass cloth manufacturer benefiting from domestic substitution [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q1 2025 financial results, showing a slight increase in revenue but a significant decline in net profit and cash flow, indicating operational challenges and cost pressures [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 1.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.2% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 50 million yuan, down 15.9% year-on-year - Non-recurring net profit also decreased by 16.1% to 50 million yuan - Operating cash flow was negative at -30 million yuan, a decline of 20 million yuan year-on-year [1][2]. Profitability Metrics - Gross margin was 17.9%, a decrease of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to pricing pressures from steel mills - Operating expense ratio was 11.9%, down 2.3 percentage points year-on-year - Sales net profit margin stood at 4.2%, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Strategic Partnerships - The company signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Greenme to develop a high-efficiency precipitant for the HPAL process, ensuring a stable demand for high-activity magnesium oxide - Greenme has established a nickel resource capacity of 150,000 tons per year in Indonesia, indicating strong market potential for wet nickel extraction [3]. Growth Prospects - The company is expanding its production capacity for high-activity magnesium oxide, with a new 60,000-ton production line expected to commence soon - The U.S. factory is projected to significantly contribute to revenue growth in 2024, with increasing orders and potential benefits from tariff policies - The Serbian factory is also on track for market expansion and sales growth [3][4]. Earnings Forecast - The company maintains a positive outlook for its high-activity magnesium oxide business and U.S. factory flexibility, projecting net profits of 341 million yuan, 557 million yuan, and 765 million yuan for 2025-2027 [4].

Group 1 - Puyang Holdings (002225.SZ) released its Q1 2025 report on April 30, 2025, indicating that 11 institutional investors disclosed holdings of A-shares, totaling 109 million shares, which represents 10.78% of the total share capital [1] - The top ten institutional investors collectively hold 10.77% of the shares, with a notable increase of 1.40 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [1] Group 2 - In the public fund sector, four funds increased their holdings compared to the previous period, including Huaan Quality Selection Mixed A, Huaan Anhua Flexible Allocation Mixed A, Huaan Ding'an Preferred One-Year Holding Mixed A, and Huaan Tianxi One-Year Mixed A, with a slight increase in the proportion of holdings [2] - One new public fund was disclosed this period, namely Huaan New Opportunities Flexible Allocation Mixed A, while 37 public funds were not disclosed compared to the previous quarter, including Southern Innovation-Driven Mixed A and Hai Fu Tong Reform-Driven Mixed [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [5] Core Views - The company is expected to gradually improve its performance in 2025, with Q1 revenue of 1.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.17%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 55 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.91% [1] - The company is benefiting from increased orders from its US factory and has positive price expectations for US refractory materials due to tariff implementation [1] - The company has made significant progress in the wet metallurgy sector, which is expected to contribute over 100 million yuan to net profit this year [3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 17.95%, a decrease of 1.75 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 4.16%, down 0.73 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company reported a decrease in operating cash flow, with a net outflow of 32 million yuan in Q1, primarily due to increased tax payments and cash purchases [2] - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 5.19 billion yuan in 2024 to 6.01 billion yuan in 2025, representing a growth rate of 15.69% [4] Business Outlook - The domestic refractory materials business faces pressure due to weak demand in the steel sector, but overseas operations and wet metallurgy are expected to provide profit stability [3] - The company’s overseas revenue accounted for 28% in 2024, with production in the US and Serbia ramping up, enhancing international competitiveness [3] - The company is expanding its active magnesium oxide production capacity, with a new 60,000-ton production line expected to come online soon [3]

濮阳濮耐高温材料（集团）股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"） 第六届监事 会第二十一次会议通知于2025年4月19日以电子邮件形式发出，2025年4月29日上 午以通讯方式召开。本次会议应参会监事5名，亲自参会监事5名，会议由监事会 主席郭志彦先生主持，部分高级管理人员列席了会议。会议的召开符合《公司法》、 《公司章程》及《监事会议事规则》的有关规定。本次会议经过认真讨论，采取 记名投票方式，审议通过了如下议案： 一、以5票赞成、0票反对、0票弃权审议通过了《关于<2025年第一季度报 告>的议案》 经审核，监事会认为董事会编制和审核公司2025年第一季度报告的程序符合 相关法律法规和《公司章程》的规定，报告内容真实、准确、完整地反映了上市 公司的实际情况，不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 详见登载于《证券时报》、《上海证券报》和巨潮资讯网上的《2025年第一 季度报告》（公告编号：2025-023）。 特此公告。 濮阳濮耐高温材料（集团）股份有限公司监事会 2025 年 4 月 30 日 证券代码：002225 证券简称：濮耐股份 公告编号：2025-022 濮阳濮耐高温材料（集团）股份有限公司 第 ...

本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、误导 性陈述或重大遗漏。 濮阳濮耐高温材料（集团）股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）第六届董事会 第二十八次会议通知于2025年4月19日以电子邮件形式发出，2025年4月29日上午 以通讯方式召开。本次会议应参会董事9名，亲自参会董事9名，本次会议由董事 长刘百宽先生主持，部分高级管理人员及监事列席了会议。会议的召开符合《公 司法》、《公司章程》及《董事会议事规则》的有关规定。本次会议经过认真讨 论，采取记名投票方式，审议通过了如下议案： 一、以9票赞成、0票反对、0票弃权审议通过了《关于2025年第一季度报告 的议案》 详见登载于《证券时报》、《上海证券报》和巨潮资讯网上的《2025年第一 季度报告》（公告编号：2025-023）。 特此公告。 证券代码:002225 证券简称:濮耐股份 公告编号:2025-021 濮阳濮耐高温材料（集团）股份有限公司 第六届董事会第二十八次会议决议公告 濮阳濮耐高温材料（集团）股份有限公司董事会 2025年4月30日 ...

Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for Q1 2025 was ¥1,339,787,409.41, representing a 3.17% increase compared to ¥1,298,571,081.04 in the same period last year[5]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 15.91% to ¥54,870,795.08 from ¥65,256,262.98 year-on-year[5]. - Total operating revenue for the current period reached ¥1,339,787,409.41, an increase from ¥1,298,571,081.04 in the previous period, reflecting a growth of approximately 3.5%[18]. - Total operating costs increased to ¥1,266,307,512.10 from ¥1,233,385,835.20, reflecting a rise of approximately 2.99% year-over-year[19]. - Net profit decreased to ¥55,765,415.03 from ¥63,547,068.81, representing a decline of about 12.5%[20]. - Operating profit fell to ¥64,478,718.26 from ¥72,841,112.10, a decrease of approximately 11.5%[19]. - The company reported a net profit margin improvement, with net profit increasing in line with revenue growth, although specific figures were not disclosed in the provided content[18]. Cash Flow - The net cash flow from operating activities was negative at -¥31,768,562.03, a decline of 289.68% compared to -¥8,152,527.02 in the previous year[5]. - Cash flow from operating activities showed a net outflow of ¥31,768,562.03, worsening from a net outflow of ¥8,152,527.02 in the previous period[21]. - Cash flow from investing activities generated a net inflow of ¥25,749,990.73, compared to a net outflow of ¥60,679,886.89 last year[22]. - Cash flow from financing activities resulted in a net inflow of ¥237,956,760.38, improving from a net outflow of ¥205,651,914.76 in the previous period[22]. - The company reported a significant increase in cash and cash equivalents, ending the period with ¥441,238,552.79, up from ¥198,123,632.22[22]. Assets and Liabilities - Total assets increased by 5.23% to ¥8,696,892,804.76 from ¥8,264,845,329.57 at the end of the previous year[5]. - Current assets totaled ¥5,713,321,943.72, up from ¥5,284,509,305.36 at the beginning of the period, indicating an increase of about 8.1%[14]. - Accounts receivable rose to ¥2,116,940,554.53 from ¥1,920,794,424.03, marking an increase of approximately 10.2%[15]. - Inventory decreased slightly to ¥1,869,575,863.54 from ¥1,915,863,249.98, a decline of about 2.4%[15]. - Total liabilities increased to ¥5,106,779,606.37 from ¥4,742,182,046.85, representing a growth of approximately 7.7%[16]. - Short-term borrowings rose significantly to ¥1,001,278,883.34 from ¥629,199,192.34, an increase of about 59.2%[16]. - Non-current assets totaled ¥2,983,570,861.04, slightly up from ¥2,980,336,024.21, indicating a marginal increase[15]. - The total assets reached ¥8,696,892,804.76, compared to ¥8,264,845,329.57 at the beginning of the period, reflecting an increase of approximately 5.2%[16]. - The company's equity attributable to shareholders increased to ¥3,470,458,299.68 from ¥3,403,319,460.50, a growth of about 2%[16]. Other Financial Metrics - The weighted average return on equity decreased to 1.60% from 1.90% year-on-year, reflecting a decline of 0.30%[5]. - The company reported a 330.15% increase in credit impairment losses, attributed to expanded sales scale and reduced collection rates[8]. - Investment income decreased by 64.15% due to increased debt restructuring losses during the reporting period[8]. - Basic and diluted earnings per share remained at ¥0.05, unchanged from the previous period[20]. - Other comprehensive income after tax amounted to ¥11,503,281.76, compared to a loss of ¥1,433,070.52 in the prior period[20]. - The total comprehensive income increased to ¥67,268,696.79 from ¥62,113,998.29, reflecting an increase of approximately 8.7%[20]. - The number of ordinary shareholders at the end of the reporting period was 34,059[11].

Group 1: Market Overview - In April, both A-share and Hong Kong stock markets experienced a decline, with the A-share market showing a cumulative drop of 0.6% for the Shanghai 50 index and a maximum drop of 7.4% for the ChiNext index as of April 25, 2025 [1][8] - The Hong Kong stock market showed significant volatility in April, influenced by overseas risk events and domestic policy expectations, with the Hang Seng Index declining by 4.9% [1][10] Group 2: A-share Insights - The A-share market is expected to experience a rebound due to continuous policy support and inflow of medium to long-term funds, with current valuations near the average since 2010 [2][13] - Three asset categories are recommended for investment: stable assets (high dividend stocks, gold), self-sufficient industrial chains, and domestic consumption [2][15][16] Group 3: Hong Kong Stock Insights - The Hong Kong market is anticipated to continue its upward trend, supported by low valuations of the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index [3][17] - A "barbell" investment strategy is suggested, focusing on technology growth and high dividend stocks, particularly in sectors like telecommunications, utilities, and banking [3][17] Group 4: Stock Recommendations - The A-share stock selection for May 2025 includes: Zhongzi Technology, Hengrui Medicine, Gree Electric Appliances, Haier Smart Home, China Petroleum, CNOOC Development, Zijin Mining, Muyuan Foods, Honglu Steel Structure, and Puyang Refractories [4][23] - The Hong Kong stock selection for May 2025 includes: Alibaba-W, Pop Mart, Tencent Holdings, Xindong Company, NetEase Cloud Music, and Horizon Robotics-W [4][26]