每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——防晒霜调查：成本3元，敢卖几十元！工厂老板：这行水太深，几倍利润算 少的 （记者 王晓波） 2024年1至12月份，潮宏基的营业收入构成为：珠宝行业占比95.57%，皮具行业占比4.2%，其他占比 0.24%。 截至发稿，潮宏基市值为133亿元。 每经AI快讯，潮宏基（SZ 002345，收盘价：15.02元）8月14日晚间发布公告称，公司第七届第四次董 事会会议于2025年8月14日在公司会议室以现场方式召开。会议审议了《关于修订董事会各专门委员会 实施细则的议案》等文件。 ...

从资金流向上来看，当日饰品板块主力资金净流出3.91亿元，游资资金净流入2071.4万元，散户资金净流 入3.7亿元。饰品板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300945 | 曼卡龙 | 19.00 | -2.96% | 21.62万 | 4.07亿 | | 603900 | 苹绅通灵 | 10.64 | -2.92% | 25.36万 | 2.70亿 | | 002731 | 萃华珠宝 | 14.07 | -2.43% | 15.07万 | 2.12亿 | | 600735 | 新华锦 | 7.96 | -1.97% | 15.51万 | 1.24亿 | | 000017 | 深中华A | 6.52 | -1.95% | 25.25万 | 1.66亿 | | 605599 | 菜自股份 | 15.36 | -1.29% | 6.42万 | 9839.44万 | | 002721 | 金―文化 | 3.86 | -1.28% | 149.36万 | 5.76 ...

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: A-Share Industry Rotation Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The model uses six factors—funds, valuation, sentiment, momentum, overbought/oversold, and profitability—to build a scoring system for evaluating industry performance[16] - **Model Construction Process**: - **Funds**: Uses the net inflow rate of main funds in the industry as the primary data - **Valuation**: Based on the valuation percentile of the industry over the past year - **Sentiment**: Proportion of rising constituent stocks as the main data source - **Momentum**: Uses the MACD indicator as the primary data source - **Overbought/Oversold**: Relies on the RSI indicator - **Profitability**: Based on the consensus forecast EPS percentile of the industry over the past year[16] - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides a comprehensive scoring mechanism to identify high-performing and low-performing industries, aiding in sector rotation decisions[16] 2. Model Name: Consensus Stock Selection Model - **Model Construction Idea**: Combines momentum, valuation, and price factors with high-frequency fund flow data to identify stocks with high similarity between fund flow trends and price trends[21] - **Model Construction Process**: - Selects high-performing secondary industries over the past 30 days - Calculates momentum, valuation, and frequency of price increases for stocks within these industries - Uses high-frequency minute-level fund flow data to compute fund inflow/outflow changes for each stock - Selects stocks with the highest similarity between fund flow trends and price trends within the top three secondary industries[21] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. A-Share Industry Rotation Model - **Top-Scoring Industries**: - Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery: Score 10 - Non-Ferrous Metals: Score 9 - Home Appliances: Score 6 - **Low-Scoring Industries**: - Media: Score -9 - Social Services: Score -8 - Computers: Score -8[18][19] 2. Consensus Stock Selection Model - **Selected Industries**: - Steel (e.g., Baosteel, Bengang Steel Plates) - Components (e.g., Huilun Crystal, GaoHua Technology) - Minor Metals (e.g., Jinduicheng Molybdenum, Xiyang Shares)[22] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Funds - **Construction Idea**: Measures the net inflow of main funds in the industry - **Construction Process**: Aggregates daily transactions of ≥10,000 shares or ≥200,000 RMB to calculate net fund inflow for each industry[11] 2. Factor Name: Valuation - **Construction Idea**: Evaluates the relative valuation percentile of the industry over the past year - **Construction Process**: Uses historical valuation data to determine the percentile ranking of the current valuation[16] 3. Factor Name: Sentiment - **Construction Idea**: Reflects market sentiment through the proportion of rising stocks in the industry - **Construction Process**: Calculates the percentage of stocks with positive price changes within the industry[16] 4. Factor Name: Momentum - **Construction Idea**: Captures the trend strength of the industry - **Construction Process**: Utilizes the MACD indicator to measure momentum[16] 5. Factor Name: Overbought/Oversold - **Construction Idea**: Identifies overbought or oversold conditions in the industry - **Construction Process**: Applies the RSI indicator to assess these conditions[16] 6. Factor Name: Profitability - **Construction Idea**: Measures the earnings potential of the industry - **Construction Process**: Uses the consensus forecast EPS percentile over the past year as the primary metric[16] --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. Funds Factor - **Top Industries (5-day net inflow)**: - Banking: 39.08 billion RMB - Textiles and Apparel: 0.61 billion RMB - Non-Ferrous Metals: -0.97 billion RMB[12] - **Top Industries (30-day net inflow)**: - Comprehensive: -9.49 billion RMB - Banking: -13.75 billion RMB - Beauty and Personal Care: -26.15 billion RMB[13][14] 2. Valuation Factor - **Top-Scoring Industries**: - Non-Ferrous Metals: +++ - Comprehensive: +++ - Beauty and Personal Care: +++[18][19] 3. Sentiment Factor - **Top-Scoring Industries**: - Non-Ferrous Metals: +++ - Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery: ++ - Textiles and Apparel: ++[18][19] 4. Momentum Factor - **Top-Scoring Industries**: - Non-Ferrous Metals: +++ - Transportation: +++ - Comprehensive: +++[18][19] 5. Overbought/Oversold Factor - **Top-Scoring Industries**: - Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery: Neutral - Non-Ferrous Metals: Neutral - Home Appliances: Neutral[18][19] 6. Profitability Factor - **Top-Scoring Industries**: - Non-Ferrous Metals: +++ - Comprehensive: +++ - Home Appliances: +[18][19]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the IP toy sector, paper industry, and home furnishing sector, highlighting specific companies to watch [2][4][17]. Core Insights - The IP toy market continues to thrive, with Sanrio's FY26Q1 performance exceeding expectations, driven by strong IP character sales, particularly Hello Kitty, across various regions [2][4]. - The paper industry is entering a peak demand season in Q3, with expectations for price stabilization and potential upward movement due to supply-side improvements [14][15]. - The home furnishing sector is poised for recovery as Beijing relaxes housing purchase restrictions, which may enhance valuation and stimulate demand [17][19]. Summary by Sections 1. IP Toy Sector - Sanrio's FY26Q1 revenue reached 431 billion JPY, a 49% year-on-year increase, with operating profit up 88% and net profit up 38%, attributed to strong IP character performance [2][4]. - Companies such as Morning Glory, Chuangyuan, Chaohongji, Guobo, and Blucor are highlighted for their innovative IP collaborations and product launches [2][4][6][9][10]. 2. Paper Industry - The report notes that Q3 demand is gradually increasing, with expectations for paper prices to stabilize and potentially rise, supported by reduced production from overseas suppliers [14][15]. - Key companies to monitor include Sun Paper, Nine Dragons, and Bohui Paper, as they are positioned to benefit from the improving supply-demand dynamics [14][15]. 3. Home Furnishing Sector - The easing of purchase restrictions in Beijing is expected to boost the home furnishing sector, with companies like Sophia, Oppein, Gujia, and others identified as having strong dividend safety margins [17][19][23]. - The report emphasizes the potential for valuation recovery in the home furnishing sector, driven by improved consumer confidence and demand from the secondary housing market [19][23].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of differentiated membership stores, such as the WS Jiangtun membership store launched by Wushang Group in Wuhan, which focuses on unique products and services [5][24] - The report emphasizes the importance of emotional consumption themes and recommends high-quality companies in sectors like gold jewelry, offline retail, cosmetics, and medical aesthetics [8][29] Summary by Sections Retail Market Review - The retail industry index reported a decline of 0.38% for the week of August 4 to August 8, 2025, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 2.11% [14][21] - The jewelry sector showed the highest growth among retail sub-sectors, with a weekly increase of 6.07% and a year-to-date increase of 32.99% [16][19] Retail Insights - Wushang Group's WS Jiangtun membership store adopts a "paid membership + selected products" model, aiming to provide a differentiated shopping experience [5][24] - The store features a dual membership structure with basic and diamond tiers, enhancing customer engagement and loyalty [25] Investment Recommendations - Focus on gold jewelry brands with differentiated product offerings and consumer insights, recommending companies like Laopu Gold and Chaohongji [8][29] - Highlight the potential of offline retail companies that adapt to consumer trends, recommending Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi [8][29] - Emphasize the growth of domestic cosmetics brands, recommending companies like Maogeping and Pola [8][29] - Suggest investment in medical aesthetics firms with differentiated product lines, recommending Aimeike and Kedi-B [8][29] Company Performance Highlights - Laopu Gold achieved a revenue of 8.506 billion yuan in FY2024, with a net profit increase of 253.9% [31][36] - Yonghui Supermarket reported a revenue of 17.479 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a significant decline in net profit [31] - Chaohongji's Q1 2025 revenue increased by 25.4%, driven by its focus on fashion jewelry [43]

近年来，黄金珠宝被纳入新消费的范畴，古法、国潮等概念逐渐成为金饰行业的热点。业内人士认为， 黄金珠宝行业正在经历品牌转型升级的大周期，消费者更关注产品本身的创新和差异化。其中，古法 金、小克重等品类成为市场焦点，年轻群体在黄金首饰消费者中的占比持续提升，驱动品牌在款式、工 艺及IP联名上不断突破。 加码年轻化布局 老铺黄金又迎来了新一波排队潮。8月2日，老铺黄金全新门店在上海新天地开业，并给出开业限时折 扣，吸引众多消费者前来购物。中国证券报记者实探发现，现场排队需要两小时左右，但即便如此，消 费者仍络绎不绝，甚至有消费者笑称"一代人有一代人的鸡蛋要抢。" "公司一直坚持打造最受年轻人喜欢的东方时尚品牌，围绕这个品牌战略定位，我们一直在产品力上坚 持差异化，近几年产品力优势辅以终端精细化运营，逐渐凸显出效果，在一季度也有比较好的表现。相 信我们继续坚持这个战略定位，未来几年仍能持续保持较好的增长。"潮宏基进一步称。 从渠道为王到产品制胜 站在上海新天地老铺黄金门外的长队中，能清晰感受到消费市场的脉动变化：Z世代消费者讨论花丝工 艺的精细度，中年夫妇计算金价涨幅与工费比例，代购主播镜头对准錾刻的细节。 这些场景 ...

Group 1 - The gold jewelry industry is experiencing a transformation with a focus on brand upgrades and consumer preferences shifting towards innovative and differentiated products [1][4] - Young consumers are increasingly driving demand for gold jewelry, moving from a singular focus on value preservation to a multi-faceted approach that includes cultural recognition and emotional value [1][2] - The rise of IP collaborations in gold jewelry, particularly appealing to younger demographics, is becoming a significant growth engine for the industry [2][3] Group 2 - Companies are enhancing their product offerings by integrating cultural and emotional values, aiming to create unique products that resonate with younger consumers [3][4] - The industry is transitioning from a focus on store expansion to prioritizing product quality and brand differentiation, reflecting a shift in consumer expectations [4] - The emergence of brands like Laopu Gold is leading the industry towards a more brand-centric and high-end development model, which is expected to increase customer loyalty and profitability [4]

华鑫证券研报指出，潮宏基终端销售逆势高增，门店扩张稳步推进。7月，公司推出黄油小熊联名系列 产品，并将其送上《费加罗》中文版杂志封面，成功出圈，杂志封面定制款限定小熊开售秒售罄，首发 当晚抖音旗舰店实时在线人数破5万，刷新品牌直播新纪录。公司紧抓年轻人悦己消费心理，构建起差 异化IP矩阵，精准把控从产品上市到销售爆发全过程节奏，通过挖掘绑定高热场景提升产品使用价值与 情感共鸣，激发消费者主动分享与传播的热情，从而引爆社交裂变。公司差异化定位年轻时尚消费群体 品牌，凭借强大的产品设计能力构建起丰富的产品矩阵，非遗文化融合与潮流IP联名具备爆款潜力，海 外市场拓展顺利，未来盈利可观。首次覆盖，给予"买入"投资评级。 ...

华鑫证券研报指出，潮宏基终端销售逆势高增，门店扩张稳步推进。7月，公司推出黄油小熊联名系列 产品，并将其送上《费加罗》中文版杂志封面，成功出圈，杂志封面定制款限定小熊开售秒售罄，首发 当晚抖音旗舰店实时在线人数破5万，刷新品牌直播新纪录。公司紧抓年轻人悦己消费心理，构建起差 异化IP矩阵，精准把控从产品上市到销售爆发全过程节奏，通过挖掘绑定高热场景提升产品使用价值与 情感共鸣，激发消费者主动分享与传播的热情，从而引爆社交裂变。公司差异化定位年轻时尚消费群体 品牌，凭借强大的产品设计能力构建起丰富的产品矩阵，非遗文化融合与潮流IP联名具备爆款潜力，海 外市场拓展顺利，未来盈利可观。首次覆盖，给予"买入"投资评级。 ...

莱绅通灵封涨停，曼卡龙、潮宏基涨超5%，迪阿股份、飞亚达、菜百股份、萃华珠宝等跟涨。 (本文来自第一财经) ...