Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a bullish sentiment towards gold, driven by geopolitical tensions and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3][4][6] - The Gold ETF (159937) has shown a year-to-date increase of 26.23%, with a trading volume of 68.3 million on August 29 [1] - Spot gold prices have recently surpassed the $3400 mark, trading around $3412.65 per ounce, with a daily high of $3419.22 and a low of $3407.70 [3] Group 2 - Geopolitical risks, particularly the recent airstrikes by Israel on Houthi forces in Yemen, have heightened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3][6] - The market anticipates an 87% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, which typically supports gold prices [4] - Analysts from Dongwu Futures and Everbright Futures suggest that the upcoming Fed meeting and ongoing geopolitical tensions will likely keep gold prices strong in the short term [5][6] Group 3 - The long-term outlook for gold remains positive due to persistent global inflation, economic recovery uncertainties, and increasing central bank gold purchases [6] - Gold ETFs and related funds offer low-cost, diversified investment opportunities, allowing investors to hedge against market volatility [6]

来源：智通财经 今日开盘，中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数(931238)强势上涨2.71%，成分股江西铜业股份(00358)上涨 10.66%，中国黄金国际(02099)上涨10.03%，江西铜业(600362)上涨7.67%，万国黄金集团(03939)，潮宏 基(002345)等个股跟涨。$黄金股ETF(517520)$上涨2.73%。 近期多家黄金矿企发布财务报告，显示业绩显著增长。如昨日成分股江西铜业股份(00358.HK)发布公 告，2025年1-6月，公司实现营业收入人民币2,569.59亿元，归属于上市公司股东净利润人民币41.75亿 元，同比增长15.42%；8 月27 日，紫金矿业(601899)公司发布2025 年半年报：公司实现营业收入 1677.11 亿元，同比增长11.5%，实现归母净利润232.92 亿元，同比增长54.41%。 消息面上，美国二季度实际GDP年化修正值环比增3.3%，增幅高于预期值3.1%和初值3%；二季度核心 个人消费支出（PCE）物价指数年化修正值环比增2.5%，与初值一致，但低于预期值2.6%。 美联储理事丽莎·库克已于8月28日在华盛顿联邦法院提起诉讼，对唐纳德 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 08 月 28 日 潮宏基（002345.SZ） 25H1 盈利能力显著提升，下半年开店有望提速 消费品/商业 25H1 公司实现收入 41.02 亿元/+19.54%，归母净利润 3.31 亿元/+44.34%； 25Q2 收入 18.50 亿元/+13.13%，归母净利润 1.42 亿元/+44.29%。上半年产品 结构优化带动毛利率改善，规模效应下费用率持续优化，盈利能力显著提升。 渠道端上半年进行直营店调整，下半年开店有望提速。预计公司 2025-2027 年 归母净利润分别为 4.98 亿、6.30 亿、7.61 亿，对应 25PE25.6X，维持"强烈 推荐"评级。 强烈推荐（维持） 目标估值：NA 当前股价：14.36 元 基础数据 | 总股本（百万股） | 889 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股（百万股） | 867 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 12.8 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 12.5 | | 每股净资产（MRQ） | 4.1 | | ROE（TTM） | 8.1 | | 资产负债率 | 36.3% | | 主要股东 ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic gold market remains stable with some fluctuations in prices among different brands, while gold recycling prices have decreased [1][4]. Price Summary - The overall gold prices in domestic stores are stable, with some brands experiencing slight increases. For instance, Lao Miao Gold increased by 2 yuan to 1012 yuan per gram, while Zhou Shengsheng remains the highest at 1014 yuan per gram. Shanghai China Gold remains the lowest at 969 yuan per gram, maintaining a price difference of 45 yuan per gram among stores [1][3]. - The latest prices for various brands are as follows: - Lao Miao Gold: 1012 yuan/gram (up 2) - Liufu Gold: 1009 yuan/gram (no change) - Zhou Dafu Gold: 1009 yuan/gram (no change) - Zhou Liufu Gold: 985 yuan/gram (no change) [1][2][3]. Recycling Price Summary - The gold recycling price has decreased by 8.3 yuan per gram, with the following prices reported: - General Gold: 769.80 yuan/gram - Cai Bai Gold: 775.30 yuan/gram - Zhou Shengsheng Gold: 767.60 yuan/gram - Zhou Dafu Gold: 773.90 yuan/gram - Lao Fengxiang Gold: 782.60 yuan/gram [4][6]. International Gold Price Summary - The international gold price showed fluctuations, closing at 3396.59 USD/ounce with a rise of 0.81%. As of the latest report, it has decreased to 3388.09 USD/ounce, reflecting a drop of 0.25% [6]. - The recent increase in gold prices is attributed to market concerns regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve and heightened geopolitical tensions, leading to increased investor risk aversion [6]. - Market expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September stand at 87.2%, with a 49% expectation for October [6].

纺织服饰行业 标配（首次） 国潮崛起，古法工艺引领黄金新消费 新消费系列深度报告 分析师：邓升亮 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523050001 电话：0769-22119410 邮箱： dengshengliang@dgzq.com.cn 分析师：谢雄雄 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523110002 电话：0769-22110925 邮箱： xiexiongxiong@dgzq.com.cn 申万纺织服饰指数走势 资料来源：iFind，东莞证券研究所 相关报告 投资要点： 研 究 报 告 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 深 度 研 究 行 业 研 究 2025 年 8 月 28 日 证 券 ◼ 中国珠宝市场规模在2029年有望超9000亿。在中国，随着购买力持 续提升及日常佩戴需求日益多样化，珠宝市场表现出稳健增长态势，规 模从2019年的6100亿元稳步攀升至2024年的7280亿元，复合年增长率达 3.6%。展望未来，在消费者自我满足需求增强、潮流敏感度提高，以及 数字零售与 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company's mid-year report for 2025 is in line with expectations, with H1 revenue of 4.102 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.5%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 331 million yuan, up 44.3% year-on-year [7] - Product optimization and accelerated new product launches are driving high revenue growth and improving profit margins, with significant contributions from the fashion jewelry and traditional gold segments [7] - The company is expanding its offline channels, with a net increase of 31 stores in H1 2025, while online sales are also showing positive adjustments [7] - The focus on the main brand and the development of a multi-brand strategy is enhancing brand strength, with a steady increase in brand visibility through various marketing initiatives [7] - The company is pursuing international expansion in Southeast Asia, opening several stores and targeting the overseas Chinese community, which presents significant long-term market potential [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to reach 7.719 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 18.4% [3] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 561 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a substantial year-on-year increase of 189.7% [3] - Earnings per share are forecasted to be 0.63 yuan in 2025, with a projected PE ratio of 23 [3] - The company's gross margin is expected to be 24.1% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 14.8% [3] Market Data - As of August 27, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock is 14.36 yuan, with a market capitalization of 12.454 billion yuan [4] - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 3.5 and a dividend yield of 2.44% [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the overall performance suggests a positive outlook based on revenue and profit growth [1][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.102 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.54%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 331 million yuan, up 44.34% year-on-year [1]. - The company successfully expanded its franchise operations, exceeding its original store opening targets for the first half of 2025, with significant growth in franchise revenue [3]. - The company is making strides in international markets, having opened stores in Cambodia and planning further expansions in Malaysia and Thailand [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the second quarter of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.85 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.13%, with a net profit of 142 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 44.29% year-on-year [1][2]. - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 24.88%, an increase of 1.58 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to benefits from direct sales channels and product mix optimization [2]. - The company’s revenue from different channels in the first half of 2025 was as follows: self-operated stores (1.17 billion yuan), online (570 million yuan), franchise (2.24 billion yuan), and wholesale (100 million yuan), with franchise revenue growing by 36% year-on-year [3]. Profitability Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 8 billion yuan, 9.6 billion yuan, and 11.3 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22%, 20%, and 19% [4]. - The projected net profits for the same years are 523 million yuan, 649 million yuan, and 768 million yuan, with significant growth expected in 2025 at 170% year-on-year [4].

预计公司2025-2027 年实现归母净利润4.9/5.9/7.0 亿元。对应PE 分别为27.9/23.2/19.6 倍，上调至"买 入"评级。 风险提示：金价波动，开店不及预期，消费下行等。 投资建议：我们认为，公司高景气度延续，品牌势能与渠道扩张双轮驱动。 事件：公司发布半年报，上半年实现营业收入41.02 亿元，同比增长19.54%；归母净利润3.31 亿元，同 比增长44.34%。单二季度，实现营业收入18.5 亿元，同比增长13.13%；毛利率24.9%，同比增长 1.58pct；归母净利润1.42亿元，同比增长44.29%；归母净利率7.7%，同比提升1.7pct。 拆分看，1）分渠道：上半年，自营渠道收入11.7 亿元，yoy+4.8%，毛利率37.79%（yoy+2.4pct）；网 络渠道收入5.6 亿元，yoy-5.8%，毛利率24.38%（yoy+1.68pct）；加盟代理收入22.4 亿元， yoy+36.24%，毛利率16.81%（yoy-0.38pct）。2）分品类：上半年，时尚珠宝产品收入19.9 亿元， yoy+20.33%，占比48.53%，毛利率27.43%（yoy-1.0 ...

证券之星消息，根据市场公开信息及8月26日披露的机构调研信息，融通基金近期对3家上市公司进行了调研，相关名单如下： 融通基金成立于2001年，截至目前，资产管理规模(全部公募基金)1541.98亿元，排名47/210；资产管理规模(非货币公募基金)752.13亿元，排名 57/210；管理公募基金数174只，排名42/210；旗下公募基金经理39人，排名30/210。旗下最近一年表现最佳的公募基金产品为融通中证云计算与 大数据主题指数(LOF)A，最新单位净值为1.71，近一年增长108.3%。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成投资建议。 1）汇嘉时代 （融通基金参与公司特定对象调研&电话会议） 调研纪要：乌鲁木齐北京路购物中心超市生鲜品类占比提升1.87%，熟食增5%，面包烘焙增0.8%，优化联营商与供应链，引进本地品牌，升级包 装与设备。上半年调改涵盖设立成长基金、优化商品结构、尝试自营鲜食与烘焙、推进日清计划、更新设施、取消强制动线、加强服务培训。公 司高度重视投资者回报，努力提升分红收益。百货门店调改聚焦品牌级次提升与首店 ...

调研纪要：2025年上半年公司营业收入2.96亿元，同比增长27.93%，归母净利润亏损1,431.34万元。收入增长主要因仁和厂区募投项目投产，折旧 增加导致利润下滑。产品结构方面，有色光电基膜占45.46%，透明膜占42.62%，其他功能膜占10.84%。功能膜业务由太阳能背板膜转向窗膜领 域。碳纤维项目自2024年第三季度启动，目前处于工程建设及设备安装阶段。碳纤维工艺包括纺丝、预氧化、碳化、表面处理和上浆等环节，产 品应用于民用航空、3C数码、低空飞行器等领域。公司竞争力体现在技术研发、设备改造、工艺配方和全流程质量控制等方面。 4）潮宏基 （西部利得基金参与公司电话会议） 证券之星消息，根据市场公开信息及8月26日披露的机构调研信息，西部利得基金近期对5家上市公司进行了调研，相关名单如下： 1）汉朔科技 （西部利得基金参与公司特定对象调研&分析师会议） 调研纪要：2025年上半年汉朔科技业绩有所下降，主要受美国关税影响、客户订单节奏及毛利率下降影响。扣非净利润与净利润差异主要来自购 买外汇远期合约损失。公司坚持技术创新，拓展IoT智能硬件及零售门店数字能源管理业务，电子价签升级为多功能核心设备。公司 ...