Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" for the textile and apparel industry [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that Chaohongji plans to go public in Hong Kong, and Xuezhongfei has proposed a strategic initiative of "brand enhancement and innovative breakthroughs" [1][6]. - The jewelry business of Chaohongji achieved a revenue of 392.4 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 21.2%, while the handbag business saw a decline of 17.4% [17][18]. - The report notes a significant increase in same-store sales for Chaohongji's jewelry business, with self-operated stores growing by 26.5% and franchise stores by 32.0% in the first half of 2025 [18]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The textile and apparel sector saw a decline of 0.26% this week, while the light industry manufacturing sector fell by 0.58%. The SW textile and apparel sector outperformed the market by 0.19 percentage points [19]. - The SW textile manufacturing sub-sector increased by 0.76%, and the SW apparel and home textile sub-sector rose by 0.66% [19]. Company Performance - The report lists the top five companies in the textile and apparel sector by weekly performance: Taimushi (+61.05%), Hongdou (+26.14%), Baoxini (+22.51%), Xingye Technology (+19.90%), and Xinhua Jin (+10.39%) [28]. - Conversely, the bottom five performers included Mankalon (-10.80%), Laishen Tongling (-8.78%), Meibang Apparel (-7.48%), Mingpai Jewelry (-7.35%), and Dia Shares (-7.05%) [28]. Industry Data Tracking - The report provides insights into raw material prices, noting that the cotton price index was 15,283 yuan/ton, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2% [33]. - For the first eight months of 2025, China's textile and apparel exports amounted to 94.513 billion and 102.761 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.6% and a decline of 1.7%, respectively [48]. - In August 2025, the domestic retail sales totaled 3.97 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.4% [55]. Industry News - Skechers has completed its privatization and delisting from the New York Stock Exchange, with a transaction price exceeding 9 billion USD [6][67]. - Xuezhongfei debuted its new ice and snow series at the China International Fashion Week, emphasizing its strategic goal to become the leading brand in China's ice and snow down jackets [68][70]. - VF Corporation announced the sale of its Dickies brand for 600 million USD to Bluestar Alliance, aligning with its strategy to focus on core outdoor brands [71][73].

Core Viewpoint - The gold industry has discovered a new market by collaborating with popular anime and gaming IPs, creating a unique product known as "pain gold" that appeals to younger consumers and has seen significant demand and price increases. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Many gold jewelry brands are now linking with anime and gaming IPs to create gold accessories, leading to a surge in popularity and sales [1][4] - The phenomenon of "pain gold" refers to the willingness of fans to spend large amounts of money on gold items featuring their favorite characters, resulting in sold-out products and high demand in the secondary market [4][5] - The price of "pain gold" items often exceeds traditional gold prices, with some products priced at 2-3 times the market rate for gold [20][21][25] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Young consumers are increasingly drawn to "pain gold" as it combines emotional value with investment potential, allowing them to indulge in their interests while also acquiring a valuable asset [46][47] - The trend has led to a younger demographic becoming a significant consumer group for gold, with a reported 294% year-on-year increase in transactions for IP gold products on platforms like Taobao [57] - The appeal of "pain gold" lies in its perceived value and the ability to purchase gold items at relatively low weights, making them more accessible to younger buyers [52][56] Group 3: Industry Response - Traditional gold brands are adapting to attract younger consumers by innovating their product offerings and marketing strategies, including collaborations with popular IPs [68][73] - The emergence of "pain gold" has revitalized the gold market, providing a new avenue for growth despite rising gold prices that have dampened some consumer demand [44][78] - Brands are increasingly focusing on creating unique and collectible gold items that resonate with the interests of younger consumers, positioning themselves as both luxury and investment options [39][76]

Group 1: Domestic Gold Market - Domestic gold prices continue to rise, with overall prices approaching 1100 yuan per gram, as seen in various brand stores [1] - The highest price is from Chow Sang Sang at 1100 yuan per gram, while the lowest is from Shanghai China Gold at 1011 yuan per gram, resulting in a price difference of 89 yuan [1] - Specific gold prices from major brands include: Lao Miao at 1097 yuan, Liufu at 1098 yuan, and Zhou Dafu at 1098 yuan, all showing an increase of 10-13 yuan [1] Group 2: Platinum Prices - Platinum jewelry prices have also increased, with Chow Sang Sang's platinum price rising by 5 yuan per gram to 572 yuan per gram [1] Group 3: Gold Recovery Prices - The gold recovery price has surged by 13.2 yuan per gram, with various brand recovery prices showing significant differences [2] - Specific recovery prices include: 838.00 yuan for gold, 843.50 yuan for Cai Zhi, and 851.00 yuan for Lao Feng Xiang [2] Group 4: International Gold Market - Spot gold prices have reached a historical high of 3748.65 USD per ounce, closing at 3746.36 USD per ounce with a 1.68% increase [4] - Current spot gold is reported at 3755.17 USD per ounce, indicating a 0.24% rise, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and a declining dollar index [4] - Geopolitical events, including the French debt crisis and Middle East tensions, have heightened market risk aversion, further supporting gold prices [4] - The shift in gold market dynamics includes increased participation from Western institutional investors, as evidenced by rising gold ETF holdings [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company,潮宏基, is seeking to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to leverage its unique positioning in the K-gold jewelry market amidst a wave of traditional brands pursuing capital market opportunities [2][7]. Group 1: Company Strategy and Positioning -潮宏基 has differentiated itself by focusing on K-gold design and brand building rather than traditional gold jewelry, positioning itself as a "creative fashion jewelry" brand inspired by international luxury brands [2][3]. - The company has invested significantly in its design team, with R&D expenses reaching 46.96 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2023, far exceeding competitors like老凤祥 and周大生, despite its smaller revenue scale [3]. -潮宏基's unique approach has led to breakthroughs in 3D/5D hard gold technology, enhancing the quality and design of K-gold products, and it holds a leading number of patents in this field [3][4]. Group 2: Market Performance and Challenges - Despite its success in the K-gold segment,潮宏基 missed the opportunity during the explosive growth of the gold consumption market from 2013 to 2019, resulting in a drop to ninth place in market share [5]. - The company has begun to adjust its strategy by diversifying its product matrix and shifting from self-operated to franchise models, although this has led to a decline in overall profit margins [5][6]. - As of 2024,潮宏基 aims for a balanced revenue structure with approximately 45% from both gold and fashion jewelry, allowing it to benefit from market fluctuations [6]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Internationalization -潮宏基's decision to pursue a dual listing (A+H) reflects its ambition to balance growth between gold and fashion jewelry while expanding into international markets [7][9]. - The company is implementing a multi-brand strategy to cater to diverse consumer needs, including brands like VENTI and Soufflé, aiming to broaden its market reach [7]. -潮宏基 is enhancing its marketing efforts by creating jewelry culture experience centers and collaborating with cultural IPs, moving away from traditional promotional strategies [8].

Core Viewpoint - Guangdong Chao Hong Ji Industrial Co., Ltd. (潮宏基) has submitted an application for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming for a dual listing in both A-shares and H-shares to enhance its global strategy and brand image [1][37]. Financial Performance - Chao Hong Ji's revenue for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025 were approximately 4.36 billion, 5.84 billion, 6.45 billion, and 4.06 billion RMB respectively, showing year-on-year growth rates of 33.73%, 10.56%, 19.59%, and a significant increase in the first half of 2025 compared to previous years [2][3][4]. - The net profit figures for the same periods were 205 million, 330 million, 169 million, and 333 million RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 60.98%, -48.79%, and 44.07% [2][3][4]. Market Position - Chao Hong Ji ranks first in the mainland China fashion jewelry market with a market share of 1.4% as of 2024 [2]. - The company has a diversified brand portfolio, including CHJ潮宏基, CHJ·ZHEN臻, and others targeting different market segments [2]. Sales Channels - As of mid-2025, Chao Hong Ji operated 1,542 jewelry stores, including 201 self-operated and 1,337 franchised stores, along with four overseas stores [7][8]. - The revenue contribution from self-operated stores has decreased from 37.4% in 2022 to 27.3% in the first half of 2025, while the contribution from franchised networks has increased from 32.5% to 54.6% [10][11]. Profitability and Cost Structure - The overall gross margin of Chao Hong Ji has declined from 29.3% in 2022 to 22.6% in 2024, with a slight recovery to 23.1% in the first half of 2025 [5][6]. - The gross margin for self-operated stores was significantly higher than that of franchised networks, indicating a shift in profitability dynamics [8][9]. Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to open 20 CHJ jewelry stores overseas by the end of 2028, focusing on markets in Southeast Asia [8][37]. - Chao Hong Ji aims to leverage traditional cultural elements in its product designs to appeal to younger consumers, aligning with the rising trend of "Guochao" (national tide) [30][31]. Competitive Landscape - The jewelry market is highly competitive, with significant pressure from fluctuating gold prices and increasing operational costs [5][16]. - Chao Hong Ji's reliance on gold as a primary raw material poses risks, as it accounted for 94.4% to 98.3% of total material procurement during the reporting period [16]. Future Outlook - The company is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for gold jewelry, particularly among younger consumers who value design and craftsmanship [30][31]. - Chao Hong Ji's IPO is seen as a strategic move to enhance its international presence and capitalize on the global market for fashion jewelry [38].

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in international gold prices has led to an increase in domestic gold jewelry prices, with significant price adjustments observed across various brands [1][4][6]. Price Adjustments - As of September 22, the spot gold price reached a peak of 3719 yuan, reflecting a 0.85% increase [1]. - Domestic gold jewelry prices have risen, with per gram prices hovering around 1090 yuan [1]. - The price increase for fixed-price gold jewelry varies, with some items seeing price hikes from hundreds to thousands of yuan [4]. Consumer Behavior - There has been a noticeable increase in consumer interest in fixed-price gold jewelry, attributed to the lag in price adjustments compared to rising gold prices [6]. - Some consumers express concerns about the high premiums associated with fixed-price products, indicating that the perceived value may not justify the cost [6][7]. Brand Responses - Several brands, including Chow Tai Fook and Chao Hong Ji, have begun updating their price tags in response to the rising gold prices, with some stores changing prices overnight [2][4]. - Chow Tai Fook has confirmed that fixed-price gold products will see price increases starting in October, with specific adjustments to be announced later [5]. Market Dynamics - The increase in gold prices has led to a mixed response from consumers, with some viewing fixed-price items as a better deal in the short term, while others criticize the high labor costs associated with these products [6][7]. - The overall market trend will depend on future fluctuations in gold prices and the timing of brand price adjustments [7].

Core Viewpoint - The company is focused on creating high-value brand products and has successfully launched several high-weight series products that have increased customer satisfaction and average transaction value [1] Group 1 - The company has introduced high-weight series products such as Zhenjin Zhenzuan, Fanhua, Huang Caishen, and Palace Culture, which have been well-received by customers [1] - The company aims to continue enhancing its product offerings based on customer needs and to strengthen its brand product capabilities [1] - The company is committed to establishing a leading position in the industry by focusing on non-heritage flower silk, traditional high craftsmanship, trendy beading, and IP fields [1]

Group 1 - The company announced on September 22 that its profits primarily come from product design and services [2] - The company indicated that fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by various factors, and it will use hedging tools to mitigate the impact of gold price volatility on its profits [2]

Core Viewpoint - The rise of national trends and the demand for personalization and light luxury are driving the continuous expansion of the Chinese jewelry market, with market size expected to grow from 610 billion yuan in 2020 to 728 billion yuan in 2024, and projected to reach 937 billion yuan by 2029, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 5.2% from 2024 to 2029 [1] Company Overview - Chao Hong Ji focuses on jewelry and fashion handbag sectors, with approximately 90% of its revenue coming from jewelry business between 2022 and the first half of 2025 [2] - The company operates two core brands: "CHJ Chao Hong Ji," established in 1997, and "FION," a well-known handbag brand acquired in 2014 [4] - As of the end of June 2025, Chao Hong Ji had a market capitalization exceeding 13.4 billion yuan [1] Financial Performance - Chao Hong Ji's revenue has shown an upward trend, with figures of approximately 4.36 billion yuan in 2022, 5.84 billion yuan in 2023, 6.45 billion yuan in 2024, and 4.06 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [9] - The company's gross profit margin has declined from 29.3% in 2022 to 23.1% in the first half of 2025, attributed to lower sales of higher-margin products [9] - The company’s trade receivables increased from approximately 266 million yuan to 370 million yuan from 2022 to the first half of 2025, indicating potential risks in timely collection [8] Market Dynamics - The jewelry market in China is characterized by high supplier concentration, with the top five suppliers accounting for over 70% of total procurement [6] - The jewelry industry is facing intense competition, with Chao Hong Ji ranking 9th among jewelry companies in China by revenue, holding a market share of 0.8% [16] - The demand for gold jewelry remains strong, with gold jewelry expected to account for 72% of total sales revenue by 2024, while the fashion jewelry market has seen a decline [12][15] IPO and Future Plans - Chao Hong Ji has submitted an IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to raise funds for establishing 20 self-operated stores overseas and opening three flagship stores in mainland China [20] - The company plans to balance expansion and profitability amid the challenges of a shrinking fashion jewelry market and increasing accounts receivable [20]

Group 1 - On September 18, Guangdong Chao Hong Ji Industrial Co., Ltd. held a significant research event attended by 67 institutions including CITIC Securities, Rongtong Fund, and Chongshan Investment, located at their Shenzhen office [1] - The event began with a tour of the company's ordering exhibition hall, followed by a Q&A session where participants discussed store openings, overseas store conditions, product structure changes, and new product planning [1] - The entire communication process adhered strictly to relevant regulations, ensuring no undisclosed material information was leaked during the event [1]