Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][9] Core Views - The company is experiencing pressure on performance due to increased investments, but is actively repurchasing shares to stabilize investor confidence [6] - The company reported a revenue of 225.26 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.89%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.31 billion yuan, up 9.07% year-on-year [7] - The company aims to achieve a net profit for Q4 2025 that is roughly flat year-on-year, with an overall annual growth in net profit [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: 258.41 billion yuan - 2024A: 284.42 billion yuan - 2025E: 314.08 billion yuan - 2026E: 345.71 billion yuan - 2027E: 383.33 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at -3% for 2023, 10% for 2024-2025, and 11% for 2027 [2][8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected as follows: - 2023A: 8.23 billion yuan - 2024A: 10.17 billion yuan - 2025E: 11.16 billion yuan - 2026E: 12.74 billion yuan - 2027E: 14.80 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 33% for 2023, 24% for 2024, and 10%-16% for 2025-2027 [2][8] - Earnings per share (EPS) projections are: - 2023A: 1.63 yuan - 2024A: 2.02 yuan - 2025E: 2.22 yuan - 2026E: 2.53 yuan - 2027E: 2.94 yuan [2][8] Market Position and Strategy - The company’s express logistics business revenue grew by 14.4% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with a volume of approximately 4.29 billion parcels, reflecting a 33.4% increase year-on-year [7] - The company has adjusted its share repurchase plan, increasing the total repurchase amount from a minimum of 5 billion yuan to a minimum of 15 billion yuan, with the implementation period extended [7]

Core Viewpoint - The express delivery industry is maintaining high growth, with varying profitability among major companies, and a trend towards high-quality development and increased use of automated technologies [3][4][5]. Financial Performance - Shentong achieved a revenue of 13.55 billion yuan in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 13.62%, with a net profit of 302 million yuan, up 40.32% [3]. - YTO Express reported a revenue of 18.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.73%, and a net profit of 1.046 billion yuan, up 10.97% [3]. - SF Express generated 78.4 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 8.2%, but its net profit fell by 8.5% to 2.57 billion yuan due to strategic investments [4]. - Yunda's revenue for the quarter was 12.66 billion yuan, up 3.29%, but its net profit dropped by 45.21% to 201 million yuan [4]. Industry Trends - The industry is shifting towards high-quality development, with companies focusing on service quality and differentiation [5]. - Yunda reported a decrease in gross margin due to rising costs, with a single ticket revenue of 1.92 yuan, down 0.16 yuan [5]. - The average price of express delivery increased by 0.5% in Q3, with specific companies reporting higher single ticket revenues [8]. Price Adjustments - Multiple provinces have raised express delivery prices, with early adjustments noted in Zhejiang province [8][9]. - The price hikes are driven by policy changes aimed at reducing vicious competition and improving service quality [10]. Technological Advancements - The use of automated devices is increasing, with companies like Jitu and Zhongtong investing in upgrades to improve efficiency [10][11]. - Zhongtong's fleet of over 2,900 unmanned delivery vehicles is operational, significantly reducing transportation costs and delivery times [11].

Core Viewpoint - SF Holding (06936.HK) announced the implementation of a share buyback program starting from September 3, 2025, with significant buyback activity reported by October 31, 2025 [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Buyback Details - On October 31, 2025, the company repurchased 4,970,000 A-shares at a total cost of approximately RMB 200,057,146.70 (excluding transaction fees), representing 0.10% of the current total share capital, with an average transaction price of RMB 40.25 per share [1] - As of October 31, 2025, the total shares repurchased amounted to 12.4 million, with a total expenditure of about RMB 500,046,453.35 (excluding transaction fees), accounting for 0.25% of the current total share capital, and an average price of RMB 40.32 per share [1]

Core Insights - The express delivery industry is maintaining high operational levels, with average prices stabilizing and showing signs of recovery in Q3 [1][6] - Companies are experiencing varied profitability trends, with some reporting revenue growth while others face declines in net profit [2][4] Financial Performance - Shentong reported Q3 revenue of 13.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.62%, and a net profit of 302 million yuan, up 40.32% [1] - YTO Express achieved Q3 revenue of 18.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.73%, with a net profit of 1.046 billion yuan, up 10.97% [1] - SF Express reported Q3 revenue of 78.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.2%, but a net profit decline of 8.5% to 2.57 billion yuan [2] - Yunda's Q3 revenue was 12.66 billion yuan, up 3.29%, but net profit fell 45.21% to 201 million yuan [2] Industry Trends - The industry is shifting towards high-quality development, with a focus on improving service quality and operational efficiency [2][4] - The average price of express delivery increased by 0.5% in Q3, with specific companies reporting higher single-ticket revenues [6] - The use of unmanned devices is becoming a significant trend, with companies investing in automation to enhance efficiency [7][8] Strategic Developments - Companies are enhancing their service offerings and operational capabilities, such as Yunda's integration of AI technologies for customer service [3] - The industry is witnessing consolidation, with Shentong's acquisition of Daniao Logistics for 362 million yuan approved by regulatory authorities [4] - International business is a growing focus, with SF Express reporting a 27% year-on-year increase in international express and cross-border e-commerce logistics revenue [3] Operational Efficiency - The deployment of unmanned vehicles is expected to reduce costs and improve delivery efficiency, with companies like Jitu and Zhongtong expanding their fleets [7][8] - Unmanned vehicles are reported to cut transportation costs by 50% and save significant delivery time [8]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that SF Holding (002352.SZ) has repurchased 12,402,648 A-shares through a special securities account, with a total amount of approximately RMB 500,046,453.35, which accounts for 0.25% of the company's total share capital [1] - The average transaction price for the repurchased shares was RMB 40.32 per share, with a maximum price of RMB 42.23 and a minimum price of RMB 39.66 [1]

顺丰控股（002352）发布A股回购进展公告，核心要点如下： 回购过程符合相关法律法规及公司既定方案，未在敏感期及禁止时段内操作，回购价格均低于当日涨幅 限制。 公司将根据市场情况继续实施回购，并按规定及时披露进展。 回购方案调整后，回购资金总额不低于15亿元且不超过30亿元，回购价格上限自2025年9月16日起调整 为59.10元/股，回购期限为2025年4月28日至2026年10月29日。 截至2025年10月31日，公司已通过集中竞价方式累计回购A股12,402,648股，回购总金额约5.00亿元，占 公司总股本0.25%，平均成交价40.32元/股（最高42.23元/股，最低39.66元/股）。 ...

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 呈交日期： 2025年10月31日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 A | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 否 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 002352 | 說明 | A股（於深圳交易所上市） | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數 目 | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份（不包括庫存股 份） ...

基于对未来发展前景的信心和对自身价值的高度认同，顺丰控股股份有限公 司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 4 月 28 日召开第六届董事会第二十次会议审 议通过《关于 2025 年第 1 期 A 股回购股份方案的议案》，并于 2025 年 10 月 30 日召开第六届董事会第二十五次会议审议通过《关于调整 2025 年第 1 期 A 股回 购股份方案的议案》，调整后本次回购股份方案为：回购资金总额不低于人民币 15 亿元且不超过人民币 30 亿元，回购股份的种类为公司发行的 A 股社会公众股， 回购价格不超过人民币 60 元/股1，回购实施期限自 2025 年 4 月 28 日起至 2026 年 10 月 29 日止。 证券代码：002352 证券简称：顺丰控股 公告编号：2025-084 顺丰控股股份有限公司 关于回购公司 A 股股份的进展公告 公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误导 性陈述或重大遗漏。 （1）自可能对本公司股票交易价格产生重大影响的重大事项发生之日或者 在决策过程中，至依法披露之日内； （2）中国证监会及深圳证券交易所规定的其他情形。 根据《深圳证券交 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained for both A-shares and H-shares [7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 78.403 billion RMB in Q3 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.21% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 1.81%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.571 billion RMB, which is a year-over-year decrease of 8.53% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 26.63%, falling short of expectations [1]. - The company is optimistic about the ongoing adjustments in its express logistics business and the transformation towards industry specialization, with international business benefiting from the trend of Chinese enterprises expanding overseas [1]. Summary by Sections Express Logistics - In Q3, the express logistics business generated a revenue growth of 14.4% year-over-year, with a total volume of 4.31 billion pieces, an increase of 33.4% year-over-year, surpassing the industry average growth of 13.3%. The company has activated its operational mechanisms, granting frontline management more authority and incentives [2]. - The gross margin for Q3 was 12.5%, down 1.6 percentage points year-over-year and 0.7 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, primarily due to the "first scale, then optimization" strategy which temporarily affected profitability [2]. Supply Chain and International Business - The supply chain and international business saw a revenue decline of 5.3% year-over-year in Q3, mainly due to the drop in sea freight prices affecting international freight forwarding. However, revenues from international express and cross-border e-commerce logistics grew rapidly, with logistics revenue in sectors like industrial equipment and consumer goods increasing by over 25% year-over-year [3]. Shareholder Returns - The company announced an increase in the share buyback plan for the first phase of 2025, raising the total amount from a minimum of 5 billion RMB to a minimum of 15 billion RMB, with a maximum of 30 billion RMB. As of September 30, the company had repurchased 7.4326 million A-shares for approximately 300 million RMB [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised down its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 by 9%, 9%, and 7% respectively, to 10.77 billion RMB, 12.92 billion RMB, and 14.94 billion RMB. The corresponding EPS estimates are 2.14 RMB, 2.56 RMB, and 2.96 RMB. The adjustments are attributed to the temporary impact on gross margins from the express logistics strategy and the time required to realize benefits from the industry transformation [5]. - The target price for A-shares is set at 53.10 RMB and for H-shares at 49.30 HKD, with the valuation multiples for 2026 estimated at 8.1x EV/EBITDA for A-shares and 7.0x EV/EBITDA for H-shares, both above their respective averages [5].

Core Insights - The global express market is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.9% from 2025 to 2029, despite ongoing challenges in global trade [1] - The Asia-Pacific region is identified as a key growth engine for the express market, with a projected CAGR of 10.5%, significantly outpacing North America's 6.0% and Europe's 5.9% [1] - The B2C segment is driving strong growth in the express market, with a forecasted CAGR of 10.8% from 2025 to 2029, compared to the B2B segment's 2.5% [1] Industry Performance - Global logistics giants are experiencing varied performance; UPS has faced operational challenges leading to weak second-quarter results, while FedEx reported its strongest revenue growth since the pandemic [2] - Chinese logistics companies are outperforming the market due to diversified portfolios and efficiency improvements, with SF Express achieving record net profits in the first half of 2025 [2] - Regulatory interventions since July 2025 are expected to curb irrational price competition in China, paving the way for a more rational market structure and recovery in profit margins [2]