消息面上，美东时间周二，美国能源部长克里斯.赖特表示，美国政府将持有加拿大矿业巨头美洲锂业 (Lithium Americas)少量股份。受该消息刺激，美洲锂业股价在美股盘后交易中一度暴涨超40%。据悉， 美洲锂业公司正在美国内华达州开展一个大型锂矿开发项目Thacker Pass，该锂矿是美国已知最大锂矿 床之一，该项目的第一阶段预计将于2027年底投入运营。目前美国锂产量较低，而该项目将成为美国最 主要的锂资源来源。值得一提的是，赣锋锂业曾为美洲锂业第一大股东。 东海期货近日指出，当前碳酸锂供需双增，周产量创新高，储能带动下旺季需求表现强劲，社会库存小 幅去库，冶炼厂库存向下游转移，下游持续补库。基本面边际转好，下方空间有限，行情震荡偏强，关 注反内卷政策驱动。瑞达期货（002961）也表示，海外矿商挺价意愿仍强，国内矿区供给走向预计将逐 步明晰，锂矿或将延续坚挺报价。 锂业股早盘走强，截至发稿，天齐锂业（002466）(09696)涨15.15%，报51.75港元；赣锋锂业 （002460）(01772)涨11.36%，报48.04港元。 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report The report provides a comprehensive analysis of the precious metals, copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, stainless steel, industrial silicon, polysilicon, lithium carbonate, and tin markets. It takes into account factors such as market trends, supply and demand dynamics, policy impacts, and geopolitical risks, and offers corresponding trading strategies for each metal [3][4][6][8]. Summary by Related Catalogs Precious Metals - **Market Review**: London gold reached a new high of over $3,830 per ounce, closing up 1.97%. London silver hit a high of $47.174, closing up 1.9%. The Shanghai gold and silver futures also reached new highs [3]. - **Important Information**: The US government faces a shutdown crisis, which may affect economic data release and the Fed's October monetary policy decision. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in October is 89.8% [3][4]. - **Logic Analysis**: The US government shutdown risk and the expectation of interest rate cuts have increased market risk aversion, leading to a strong upward trend in precious metals. However, due to the approaching National Day holiday in China, it is advisable to reduce positions at high prices [4]. - **Trading Strategies**: Take profits at high prices before the holiday and hold light positions. Wait and see for arbitrage. Buy deep out - of - the - money call options or collar call options [4]. Copper - **Market Review**: The night - session of SHFE copper 2511 contract closed up 1.96%. LME copper closed down 2.19%. LME inventory decreased by 500 tons, while COMEX inventory increased by 923 tons [6]. - **Important Information**: The US government may shut down, and different Fed officials have different views on interest rates [6]. - **Logic Analysis**: The Grasberg accident has exacerbated the tightness of copper ore supply. Domestic production has declined, and consumption is weak. The long - term supply - demand structure has changed [8]. - **Trading Strategies**: Adopt a low - buying strategy for long positions. Hold off - market positive arbitrage positions. Wait and see for options [8]. Alumina - **Market Review**: The night - session of alumina 2601 contract fell. Spot prices in various regions declined [10]. - **Important Information**: Eight departments proposed to strengthen resource exploration and rationally layout alumina projects. The national alumina operating capacity increased, and the import price decreased [10][13]. - **Logic Analysis**: Policy impacts on capacity investment are limited. The import window is open, and the fundamentals are in surplus, so the price is expected to be weak [14]. - **Trading Strategies**: Expect the price to trend weakly. Wait and see for arbitrage and options [14][16]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Market Review**: The night - session of cast aluminum alloy 2511 contract rose. Spot prices remained flat [16]. - **Important Information**: Policies affected the recycled aluminum industry. The exchange's aluminum alloy warehouse receipts increased, and downstream enterprises had different holiday arrangements [18]. - **Logic Analysis**: The tight supply of scrap aluminum restricts raw material stocking. Downstream holidays are extended, and the price is expected to fluctuate narrowly [18]. - **Trading Strategies**: Expect the futures price to fluctuate with the aluminum price. Wait and see for arbitrage and options [19]. Electrolytic Aluminum - **Market Review**: The night - session of SHFE aluminum 2511 contract rose. Spot prices in various regions declined [21]. - **Important Information**: US economic data showed resilience. Chinese aluminum ingot inventory decreased, and photovoltaic installation declined. Downstream enterprises' holiday and procurement situations varied [22][23]. - **Logic Analysis**: US economic data affects interest rate cut expectations. Domestic inventory decreased, but consumption is not strong. The price is expected to fluctuate, and there may be inventory accumulation after the holiday [24]. - **Trading Strategies**: Expect the price to fluctuate in the short term. Wait and see for arbitrage and options [25]. Zinc - **Market Review**: LME zinc rose, and SHFE zinc rose. Spot premiums increased [26]. - **Important Information**: Domestic zinc inventory decreased, and a mining company obtained a new mining license [27]. - **Logic Analysis**: In October, domestic zinc concentrate production may decrease, and imports are expected to decline. Refined zinc supply may increase, and consumption is not expected to improve significantly. Overseas inventory reduction supports the price, but there are risks of overseas delivery [27][28]. - **Trading Strategies**: Control positions before the holiday. Wait and see for arbitrage and options [30]. Lead - **Market Review**: LME lead fell, and SHFE lead fell slightly. Spot prices declined, and downstream procurement was okay [32]. - **Important Information**: Lead inventory decreased, lead battery enterprise production was mixed, and the holiday may lead to a decline in production [32][33][35]. - **Logic Analysis**: The lead concentrate market is in tight balance, and scrap lead prices are likely to rise. Primary lead production may be affected by losses, while secondary lead production may increase. Consumption in the peak season is not as expected [35]. - **Trading Strategies**: Expect the price to fluctuate weakly. Wait and see for arbitrage and options [36]. Nickel - **Market Review**: LME nickel rose, and SHFE nickel rose. LME nickel inventory increased, and premiums of different brands changed [38]. - **Important Information**: Russian nickel entered the US market through Europe. Indonesia's actions affected the nickel price [38][40]. - **Logic Analysis**: Indonesia's actions drove a slight rebound in the nickel price. Downstream consumption is expected to be flat, and the supply is still in surplus. It is recommended to hold an empty position during the holiday [40]. - **Trading Strategies**: Expect a wide - range fluctuation. Wait and see for arbitrage and options [41][42]. Stainless Steel - **Market Review**: The main contract of stainless steel rose, and index positions decreased. Spot prices were in a certain range [42]. - **Important Information**: A Korean and a Chinese company will jointly build a stainless steel plant in Indonesia [42]. - **Logic Analysis**: Stainless steel followed the nickel price to rebound slightly. Supply pressure remains, but inventory is lower than last year, and the price is expected to fluctuate at a high level. It is recommended to hold an empty position during the holiday [44]. - **Trading Strategies**: Expect a wide - range fluctuation. Wait and see for arbitrage and options [44]. Industrial Silicon - **Market Review**: The industrial silicon futures fell, and some spot prices declined [46]. - **Important Information**: A silicon project started construction [46]. - **Logic Analysis**: The inventory structure is "low at both ends and high in the middle." The supply is not very sensitive to price changes. There are rumors of increased production, and the price may回调 in the short term and then can be bought [46]. - **Trading Strategies**: Expect a short - term callback and then buy. Sell out - of - the - money put options to take profits. No arbitrage opportunity [47]. Polysilicon - **Market Review**: The polysilicon futures fluctuated narrowly and fell slightly. Spot prices were stable [49]. - **Important Information**: The State - owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission held a symposium [49]. - **Logic Analysis**: Spot prices are stable, but there are pressures on contract delivery and inventory accumulation. The price may回调 in the short term, and it is recommended to exit long positions and then re - enter after the holiday [49]. - **Trading Strategies**: Expect a short - term callback, exit long positions and re - enter after the holiday. Conduct reverse arbitrage between 2511 and 2512 contracts. Sell out - of - the - money put options to take profits [50]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Review**: The main contract of lithium carbonate rose, and positions and warehouse receipts increased. Spot prices declined [52][53]. - **Important Information**: A lithium mining company modified a supply agreement, Tesla entered the Indian market, and a lithium project was put into production [53]. - **Logic Analysis**: October demand is strong, supply growth is narrowing, and inventory is decreasing. The price is expected to fluctuate during the holiday, and the situation may change after the holiday. It is recommended to hold an empty position [52][53][54]. - **Trading Strategies**: Expect a wide - range fluctuation. Wait and see for arbitrage. Sell out - of - the - money put options [55]. Tin - **Market Review**: SHFE tin rose, and spot prices declined. Consumption was weak [56]. - **Important Information**: The US government shutdown risk, Fed officials' views, and Indonesia's closure of illegal mining points affected the market [56][57]. - **Logic Analysis**: The US situation and Indonesia's actions affected the price. The tin concentrate supply is still tight, demand is weak, and inventory decreased. Attention should be paid to Myanmar's resumption of production and consumption recovery [57][59]. - **Trading Strategies**: Expect a short - term strong - side fluctuation, be cautious about Indonesia's event. Wait and see for options [59].

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant net inflow of main funds into specific stocks over a period of five days or more, indicating strong investor interest and potential growth opportunities in these companies [1][2] Group 1: Key Stocks with Net Inflows - Cambrian Biologics-U (688256) leads with a continuous net inflow for 30 days, totaling 4.192 billion CNY, with a price increase of 41.87% [1] - Huayou Cobalt (603799) follows with a net inflow of 1.829 billion CNY over five days, reflecting a 25.57% increase [1] - Zhongnan Media (601098) has seen a net inflow for eight days, amounting to 1.111 billion CNY, with a minimal price change of 0.16% [2] Group 2: Notable Inflow Metrics - The highest net inflow percentage relative to trading volume is observed in Hebang Biology (603077), with a 13.89% ratio and a price increase of 8.90% over five days [1] - The total net inflow for Cambrian Biologics-U over 30 days is 4.192 billion CNY, indicating strong market confidence [1] - Other notable stocks include Tianqi Lithium (002466) with a net inflow of 576 million CNY and a price increase of 11.09% [1]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.87%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 2.24% [1] - Semiconductor stocks experienced significant gains, with Hua Hong Semiconductor rising nearly 11% and SMIC increasing by almost 4% [1] - Spot gold prices reached new highs, leading to a strong performance in gold stocks, with Zijin Mining International surging over 68% and MKS PAMP Group rising more than 4% [1] Group 2 - Ganfeng Lithium and WuXi AppTec both saw increases of over 8%, while Tianqi Lithium rose by more than 5% [1]

截至2025年9月30日 14:34，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)强势上涨3.27%，成分股铂科新材(300811)上 涨12.90%，锡业股份(000960)上涨9.98%，华友钴业(603799)上涨9.93%，江西铜业(600362)，云南铜业 (000878)等个股跟涨。有色ETF基金(159880)上涨3.70%， 最新价报1.68元。 有色金属强势拉升，多重利好催化。消息面上，9月28日，八部门联合发文表示，推动大宗金属消费升 级，积极拓展高端铝材、铜材、镁合金应用。提升稀有金属应用水平，加快高纯镓、钨硬质合金、全固 态电池材料等高端产品应用验证。此外，受一系列生产受阻事件影响，全球铜供应紧张局势加剧，铜价 持续走高，3个月期铜9月份上涨近5%，创下自2024年同月以来的最大涨幅。 国投证券指出，目前利率期货已经定价年内美联储降息3次共75bp的预期，美联储可能忽视二次通胀的 风险去支撑就业。有色是少数能显著受益于海外通胀的行业。 有色ETF基金紧密跟踪国证有色金属行业指数，国证有色金属行业指数参照国证行业分类标准，选取归 属于有色金属行业的规模和流动性突出的50只证券作为样本，反映了沪深 ...

锂电股继续走高，截至发稿，赣锋锂业（002460）(01772)涨6.7%，报42.36港元；天齐锂业（002466） (09696)涨5.49%，报44.94港元；宁德时代（300750）(03750)涨3.38%，报565.5港元；中创新航(03931) 涨3.4%，报34.7港元。 而据央视财经报道，目前国内储能电芯的需求十分强劲。头部电池企业均表示工厂已处于满产状态，一 些订单已经排到明年年初。此外，根据《专项行动方案》提出的目标，到2027年，中国新型储能装机规 模将达到1.8亿千瓦以上，这将拉动新增项目投资约2500亿元。中信建投（601066）发布研报称，继续 看好储能、锂电板块景气度抬升。 消息面上，据智通财经报道，对于江西宜春8家涉锂矿山企业变更储量报告工作，记者从业内人士处获 悉：本周，国轩高科（002074）提交的矿种变更储量核实报告通过国家自然资源部审批，选矿试验和工 业论证、开采设计与生态修复方案一并获得通过。另据透露，与国轩高科一同提交报告并通过的企业还 有宁德时代。对于该消息，国轩高科方面表示属实，宁德时代方面未进行正面回应。根据宜春市自然资 源局7月发布的文件，矿企后续还需继续 ...

而据央视财经报道，目前国内储能电芯的需求十分强劲。头部电池企业均表示工厂已处于满产状态，一 些订单已经排到明年年初。此外，根据《专项行动方案》提出的目标，到2027年，中国新型储能装机规 模将达到1.8亿千瓦以上，这将拉动新增项目投资约2500亿元。中信建投发布研报称，继续看好储能、 锂电板块景气度抬升。 消息面上，据智通财经报道，对于江西宜春8家涉锂矿山企业变更储量报告工作，记者从业内人士处获 悉：本周，国轩高科提交的矿种变更储量核实报告通过国家自然资源部审批，选矿试验和工业论证、开 采设计与生态修复方案一并获得通过。另据透露，与国轩高科一同提交报告并通过的企业还有宁德时 代。对于该消息，国轩高科方面表示属实，宁德时代方面未进行正面回应。根据宜春市自然资源局7月 发布的文件，矿企后续还需继续完成办理采矿许可证矿种变更、矿业权出让收益征收、矿山储量动态管 理等相关工作。 智通财经APP获悉，锂电股继续走高，截至发稿，赣锋锂业(01772)涨6.7%，报42.36港元；天齐锂业 (09696)涨5.49%，报44.94港元；宁德时代(03750)涨3.38%，报565.5港元；中创新航(03931)涨3.4%， ...

9月30日，天齐锂业盘中上涨2.00%，截至09:53，报47.37元/股，成交11.28亿元，换手率1.64%，总市值 777.45亿元。 天齐锂业所属申万行业为：有色金属-能源金属-锂。所属概念板块包括：化肥、盐湖提锂、小金属、锂 电池、固态电池等。 截至6月30日，天齐锂业股东户数27.08万，较上期减少6.08%；人均流通股5451股，较上期增加6.45%。 2025年1月-6月，天齐锂业实现营业收入48.33亿元，同比减少24.71%；归母净利润8441.06万元，同比增 长101.62%。 分红方面，天齐锂业A股上市后累计派现78.68亿元。近三年，累计派现71.37亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年6月30日，天齐锂业十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第四大流 通股东，持股6481.74万股，相比上期增加869.65万股。中国证券金融股份有限公司位居第五大流通股 东，持股2785.36万股，持股数量较上期不变。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）位居第六大流通股东， 持股1839.68万股，相比上期增加154.77万股。易方达沪深300ETF（510310）位居第七大流通股东，持 股 ...

新华财经北京9月30日电新华财经和面包财经研究员梳理公开资料显示，受益于产品价格上涨，2025 年上半年申万有色金属行业141家企业2025年上半年合 计实现营收1.82万亿元，同比增长6.49%；归母净利润合计953.63亿元，同比增长36.55%。 江西铜业、紫金矿业、中国铝业的营收规模居前，超七成有色金属行业公司营收同比实现增长。归母净利润方面，超六成有色金属企业2025年上半年归母净 利润同比实现增长。盛和资源、天齐锂业等十余家有色金属企业实现扭亏为盈。 毛利率方面，A股有色金属企业2025年上半年平均毛利率约17.71%，同比上升0.14个百分点。招金黄金、晓程科技、四川黄金等公司毛利率同比上升幅度居 前。 超九成公司上半年盈利 财报数据显示，按照申万行业分类，A股有色金属行业141家企业2025年上半年合计实现营收1.82万亿元，同比增长6.49%；归母净利润合计953.63亿元，同 比增长36.55%。 图1：有色金属行业2025年上半年营收居前的公司 | 601899.SH | 紫金矿业 | 1,677.11 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601600.SH ...

证券之星消息，9月29日能源金属板块较上一交易日上涨4.85%，博迁新材领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3862.53，上涨0.9%。深证成指报收于13479.43，上涨2.05%。能源金属板块个股涨跌见下表： 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成投资建议。 | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002460 | 赣锋锂业 | 5.42 Z | 8.01% | -2.46 Z | -3.64% | -2.96 Z | -4.37% | | 603799 | 华友钻业 | 4.97 Z | 7.57% | -4360.94万 | -0.66% | -4.53 Z | -6.90% | | 002466 天齐锂业 | | 1.29 乙 | 3.22% | -5267.99万 | -1.31% | -7639.36万 | -1.90% | | ...