Market Overview - On February 25, A-shares saw all three major indices rise by over 1%, with the Sci-Tech Innovation Index increasing by nearly 0.7%, and nearly 4,000 stocks in the market experiencing gains [9][10] - The total trading volume reached 1.45 trillion yuan, with a significant increase of 102.9 billion yuan compared to the previous day [10] Sector Performance - The fertilizer and pesticide sector experienced a surge, with stocks like Chuanjinnuo hitting the daily limit, and other companies such as Chitianhua and Yuntianhua also seeing significant gains due to rising prices of urea, potassium sulfate compound fertilizer, and monoammonium phosphate [10][11] - Shipping stocks collectively strengthened, with China Merchants Energy achieving a historical high, and other companies like COSCO Shipping Energy and COSCO Shipping Development also rising, driven by a spike in oil tanker spot freight rates reaching a nearly six-year high [11][12] - Lithium battery concept stocks saw substantial increases, with Hanrui Cobalt rising over 11%, and other companies like Wenkang New Energy and Nord Shares also performing well, as lithium carbonate futures broke through the 170,000 yuan mark, marking a significant daily increase of over 10% [12] International Market Trends - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan rose by 1.4%, reaching a historical high, while the Korean Composite Stock Price Index expanded its gains to 2%, also hitting a historical high, with automotive stocks like Kia and Hyundai seeing significant increases [14] - International gold and silver prices surged, with spot silver rising over 3% and spot gold briefly surpassing 5,190 USD per ounce [14][15]

中财期货表示，津巴布韦矿出口受阻，节后储能较好预期开始逐步落地，市场等待预期验证，近期震荡 偏强。 东方证券指出相关标的包括，大中矿业、国城矿业、盛新锂能、天华新能、中矿资源、雅化集团、藏格 矿业、盐湖股份、赣锋锂业、天齐锂业、永兴材料等。 南方财经2月25日电，锂矿概念持续走强，川发龙蟒、大中矿业、江特电机等涨停。 东证期货表示，昨日盘面大涨时市场亦有传言津巴布韦锂矿企业出口再次被叫停，后了解称此前锂价高 企导致津巴布韦出现部分没有出口许可的走私矿，被叫停整改，目前合法出口已在恢复。 消息面上，多家期货公司研报指出，津巴布韦锂矿企业出口受阻。 招商证券指出，昨日津巴布韦锂矿出口受阻担忧发酵，叠加市场对3月材料端排产预期较好，环比1月微 增，体现为Q1电池抢出口窗口期过后终端需求预期坚挺，预计价格震荡偏强。 ...

锂矿股早盘走高，截至发稿，天齐锂业（002466）(09696)涨4.28%，报48.28港元；赣锋锂业（002460） (01772)涨3.46%，报68.7港元。 消息面上，广期所碳酸锂主力合约日内一度突破17万元/吨，现涨超5%，报169400元/吨。信达期货指 出，昨日碳酸锂盘面大幅高开，午后持续上涨，收盘涨幅超10%，收盘价在16.5万元附近。由于春节假 期需求强劲，且3月排产目前预期偏好，加上此前尼日利亚锂矿产能爬坡受阻的消息发酵，给予了节后 开盘较高的溢价。同时，午后传出津巴布韦锂矿企业锂矿出口被叫停的消息，再度引发市场做多情绪， 盘面迎来开门红。 光大期货表示，按照2月排产推算，短期库存水平或呈现出持续下降，或将成为显著的利多支撑。需要 注意的是，1月智利发运数据环比大增，虽量级具有不可持续性，但对国内显著供应压力或将逐渐体 现。同时，三月国内生产也将陆续恢复，届时压力将在需求端是否能有超预期的情况。 ...

截至2026年2月25日 10:30，中证细分有色金属产业主题指数(000811)强势上涨3.39%，成分股云南锗业上涨10.01%，锡业股份上涨9.73%，驰宏锌锗上涨 8.49%，北方稀土，安宁股份等个股跟涨。有色金属ETF基金(516650)上涨3.30%，截至2026年2月24日，有色金属ETF基金今年以来累计上涨20.76%。 | 股票代码 | 股票简称 | 涨跌幅 | 权重 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 201899 | 紫金矿业 | 1.27% | 15.30% | | 603993 | 洛阳辑业 | 2.32% | 7.92% | | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 8.08% | 5.30% | | 603799 | 华友钻业 | 4.54% | 4.69% | | 601600 | 中国铝业 | 4.09% | 4.39% | | 002460 | 赣锋锂业 | 2.79% | 3.23% | | 600547 | 山东黄金 | 1.02% | 3.18% | | 000807 | 云铝股份 | 2.63% | 3.11% | | 600489 | 中令黄金 ...

格隆汇2月24日｜A股市场锂矿股集体走强，其中，和邦生物、云图控股、川发龙蟒10CM涨停，永兴材 料、盛新锂能涨超6%，赣锋锂业、盐湖股份涨超5%，江特电机、海南矿业、西藏珠峰、西藏城投、国 城矿业（维权）、大中矿业、川能动力涨超4%，天齐锂业涨超3%。消息面上，碳酸锂主力合约大涨超 9%，报162160元/吨。 上个马年沪指涨近60%！新年新福利来了，炒股排面要拉满，新号启幸运>> | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↓ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603077 | 和邦生物 | 1 | 10.08 | 231亿 | 15.93 | | 002539 | 云图控股 | 1 | 10.01 | 195亿 | 36.72 | | 002312 | 川发龙蟒 | 1 | 10.00 | 241亿 | 16.74 | | 002756 | 永兴材料 | 来 | 6.40 | 297亿 | 1.42 | | 002240 | 盛新锂能 | 1 | 6.18 | 381亿 | 20.77 | | 002460 | 赣锋锂业 | 1 ...

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月24日，有色金属ETF基金（516650）开盘涨3.12%，报2.212元。有色金属ETF基金（516650）重仓股 方面，紫金矿业开盘涨4.53%，洛阳钼业涨4.41%，北方稀土涨2.30%，华友钴业涨1.79%，中国铝业涨 2.52%，赣锋锂业涨4.36%，山东黄金涨4.07%，云铝股份涨1.92%，中金黄金涨4.98%，天齐锂业涨 2.65%。 有色金属ETF基金（516650）业绩比较基准为中证细分有色金属产业主题指数收益率，管理人为华夏基 金管理有限公司，基金经理为单宽之，成立（2021-06-09）以来回报为114.05%，近一个月回报为 1.50%。 ...

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 有色ETF鹏华（159880）业绩比较基准为国证有色金属行业指数收益率，管理人为鹏华基金管理有限公 司，基金经理为闫冬，成立（2021-03-08）以来回报为123.33%，近一个月回报为2.73%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月24日，有色ETF鹏华（159880）开盘涨3.44%，报2.314元。有色ETF鹏华（159880）重仓股方面，紫 金矿业开盘涨4.53%，洛阳钼业涨4.41%，北方稀土涨2.30%，华友钴业涨1.79%，中国铝业涨2.52%，赣 锋锂业涨4.36%，云铝股份涨1.92%，山东黄金涨4.07%，中金黄金涨4.98%，天齐锂业涨2.65%。 ...

消息面上，瑞银最新研究报告指出，该行旗帜鲜明看好"中国锂"，大幅上调锂辉石、碳酸锂价格预测， 并明确市场已进入第三次锂价超级周期。瑞银认为，电动汽车"三重平衡"逐步落地、储能需求全球爆发 将推动锂需求持续增长，同时重点提及天齐锂业、赣锋锂业、中国盐湖三家中国锂企并上调相关企业预 期。 锂业股盘中走强，截至发稿，赣锋锂业（002460）(01772)涨8.56%，报66.5港元；天齐锂业（002466） (09696)涨3.17%，报45.5港元。 值得一提的是，从多家锂电上市公司披露的2025年业绩预告或业绩快报来看，锂电产业链的全线回暖正 迎来业绩兑现。星展表示，赣锋锂业预计2025年度净利润将达11亿至16.5亿元之间。该行预期，在江西 锂矿获得采矿许可前，锂价仍将维持高位，相信锂行业的盈利能力将于2026年触底反弹。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the lithium industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The lithium industry is expected to transition from a state of "realistic oversupply" to "future tightness," marking 2026 as a pivotal year for price recovery [19] - The financial attributes of lithium have strengthened, with market expectations likely to lead pricing ahead of fundamental improvements [20] - The absolute price heights may be difficult to replicate, but a gradual increase in the price floor is more certain [21] Summary by Sections 1. Overall Viewpoint Discussion - 2026 is anticipated to be a turning point for lithium prices, moving from a low base to a higher equilibrium due to limited supply elasticity and sustained demand growth [19] - The demand for lithium is projected to maintain a compound growth rate of over 20%, driven by the expansion of renewable energy installations and AI-related infrastructure [19] 2. 2025 Lithium Price Review - In Q1 2025, lithium prices experienced fluctuations due to supply constraints and strong demand expectations, with prices peaking at approximately 78,500 CNY/ton [22] - Q2 2025 saw a decline in prices due to a supply-demand imbalance, with prices dropping to around 60,400 CNY/ton by the end of June [29] - Q3 2025 marked a recovery in prices, driven by supply-side disruptions and seasonal demand increases, with prices reaching approximately 72,700 CNY/ton by September [36] 3. Demand Analysis - The demand for lithium batteries is expected to grow significantly, with energy storage becoming a core growth driver, potentially surpassing 30% of total lithium demand by 2026 [8] - The global electric vehicle market is projected to continue its growth trajectory, although at a slightly reduced pace [19] 4. Supply Analysis - Capital expenditures in the lithium sector have decreased significantly, leading to a structural delay in new project approvals and expansions [10] - The report anticipates limited new supply additions in the coming years, with a projected net increase of 448,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) in 2026 [18] 5. Supply-Demand Balance Analysis - The report suggests that the lithium market may not require a complete supply clearing to reverse the current trends, as both supply and demand are expected to increase [38] - Inventory levels are seen as a lagging indicator rather than a decisive factor in price movements [39] 6. Investment Recommendations - Companies with expansion projects in the next three years are highlighted as potential investment opportunities, including Dazhong Mining, Guocheng Mining, and Shengxin Lithium Energy [12] - Companies with diversified business models that can stabilize profits amid lithium price fluctuations are also recommended, such as Zhongmin Resources and Yahua Group [12]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the recent US Supreme Court ruling on the $175 billion tariff refund has significant implications for both China and the A-share market, despite the refund being an internal US matter [2][6][28] - The $175 billion in tariffs was primarily collected from imports, including a 10% tariff on Chinese goods, and is now being refunded to US importers [8][10] - The refund will indirectly benefit Chinese companies as US importers, who have been financially strained by tariffs, will use the refunded money to pay off debts to Chinese suppliers and resume orders [12][14][28] Group 2 - The immediate impact on the A-share market is expected to be positive, with a potential "opening red" for A-shares as market sentiment improves following the ruling [40][46] - The ruling is seen as a signal that the previous high tariffs on Chinese goods may not be a permanent state, which could lead to a more favorable environment for Chinese exports [20][48] - Structural opportunities in the A-share market are identified, focusing on five main lines: export-oriented sectors, domestic substitution, strategic resources, domestic consumption, and new energy [51][62][88] Group 3 - Export-oriented sectors, particularly those with high exposure to the US market, are expected to benefit directly from the tariff refunds, with companies like Midea Group and Haier expected to see improved performance [52][72][73] - Domestic substitution and self-sufficiency in sectors like semiconductors and military equipment are highlighted as long-term strategic focuses, with companies like SMIC and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft being key players [53][78][86] - Strategic resources such as rare earths and gold are also expected to see price support due to ongoing global supply chain disruptions, benefiting companies like Northern Rare Earth and Shandong Gold [56][87]