Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a consolidation phase, with the non-ferrous metal sector ETF (159876) seeing a price drop of 3.33% while achieving a record trading volume of 1.72 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest despite the downturn [1] Fund Flows and Performance - The non-ferrous metal ETF (159876) saw a net subscription of 116 million units, with a total inflow of 117 million yuan on the previous day and a cumulative inflow of 210 million yuan over the past 20 days [1][3] - As of October 9, the latest scale of the non-ferrous metal ETF reached 493 million yuan, marking a new historical high [1] Sector Analysis - The "Copper Doctor" remains strong, with Jiangxi Copper rising over 7% and Yunnan Copper increasing by more than 1%. Silver stocks also performed well, with a limit-up increase [1] - Conversely, companies like Hanrui Cobalt and Western Gold fell over 9%, dragging down the index performance [1] Market Drivers - Gold prices have fluctuated due to a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas, with Bank of America indicating a potential bull market for gold lasting until 2026, following a nearly 50% increase this year [3] - Copper prices surged due to supply constraints from the Grasberg copper mine incident, igniting investor enthusiasm [3] - The recent export control regulations on rare earths by the Ministry of Commerce are expected to maintain strong pricing in the rare earth sector [3][4] Industry Outlook - The non-ferrous metal industry maintains a high level of prosperity, with precious metals benefiting from Federal Reserve rate cuts and geopolitical tensions, leading to gold prices surpassing the 4000 USD mark [4] - Industrial metals like copper and aluminum are experiencing price increases due to supply constraints and a weak dollar environment [4] - The rare earth sector is expected to see continued valuation and performance growth due to tightening export controls [4] Investment Strategy - The non-ferrous metal ETF (159876) and its linked funds provide a diversified exposure to various metals, including copper (27.6%), gold (14.5%), aluminum (13.1%), rare earths (10.4%), and lithium (8.4%), making it suitable for risk diversification in investment portfolios [6]

沪指10月10日下跌0.94%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有18个，涨幅居前的行业为建筑材料、煤炭， 涨幅分别为1.92%、1.37%。跌幅居前的行业为电子、电力设备，跌幅分别为4.71%、4.46%。有色金属 行业今日下跌2.93%。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出1257.84亿元，今日有8个行业主力资金净流入，建筑材料行业主 力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨1.92%，全天净流入资金4.18亿元，其次是农林牧渔行业，日 涨幅为0.94%，净流入资金为3.79亿元。 主力资金净流出的行业有23个，电子行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金383.19亿元，其次 是电力设备行业，净流出资金为255.35亿元，净流出资金较多的还有有色金属、计算机、通信等行业。 有色金属行业资金流出榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600111 | 北方稀土 | -1.22 | 8.90 | -251897.23 | | 603799 | 华友钴业 | -7.74 | 7.85 | - ...

Market Overview - The Chinese asset market experienced a collective pullback, with the A-share market declining significantly after a strong opening on the first trading day post-holiday. The Shanghai Composite Index fell approximately 1% to below 3900 points, while the ChiNext Index dropped over 5% before slightly narrowing its losses at the close [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets decreased by 137.8 billion yuan compared to the previous day, totaling 253.45 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - The semiconductor sector saw a substantial decline, with companies like Aojie Technology and Dongxin Co. dropping over 10%, and SMIC falling nearly 8% [2][3] - Conversely, resource sectors such as gas, coal, steel, and oil experienced gains, with companies like Dazhong Public Utilities and Hongtong Gas hitting the daily limit up [2][7] - The coal sector is expected to see improved performance in Q3 due to rising coal prices, with potential further increases in Q4 as winter demand rises [8] Semiconductor Sector Insights - Analysts suggest that the recent adjustment in the semiconductor sector is a short-term fluctuation driven by profit-taking, rather than a fundamental shift in the industry's long-term growth prospects. The trend of domestic substitution remains a key focus [3][5] - Domestic wafer fabs are progressively establishing high levels of localization, particularly in advanced storage, with expectations for stable expansion needs through 2025 and rapid growth anticipated by 2026 [5] Brokerage Sector Dynamics - The brokerage sector showed strong performance, with stocks like Guosen Securities reaching their daily limit. The sector's growth is supported by favorable policies, improved market confidence, and a shift towards high-value-added services [9][10] - The current environment is seen as enhancing the brokerage sector's profitability outlook, making it an attractive investment opportunity [10]

证券之星消息，10月10日能源金属板块较上一交易日下跌5.03%，寒锐钴业领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3897.03，下跌0.94%。深证成指报收于13355.42，下跌2.7%。能源金属板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日能源金属板块主力资金净流出40.92亿元，游资资金净流入10.87亿元，散户资金 净流入30.05亿元。能源金属板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流出 (元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入(元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603799 | 华友钻业 | -11.03亿 | -11.33% | 4.14亿 | 4.25% | 6.89 Z | 7.08% | | 002460 | 赣锋锂√ | -10.05 Z | -9.80% | 1.89亿 | 1.84% | 8.16/Z | 7.95% | | 002466 | 天齐锂业 | -7.47 Z | -16.21% | 2.15/Z | 4.67% | 5.32 Z | 1 ...

消息面上，近期锂业供需两端博弈激烈。兴业期货表示，对碳酸锂而言，需要注意的是，需求的好转也 伴随着供应的持续释放，庞大的锂盐冶炼产能增强了碳酸锂的供给弹性。现阶段碳酸锂周度产量已突破 2万吨，单周产出位于历史高位；其中，辉石料碳酸锂产量接近1.3万吨，辉石提锂产线的增产弥补了前 期因青海盐湖及枧下窝矿停产造成的盐湖料及云母料的产出减量。与2024年相比，当前周产相较于去年 均值提升7796吨，增幅达61.29%。 该行指出，自8月中下旬以来，上游去库、下游主动补库的库存结构性变化已反映出实际需求的增长较 为积极，且宜春矿企储量核实报告递交审核一事仍将扰动10月中上旬市场对资源端的预期，事件落地前 锂价走势存在支撑；针对四季度，枧下窝矿即将复产，供应增长压力再度增高，供给增速预计高于需求 增长，碳酸锂价格走势仍将承压，价格波动中枢7-7.5万元/吨。 锂业股集体走低，截至发稿，赣锋锂业（002460）(01772)跌7.7%，报47.12港元；天齐锂业（002466） (09696)跌6.83%，报45.28港元；宁德时代（300750）(03750)跌6.24%，报548.5港元。 ...

来源：市场资讯 （来源：有色龙头159876） 10月10日，截至11时06分，有色龙头ETF盘中表现疲软，场内价格现跌3.1%，成交额为1.21亿元，基金 最新规模为4.83亿元。 西部证券指出，稀土出口管制政策持续强化，新增对二次资源回收利用的管控，预计2025年二次回收供 给占比将达27%，供给端已完全管控，难以出现突发增量；技术出口限制切断海外企业通过中国技术人 员扩产的可能。政策全面管控下，稀土供给端扰动频发，金属板块有望实现多重共振。 申万宏源证券指出，有色金属行业景气度维持高位，工业金属方面，9月世界铜矿巨头因印尼矿山安全 事件部分停产，供给约束预期叠加弱美元环境，铜铝等工业金属价格延续上行。稀土方面，商务部对稀 土相关技术实施出口管制，供给政策继续收紧，价格延续强势。 有色龙头ETF（$华宝中证有色金属ETF$）被动跟踪中证有色指数，该指数前十大权重股分别为紫金矿 业、北方稀土、洛阳钼业、华友钴业、山东黄金、赣锋锂业、中国铝业、中金黄金、赤峰黄金、天齐锂 业。 数据来源于沪深交易所、公开资料等。 风险提示：以上产品由基金管理人发行与管理，代销机构不承担产品的投资、兑付和风险管理责任。投 资人应 ...

市场规模最大的机器人主题ETF：机器人ETF(562500)，持续五日受资金青睐，净流入额高达17.57亿 元，权重股包含汇川技术（工业机器人龙头）、绿的谐波（全球谐波减速器龙头）和石头科技（服务机 器人龙头）等。 均衡配置主流金属：有色金属ETF基金(516650)，连续五日吸金，净流入额高达3亿元，权重股包括紫金 矿业（铜、黄金）、洛阳钼业（铜、钼、钴）、北方稀土（稀土）、华友钴业（钴、铜）和中国铝业 （铝）等。 格隆汇10月10日｜今日贵金属、半导体、新能源电池板块领跌，亿纬锂能（维权）跌近9%，宁德时代 跌超6%，新能源车ETF跌5.23%，昨日暴涨8%的有色金属ETF小幅回调2%。 近期市场表现出较强的结构性特征，本周波动开始加大，考虑到本月即将审议"十五五"规划建议，或给 市场带来新增量产业催化。机构10月策略关注重点依然是科技、反内卷、促内需三大方向，提及受益于 盈利预期改善的板块如创新药、新能源，以及政策催化相关的机器人等板块，作为上游的有色金属板 块，在降息周期+供应收紧的催化下，同样获资金青睐。 近期备受资金青睐的的产品： 规模最大+新能源车全产业链覆盖：新能源车ETF（515030），连 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 涨幅 %ヘ | 现价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300139 | 晓程科技 | -7.13% | 28.13 | | 601069 | 西部黄金 | -6.81% | 30.65 | | 300818 | 耐普矿机 | -5.36% | 27.72 | | 600988 | 赤峰黄金 | -5.30% | 30.40 | | 600531 | 豫光金铅 | -4.77% | 13.57 | | 603979 | 金诚信 | -4.53% | 71.49 | | 000975 | 山金国际 | -4.25% | 23.44 | | 600547 | 山东黄金 | -4.09% | 41.49 | | 601899 | 紫美矿业 | -4.05% | 31.07 | | 000603 | 盛达资源 | -4.06% | 27.44 | | 002155 | 湖南黄金 | -3.81% | 22.73 | | 002237 | 恒邦股份 | -3.33% | 15.38 | 10月10日盘初， 黄金、有色金属板块多数下挫。黄金概念方面， 晓程科技跌超7%， ...

Group 1 - The gold and non-ferrous metal sectors experienced a significant decline on October 10, with many companies in these sectors reporting losses [1] - Notable declines in the gold sector included Xiaocheng Technology down 7.13% to 28.13, Western Gold down 6.81% to 30.65, and Chifeng Gold down 5.30% to 30.40 [2] - In the non-ferrous metal sector, companies such as Huayou Cobalt, Tengyuan Cobalt, and Tianqi Lithium also saw collective declines [3] Group 2 - The overall market sentiment for gold and related companies appears negative, as multiple firms reported losses exceeding 4% [2][3] - The decline in stock prices indicates potential challenges within the gold and non-ferrous metal industries, reflecting broader market trends [1][2]

长假平稳度过，锂矿权证进度本月仍需重点关注 一、日度市场总结 碳酸锂期货市场数据变动分析 主力合约与基差 ：碳酸锂主力合约9月30日收于72800元/吨，较前一交易 日下跌1.52%。基差显著走强，从-820元/吨回升至300元/吨。 持仓与成交 ：主力合约持仓量减少7.86%至23.2万手，成交量大幅收缩 31.82%至31.7万手。 市场小结 短期碳酸锂市场或延续低位震荡格局。供给端新增产能释放与存量高开工 率形成压制，而需求端新能源汽车销量增长及六氟磷酸锂价格反弹提供底 部支撑。基差走强反映现货压力边际缓解，但仓单压力仍存。未来1-2周需 重点关注节后补库节奏与盐湖新产能爬坡速度，以及江西地区8个锂矿的后 续信息，当前市场传闻，已有一家企业通过储量报告审批，剩余企业仍需 关注。 通惠期货研发部 李英杰 从业编号：F03115367 投资咨询：Z0019145 手机：18516056442 liyingjie@thqh.com.cn 孙皓 从业编号：F03118712 投资咨询：Z0019405 sunhao@thqh.com.cn 产业链供需及库存变化分析 供给端 ：锂辉石和锂云母精矿价格维持稳定，但头 ...