证券代码：002539 证券简称：云图控股 公告编号：2025-040 成都云图控股股份有限公司 关于公司提供担保的进展公告 截至本公告日，成都云图控股股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）及子公司对 外担保余额占 2024 年度经审计净资产的 146.94%，均为公司及子公司之间相互 提供的融资担保，财务风险处于公司可控范围内，敬请投资者充分关注担保风险。 一、担保情况概述 （一）担保事项基本情况 公司于 2025 年 3 月 7 日召开的第六届董事会第二十九次会议和 2025 年 3 月 24 日召开的 2025 年第二次临时股东大会，审议通过了《关于 2025 年融资担保 额度预计的议案》，同意公司及子公司之间（包括公司与子公司之间、子公司与 子公司之间）相互提供不超过 150 亿元融资担保，担保方式包括但不限于保证担 保（含一般保证、连带责任保证等）、股权质押、资产抵押或其他符合法律法规 要求的担保。 在担保总额度范围内，公司 2025 年第二次临时股东大会授权公司及子公司 管理层实施担保事宜，并签署具体的担保协议及相关法律文件，上述担保额度自 该次股东大会批准之日起 12 个月内可循环使用。公司董事会对上 ...

Core Viewpoint - Company focuses on integrated development of nitrogen and phosphorus fertilizer industries, aiming to strengthen its competitive edge and expand market presence through resource utilization and strategic projects [2][6]. Group 1: Company Strategy and Industry Position - Company adheres to a "resource + industry chain" strategy, emphasizing the integration of nitrogen and phosphorus fertilizer production to create sustainable competitive barriers [2]. - The nitrogen fertilizer chain is built around salt mine resources, establishing a complete "salt-alkali-fertilizer" industry chain, with projects in Hubei and Guangxi expected to enhance self-sufficiency in raw materials [2]. - The phosphorus fertilizer chain leverages phosphate resources, focusing on both wet and thermal processes to produce various phosphate products, including those for new energy materials [2]. Group 2: Production Capacity and Competitive Advantages - Company has established production bases across China, including regions like Hubei, Sichuan, and Northeast China, ensuring stable raw material supply and market responsiveness [3]. - Ongoing projects in Guangxi and Xinjiang aim to enhance production capabilities and market reach, particularly in Southeast Asia [3]. Group 3: Project Developments and Impacts - The 700,000-ton ammonia project in Hubei is progressing well, with completion of main structures and equipment installation, expected to enhance resource efficiency and reduce costs [4]. - The project will also optimize production capacity and improve profitability through advanced technology [4]. Group 4: Phosphate Mining and Market Outlook - Company owns three phosphate mines in Sichuan, with ongoing construction of a 2.9 million tons/year mining project, expected to meet internal demand and stabilize raw material supply [5]. - The phosphate market is tightening due to increasing demand and environmental regulations, positioning the company favorably for future growth [5]. Group 5: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, company reported revenue of 5.712 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.28%, and a net profit of 254 million yuan, up 18.99% [7]. - The company maintains a debt ratio of 61.73%, indicating a stable financial position amidst growth [7]. Group 6: Future Growth and Market Strategy - Company plans to enhance its fertilizer business through improved supply chain management, product upgrades, and expanded marketing efforts, aiming for steady market share growth [6]. - The focus on agricultural needs and food security policies supports a robust demand for compound fertilizers, with expectations for continued industry growth [6].

Group 1: Company Strategy and Industry Positioning - The company focuses on a "resource + industrial chain" development strategy, emphasizing the integration of nitrogen and phosphorus fertilizer production to build sustainable competitive advantages [2][3] - The nitrogen fertilizer chain is based on salt mine resources, creating a complete "salt-alkali-fertilizer" industrial chain, with projects in Hubei and Guangxi aimed at achieving self-sufficiency in nitrogen resources [3][4] - The phosphorus fertilizer chain utilizes phosphate rock resources, with plans to extend into high-value areas such as new energy materials, enhancing growth potential [3][5] Group 2: Production Base and Competitive Advantages - The company has established production bases across China, including Hubei, Sichuan, and Northeast regions, ensuring stable raw material supply and cost advantages [3][4] - New bases are being developed in Guangxi and Xinjiang to serve the South China and Southeast Asia markets, with an existing base in Malaysia for regional supply stability [3][5] Group 3: Project Developments and Impact - The 700,000-ton ammonia project in Hubei is progressing, with construction completed and equipment installation underway, expected to enhance product profitability and market competitiveness [4][5] - The company owns three phosphate mines in Sichuan, with ongoing projects to optimize resource utilization and increase production capacity [5][6] Group 4: Market Demand and Sales Performance - The demand for compound fertilizers remains strong due to national food security policies, with the company reporting steady growth in sales during Q1 2025 [5][6] - Future growth in compound fertilizer sales is anticipated through enhanced supply chain advantages, product upgrades, and improved marketing strategies [6]

Group 1 - The total investment of 570 billion yuan in the coal-phosphate chemical "big project" in the Yicheng Chemical Park indicates a significant influx of major enterprises such as Furun Technology, Hubei Lian Investment, and Yuntu Holdings [2] - The Yicheng Chemical Park has undergone a comprehensive upgrade with an investment of 1.5 billion yuan from the local government, enhancing safety and management standards, which has increased investor confidence [3] - Yuntu Holdings announced an additional investment of 12 billion yuan to build a green circular phosphate chemical industrial park in Yicheng [3] Group 2 - The introduction of a 1.2 billion yuan investment for technical upgrades in the new Eoxi Chemical's ammonia and ammonium nitrate production lines reflects ongoing efforts to enhance production capabilities [4] - The first phase of the coal storage base in the Xiaokai Port Economic Zone has been completed with a total investment of 143 million yuan, capable of static coal storage of 120,000 tons [4] - The second phase of the dedicated railway line for the Xiaokai Port Economic Zone, with a total investment of approximately 790 million yuan, is a key project to facilitate coal transportation and reduce regional energy costs [5] Group 3 - The completion of the dedicated railway line will enable high-quality coal from Inner Mongolia and Shaanxi to reach Xiaokai Port within 20 hours, significantly improving delivery speed and reducing transportation costs by 30% [5] - Yicheng aims to become a crucial part of the coal-phosphate chemical industry "golden triangle" in Xiangyang, focusing on strengthening and expanding the industrial chain [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the basic chemical industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The basic chemical sector has shown better performance than the market, with a year-to-date increase of 8.9%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 4.2 percentage points [4][16] - The global potash market is characterized by oligopoly, with major producers controlling supply and prices. Recent production cuts by key players are expected to sustain potash market conditions [5][27] - Phosphate supply remains tight, with stable prices and potential improvements in export opportunities as demand increases [5][27] Summary by Sections 1. Core Viewpoints - Policies are expected to improve supply-demand dynamics in the chemical sector, with a focus on cyclical investment opportunities [13] - The chemical industry is entering a new long-term prosperity cycle, driven by improved fundamentals and reduced risks [13][14] 2. Overall Performance of the Chemical Sector - The basic chemical industry index increased by 1.5% during the week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.4 percentage points [16] - Year-to-date, the basic chemical industry index has increased by 8.9%, significantly outperforming both the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices [16][18] 3. Individual Stock Performance in the Chemical Sector - Among 424 stocks in the basic chemical sector, 298 stocks rose while 123 fell during the week [25] - The top performers included companies like Shangwei New Materials (+72.9%) and Hongbo New Materials (+24.7%) [25][26] 4. Key News and Company Announcements - The autumn fertilizer preparation has begun, with a focus on investment opportunities in potash and phosphate fertilizers [27] - Major potash producers have announced production cuts, which are expected to tighten supply and support prices [5][27] - Phosphate prices remain stable, with potential for improved export conditions as demand increases [5][27] 5. Product Price Changes - The report highlights significant price increases in various chemical products, with notable gains in dimethylamine (+16.7%) and fatty alcohol (+8.2%) [6] - Conversely, urea prices have seen a significant decline (-15%) [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the chemical industry, with specific buy and hold recommendations for various companies [2][20]. Core Insights - The report highlights the closure of Dow's organic silicon production capacity in Barry, UK, which is expected to increase domestic export demand and support the upstream industrial silicon costs, indicating a potential reversal in the organic silicon industry [4][5]. - The demand for high-end AI PCBs is projected to surge due to the continuous growth in computing power requirements, driven by GPU, ASIC, and 800G switch technologies [4]. - The report notes that the recent tariff announcements from the US on imports from Southeast Asia are lower than expected, stabilizing pessimistic market sentiments [4]. Industry Dynamics - The macroeconomic outlook for the chemical industry indicates a significant increase in oil supply led by non-OPEC countries, with a stable global GDP growth rate of 2.8% [5]. - The report mentions that coal prices are expected to decline in the medium to long term, alleviating pressure on downstream sectors [5]. - Natural gas exports from the US are anticipated to accelerate, potentially lowering import costs [5]. Company Recommendations - Companies to watch in the organic silicon sector include Dongyue Silicon Materials, Xin'an Chemical, and Xingfa Group [4]. - In the PCB sector, recommended companies include Shengquan Group, Dongcai Technology, Lianrui New Materials, Yake Technology, Tiancheng Technology, and Jiuri New Materials [4]. - For traditional cyclical stocks, the report suggests focusing on leading companies in various segments such as Wanhu Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and Baofeng Energy [4]. Price Trends - The report provides specific price movements for various chemical products, such as PTA prices decreasing by 2.8% to 4715 RMB/ton, while MEG prices increased by 0.7% to 4409 RMB/ton [11]. - Urea prices rose by 2.9% to 1800 RMB/ton, while phosphate prices remained stable [12]. - The report notes that the price of DMC increased by 1.9% to 11000 RMB/ton, indicating a recovery in the organic silicon market [15].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is a leading compound fertilizer enterprise that continuously improves its raw material supply chain to enhance market competitiveness. The completion of the Guangxi Guigang project is expected to open up future growth opportunities [4][12] - The company has established a complete industrial chain from upstream salt and phosphate resources to downstream nitrogen fertilizers, excluding urea, with a production capacity of 7.45 million tons of compound fertilizer [12][4] - The company anticipates steady growth in performance due to the stable demand for phosphate compound fertilizers and the upcoming production of synthetic ammonia and phosphate rock [4][12] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company is a leader in the compound fertilizer industry, having built a complete industrial chain for nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers. It has a production capacity of 745,000 tons of compound fertilizer and various other products [12][4] - The company is working on a 700,000 tons/year synthetic ammonia project, which is expected to reduce production costs for compound fertilizers and other products [4][13] 2. Performance Outlook - The company's revenue for 2023 is projected at 217.67 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 6% year-on-year, while 2024 revenue is expected to decline by 6% to 203.81 billion yuan [28][6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 9.65 billion yuan in 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of 0.80 yuan, reflecting a decrease from previous estimates due to the chemical industry's downturn [39][4] 3. Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company’s projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 222 billion yuan, 256 billion yuan, and 275 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 9.65 billion yuan, 13.33 billion yuan, and 16.44 billion yuan [37][39] - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025-2027 are 12.57, 9.10, and 7.38, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation compared to industry peers [39][4] 4. Competitive Advantages - The company has a well-established industrial chain and production capacity distribution, which is expected to further enhance its cost advantages with the integration of phosphate rock resources [4][12] - The Guangxi Guigang project will fill the capacity gap in southern China and is expected to significantly lower the cost of compound fertilizers, enhancing the company's market competitiveness [16][4]

Group 1: Sales and Market Position - The company primarily sells compound fertilizers through a network of nearly 6,000 first-level distributors and over 100,000 retail outlets across rural areas in China [2] - The company has established overseas marketing networks in Southeast Asia, including Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam, enhancing its market presence [2] - The company aims to improve its market share by optimizing channel structures and enhancing service quality [2] Group 2: Industry Outlook - China's grain production is expected to exceed 1.4 trillion jin by 2024, supported by the national food security strategy, which will provide long-term demand for compound fertilizers [3] - The compound fertilizer industry is experiencing consolidation, with market share shifting towards leading enterprises due to increased competition and regulatory pressures on smaller firms [3] - The company is confident in the future growth of the compound fertilizer market driven by the modernization of agriculture and the rising demand for high-efficiency fertilizers [2][3] Group 3: Phosphate Utilization and Production - The company has established a complete phosphate utilization chain, producing various grades of phosphoric acid and ammonium phosphate, enhancing resource utilization [4] - The company’s phosphate rock resources total approximately 549 million tons, with planned mining capacity of 6.9 million tons per year [5] - The mining projects are progressing well, with specific timelines for production expected to be announced in future company disclosures [5] Group 4: Ammonia Project Development - The company’s ammonia project has a planned capacity of 2.7 million tons, with significant progress in construction at both the Hubei and Guangxi sites [4] - The project is expected to enhance the company's cost advantages and resource self-sufficiency, thereby strengthening its market position [4] - The Guangxi project will fill a production gap in southern China, supporting the expansion of the company's compound fertilizer market [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural chemical industry [7][10]. Core Views - The agricultural chemical industry is expected to benefit from rising prices of potassium fertilizer and glyphosate, with supply constraints for the insecticide "Kangkuan" [2][5]. - The potassium fertilizer market is characterized by tight supply and demand, with a significant reliance on imports, which is projected to increase due to food security concerns [2][27]. - The phosphoric chemical sector is anticipated to maintain high price levels due to the scarcity of phosphate rock resources and increasing demand from new applications [3][51]. Summary by Sections Potassium Fertilizer - Global potassium fertilizer prices are expected to recover as demand increases, with China being the largest consumer and heavily reliant on imports [2][27]. - Domestic production of potassium chloride is projected to decrease slightly in 2024, while imports are expected to reach a historical high [27]. - The domestic potassium chloride price is forecasted to rise by approximately 100 yuan/ton in July due to increased port prices [2][45]. Phosphoric Chemicals - The price of phosphate rock is expected to remain high due to declining grades and increasing extraction costs, with a tight supply-demand balance [3][51]. - As of June 30, 2025, the market price for 30% grade phosphate rock in Hubei is 1,040 yuan/ton, while in Yunnan it is 970 yuan/ton, both stable compared to the previous month [3][51]. - The export policy for phosphoric fertilizers emphasizes domestic priority, with reduced export quotas expected to alleviate downward pressure in the domestic market [4]. Pesticides - The supply of "Kangkuan" has been unexpectedly restricted, leading to a potential price increase for the product [5]. - Glyphosate prices have risen by 1,300 yuan/ton in June, driven by increased demand from South America as planting areas for soybeans and corn expand [5][9]. - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the glyphosate sector, such as "Xingfa Group," which has a significant production capacity [9]. Key Company Recommendations - The report recommends "Yaji International" for potassium fertilizer, projecting production of 2.8 million tons in 2025 and 4 million tons in 2026 [5][49]. - For phosphoric chemicals, "Yuntianhua" and "Xingfa Group" are highlighted as key players due to their rich phosphate reserves [6]. - In the pesticide sector, "Xingfa Group" is recommended for its leading position in glyphosate production [9].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the prices of single fertilizers are showing a strong upward trend, which is beneficial for compound fertilizer companies during the peak season, indicating a positive outlook for annual performance [1] - In Q2, the prices of nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium fertilizers increased compared to Q1, with urea at 1855 RMB/ton (+7.0%), diammonium phosphate at 4066 RMB/ton (+5.0%), monoammonium phosphate at 3364 RMB/ton (+6.4%), and potassium chloride at 2994 RMB/ton (+3.7%) [1] - The company has significant phosphate resources, with the Aju Luo Ga phosphate mine construction progressing smoothly, holding a total phosphate resource of approximately 549 million tons [1] Group 2 - The company’s Yingcheng base is set to produce 700,000 tons of synthetic ammonia, along with supporting production lines for 600,000 tons of water-soluble compound fertilizer, 400,000 tons of slow-release compound fertilizer, and 1.5 million tons of refined salt, with completion expected within the year [2] - The revenue forecast for the company from 2025 to 2027 is projected at 22.51 billion, 24.99 billion, and 28.06 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.5%, 11.0%, and 12.3% respectively [2] - The net profit forecast for the same period is expected to be 1 billion, 1.29 billion, and 1.63 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 24.9%, 27.9%, and 26.9% respectively, leading to a corresponding PE ratio of 12, 9, and 7 times [2]