Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in performance for Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 505 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 97.54%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 56 million yuan, up 91.17% year-on-year [5] - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of the wind power market, with a projected revenue of 1.967 billion yuan in 2024, a slight increase of 1.11% year-on-year, and a net profit of 173 million yuan, a decrease of 58.03% year-on-year [5] - The company is focusing on expanding its large casting and forging capacity to capture the growing offshore wind power market, with a projected increase in sales of wind power casting products by 71% year-on-year [5] - The company has the capability to produce core casting components for wind turbines ranging from 5MW to 25MW, with a monthly production rate reaching new highs [5] Financial Data and Valuation - The company’s projected revenue for 2025 is 2.737 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 39.1%, and a net profit of 402 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 132.5% [6] - The expected EPS for 2025 is 1.26 yuan per share, with a P/E ratio of 16 times [6] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 27.4% in 2025, with a net margin of 14.7% [6] - The company’s total assets are expected to reach 8.575 billion yuan by 2025, with total liabilities of 2.145 billion yuan [7]

Group 1: Production Capacity and Utilization - The company has a casting capacity of 150,000 tons, but can currently release 80,000 to 100,000 tons due to various factors affecting production [1] - The effective casting capacity is expected to double this year, achieving 80,000 to 100,000 tons compared to 30,000 to 40,000 tons in 2024 [2] - The production release rate for new projects is approximately 50%-60% in the first year and 70%-80% in the second year [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Demand - The global offshore wind power installed capacity is projected to grow from 8 GW in 2024 to 16 GW in 2025, representing a 100% increase [1] - The company is diversifying its product offerings in the wind power sector, including both forged and cast components [3] - The market for casting products is expected to stabilize due to a self-regulatory agreement among wind power companies to reduce price competition [3] Group 3: Financial Performance and Orders - The company’s overseas orders have remained stable compared to last year, with an increase in offshore casting orders [4] - The company has invested in a subsidiary for bearing production, with expected product output by the end of 2025 [4] - The company’s market share in the casting spindle sector is increasing due to the rapid development of offshore wind power [5]

Core Insights - Jinan is focusing on building a modern industrial system characterized by "four beams, three supports, and four pillars," which includes key industries such as automotive manufacturing, electronic information, high-end equipment, and biomedicine [1][13] - The city aims to cultivate ten iconic industrial clusters, forming a "10+N" industrial matrix, and is prioritizing emerging fields like artificial intelligence, quantum technology, and low-altitude economy [1][13] - Jinan's economic performance is projected to improve, with a GDP of 13,527.6 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 5.4% year-on-year growth [3] Industrial Structure and Economic Performance - Jinan's industrial structure is evolving, with the primary industry contributing 440.0 billion yuan (3.6% growth), the secondary industry at 4,519.2 billion yuan (5.8% growth), and the tertiary industry at 8,568.4 billion yuan (5.2% growth), leading to a service-oriented economy [3][5] - The city has implemented over 2,000 industrial investment projects, with a focus on automotive manufacturing and electronic information, resulting in a 6.5% increase in industrial output value for 2024 [5] Innovation and Technology Development - Jinan is enhancing its innovation capabilities, with 1,189 new innovative SMEs and 720 specialized and innovative enterprises established in 2024 [7][8] - The city has made significant progress in building high-energy innovation platforms, including the Chinese Academy of Sciences Jinan Innovation City and the Shandong Institute of Industrial Technology [7] New Quality Productive Forces - The concept of "New Quality Productive Forces" was introduced by President Xi Jinping, emphasizing innovation-driven development and advanced production characteristics [2][10] - Jinan's government has launched several policies to support the development of new quality productive forces, including action plans for aerospace information and innovative pharmaceuticals [10][11] Future Industry Layout - Jinan is actively positioning itself in future industries, particularly in aerospace information, low-altitude economy, and quantum technology, with plans for significant infrastructure development [28] - The city aims to create a national-level future industry innovation demonstration zone, focusing on high-tech sectors and sustainable development [28] Key Enterprises and Sectors - Major companies in Jinan include Inspur Group in information technology, Qilu Pharmaceutical in biomedicine, and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group in high-end equipment manufacturing [20][21] - The automotive sector is represented by companies like BYD and Geely, which are driving the growth of the new energy vehicle industry in the region [20][21]

证券代码：300443 证券简称：金雷股份 公告编号：2025-023 金雷科技股份公司 关于参加 2025 年山东辖区上市公司投资者 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 为进一步加强与投资者的互动交流，金雷科技股份公司（以下简称"公 司"）将参加由山东证监局、山东上市公司协会与深圳市全景网络有限公司联 合举办的"2025 年山东辖区上市公司投资者网上集体接待日活动"，现将相关 事项公告如下： 本次活动将采用网络远程的方式举行，投资者可登录"全景路演"网站 （http://rs.p5w.net）；或关注微信公众号（名称：全景财经）；或下载全景路 演 APP，参与本次互动交流。活动时间为 2025 年 5 月 15 日（周四）15:00- 16:30。届时公司高管将在线就公司 2024 年度业绩、公司治理、发展战略、经 营状况、融资计划、股权激励和可持续发展等投资者关心的问题，与投资者进 行沟通与交流，欢迎广大投资者踊跃参与！ 特此公告！ 金雷科技股份公司董事会 二〇二五年五月十三日 网上集体接待日活动的公告 ...

证券代码：300443 证券简称：金雷股份 公告编号：2025-022 截至 2025 年 5 月 5 日，公司本次回购股份实施期限已届满，回购股 份方案已实施完毕。根据《上市公司股份回购规则》《深圳证券交易所 上市公司自律监管指引第 9 号—回购股份》等相关规定，现将公司回购 股份的具体情况公告如下： 一、本次股份回购实施情况 1、2024 年 11 月 13 日，公司使用自有资金通过股份回购专用证券 账户以集中竞价交易方式实施首次回购，回购数量为 688,900 股。具体 内容详见公司于 2024年 11月 14日在巨潮资讯网（www.cninfo.com.cn） 披露的《关于首次回购公司股份的公告》。 金雷科技股份公司 关于股份回购实施结果暨股份变动的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整， 没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 金雷科技股份公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2024 年 11 月 6 日召开 第六届董事会第五次会议、第六届监事会第五次会议，审议通过了《关 于回购公司股份方案的议案》，同意公司使用自有资金以集中竞价交易 方式回购部分已发行的人民币普通股 A 股股份（以下 ...

Core Viewpoint - The wind power sector is experiencing a significant upward trend in demand and profitability, with a notable performance turnaround in Q1 2025, indicating a potential industry inflection point [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In Q1 2025, new wind turbine tenders reached 28.6 GW, a year-on-year increase of 23%, reflecting sustained high demand [1][2]. - The wind power equipment sector achieved revenues of 37.2 billion yuan in Q1 2025, up 15.4% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.25 billion yuan, an increase of 2.8%, marking the first positive year-on-year growth in net profit for Q1 in three years [1][2]. - The overall industry is expected to see a revenue of 192 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 3.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.75 billion yuan, down 26.6% year-on-year, indicating a challenging year ahead despite the positive Q1 performance [2]. Group 2: Manufacturing and Profitability - The profitability of the complete machine manufacturing segment is stabilizing, with a slowdown in power station transfers impacting earnings, highlighting the growing importance of manufacturing profitability [2]. - The average sales price of wind turbines for leading companies is projected to decrease to 1,550 yuan/kW in 2024, with limited further decline expected [2]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant recovery in the performance of casting and forging companies, driven by revenue structure adjustments and fixed cost amortization during a traditionally low-demand season [3]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The industry is expected to continue its upward trajectory in revenue and profitability, with key recommendations focusing on companies benefiting from domestic price stabilization and increased revenue from offshore projects, such as Goldwind Technology, Yunda Co., and Mingyang Smart Energy [4]. - Companies in the subsea cable and foundation segments, like Dongfang Cable and Haile Wind Power, are also recommended due to their potential for profit growth driven by high demand [4]. - The casting and blade segments, including Jinlei Co. and Riyue Co., are highlighted for their significant performance elasticity due to supply-demand tightness and price increases [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in Q1 2025, achieving operating revenue of 500 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 97.5%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 60 million yuan, up 91.2%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 50 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 127.2% [2][4] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the booming downstream wind power industry, leading to rapid increases in production and shipment of forgings and castings [11] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 21.38%, a decrease of 2.53 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to changes in product mix. The operating expense ratio was 8.5%, down 5.6 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from the dilution effect of increased revenue [11] - The company ended Q1 2025 with inventory of 1.075 billion yuan, showing a rapid year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increase, indicating a strong outlook for future shipments [11] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of approximately 450 million yuan in 2025, corresponding to a PE ratio of about 14 times, supported by anticipated high growth in wind power installations and price increases for large castings [11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 operating revenue was 500 million yuan, a 97.5% increase year-on-year [2][4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was 60 million yuan, a 91.2% increase [2][4] - Net profit excluding non-recurring items was 50 million yuan, a 127.2% increase [2][4] - Gross margin was 21.38%, down 2.53 percentage points year-on-year [11] - Operating expense ratio was 8.5%, down 5.6 percentage points year-on-year [11] Market Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from high growth in wind power installations in 2025 and price increases for large castings, leading to a projected net profit of 450 million yuan [11]

电力设备及新能源行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 25Q1 风电行业招标增长，价格企稳 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 ⚫ 陆风周期底部回暖，静待量价修复。建议关注风电产业链复苏金风科技(002202， 未评级)、明阳智能(601615，未评级)、运达股份(300772，未评级)、日月股份 (603218，未评级)、三一重能(688349，未评级)、金雷股份(300443，未评级)等； 海风周期拐点蓄势待发，静待海风边际改善。建议关注风电产业链中海风相关度较 高环节东 方电缆(603606 ，未评级) 、振江 股份(603507，买入) 、起帆 电缆 (605222，买入)、大金重工(002487，未评级)等。 风险提示 asdasd 国家/地区 中国 行业 电力设备及新能源行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 05 月 04 日 看好（维持） | 顾高臣 | 021-63325888*6119 | | --- | --- | | | gugaochen@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860520080004 | | 严东 | yandong@orientsec.com.cn | | ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the wind power equipment sector, indicating an industry turning point in Q1 2025 with expected revenue and profit growth [3]. Core Insights - The wind power sector faced revenue and profit pressure in 2024 due to a deflationary cycle, with total revenue of 192 billion yuan, down 3.5% year-on-year, and net profit of 5.75 billion yuan, down 26.6% [2][20][23]. - Q1 2025 marked a recovery with a revenue of 37.2 billion yuan, up 15.4% year-on-year, and net profit of 1.25 billion yuan, up 2.8%, indicating the first positive year-on-year growth in net profit for Q1 in three years [2][26][30]. - The report highlights the importance of manufacturing profitability as the transfer of power stations slows down, with a focus on the manufacturing segment's increasing significance [2][3]. - The report identifies three key investment themes: 1) Equipment manufacturers benefiting from price stabilization and increased revenue from offshore projects, recommending companies like Goldwind Technology and Mingyang Smart Energy; 2) Companies in the submarine cable and foundation segments benefiting from high demand and overseas orders, recommending Dongfang Cable and Haile Wind Power; 3) Companies in the casting and blade segments with significant profit elasticity due to supply-demand tightness, recommending Jinlei Co. and Riyue Co. [3]. Summary by Sections Demand Review - The report notes a robust demand foundation with a 10% year-on-year increase in new wind power installations in 2024, totaling 87 GW, despite a decline in offshore wind installations [2][8]. - Q1 2025 saw accelerated offshore wind project starts, with 14.6 GW of new wind power connected to the grid, indicating a positive trend [8][9]. Financial Review - The financial performance in 2024 was under pressure, with a revenue of 192 billion yuan and a net profit of 57.5 billion yuan, reflecting a challenging market environment [20][23]. - In Q1 2025, the sector's revenue and profit showed signs of recovery, with a revenue of 372 billion yuan and a net profit of 12.5 billion yuan, marking a significant improvement [26][30]. Segment Analysis - The report highlights that the profitability of the complete machine manufacturing segment is stabilizing, while the tower and foundation segments face profitability challenges due to price declines and demand fluctuations [2][3]. - The casting and forging segments showed significant recovery in Q1 2025, benefiting from improved demand and pricing adjustments [39][44]. Price Trends - Wind turbine prices stabilized in Q4 2024, with a slight recovery in Q1 2025, indicating a potential end to the downward price trend [16][44]. - The report anticipates that as the market stabilizes, companies will see improved profitability from price adjustments in key components like casting and blades [44].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant year-on-year growth in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 505 million yuan, a 97.54% increase, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 56 million yuan, up 91.17% [1][2]. Group 1: Q1 2025 Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 56 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 91.2%, while the non-recurring net profit rose by 127.2% to 53 million yuan [1][2]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 21.38%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 2.53 percentage points but an increase of 2.89 percentage points from the previous quarter [2]. - The net profit margin stood at 11.06%, down 0.37 percentage points year-on-year but up 7.46 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - The wind power industry is entering a peak delivery season, with the company expected to benefit significantly due to its capabilities in producing wind turbine components [3]. - Since March 2025, major offshore wind projects in China have commenced, leading to an anticipated 115% year-on-year increase in new offshore wind installations, projected to reach 12 GW [3]. - As a leading manufacturer of wind turbine main shafts, the company is likely to see increased demand, which may enhance its capacity utilization and profitability [3]. Group 3: Future Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 2.72 billion yuan, 3.55 billion yuan, and 4.52 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 38.4%, 30.5%, and 27.3% respectively [4]. - Net profits are expected to reach 520 million yuan, 640 million yuan, and 810 million yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 201.9%, 23.1%, and 26.0% respectively [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.6 yuan, 2.0 yuan, and 2.5 yuan for 2025-2027 [4].