Alcoa(AA)
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The 'Trump Factor' In Action: Why I'm Bullish On Alcoa
Seeking Alpha· 2025-02-11 13:00
Group 1 - The article discusses the overwhelming political headlines from the nation's capital, particularly focusing on President Trump's influence on news coverage [1] - It highlights the perception that January felt unusually long due to the continuous stream of political news [1] Group 2 - There is no specific information regarding companies or industries in the provided content [2]
Stocks to Watch as Trump Announces 25% Tariffs on Steel & Aluminum
ZACKS· 2025-02-11 01:30
The industrial products and basic materials sectors saw a nice spike today, particularly among U.S. stocks as their foreign counterparts fell on news of President Trump’s plan to implement a 25% tariff on imported steel and aluminum. Along with the likelihood of higher commodity prices, U.S. manufacturers will benefit from increased demand for domestically produced metals with Trump’s tariffs making it more expensive for foreign producers. Nucor’s Market Dominance: As the largest steel producer in the Uni ...
Tidal Trust II Announces Name Change of STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-02-07 22:21
Core Viewpoint - Tidal Trust II is rebranding its STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF to STKd 100% Bitcoin & 100% Gold ETF, effective February 17, 2025, to better reflect its investment strategy that combines exposure to both Bitcoin and Gold [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Overview - The fund aims to provide a diversified investment approach by offering exposure to both digital (Bitcoin) and traditional (Gold) assets, while maintaining its existing investment strategy, structure, and management [2]. - The name change will be reflected in all official documents, including the Prospectus and Summary Prospectus, which will now refer to the fund as STKd 100% Bitcoin & 100% Gold ETF [3]. Group 2: Company Background - Tidal Financial Group is recognized as a leading innovator in the ETF industry, focusing on fund management, strategy development, and operational support to provide unique investment opportunities [5].
Why Has Alcoa Stock Dropped Post Q4 Results?
Forbes· 2025-02-03 11:00
Financial Performance - Alcoa reported Q4 2024 sales of $3.49 billion, up from $2.6 billion in Q4 2023, indicating strong financial improvements [1] - The company achieved a net income of $202 million, a turnaround from a net loss of $150 million a year ago [1] - Earnings per share reached $0.77, compared to a loss per share of $0.84 in Q4 2023 [1] - Adjusted EBITDA surged 196% sequentially to $1.6 billion, driven by higher alumina and aluminum prices and lower raw material and energy costs [4] Production Outlook - For 2025, Alcoa expects a slight decline in alumina production due to the curtailment of its Kwinana refinery, while aluminum production is anticipated to rise due to smelter restarts [2] - The company forecasts a $60 million sequential negative impact in Q1 2025 due to seasonal factors and operational changes [2] Stock Performance and Valuation - Alcoa's stock has shown volatility with annual returns of 159% in 2021, -23% in 2022, -24% in 2023, and 12% in 2024, contrasting with the S&P 500 [3] - The company is valued at around $48 per share, approximately 36% above the current market price [4] - Alcoa ended the year with $1.1 billion in cash, and its profitability improvement program exceeded targets, achieving $675 million in improvements over the year [4] Market Drivers - Higher aluminum demand from the automotive, aerospace, and renewable energy sectors is expected to boost revenue [4] - The uncertain macroeconomic environment may pose challenges, but the company remains positive on stock performance due to demand dynamics [4]
Alcoa: The Tides Have Shifted To A Bullish Market
Seeking Alpha· 2025-01-30 21:34
Group 1 - Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA) experienced significant growth in the final quarter of FY24 due to favorable aluminum and alumina pricing [1] - The strong trade environment for Alcoa is attributed to the potential for trade restrictions [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide any additional relevant information regarding the industry or company beyond the key points mentioned above.
Alcoa's Q4 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Revenues Increase Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-01-23 16:11
Core Viewpoint - Alcoa Corporation reported strong fourth-quarter 2024 results, with both adjusted earnings and total revenues exceeding expectations, indicating a positive financial performance compared to the previous year [1]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were $1.04 per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of 93 cents, and improved from an adjusted loss of 56 cents per share in the prior-year quarter [1]. - Total revenues reached $3.5 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.4 billion, and reflecting a 20% increase from the year-ago quarter [1][4]. Segmental Performance - Alumina production decreased by 2% sequentially to 2.39 million tons, while Aluminum production increased by 2% sequentially to 571,000 metric tons, driven by the Alumar smelter restart in Brazil [3]. - Third-party revenues for the Alumina segment rose by 46% due to higher average realized prices and increased shipments, while the Aluminum segment's revenues increased by 5% from higher average realized prices [4]. Costs and Expenses - Total cost of sales was $2.7 billion, up 11.9% year over year, with selling, general and administrative expenses rising by 25% to $80 million [5]. - Interest expense increased to $45 million from $28 million a year ago, while adjusted net income for the fourth quarter was $276 million, up 104% sequentially [5]. Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - Cash and cash equivalents stood at $1.1 billion, up from $944 million at the end of December 2023, while long-term debt increased to $2.5 billion from $1.7 billion [6]. - The company generated net cash of $622 million from operating activities, a significant increase from $91 million in the prior year, with capital expenditure totaling $580 million compared to $531 million a year ago [6]. Free Cash Flow - Free cash flow was reported at $42 million for the year, a notable recovery from a cash outflow of $440 million in the previous year [7]. Guidance - For 2025, Alcoa anticipates alumina production between 9.5-9.7 million metric tons and shipments between 13.1-13.3 million metric tons, with Aluminum segment production expected to be in the range of 2.3-2.5 million metric tons and shipments between 2.6-2.8 million metric tons [8]. Zacks Rank - Alcoa currently holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong market confidence in the company's performance [9].
The Zacks Analyst Blog Alcoa, EnerSys, Chart Industries and Packaging Corp
ZACKS· 2025-01-23 09:41
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. manufacturing sector is experiencing a steady recovery, supported by easing price pressures and positive economic indicators, making it a favorable environment for investment in manufacturing stocks [2][4]. Manufacturing Sector Performance - The U.S. manufacturing sector closed 2024 positively, indicating a revival in activity [2]. - Industrial production rose by 0.9% in December, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of 0.3%, with November's figures revised from a decline of 0.1% to an increase of 0.2% [5]. - Capacity utilization for manufacturing increased by 0.4% to 76.6 in December, reflecting underlying economic strength [7]. Key Stocks to Watch - **Alcoa Corp. (AA)**: Expected earnings growth for the current year is over 100%, with a Zacks Rank of 1 [11]. - **EnerSys (ENS)**: Anticipated earnings growth of 14.6% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank of 2 [12]. - **Chart Industries, Inc. (GTLS)**: Expected earnings growth of 48.1% for the current year, also holding a Zacks Rank of 2 [14]. - **Packaging Corp. of America (PKG)**: Projected earnings growth of 4.4% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank of 2 [15]. Economic Indicators - The end of The Boeing Company's strike contributed to a 6.3% increase in aerospace output, while apparel and leather output rose by 1.2% [6]. - The recovery in industrial production follows a period of decline, aided by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts totaling 100 basis points since September [8].
Alcoa(AA) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-01-23 02:04
Financial Performance - Alcoa's Q4 2024 revenue reached $3486 million, a sequential increase of $582 million compared to Q3 2024[10] - Net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation was $202 million in Q4 2024, compared to $90 million in Q3 2024[10] - Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items for Q4 2024 was $677 million, up from $455 million in Q3 2024[10] - For FY24, Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items was $1589 million, a significant increase from $536 million in FY23[10] - Alcoa returned $90 million to stockholders through quarterly dividends in 2024[7] Operational Highlights - Alumina realized price increased to $636 per metric ton in Q4 2024, compared to $485 per metric ton in Q3 2024[10] - Realized primary aluminum price increased to $3006 per metric ton in Q4 2024, compared to $2877 per metric ton in Q3 2024[10] - The company delivered $645 million in profitability improvement program, exceeding the initial target[7, 20] - Alcoa's working capital decreased to 34 days in Q4 2024[23] Outlook and Strategy - Alcoa expects alumina production to be between 95 million metric tons and 97 million metric tons in FY25[26] - Alcoa expects aluminum production to be between 23 million metric tons and 25 million metric tons in FY25[26] - The company is focused on de-levering the balance sheet and repositioning debt[25, 31]
Alcoa(AA) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-01-23 02:03
Financial Data and Key Metrics - No specific financial data or key metrics changes mentioned in the provided content [1][2][3][4][5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics - No specific business line data or key metrics changes mentioned in the provided content [1][2][3][4][5] Market Data and Key Metrics - No specific market data or key metrics changes mentioned in the provided content [1][2][3][4][5] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - No specific company strategy or industry competition details mentioned in the provided content [1][2][3][4][5] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - No specific management commentary on the operating environment or future outlook mentioned in the provided content [1][2][3][4][5] Other Important Information - The discussion contains forward-looking statements subject to various assumptions and caveats, with factors that may cause actual results to differ materially included in the presentation and SEC filings [4] - Non-GAAP financial measures are included in the presentation, with historical reconciliations available in the appendix, but no quantitative reconciliations for certain forward-looking non-GAAP measures are provided [5] Q&A Session - No Q&A session details provided in the content [1][2][3][4][5]
Alcoa (AA) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
ZACKS· 2025-01-23 01:00
Core Insights - Alcoa reported $3.49 billion in revenue for Q4 2024, a 34.3% year-over-year increase, with an EPS of $1.04 compared to -$0.56 a year ago, exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates for both revenue and EPS [1] Financial Performance - Revenue of $3.49 billion surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.41 billion, resulting in a surprise of +2.34% [1] - EPS of $1.04 exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.93, delivering a surprise of +11.83% [1] - Total third-party sales reached $3.49 billion, compared to the average estimate of $3.45 billion, marking a +34.3% change year-over-year [4] Key Metrics - Average realized price per metric ton of alumina was $636, slightly above the estimated $625.59 [4] - Average realized price per metric ton of aluminum was $3,006, below the estimated $3,114.28 [4] - Third-party alumina shipments totaled 2,289 Kmt, exceeding the estimate of 2,127.75 Kmt [4] - Third-party aluminum shipments were 641 Kmt, slightly above the estimate of 639.24 Kmt [4] Segment Performance - Total sales for aluminum were $1.90 billion, compared to the average estimate of $1.97 billion, reflecting a +12.6% year-over-year change [4] - Third-party sales for bauxite reached $128 million, exceeding the estimate of $105.02 million, with a +3.2% year-over-year change [4] - Third-party sales for alumina were $1.47 billion, surpassing the estimate of $1.35 billion, representing an +87.8% change year-over-year [4] - Intersegment sales for alumina were $846 million, exceeding the estimate of $645.07 million, with a year-over-year change of +88.4% [4] - Total sales for alumina were $2.44 billion, compared to the average estimate of $2.05 billion, marking a +80.3% year-over-year change [4]