Core Viewpoint - The current market volatility, driven by President Trump's trade tariffs, presents opportunities for patient investors to capitalize on discounted stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Starbucks - Starbucks has experienced a 25.6% decline over the past quarter, with shares trading at 70% of their 52-week highs, indicating a favorable environment for bullish investors [3][4]. - The stock forecast for Starbucks is set at $98.72, suggesting a potential upside of 16.57% from the current price of $84.69, based on 27 analyst ratings [3][5]. - Analysts predict that Starbucks could rally by as much as 20% from its current trading price, although true opinions may not be revealed until sales stabilize [5][6]. Group 2: ASML - ASML's stock forecast is $906.00, indicating a potential upside of 31.24% from the current price of $690.33, based on 10 analyst ratings [7][8]. - ASML is considered indispensable in the semiconductor industry, as its machinery is crucial for companies like NVIDIA to manufacture chips [8][9]. - Analysts from J.P. Morgan Chase maintain an Overweight rating on ASML, with a valuation of $1,100, suggesting a potential upside of up to 65% [10][11]. Group 3: PepsiCo - PepsiCo's stock forecast is $160.69, indicating a potential upside of 20.14% from the current price of $133.75, based on 18 analyst ratings [12][13]. - Institutional investors have increased their holdings in Pepsi by 9.4%, reflecting confidence in the stock despite its current bearish position [12][13]. - The stock has fallen to 73% of its 52-week high, with forward P/E valuations at 16.6x, which is below the lows seen during the COVID-19 pandemic [13][14].

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor market is experiencing a pullback due to tariffs, trade wars, and recession fears, but this creates attractive buying opportunities for long-term investors as the market is expected to grow significantly over the coming decades [1][2]. Group 1: TSMC - TSMC is the largest and most advanced contract chipmaker, relied upon by major companies like Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm, and Apple for producing high-performance chips [4][5]. - In the latest quarter, TSMC generated 59% of its revenue from the high-performance computing (HPC) market and 28% from the smartphone market, with HPC growth offsetting smartphone market softness [5]. - TSMC's revenue is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21% from 2024 to 2027, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to grow at a CAGR of 22% [8]. Group 2: ASML - ASML is the largest producer of lithography systems and the only producer of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems, essential for manufacturing advanced chips [9][10]. - ASML's low-NA EUV systems cost approximately $180 million each, while high-NA systems cost around $380 million, giving the company significant pricing power [10]. - Analysts expect ASML's revenue and EPS to grow at a CAGR of 12% and 19%, respectively, from 2024 to 2027 [11]. Group 3: Arm Holdings - Arm designs power-efficient CPUs, which are widely used in smartphones, tablets, IoT devices, and connected vehicles, capturing about 99% of the smartphone market [13][14]. - Arm plans to develop its own first-party chips, which could enhance its competitiveness and reduce costs by eliminating licensing fees [15]. - From fiscal 2024 to fiscal 2027, Arm's revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of 23%, while EPS is projected to grow at 81% [16].

Group 1 - ASML Holding N.V. is a significant player in AI development, despite facing stock price challenges in the previous year [1] - The focus is on identifying high-caliber companies with a market capitalization of less than $10 billion, which present growth opportunities [1] - The ideal companies should demonstrate long-term capital compounding capabilities with a high compound annual growth rate, potentially delivering tenfold returns or more [1] Group 2 - A long-term investment perspective is emphasized, as it is believed to yield higher returns compared to market indices in a rapidly changing investment environment [1] - A conservative investment strategy is primarily adopted, with occasional pursuit of favorable risk-reward opportunities [1] - Investments are carefully considered and allocated proportionally within the portfolio to maintain overall stability [1]

I am a full-time analyst interested in a wide range of stocks. With my unique insights and knowledge, I hope to provide other investors with a contrasting view of my portfolio, given my particular background.If you have any questions, feel free to reach out to me via a direct message on Seeking Alpha or leave a comment on one of my articles.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ASML, TSM, NVDA, GOOG either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote ...

Core Insights - ASML dominates the lithography machine market, holding over 85% of the global market share, with a 100% share in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines and over 98% in immersion deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machines [1][5] - China has imported over 1,400 lithography machines from ASML since 1986, making it one of the regions with the highest number of ASML devices globally [3][7] - The primary reasons for China's extensive purchases include the underdevelopment of its own lithography technology and the ongoing efforts to develop its semiconductor industry [5][7] Market Dynamics - The average annual purchase from ASML by China is over 300 machines, with a shift from low-end to more high-end immersion DUV machines in recent years [7] - Due to export restrictions, China has been unable to acquire the much-needed EUV lithography machines from ASML [9] - It is anticipated that the number of lithography machines purchased from ASML by China will gradually decrease, with a projected revenue contribution from China dropping from 36% in 2024 to 20% in 2025 [9]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying investment opportunities where intrinsic value diverges from market price, particularly focusing on undervalued companies [1] - A specialized interest in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) is highlighted, suggesting that the REIT sector offers significant potential for long-term growth [1] - The investment approach is grounded in fundamental analysis, prioritizing financial health, competitive positioning, and management quality [1] Company and Industry Focus - The company aims to uncover hidden gems in the market through thorough research and analysis across various industries [1] - The REIT sector is identified as a promising area for investment, with a belief in its unique dynamics and potential for substantial appreciation [1] - A disciplined investment strategy is maintained, focusing on due diligence and staying attuned to market trends to generate sustainable returns [1]

Core Insights - Despite Wall Street's optimistic outlook for big tech in 2025, most technology stocks have struggled significantly, with the Nasdaq-100 declining nearly 7% year-to-date [1] - Current market corrections present exceptional wealth-building opportunities for long-term investors, particularly in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector [2] Company Insights - **Nvidia (NVDA)**: - Shares are down 19% year-to-date, presenting a compelling buying opportunity amid the tech sell-off [5] - Nvidia's GPUs are essential for AI development, creating a competitive advantage that rivals cannot overcome [6] - The company has seen a 383% increase in annual revenue over the past three years, indicating strong financial performance [7] - Nvidia is positioned to benefit significantly from the ongoing tech transformation, with a multitrillion-dollar commercial opportunity ahead [9] - **Palantir Technologies (PLTR)**: - The stock has surged 52% year-to-date, significantly outperforming major tech peers [10] - Palantir's software platforms enable organizations to integrate large datasets and deploy AI capabilities, transforming raw data into actionable intelligence [11] - Established relationships with government agencies provide a stable revenue foundation, while its commercial business is accelerating [12] - Palantir represents a compelling investment in the software and implementation side of the AI revolution [13] - **ASML Holding (ASML)**: - The stock has experienced a modest 5.2% decline year-to-date, despite its critical position in the AI value chain as the sole manufacturer of EUV lithography machines [14] - ASML holds a monopoly on the equipment necessary for producing advanced semiconductor chips that power AI applications [15] - Major chipmakers are increasing capital expenditures significantly, with TSMC raising spending by 34% and SK Hynix boosting its 2025 investment by 30% to $20 billion, indicating strong long-term demand for ASML's products [16]

Group 1 - The article discusses ASML's market position and previous rating of Hold due to concerns over optimistic assumptions regarding DUV shipments, particularly to China [1] - The author emphasizes a focus on investing in companies within oligopolistic sectors that have high barriers to entry, indicating a preference for established firms over smaller companies [1] - The investment approach highlighted is growth at a reasonable price, with a mid- to long-term investment horizon [1] Group 2 - The author has a background in mechanical engineering and experience in the semiconductor sector, which informs their investment strategies [1] - The article aims to provide small investors with valuable investment ideas, particularly in semiconductors, robotics, and energy [1] - The author expresses a commitment to sharing insights and encourages engagement from readers through comments or direct messages [1]

Core Viewpoint - The European Union's (EU) goal to capture 20% of the global semiconductor market by 2030 appears highly unlikely, with current projections estimating only an increase from 9.8% in 2022 to 11.7% by 2030, far below the target [3][4]. Group 1: Current Status and Challenges - The EU's semiconductor industry is currently dominated by a few large companies, which poses risks as delays or failures in individual projects can disproportionately affect the entire sector [4]. - The EU's Chip Act, while ambitious, is not expected to significantly enhance the EU's global market share in semiconductors, as the funding and strategic implementation are insufficient [4][5]. - External challenges such as reliance on imported raw materials, high energy prices, environmental issues, geopolitical instability, and a shortage of skilled labor further complicate the EU's semiconductor ambitions [4][5]. Group 2: Recommendations and Strategic Actions - The European Court of Auditors (ECA) recommends that the EU Commission reassess the Chip Act's goals in light of current resources and global competition, and establish a new semiconductor strategy with clear, achievable targets [5][6]. - The EU should learn from Japan's approach to maintaining strategic industries and consider a more cohesive industrial strategy that emphasizes the importance of semiconductors in economic security [7][8]. - A "Semiconductor Alliance" has been initiated by nine EU member states to enhance competitiveness and strategic autonomy in the semiconductor sector, aiming for better collaboration with the EU Commission [9][10]. Group 3: Future Directions - The EU's semiconductor strategy should focus on leveraging existing strengths, such as the dominance of companies like ASML in critical manufacturing technologies, to navigate the competitive landscape shaped by US-China tensions [7][12]. - Emphasizing the relationship between semiconductors and national defense could influence future budget negotiations within the EU, especially as member states increase defense spending [11][12]. - The EU must adopt a proactive stance rather than a defensive one, ensuring it remains a key player in semiconductor negotiations rather than being sidelined by larger powers [12].

ASML Holding (NASDAQ: ASML ) submitted its earnings scorecard for its first fiscal quarter on April 16, 2025 which showed a sequential drop-off in net system sales, but the company nonetheless saw a significant growth boost in itsAnalyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ASML, TSMC, NVDA, AMD either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Se ...