Summary of the Conference Call on Innovative Drug Investment Industry Overview - The innovative drug sector is expected to benefit significantly from business development (BD) transactions, with total transaction value exceeding $100 billion in 2025, leading to a projected revenue increase of approximately 6 times for Chinese innovative drug companies as the industry enters a growth phase [1][3] - China has become one of the most efficient countries globally in transitioning from preclinical confirmation (PCC) to proof of concept (POC), supported by high-quality clinical resources and efficient development capabilities [1][6] Key Companies and Products - **BeiGene**: Expected global sales of its product, Zanubrutinib, to reach $3.7 billion in 2025, potentially increasing to $4.5-5 billion by 2027, setting a benchmark for other companies [1][7] - **Innovative Drug Companies to Watch**: Recommendations include BeiGene, Kelun-Biotech (partnered with Merck), Innovent Biologics (partnered with Takeda), and Kintor Pharmaceutical, along with high-potential companies like Eucure Biopharma and Sinopharm [1][8] Investment Logic and Trends - The primary investment logic for 2026 in innovative drugs is "de-risking," emphasizing certainty in clinical, regulatory, commercial, and financial aspects of companies [2] - The innovative drug market is characterized by high volatility, necessitating the establishment of target market capitalization ranges and effective cost dilution or accumulation strategies [2] Clinical Data and Emerging Fields - Significant clinical data releases are anticipated in 2026 from major academic conferences such as the Morgan Conference, ACR, ASCO, and ESMO, which will impact stock prices of related companies [1][11] - Emerging fields to focus on include In vivo CAR technology and oncology products like AZ's datopotamab and Kintor's product [1][12][13] De-risking Strategies - De-risking strategies involve reducing research and development risks as pipelines advance, with success rates increasing significantly from preclinical to clinical stages [5] - Companies should secure quality assets through regulatory channels and maintain strong cash reserves to ensure project continuity [5] Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The innovative drug market is at a critical inflection point, with many companies approaching breakeven and profit margin improvement, presenting investment opportunities [9] - Key factors for selecting innovative drug investments include the quality of POC data, consistency of overseas market data, and the operational advantages of companies [10] Conclusion - The innovative drug sector in China is poised for substantial growth, driven by efficient development processes and a strong pipeline of promising products. Investors are encouraged to focus on companies with established market presence and those entering critical development phases, as they are likely to yield significant returns in the evolving landscape of the pharmaceutical industry [21]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the pharmaceutical sector, with the overall performance of the Shenwan Pharmaceutical and Biological Index increasing by 7.8% during the week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index which rose by 3.82% [2][3]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector's overall valuation stands at 30.6 times earnings, ranking 10th among 31 Shenwan primary industries [5]. - The report highlights significant developments in the long-term care insurance system transitioning from pilot programs to full establishment during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with coverage reaching nearly 300 million people and fund expenditures exceeding 100 billion yuan by the end of 2025 [11]. - Notable advancements in drug commercialization include the launch of Novo Nordisk's oral GLP-1 weight loss drug Wegovy in the U.S., with monthly costs ranging from $149 to $299 for self-paying patients [13][14]. - Moderna has submitted a New Drug Application (NDA) for its seasonal flu vaccine mRNA-1010, showing promising efficacy results in clinical trials [15]. - Arrowhead has reported positive mid-stage results for its RNAi therapies ARO-INHBE and ARO-ALK7, demonstrating significant reductions in visceral and liver fat [16][17]. - GSK's hepatitis B drug Bepirovirsen has shown statistically significant functional cure rates in its Phase III trials [18]. - Recent approvals for innovative drugs in China include BeiGene's BCL-2 inhibitor and Sanofi's APOC3 siRNA drug, which addresses familial chylomicronemia syndrome [19][21]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shenwan Pharmaceutical and Biological Index increased by 7.8%, ranking 6th among 31 Shenwan primary industries [2][3]. - Various sub-sectors showed positive growth, with medical devices and medical outsourcing leading with increases of 10.8% and 11.1%, respectively [5]. Industry Dynamics - The long-term care insurance system is set to expand significantly, with a focus on providing care for the elderly and disabled [11][12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of innovation in drug development, particularly in RNAi therapies and small nucleic acid drugs, which are gaining traction in clinical settings [16][18]. Company Developments - Significant partnerships and collaborations are highlighted, such as the $8.88 billion research collaboration between Insilico Medicine and Servier focusing on oncology [20]. - The report notes the successful commercialization of several new drugs, including BeiGene's and Sanofi's recent approvals, which are expected to impact market dynamics positively [19][21]. - The establishment of new companies and subsidiaries, such as the brain-computer interface subsidiary by Xinwei Medical, indicates a strategic shift towards innovative technologies in healthcare [22].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the pharmaceutical industry, indicating a "Buy" rating based on recent market performance and emerging opportunities in innovative drug development [2][3]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector saw a significant increase, with the Shenwan Pharmaceutical and Biological Index rising by 7.8%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 3.82% [2][3]. - The report highlights the ongoing commercialization of innovative drugs, including the oral GLP-1 medication Wegovy by Novo Nordisk, and the successful clinical trials of various RNAi therapies [11][13][18]. - The establishment of a comprehensive long-term care insurance system in China is expected to enhance the healthcare landscape, potentially benefiting the pharmaceutical sector [11][12]. Market Performance - The Shenwan Pharmaceutical and Biological Index ranked 6th among 31 Shenwan first-level sub-industries, with various sub-sectors showing positive growth, such as medical devices (+10.8%) and medical research outsourcing (+11.1%) [2][5]. - The overall valuation of the pharmaceutical sector stands at 30.6 times earnings, ranking 10th among 31 Shenwan first-level industries [5][10]. Recent Key Events - The report notes the successful approval and commercialization of several new drugs, including BeiGene's BCL-2 inhibitor and Sanofi's APOC3 siRNA drug, which address significant medical needs [20][22]. - Collaborations in drug development are highlighted, such as the $8.88 billion partnership between Insilico Medicine and Servier focusing on oncology [21]. - The report emphasizes the potential of the brain-computer interface industry, with companies like Mindray Medical and Lepu Medical making strides in this area [24]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on domestic innovative drug companies and CROs, particularly those involved in the development of small nucleic acid drugs and brain-computer interface technologies [2][11]. - Specific companies to watch include Tigermed, WuXi AppTec, and Innovent Biologics, which are positioned to benefit from the recovery of the innovative drug sector [2][11].

Group 1 - The A-share and Hong Kong stock markets showed strength on January 12, with the innovative drug concept experiencing fluctuations after several days of rebound; the Hang Seng-Hushen-Hong Kong Innovative Drug Selected 50 Index fell by 0.63% at the time of reporting, while stocks like CSPC Pharmaceutical Group, BeiGene, and Boteng Co., Ltd. saw slight increases [1] - Since the beginning of 2026, as of the close on January 9, the Hang Seng-Hushen-Hong Kong Innovative Drug Selected 50 Index has rebounded over 10% cumulatively [1] - The Tianhong Innovative Drug ETF (517380) was actively traded, with a transaction amount exceeding 40 million yuan and a premium rate of 0.78% at the time of reporting; it has seen continuous capital inflow, accumulating over 170 million yuan from January 7 to 9 [1] Group 2 - According to Zhongtai Securities, it is recommended to focus on three dimensions for investment in 2026: "innovative drugs and their industrial chain, demand recovery and operational turning points, and AI+" [2] - Continuous attention should be paid to the AI+ theme, the positive catalysts from the JPM conference in the innovative drug sector, and the potential for exceeding annual performance forecasts or clearing turning point opportunities [2]

Core Insights - The approval of Zeshuo Pharmaceutical's injection of human thyroid-stimulating hormone beta (Zesuning) marks a significant milestone as it becomes China's first innovative product approved for precise assessment post-surgery for differentiated thyroid cancer [1][2] - The Chinese innovative drug industry is experiencing robust growth, with multiple new drugs receiving approval since the beginning of 2026, including innovative drugs from companies like Hengrui Medicine and BeiGene [1][2] - The National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) is enhancing support for innovative drugs, focusing on new mechanisms and targets, and aims to facilitate the "China first launch" of innovative drugs [3][4] Company Developments - Hengrui Medicine's innovative drug, the dual-specific antibody fusion protein Ruilafuzumab α injection, has been approved as the world's first anti-PD-L1/TGF-βRII dual-specificity antibody fusion protein for advanced gastric cancer [1][2] - BeiGene's innovative drug, Sotorasib tablets, has received conditional approval for treating chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic lymphoma and is the first and only BCL2 inhibitor approved for treating mantle cell lymphoma in China [2] - The approval of multiple innovative drugs reflects a significant increase in the number of innovative drugs approved in China, with 76 approved in 2025, surpassing the 48 approved in 2024 [2] Industry Trends - Approximately 20 major new drugs are expected to receive approval in 2026, covering various therapeutic areas such as oncology, infectious diseases, rare diseases, autoimmune diseases, and neurological disorders [3] - The Chinese innovative drug industry is transitioning from a follower to a competitor, with many domestic companies accelerating the development and market entry of groundbreaking innovative drugs [2][3] - The NMPA is implementing reforms to enhance the drug approval process, including the introduction of a data protection system for drug trials and a market exclusivity system for pediatric and rare disease medications [4][5] Policy Support - The NMPA is set to provide comprehensive support across the entire chain of communication, clinical trials, registration, and review processes for innovative drugs [4] - The new medical insurance directory has been implemented, facilitating the inclusion of innovative drugs in hospitals, which alleviates initial payment challenges for high-value innovative drugs [4] - The NMPA is also optimizing the review process for urgently needed foreign drugs, encouraging global simultaneous research and application in China [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share and Hong Kong stock markets for the pharmaceutical sector have shown a strong recovery at the beginning of 2026, marked by a "five consecutive days of gains" trend, driven by supportive policies, payment innovations, and explosive growth in overseas markets [2][4][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of the latest close, the A-share innovative drug ETF (159992) closed at 0.897 CNY per share, up 1.7%, with a daily trading volume of 845 million CNY, and a year-to-date increase of 7.94% [2]. - The Hong Kong innovative drug ETF (159570) closed at 0.553 HKD per share, up 0.91%, with a trading volume of 572 million HKD, and a year-to-date increase of 11.04% [4]. - Notable stocks such as Weikang Pharmaceutical, Frontier Biologics-U, and Hongbo Pharmaceutical achieved daily price limits, indicating strong market sentiment [2][4]. Group 2: Policy Support - The turnaround in market sentiment is attributed to a combination of policy support, payment innovations, and explosive growth in overseas markets [6]. - The new medical insurance directory and the first commercial insurance innovative drug directory were launched simultaneously, further supporting the innovative drug sector [6]. - Local policies have also been strengthened, with the Guangzhou government announcing plans to accelerate the strategic layout of innovative drugs, focusing on monoclonal antibodies, vaccines, and blood products [8]. Group 3: Regulatory Improvements - The approval process for innovative drugs has entered a fast track, with the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) enhancing support for innovative drugs with new mechanisms and targets [8]. - The NMPA has optimized the review and approval processes for urgently needed foreign drugs, aiming to shorten the listing cycle for innovative drugs [8]. - As of early 2026, several significant drugs have been approved, setting a positive tone for the industry's development [9]. Group 4: Supply Chain and Production - In 2025, a record 76 innovative drugs were approved for listing, with over one-third in the oncology treatment field, indicating a strong focus on cancer research [10]. - The majority of approved drugs were domestically developed, with a domestic rate of 85.53%, highlighting the strength of local innovation [12]. Group 5: Payment Innovations - A multi-tiered payment system has been established to address the "payment difficulty" that has historically hindered the development of innovative drugs in China [14]. - The new medical insurance directory includes 114 drugs, with an 88% success rate for inclusion, and 80% of innovative drugs entering the directory within two years of listing [16]. - The introduction of a commercial insurance directory for high-value innovative drugs enhances patient access and secures profitability for companies [16]. Group 6: International Expansion - The overseas market for Chinese innovative drugs has seen explosive growth, with total overseas authorization transaction amounts reaching 1356.55 billion USD in 2025, significantly up from 519 billion USD in 2024 [17]. - The focus on antibody drugs and ADCs has attracted attention from overseas pharmaceutical companies, with a shift towards later-stage clinical authorizations [17]. - The growth in overseas business not only provides substantial upfront payments but also benefits the entire industry chain, including contract research organizations (CROs) [17][18].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) will launch six new stock options on January 19, 2026, expanding the stock options market and providing investors with more choices [2] - The new stock options will include Zijin Mining International (02259), WuXi AppTec (02359), BeiGene (06160), Lao Poo Gold (06181), Horizon Robotics (09660), and CanSino Biologics (09926) [2] - The average daily trading volume of the derivatives market at HKEX reached a record high of 1,662,751 contracts last year, representing a 7% year-on-year increase [2] Group 2 - Stock options, including monthly and weekly expiry contracts, were among the most actively traded products, with an average daily trading volume of 879,831 contracts, marking a 22% year-on-year increase [2] - The new stock options will have varying contract sizes, such as 200 shares for Zijin Mining International and BeiGene, and 500 shares for WuXi AppTec [3] - The launch will include contracts for multiple months in 2026, specifically January, February, March, April, June, September, and December for certain stocks [3]

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) will launch six new stock options on January 19, 2026, expanding the stock options market and providing investors with more choices [1] Group 1: New Stock Options - The new stock options will include Zijin Gold International (02259), WuXi AppTec (02359), BeiGene (06160), Lao Poo Gold (06181), Horizon Robotics (09660), and CanSino Biologics (09926) [1] - The contract sizes for the new options are as follows: Zijin Gold International (200 shares), WuXi AppTec (500 shares), BeiGene (200 shares), Lao Poo Gold (100 shares), Horizon Robotics (3,000 shares), and CanSino Biologics (1,000 shares) [2] Group 2: Market Performance - The average daily trading volume of HKEX's derivatives market reached 1,662,751 contracts last year, marking a 7% year-on-year increase and setting a new record [1] - Stock options, including monthly and weekly expiry contracts, were among the most actively traded products, with an average daily trading volume of 879,831 contracts, a 22% year-on-year increase and a new record high [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance and growth of the Tianhong Innovation Drug ETF (517380), which has seen significant trading activity and net inflows, indicating strong investor interest in the innovative pharmaceutical sector [1] - As of January 8, the Tianhong Innovation Drug ETF reached a new high with a total scale of 1.597 billion yuan and 1.980 billion shares outstanding, reflecting robust market demand [1] - The ETF tracks the Hang Seng Shanghai-Shenzhen Hong Kong Innovation Drug Select 50 Index (HSSSHID), which includes a diverse selection of 50 leading innovative pharmaceutical companies, with a composition of 40% Hong Kong stocks and 60% A-shares [1] Group 2 - Notable achievements in the innovative pharmaceutical sector include Shiyao Group's R&D expenses of 4.185 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, focusing on ADC, GLP-1, and small nucleic acid pipelines, with total authorized amounts exceeding 9.7 billion USD [2] - BeiGene is projected to achieve a profit of 200 million USD in 2025, with expectations of reaching 600-800 million USD in 2026, as several solid tumor drugs enter critical clinical stages [2] - Three Life Sciences has partnered with Pfizer for a 6 billion USD dual antibody licensing deal, receiving an upfront payment of 1.4 billion USD, with 20 clinical studies planned for 2026 [2]

Core Insights - The new medical insurance directory has entered a substantial implementation phase, with several innovative drugs, including Tislelizumab and Fuzhengzhu, being prescribed under insurance in various hospitals, indicating a reduction in access barriers for patients [1] - The adjustment includes 114 new drugs and introduces a commercial health insurance directory for innovative drugs, marking a significant shift towards a multi-tiered insurance system [1][5] - The rapid inclusion of innovative drugs in the insurance directory reflects increased support for "true innovation" with high clinical value [5] Group 1: New Drug Inclusion - The new medical insurance directory has added 124 unique products, including Tislelizumab, the first targeted drug for thyroid eye disease, and Fuzhengzhu, a biological agent for psoriasis [5] - Heng Rui Medicine is a major beneficiary, with 20 products and indications adjusted, including 10 new drugs entering the directory for the first time [5][6] - Other biotech companies like BeiGene and Innovent Biologics have also benefited, with multiple products included in the new directory, enhancing their commercialization prospects [7] Group 2: Commercial Health Insurance Directory - The introduction of the commercial health insurance directory provides a secondary market for high-value innovative drugs, with price reductions ranging from 15% to 50%, which is less severe than the basic insurance cuts [9] - The directory aims to improve accessibility for high-priced drugs while ensuring adequate returns for pharmaceutical companies [9] - Notable CAR-T therapies have been included in the commercial directory, overcoming previous barriers to entry, with prices for these therapies exceeding 1 million yuan [8][10] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Drug Exits - The adjustment process has also seen the removal of 29 drugs from the insurance directory, including Benarutide, which faced competition from more effective alternatives [12][14] - The dynamic adjustment mechanism emphasizes the need for drugs to demonstrate clinical value, reinforcing a "can enter, can exit" policy [14] - Companies are encouraged to shift from "me-too" products to genuine innovations, focusing on high-value areas such as oncology and rare diseases [10][14]