执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券研究报告·海外公司点评·公用事业Ⅱ(HS) 中国燃气（00384.HK） 2025/2026 财年中报点评：业绩承压，自由现 金流持续改善 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | FY2024A | FY2025A | FY2026E | FY2027E | FY2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万港元） | 81,410 | 79,258 | 76,748 | 77,444 | 78,489 | | 同比(%) | (11.50) | (2.64) | (3.17) | 0.91 | 1.35 | | 归母净利润（百万港元） | 3,185 | 3,252 | 2,976 | 3,182 | 3,446 | | 同比(%) | (25.82) | 2.09 | (8.47) | 6.92 | 8.30 | | EPS-最新摊薄（港元/股） | 0.58 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.58 | 0.63 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook compared to market performance [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of FY2025/26, with revenue at 34.481 billion HKD, down 1.8% year-on-year, and net profit at 1.334 billion HKD, down 24.2% [6]. - Free cash flow reached a record high of 2.6 billion HKD, reflecting a 17.2% increase year-on-year [6]. - The company aims to maintain a gas margin target of 0.55 HKD/m³ for the full fiscal year, with potential for a 0.01 HKD/m³ increase compared to FY2024/25 [6]. - The company’s value-added and comprehensive energy businesses showed steady growth, contributing positively to overall performance [6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the upcoming fiscal years are as follows: - FY2023/24: 81.410 billion HKD - FY2024/25: 79.258 billion HKD - FY2025/26: 76.368 billion HKD - FY2026/27: 72.404 billion HKD - FY2027/28: 72.595 billion HKD [5][7] - Net profit forecasts are as follows: - FY2023/24: 3.185 billion HKD - FY2024/25: 3.252 billion HKD - FY2025/26: 3.264 billion HKD - FY2026/27: 3.770 billion HKD - FY2027/28: 4.192 billion HKD [5][7] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be: - FY2023/24: 0.59 HKD - FY2024/25: 0.60 HKD - FY2025/26: 0.60 HKD - FY2026/27: 0.69 HKD - FY2027/28: 0.77 HKD [5][7].

Group 1: China Gas Performance - China Gas reported a revenue of HKD 34.481 billion for the six months ending September 30, 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8% [3] - The gross profit was HKD 5.506 billion, down 6.0% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 24.2% to HKD 1.334 billion [3] - The company experienced a decline in new residential connections, with 676,300 new users added, a decrease of approximately 25.2% compared to the previous year [4] Group 2: Industry Challenges - The domestic natural gas consumption in China saw a slight decline of 0.2% year-on-year, totaling 317.75 billion cubic meters from January to September [3] - The ongoing challenges in the real estate market have led to a decrease in new user development for the gas industry [4] - China Gas is actively participating in the national initiative for urban gas pipeline upgrades and is pushing for reforms in natural gas pricing mechanisms [3] Group 3: China Water Performance - China Water reported a revenue of HKD 5.183 billion for the six months ending September 30, 2025, down 12.9% from HKD 5.953 billion in the same period last year [6] - The profit attributable to shareholders decreased to HKD 571 million, down from HKD 756 million year-on-year [6] - The company is focusing on optimizing its development strategy, prioritizing projects with the best returns, which has led to a slowdown in construction activities and related revenues [9] Group 4: Water Industry Insights - China Water's revenue from urban water supply and pipeline drinking water supply segments decreased significantly, with urban water supply revenue falling by 13.1% to HKD 3.271 billion [9] - The environmental business saw an increase in revenue by 8.7%, primarily due to growth in wastewater treatment services [9] - Long-term operational models like TOO (Transfer-Own-Operate) are expected to provide higher intrinsic value compared to other models, benefiting the company's water supply business [10]

Group 1: China Gas Performance - China Gas reported a revenue of HKD 34.481 billion for the six months ending September 30, 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8% [3] - The company's gross profit was HKD 5.506 billion, down 6.0% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 1.334 billion, reflecting a decline of 24.2% [3] - The company connected 676,300 new residential users during the first half of the fiscal year, a decrease of approximately 25.2% compared to the same period last year [4] Group 2: Industry Challenges - The domestic natural gas consumption in China saw a slight decline of 0.2% year-on-year, totaling 317.75 billion cubic meters from January to September [3] - The ongoing downturn in the real estate market has led to a continuous decline in new housing starts and completions, impacting the development of new users in the gas industry [4] - China Gas is actively participating in the national initiative for urban gas pipeline upgrades and is pushing for reforms in the natural gas pricing mechanism to alleviate cost pressures [3] Group 3: China Water Performance - China Water reported a revenue of HKD 5.183 billion for the six months ending September 30, 2025, down 12.9% from HKD 5.953 billion in the same period last year [5] - The profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 571 million, a decrease from HKD 756 million year-on-year [5] - The company's revenue from urban water supply and pipeline drinking water supply segments decreased significantly, with urban water supply revenue falling by 13.1% to HKD 3.271 billion [7] Group 4: Strategic Adjustments - China Water is optimizing its development strategy to focus on core business project management, leading to a slowdown in construction activities and related revenue [7] - The environmental protection segment saw an increase in revenue by 8.7% year-on-year, primarily due to increased operational services from wastewater treatment projects [7] - The company is expected to benefit from the current pricing adjustment cycle, which may lead to a recovery in profitability [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Gas (00384) [2][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of HKD 34.481 billion for the first half of FY2025/26, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 1.334 billion, down 24.2%, which was below expectations due to a reduction in new user connections and a slowdown in industrial gas demand [6]. - Free cash flow reached a record high of HKD 2.6 billion, an increase of 17.2% year-on-year, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [6]. - The retail gas sales volume increased by 1.7% year-on-year to 17.41 billion cubic meters, although town gas sales volume decreased by 1.5% due to declining industrial gas demand [6]. - The company aims to maintain a gross margin target of HKD 0.55 per cubic meter for the full fiscal year, with potential for a slight increase compared to the previous fiscal year [6]. - The connection business continues to face pressure, with new residential user connections down 25.2% year-on-year, indicating a declining contribution to overall profits [6]. - Value-added and integrated energy businesses showed steady growth, contributing positively to the company's performance, with significant increases in commercial user-side energy storage and electricity sales [6]. - The company is actively optimizing its debt structure, resulting in a decrease in financing costs to 3.39% for the first half of FY2025/26, down 0.45 percentage points from the previous fiscal year [6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the upcoming fiscal years are as follows: - FY2023/24: HKD 81.41 billion - FY2024/25: HKD 79.26 billion - FY2025/26: HKD 76.37 billion - FY2026/27: HKD 72.40 billion - FY2027/28: HKD 72.60 billion [5][7]. - Net profit forecasts are: - FY2023/24: HKD 3.185 billion - FY2024/25: HKD 3.252 billion - FY2025/26: HKD 3.264 billion - FY2026/27: HKD 3.770 billion - FY2027/28: HKD 4.192 billion [5][7]. - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - FY2023/24: HKD 0.59 - FY2024/25: HKD 0.60 - FY2025/26: HKD 0.60 - FY2026/27: HKD 0.69 - FY2027/28: HKD 0.77 [5][7].

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between China Gas Holdings Limited and Henan Jinli Zinc Co., Ltd. on a 60MW/120MWh commercial energy storage project represents a significant advancement in the green transformation of the non-ferrous metal smelting industry, addressing high energy consumption and enabling low-carbon production [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The energy storage project is one of the largest user-side applications in the non-ferrous metal smelting sector, aimed at creating an efficient and low-carbon energy system for Henan Jinli Zinc's lead-zinc smelting operations [1]. - The total investment for Henan Jinli Zinc's lead-zinc smelting project is 3 billion yuan, with an expected annual output value of 5 billion yuan upon completion [1]. Group 2: Technical Specifications - The project includes 24 DC cabins and 12 power conversion systems, utilizing a fully liquid-cooled lithium iron phosphate system with a charge-discharge efficiency exceeding 87% [2]. - The liquid cooling temperature control technology maintains battery temperature within ±3°C, ensuring stable output even under high-temperature smelting conditions, and features a "black start" capability to provide emergency power during grid failures [2]. Group 3: Economic and Environmental Impact - Once operational, the energy storage project will significantly reduce electricity costs for smelting production through peak shaving and valley filling, while optimizing power resource utilization and reducing carbon emissions from fossil fuel consumption [2]. - The project is positioned as a benchmark for energy storage applications in the non-ferrous metal smelting industry, with China Gas aiming to continue focusing on energy transition needs in high-energy-consuming sectors through technological innovation and service upgrades [2].

有色金属冶炼属于高耗能产业，且生产过程对电力供应的稳定性要求极高；随着企业二期项目的建成试车，传统用能模式已难以匹配产能扩张后 的能源需求。凭借在综合能源服务领域的技术积淀与大型项目经验，中国燃气为河南金利金锌量身打造了超大规模储能解决方案。 （原标题：中国燃气携手河南金利金锌? 打造重工业定制化储能解决方案） 在有色金属冶炼行业绿色转型的关键阶段，储能技术成为企业破解高耗能痛点、实现低碳生产的关键助力。据记者获悉，中国燃气控股有限公司 与河南金利金锌有限公司合作60MW/120MWh工商业储能项目正在加紧建设中，该项目作为有色金属冶炼领域规模较大的用户侧储能应用案例， 将为河南金利金锌的铅锌冶炼生产构建高效、低碳的能源体系，也标志着中国燃气在重工业储能服务领域实现重大突破。 中国燃气董事会主席刘明辉表示，河南金利金锌项目是公司在重工业领域储能服务的重要布局，未来将持续聚焦高耗能行业的能源转型需求，通 过技术创新与服务升级，为更多重工业企业提供定制化储能解决方案，推动有色金属冶炼行业的绿色升级。 资料显示，河南金利金锌是河南金利金铅集团旗下子公司，承担着国家重点研发计划"固废资源化"专项实验生产线示范项目的实 ...

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between China Gas Holdings and Henan Jinli Zinc Co., Ltd. on a 60MW/120MWh commercial energy storage project marks a significant advancement in the green transformation of the non-ferrous metal smelting industry, aiming to establish an efficient and low-carbon energy system for lead-zinc smelting production [1][2]. Group 1: Project Details - The energy storage project is one of the largest user-side applications in the non-ferrous metal smelting sector, highlighting China Gas's major breakthrough in heavy industry energy storage services [1]. - The project includes 24 DC cabins and 12 power conversion systems, utilizing a fully liquid-cooled lithium iron phosphate system with a charge-discharge efficiency exceeding 87% [2]. - The liquid cooling temperature control technology maintains battery temperature within ±3°C, ensuring stable output even under high-temperature smelting conditions [2]. Group 2: Benefits and Impact - The energy storage project will significantly reduce electricity costs for Henan Jinli Zinc by enabling peak shaving and valley filling, optimizing electricity resource utilization [2]. - The project’s load regulation capability will help decrease carbon emissions from fossil fuel consumption, positioning the company as a benchmark for green production in the lead-zinc smelting industry [2]. - The total investment for the lead-zinc smelting project is 3 billion yuan, with an expected annual output value of 5 billion yuan upon completion, making it a key construction project in Henan Province [1].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國燃氣控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年12月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 優先股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | N/A | 說明 | 優先股A | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 68,500,000 | | 0 | | 68,500,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 68,500,000 | | 0 | | 68,500,000 | | 2. 股份分類 | 優先股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | ...

公司公布1HFY26业绩 1HFY26公司收入345亿港元，归母净利润13.3亿港元，天然气零售量91.9亿方，其中工业气量48.9亿 方，商业气量15.5亿方，零售气毛差0.58元/方;新增居民接驳67.6万户;增值业务经营性利润10亿港元， 同比基本持平。自由现金流方面，1HFY25公司自由现金流26亿港元，YoY+3.8亿港元，主因公司完成 部分低效资产处置，1HFY26公司投资性现金流出同比减少9.4亿港元至-5.2亿港元。 2HFY26气量增速或迎边际改善 向前看，考虑到2025/2026采暖季气温或有望恢复常态，管理层指引2HFY26气量增速出现修复，全年气 量同比增速有望修复至+0-2%。毛差方面，基于居民顺价比例提升，公司维持全年毛差0.55元/方 (YoY+0.01元/方)指引不变。 中金发布研报称，考虑到中国燃气(00384)现金流情况向好，股息分配有望维持稳定，1HFY26公司拟派 发中期股息0.15港元/股，同比持平。维持跑赢行业评级和10港元目标价，对应FY26/FY2718.4x/17.3x P/E(5%股息收益率)，较当前股价有16.3%的上行空间。当前股价对应FY26/FY27 ...