Core Viewpoint - China Hongqiao (01378.HK) has announced a placement and subscription agreement with its controlling shareholder, Hongqiao Holdings, and placement agents, including UBS Group, CMB International, and CITIC Securities International, to issue up to 400 million shares at a price of HKD 29.20 per share, representing approximately 4.20% of the existing issued share capital as of the announcement date [1][2] Group 1 - The placement agents have conditionally agreed to place the shares to independent subscribers based on a best-efforts basis [1] - Hongqiao Holdings has conditionally agreed to subscribe for the same number of shares as those placed under the agreement [1] - The completion of the subscription is subject to conditions, including the approval of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for the listing and trading of the subscription shares [2] Group 2 - The estimated net proceeds from the subscription, assuming the full placement of 400 million shares, will be approximately HKD 11.49 billion [2] - The company intends to use the net proceeds for the development and enhancement of domestic and overseas projects, repayment of existing debts to optimize its capital structure, and for general corporate purposes [2]

中国宏桥(01378)发布公告，于2025年11月17日，宏桥控股(公司的控股股东)、本公司与配售代理订立配 售及认购协议。根据配售及认购协议，配售代理有条件同意按尽力基准以配售价向独立承配人配售宏桥 控股持有的配售股份，且宏桥控股有条件同意认购而本公司有条件同意按认购价(与配售价相同)向宏桥 控股配发及发行认购股份，惟须依据配售及认购协议所载条款及受其中所载条件规限。 假设根据认购事项由本公司配发及发行及由宏桥控股认购4亿股股份，本公司自认购事项收取的所得款 项净额将约为114.9亿港元。本公司拟将所得款项净额用作发展及提升其国内及海外项目、偿还现有债 务以优化其资本架构，以及用作补充营运资金及一般企业用途。 每股配售股份29.20港元较股份于2025年11月17日(即配售及认购协议日期)在联交所所报收市价每股 32.30港元折让约9.60%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Hongqiao (01378) announced a placement and subscription agreement with its controlling shareholder, Hongqiao Holdings, on November 17, 2025, to issue shares at a discount to the market price [1] Group 1: Placement and Subscription Agreement - The placement agent conditionally agreed to place shares held by Hongqiao Holdings to independent subscribers at a price of HKD 29.20 per share, which represents a discount of approximately 9.60% compared to the closing price of HKD 32.30 on the same date [1] - Hongqiao Holdings conditionally agreed to subscribe for shares at the same price, and the company will issue these subscription shares under the terms of the agreement [1] Group 2: Financial Implications - Assuming the subscription involves the issuance of 400 million shares, the net proceeds from the subscription are expected to be approximately HKD 11.49 billion [1] - The company plans to use the net proceeds for the development and enhancement of domestic and overseas projects, repayment of existing debts to optimize its capital structure, and for general corporate purposes [1]

本公告不得在美國境內分發 China Hongqiao Group Limited 中國宏橋集團有限公司 （根據開曼群島法例成立的有限公司） （股份代號：1378） 配售現有股份及 根據一般授權先舊後新認購新股份 聯席全球協調人及配售代理 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完 整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不就因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因依賴該等內 容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 本公告僅作參考之用，並非在美國或未根據任何其他司法管轄區的證券法辦理登記或未獲批准而於 上述地區進行有關邀請、要約、收購、招攬或出售即屬違法的任何其他司法管轄區要約出售或收購 或招攬要約購買任何證券的邀請。本公告或其任何內容亦不構成任何合約或承諾之基礎。本公告或 其任何副本不可攜入美國或於美國分發。本公告所述的證券不會及將不會根據據一九三三年美國證 券法（經修訂）（「證券法」）登記或於美國任何州或其他司法權區的任何證券監管機構登記，並且除根據 證券法及適用州或地方證券法登記規定的豁免或在毋須遵守證券法登記規定的交易中外，不得在美 國發售或出售。於美國公開發售任何證券將 ...

瑞银发布研究报告指出，中国宏桥(01378)作为行业龙头，在供应受限、价格向好的环境下有望持续受 益。基于更高的铝价预测，瑞银将宏桥的2026年预测净利润上调11%，2027年预测净利润上调16%。该 行重申中国宏桥(01378)"买入"评级，并将目标价从28港元上调至38.6港元。 基于供需偏紧的核心判断，瑞银上调了今明两年铝价预期：2026年中国铝价预测上调5%至22000元/ 吨，2027年上调7%至23000元/吨；伦敦金属交易所铝价预测也被上调约15%，主要得益于铜价上涨催生 的铝替代需求增长。 供应端受限成关键逻辑，供需缺口持续扩大 瑞银全球金属与矿业团队测算，2026至2027年全球原铝需求年增速将维持4%，而供应端增速仅 1%-2%，市场或陷入短缺格局，进而带动显性库存回落，为铝价提供强劲支撑。 具体来看，国内铝业产能受政策严格管控，上限锁定在4520万吨/年，当前产能利用率已超98%，接近 政策红线。新增产能方面，2026年仅有天山铝业（002532）20万吨/年扩建项目及扎鲁特旗35万吨/年新 建项目计划投产，2027年则无新增产能规划。海外市场方面，主要供应增量集中于印度尼西亚，但受部 ...

智通财经APP获悉，瑞银发布研究报告指出，中国宏桥(01378)作为行业龙头，在供应受限、价格向好的 环境下有望持续受益。基于更高的铝价预测，瑞银将宏桥的2026年预测净利润上调11%，2027年预测净 利润上调16%。该行重申中国宏桥(01378)"买入"评级，并将目标价从28港元上调至38.6港元。 基于供需偏紧的核心判断，瑞银上调了今明两年铝价预期：2026年中国铝价预测上调5%至22000元/ 吨，2027年上调7%至23000元/吨；伦敦金属交易所铝价预测也被上调约15%，主要得益于铜价上涨催生 的铝替代需求增长。 具体来看，国内铝业产能受政策严格管控，上限锁定在4520万吨/年，当前产能利用率已超98%，接近 政策红线。新增产能方面，2026年仅有天山铝业20万吨/年扩建项目及扎鲁特旗35万吨/年新建项目计划 投产，2027年则无新增产能规划。海外市场方面，主要供应增量集中于印度尼西亚，但受部分项目可能 减产的影响，2026-2027年全球原铝供应年增长率预计仅为1%-2%。同期全球铝需求将预期保持4%的年 增长率，全球铝市供需缺口有望进一步扩大。 铝价预测同步上调，铜价上涨促使铝替代需求 供应端 ...

Group 1 - UBS research indicates that the global aluminum market may continue to experience supply tightness, benefiting Chinese companies, and has reiterated a "Buy" rating for China Hongqiao (01378), raising the target price from HKD 28 to HKD 38.6 [1] - The global aluminum demand growth rate is projected at 4% for 2026/27, while supply growth is expected to be only 1-2%, potentially leading to a market shortage and a decline in visible inventory, which supports a sustained increase in aluminum prices [2] - China’s aluminum production capacity is strictly limited to 45.2 million tons per year, with utilization rates exceeding 98%, nearing policy limits, and limited new capacity additions expected in the coming years [2] Group 2 - UBS forecasts an increase in aluminum prices for China, raising the 2026 price estimate by 5% to CNY 22,000 per ton and the 2027 estimate by 7% to CNY 23,000 per ton, driven by tight supply and strong demand [2] - The London Metal Exchange aluminum price forecast has been raised by approximately 15%, influenced by rising copper prices leading to increased demand for aluminum as a substitute [2] - As an industry leader, China Hongqiao is expected to benefit from the constrained supply and favorable pricing environment, with UBS raising its net profit forecasts for the company by 11% for 2026 and 16% for 2027 based on higher aluminum price expectations [3]

Core Viewpoint - UBS research report indicates that the global aluminum market may continue to experience supply tightness, which could benefit Chinese companies. The firm reiterates a "Buy" rating for China Hongqiao and raises the target price from HKD 28 to HKD 38.6 [1] Industry Summary - The global aluminum market is facing a supply tightness that is expected to persist, creating potential opportunities for companies in the sector [1] Company Summary - China Hongqiao is highlighted as a beneficiary of the ongoing supply constraints in the aluminum market, with a revised target price reflecting positive outlook [1]

Core Viewpoint - 招银国际 maintains a "Buy" rating for China Hongqiao (01378) and significantly raises its target price from HKD 27 to HKD 39, citing improved supply-demand dynamics, robust end-user demand, and stable costs as key factors for market re-evaluation [1][2] Industry Summary - China accounts for approximately 60% of global aluminum supply, with production capacity capped at around 45 million tons since the supply-side reform in 2017. As of September 2025, industry capacity utilization reached a ten-year high of 99%, remaining at 98.6% in October. Additionally, new overseas capacity, such as in Indonesia, is progressing slowly, leading to limited global supply growth in the next 3-6 months [1] - End-user demand in sectors like electric vehicles, power equipment, and electronics remains resilient, supporting an increase in aluminum prices. Global aluminum demand is projected to grow by 2.1% and 1.7% in the fiscal years 2025 and 2026, respectively, while supply is expected to grow only by 1.7% and 1.3%, shifting the market from a supply surplus in FY 2025 to a supply shortage in FY 2026 [1] Company Summary - Based on a more optimistic outlook for aluminum prices, 招银 has raised its profit forecasts for China Hongqiao for 2025-2027 by 4-5%. The company is estimated to see a 3% profit increase for every 1% rise in aluminum prices, while a 1% decrease in coal prices could boost profits by 0.4%. The report highlights the company's strong free cash flow, which is expected to support a 60% dividend payout ratio, with a near net cash balance sheet structure anticipated by the end of 2026. The current stock price corresponds to an attractive dividend yield of approximately 6% [2] - Over the past decade, China Hongqiao's forward P/E ratio has frequently peaked at 10 times. Although the expected P/E ratio for 2026 is around 10 times, 招银 believes there is still upside potential for the stock price due to favorable short-term industry supply-demand dynamics and significant improvements in the balance sheet, with net debt ratio projected to decrease from 24% at the end of 2024 to a near net cash position by the end of 2026 [2]

Group 1 - UBS research indicates that the global aluminum market may continue to experience supply tightness, benefiting Chinese companies, and has reiterated a "Buy" rating for China Hongqiao (01378), raising the target price from HKD 28 to HKD 38.6 [1] - UBS forecasts a global primary aluminum demand growth rate of 4% for 2026/27, while supply growth is expected to be only 1-2%, potentially leading to a market shortage and a decline in visible inventories, which should support rising aluminum prices [2] - China’s aluminum production capacity is strictly limited to 45.2 million tons per year, with current utilization exceeding 98%, nearing policy limits, and limited new capacity expected in the coming years [2] Group 2 - UBS has raised its aluminum price forecasts for China by 5% and 7% for 2026 and 2027, respectively, to CNY 22,000/ton and CNY 23,000/ton, while also increasing the London Metal Exchange aluminum price forecast by approximately 15% due to rising copper prices driving aluminum substitution demand [2] - As an industry leader, China Hongqiao is expected to continue benefiting from the constrained supply and favorable pricing environment, with UBS raising its net profit forecasts for the company by 11% for 2026 and 16% for 2027 based on higher aluminum price expectations [3]