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高盛:下调锂股盈测5%至42% 降赣锋锂业评级至“沽售”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 07:22
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the lithium market fundamentals have significantly improved in recent months, with expectations of a tighter supply-demand balance from the second half of 2025 to the first half of 2026, driven by strong domestic demand and exports, particularly in energy storage systems [1] - Goldman Sachs downgraded Ganfeng Lithium (002460) from "Neutral" to "Sell," raising the target price for Hong Kong shares from 28 HKD to 32 HKD, while maintaining a "Sell" rating for Ganfeng Lithium A-shares (002460.SZ) and Tianqi Lithium (002466) [1] - The target price for Tianqi Lithium's Hong Kong shares was increased from 21.5 HKD to 24.5 HKD [1] Group 2 - The current spot prices for lithium are considered to have downside risks due to negative feedback from the downstream market, a slowdown in energy storage system installation growth, and slow supply-side responses [2] - Goldman Sachs updated its lithium price forecasts, predicting an average price of 11,000 USD per ton of lithium carbonate in the first half of 2026, unchanged from previous predictions, while the second half of 2026 is expected to average 9,500 USD per ton, a 14% downward adjustment [2] - The average price for 2027 is forecasted at 9,300 USD per ton, reflecting a 15% downward adjustment from previous estimates, leading to a 5% to 42% reduction in profit forecasts for lithium stocks for 2026 to 2027 [2]
高盛:下调锂股盈测5%至42% 降赣锋锂业(01772)评级至“沽售”
智通财经网· 2025-11-24 07:20
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reports significant improvement in lithium market fundamentals in recent months, expecting a tight supply-demand situation from the second half of 2025 to the first half of 2026, driven by strong domestic demand and exports, particularly from energy storage systems [1] - The firm downgraded Ganfeng Lithium (01772) from "Neutral" to "Sell," raising the target price for Hong Kong shares from HKD 28 to HKD 32, while maintaining "Sell" ratings for Ganfeng Lithium A-shares (002460.SZ) and Tianqi Lithium (09696, 002466.SZ), with Tianqi Lithium's target price increased from HKD 21.5 to HKD 24.5 [1] Group 2 - Current spot prices face downside risks due to negative feedback from downstream markets, slowing growth in energy storage system installations, and other factors affecting inventory replenishment, with a slow response from the supply side [2] - Goldman Sachs updated its lithium price forecasts, estimating an average price of USD 11,000 per ton of lithium carbonate in the first half of 2026, unchanged from previous predictions, while the second half of 2026 is expected to average USD 9,500, a 14% downward adjustment from previous forecasts, and USD 9,300 for 2027, down 15% [2] - The firm lowered its earnings forecasts for covered lithium stocks by 5% to 42% for 2026 to 2027 due to the adjustment in lithium price predictions, but raised target prices by 9% to 15% as the valuation year rolls to 2026, assuming a higher bottom valuation for the cycle [2] - It is estimated that most Chinese lithium stocks currently imply lithium carbonate prices in the range of USD 16,200 to USD 24,500 per ton for 2026 to 2027 [2]
港股锂矿股继续下挫 赣锋锂业跌7.35%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-24 04:01
每经AI快讯,港股锂矿股今早继续下挫,截至发稿,赣锋锂业(01772.HK)跌7.35%,报47.16港元;天齐 锂业(09696.HK)跌4.83%,报44.88港元。 ...
有色板块走低,赣锋锂业跌9%,有色50ETF(159652)跌2%,盘中继续获资金涌入,最新单日净申购1.83亿元!国内稀土材料科研最新突破
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 03:53
Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the performance of the non-ferrous metal sector, particularly focusing on the fluctuations in the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Theme Index and the significant developments in the rare earth materials sector, which could impact investment opportunities in the future [1][3][4]. Market Performance - As of November 24, 2025, the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Theme Index (000811) decreased by 1.95%, with mixed performances among constituent stocks [1]. - Notable gainers included Huaxi Nonferrous (600301) up 6.95%, Huayu Mining (601020) up 5.16%, and Xiyue Co. (000960) up 1.81% [1]. - Conversely, Guocheng Mining (000688) led the declines with a drop of 10.00%, followed by Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240) down 9.99% and Tianqi Lithium (002466) down 9.15% [1]. - The Nonferrous 50 ETF (159652) fell by 1.94%, with a latest price of 1.41 yuan, but showed a 22.97% increase over the past three months as of November 21 [1]. Fund Flow and Liquidity - The Nonferrous 50 ETF saw a turnover of 1.68% during the trading session, with a transaction volume of 48.4455 million yuan [1]. - Over the past two weeks, the ETF's scale increased by 120 million yuan, reaching a new high of 2.025 billion shares [3]. - The latest net inflow for the ETF was 183 million yuan, with a total of 271 million yuan net inflow over the last five trading days [3]. Technological Advancements - A breakthrough research achievement by universities in China and Singapore was published in Nature, addressing the efficient electroluminescence of insulating rare earth nanocrystals, which could transform China's rare earth resource strategy from raw material export to high-value technology output [3]. - This technology demonstrated a 76-fold increase in electroluminescent device efficiency and the ability to achieve full-spectrum emission through rare earth ion modulation [3]. Future Outlook - The outlook for industrial metals suggests that supply constraints will drive copper prices upward, while the profitability of electrolytic aluminum is expected to improve [6]. - The gold market is anticipated to continue its bullish trend, with silver showing greater elasticity due to macroeconomic factors such as interest rate cycles and global trade tensions [6]. - The lithium market is experiencing adjustments due to price drops affecting high-cost production, while demand from the electric vehicle sector remains strong [6]. - Tungsten, as a strategic metal, is expected to see price increases due to supply constraints and growing demand in emerging sectors [7]. Investment Opportunities - The Nonferrous 50 ETF (159652) is highlighted for its high "gold-copper content" at 46%, leading in its category [7]. - The ETF focuses on core strategic metals with high demand and supply gaps, featuring a high concentration of leading companies [7]. - The ETF has shown superior performance with a cumulative return leading its peers since 2022, driven by earnings rather than valuation increases [8].
赣锋锂业在江西新余成立新公司
Group 1 - A new company named Fenyi Ganfeng Lithium Battery Technology Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 100 million RMB [1][2] - The company is fully owned by Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Technology Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Ganfeng Lithium Industry [1][4] - The business scope includes battery manufacturing, capacitor manufacturing, specialized instrument manufacturing, battery sales, capacitor sales, new material technology research and development, and engineering and technical research [1][2] Group 2 - The company is registered in the industrial park of Fenyi County, Xinyu City, Jiangxi Province [2] - The legal representative of the company is Tian Wenjin [1][2] - The company is classified under the electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing industry [2]
赣锋锂业AH股齐跌
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-24 02:45
每经AI快讯,11月24日,赣锋锂业AH股齐跌,赣锋锂业A股跌7.7%,赣锋锂业H股跌6.3%。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) ...
港A异动丨赣锋锂业AH股齐大跌,遭高盛下调评级至“卖出”
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-11-24 02:33
Group 1 - Ganfeng Lithium's A-shares fell over 8% to 59 yuan, while H-shares dropped over 7% to 47.26 HKD, marking the third consecutive day of decline for AH shares [1] - Goldman Sachs downgraded Ganfeng Lithium's H-share rating from Neutral to Sell, setting a target price of 32 HKD, citing downward risks for lithium spot prices due to poor short-term feedback from the downstream market and slowing inventory replenishment [1] - Despite significant improvements in the lithium market fundamentals, Goldman Sachs noted that the extended inventory cycle for energy storage systems could offset the tight supply-demand balance expected to persist in the first half of next year [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs revised its forecast for the benchmark spot price of lithium carbonate in China for the second half of 2025 down to 9,500 USD per ton, a 14% decrease from previous expectations [1] - The firm lowered its profit estimates for Ganfeng Lithium for 2026-2027 by 36%-42% and anticipates a loss in 2025 [1]
赣锋锂业在江西新余成立新公司 注册资本1亿
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 02:16
天眼查工商信息显示,近日,分宜赣锋锂电科技有限公司成立,法定代表人为田文进,注册资本1亿人 民币,经营范围含电池制造、电容器及其配套设备制造、专用仪器制造、电池销售、电容器及其配套设 备销售、新材料技术研发、新材料技术推广服务、工程和技术研究和试验发展等。股权全景穿透图显 示,该公司由赣锋锂业(002460)旗下江西赣锋锂电科技股份有限公司全资持股。 ...
高盛:下调赣锋锂业H股评级至“卖出”
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-24 02:13
高盛将赣锋锂业H股评级从中性下调至卖出,理由是锂现货价格面临下行风险,因下游市场短期反馈欠 佳以及补库存增速放缓。 ...
高盛下调赣锋锂业H股评级至卖出
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 02:11
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs downgraded Ganfeng Lithium's H-shares rating from Neutral to Sell due to the downward risk in lithium spot prices, attributed to poor short-term feedback from the downstream market and a slowdown in inventory replenishment [1] Company Summary - Ganfeng Lithium's H-shares are now rated as a Sell by Goldman Sachs, indicating a negative outlook for the company [1] - The downgrade reflects concerns over the lithium market dynamics, particularly the pricing trends [1] Industry Summary - The lithium spot prices are facing downward pressure, which could impact the overall profitability of companies in the lithium sector [1] - The downstream market is currently experiencing subpar feedback, suggesting potential challenges for lithium demand [1] - There is a noted slowdown in the pace of inventory replenishment, which may further exacerbate the pricing issues in the lithium market [1]