Core Viewpoint - Despite facing challenges such as early elections, a weak yen, and rising long-term interest rates, Japanese stocks still have room for growth by the end of 2026 [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The core conclusion indicates that as long as the USD/JPY exchange rate does not exceed 165 and the 10-year Japanese government bond yield remains below 3%, the upward trend of Japanese stocks is likely to remain unchanged [2] - The upcoming early election on February 8 will significantly influence short-term market reactions, but expectations of fiscal stimulus and political stability point towards a stock market rise by the end of the year [3] Group 2: Currency and Interest Rate Thresholds - The critical threshold for the yen is set at 165, where excessive depreciation could harm unhedged investors' asset values and hinder real wage growth [4] - The 10-year government bond yield at 3% is a key pressure point for the financial system and stock valuations, particularly affecting regional financial institutions [8] Group 3: Scenarios and Predictions - In a baseline scenario where the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) secures a majority, the Nikkei index may remain flat or slightly decline post-election but is expected to rebound, targeting 57,000 points by the end of 2026 [5] - In a weak scenario where the LDP fails to secure a majority, the market may initially drop to around 52,000 points but could recover to 55,000 points by year-end due to fiscal expansion policies [5] - In a strong scenario where the LDP achieves a stable majority, the Nikkei index could immediately surpass 56,000 points post-election and reach over 60,000 points by year-end [5] Group 4: Risk and Support Dynamics - The sensitivity of Japanese corporate profits to exchange rates has decreased, with the beta coefficient dropping from 1.0 to 0.6, indicating reduced responsiveness to currency fluctuations [5] - If the 10-year JGB yield rises to the 3.0%-3.5% range, regional banks may face capital adequacy issues, potentially leading to forced selling of stocks to bolster capital [10] - Domestic institutional investors possess significant potential for capital repatriation, which could stabilize the market as domestic yields rise [10]

格隆汇1月23日｜摩根大通将宝洁评级从中性上调至超配，目标价从157美元上调至165美元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - SpaceX is preparing for its initial public offering (IPO), aiming to raise over $30 billion and achieve a valuation of approximately $1.5 trillion, marking it as the largest IPO to date [1][3]. Group 1: IPO Details - SpaceX has selected four banks—Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and Morgan Stanley—to lead its IPO [1][2]. - Additional banks are in discussions for roles in the IPO, but no final decisions have been made yet [2]. - The company is currently conducting an insider share sale that values it at around $800 billion [3]. Group 2: Regulatory Compliance - SpaceX has informed its employees to enter a quiet period regarding the IPO, which is a regulatory requirement prior to the public listing [4].

The world’s most powerful politician and Wall Street’s most powerful leader are headed into a multi-billion-dollar court standoff. JPMorgan Chase & Co. closed President Donald Trump’s accounts and stopped offering banking services for seven weeks following the Jan. 6, 2001, Capitol riot. It was, according to a new $5 billion lawsuit, because of “woke” political and social reasons. A complaint filed Jan. 22 in a Florida state court alleges the nation’s largest bank debanked the president and several Trum ...

摩根大通声明回应，对此事遗憾，认为诉讼毫无根据。其不会因政治或宗教原因关户，通常因法律、合 规或监管风险关户。 来源新华社、市场信息 （文章来源：国际金融报） 据美国媒体1月22日报道，美国总统特朗普对美国最大银行摩根大通集团及其首席执行官杰米·戴蒙发起 诉讼，索赔至少50亿美元。 特朗普的律师当天向佛罗里达州一家法院提交诉状。特朗普方面主张，摩根大通集团在2021年1月6日国 会大厦骚乱事件后，出于"政治原因"停止为特朗普及其名下企业提供银行服务。 ...

Key Takeaways "While we regret President Trump has sued us, we believe the suit has no merit,†said JPMorgan Chase in a statement on Thursday. "We have been asking both this Administration and prior administrations to change the rules and regulations that put us in this position, and we support this Administration's efforts to prevent the weaponization of the banking sector,†the company added. President Donald Trump on Thursday sued JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and its CEO Jamie Dimon, alleging the bank illegally cl ...

特朗普起诉美国最大银行，索赔5 0亿美元。 据美国媒体22日报道，美国总统特朗普对美国最大银行摩根大通集团及其首席执行官杰米·戴蒙发起诉讼，寻求至少50亿美元民事赔 偿。 这份起诉书称，2021年1月6日国会大厦骚乱事件后，摩根大通出于"政治和社会动机"，单方面决定关闭特朗普及其相关企业的多个 银行账户。"本质上，摩根大通关闭原告账户是因为它认为当时的政治风向有利于这样做。" 特朗普方面还指控摩根大通在戴蒙的指示下，"非法且无正当理由"地把特朗普、特朗普家族及其关联企业加入"黑名单"并公布给其他 金融机构。诉讼指控摩根大通构成商业诽谤，违反诚信和公平交易契约。 摩根大通在一份声明中回应说，这一诉讼毫无根据。摩根大通不会因为政治或宗教原因关闭账户，关闭账户通常是因为法律、合规或 监管风险。 来源：新华社 End 欢迎分享给你的朋友！ 出品 | 中国能源报（c ne ne rgy） 编辑丨闫志强 拥抱中阿新机遇,彰显中企硬实力! 《阿拉伯国家采购需求对接 中国优良供应商名录（2026-2030）》征集 7 中国研究报 发起组织 公开征集 光伏、风电、储能、氢能、电网、生物质、地热、燃煤、CCS、油气、工业节能、 ...

Market Overview - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising for the second consecutive day, recovering losses from earlier in the week [2][3] - The Dow increased by 306.78 points, or 0.63%, closing at 49,384.01 points; the Nasdaq rose by 211.20 points, or 0.91%, to 23,436.02 points; and the S&P 500 gained 37.73 points, or 0.55%, ending at 6,913.35 points [4][5] Legal Action Against JPMorgan Chase - Former President Trump filed a lawsuit against JPMorgan Chase and its CEO Jamie Dimon, seeking $5 billion in damages [7][8] - The lawsuit alleges that JPMorgan Chase closed multiple bank accounts belonging to Trump and his associated businesses due to "political and social motives" following the January 6 Capitol riots [8][9] - JPMorgan Chase responded, expressing regret over the lawsuit and asserting that account closures are typically due to legal, compliance, or regulatory risks, not political reasons [10] Nvidia Becomes TSMC's Largest Customer - Nvidia's CEO confirmed that the company has surpassed Apple to become the largest customer of TSMC, accounting for approximately 13% of TSMC's total revenue [13][16] - Major tech stocks saw collective gains, with Facebook rising over 5%, Tesla up more than 4%, and Nvidia increasing by 0.77% [14] Intel's Earnings Report - Intel's Q4 2025 revenue was reported at $13.67 billion, a 4.1% year-over-year decrease, but above market expectations of $13.43 billion [20] - The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.15, compared to $0.13 in the same period last year, and above the forecast of $0.09 [20] - However, Intel's guidance for Q1 2026 was weak, predicting adjusted earnings per share of $0.00, below the market expectation of $0.08, leading to a post-market drop of over 13% in its stock price [18][20]

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 306.78 points, or 0.63%, to 49,384.01 points; the Nasdaq increased by 211.20 points, or 0.91%, to 23,436.02 points; and the S&P 500 gained 37.73 points, or 0.55%, to 6,913.35 points [2][3]. Legal Action - Former President Trump has filed a lawsuit against JPMorgan Chase and its CEO Jamie Dimon, seeking $5 billion in damages. The lawsuit claims that JPMorgan closed multiple bank accounts belonging to Trump and his related businesses due to "political and social motives" following the January 6 Capitol riots [4][5]. Company Developments - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang confirmed that Nvidia has surpassed Apple to become TSMC's largest customer, accounting for approximately 13% of TSMC's total revenue [7][8]. - Intel reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $13.67 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 4.1%, exceeding market expectations of $13.43 billion. However, the company provided a weak guidance for the first quarter of 2026, projecting adjusted earnings per share of $0.00, below the market estimate of $0.08, and revenue expectations between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion, compared to the market forecast of $12.56 billion [10][12].

Market Overview - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising for the second consecutive day, recovering losses from earlier in the week. The Dow gained 306.78 points, or 0.63%, closing at 49,384.01 points; the Nasdaq increased by 211.20 points, or 0.91%, to 23,436.02 points; and the S&P 500 rose by 37.73 points, or 0.55%, to 6,913.35 points [2][3]. Legal Action Against JPMorgan Chase - Former President Trump has filed a lawsuit against JPMorgan Chase and its CEO Jamie Dimon, seeking $5 billion in damages. The lawsuit claims that JPMorgan Chase closed multiple bank accounts associated with Trump and his businesses due to "political and social motives" following the January 6 Capitol riots [7][8]. - The lawsuit alleges that JPMorgan Chase, under Dimon's direction, unlawfully blacklisted Trump and his affiliates, informing other financial institutions of this action. JPMorgan Chase has expressed regret over the lawsuit, asserting that account closures are typically due to legal, compliance, or regulatory risks, not political reasons [8] [9]. Intel's Earnings Report - Intel reported fourth-quarter revenue of $13.67 billion for 2025, a 4.1% year-over-year decline, but above the market expectation of $13.43 billion. The adjusted earnings per share for the fourth quarter were $0.15, compared to $0.13 in the same period last year, exceeding the forecast of $0.09 [12]. - However, Intel's guidance for the first quarter of 2026 was weak, projecting adjusted earnings per share of $0.00, below the market expectation of $0.08, and revenue estimates ranging from $11.7 billion to $12.7 billion, compared to the market forecast of $12.56 billion. Following this guidance, Intel's stock fell over 13% in after-hours trading [12]. Nvidia Becomes TSMC's Largest Customer - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang confirmed that Nvidia has surpassed Apple to become the largest customer of TSMC. Industry insiders estimate that Nvidia now accounts for 13% of TSMC's total revenue, placing it in the top position [10].