“Davidson” submits:The primary lead up to recessions has been consumer delinquencies rising to identifiable thresholds. The next Fed report is not till late Nov 2025. Meanwhile, the market in general has focused on the debt level and not the consumer’s ability to handle this debt. Delinquencies at all levels have been near historically comfortable levels for consumer. This report by JPMorgan confirms that over-leveraged consumers are not a threat to the economy. That is: No Recession In Sight! Resilient con ...

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Founded in 2020 by JPMorganChase Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon, the New York CEO Jobs Council has worked with employers to hire more than 50,000 low-income New Yorkers into living-wage jobs at their companies, including nearly 10,000 recent graduates of the City University of New York (CUNY). As the organization continues its mission to provide New Yorkers pathways to economic mobility, it makes its first leadership transition naming Accenture Chair. ...

Core Insights - The current market environment is dynamic, with banks indicating broad strength across various economic segments despite ongoing challenges like the government shutdown and trade tensions [1][2] - Earnings reports from major banks have been encouraging, reinforcing a bullish outlook among investors, particularly as technology sector earnings estimates have been raised significantly [1] - The resilience of the consumer remains a key theme, with no signs of deterioration in consumer spending, which is crucial for economic growth [1] Banking Sector - Major banks reported strong earnings, suggesting robust performance across different segments, including AI and capital markets [1] - The CFO of JP Morgan noted a record level of deal-making and M&A activity, indicating a healthy investment climate [1] Technology Sector - Technology earnings estimates have increased from 15.9% to 20.9% year-over-year growth for the current quarter, driven by positive revenue expectations from major companies like Microsoft and Nvidia [1] - The anticipation of strong earnings from technology companies is expected to support market sentiment and valuations [1] IPO Activity - There have been over 150 IPOs in 2023, with more expected, reflecting strong investor appetite and risk sentiment in the market [2] - The increase in IPO activity is seen as a positive sign for market health, suggesting that investors are looking beyond current challenges [2] Market Sentiment - Investors are largely viewing current geopolitical and economic challenges as noise, maintaining a long position in the market [2] - Concerns about high valuations exist, but they are not significantly impacting the overall positive outlook among major money managers [1]

Key Points JPMorgan Chase announced plans to invest $10 billion into companies it believes are imperative to U.S. national economic security. One sector mentioned for potential investment was quantum. 10 stocks we like better than Rigetti Computing › Since the close of trading last week, shares of Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ: RGTI) had risen nearly 10%, as of 11:49 a.m. ET Thursday. The move is being driven by an announcement from JPMorgan Chase earlier in the week. More investment into quantum Quan ...

Core Viewpoint - The consortium led by Silver Lake Management, Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund, and Affinity Partners is set to expand its underwriting group for the leveraged buyout of Electronic Arts Inc., with JPMorgan Chase & Co. initially providing $20 billion in debt financing [1][2]. Group 1: Underwriting Group Formation - Approximately 15 banks are expected to join the underwriting group, with some banks potentially joining as early as next week [1][3]. - Each participating bank is anticipated to take around 10% of the deal, equating to about $2 billion per bank, while JPMorgan will retain approximately 40% of the deal [3]. Group 2: Financial Structure and Fees - Underwriters are projected to earn a fee of about 2.25% on the loans, with bond fees expected to be higher than those for loans [3][4]. - The financing structure includes a $2.5 billion term loan A, an $8 billion term loan B, $2.5 billion of unsecured bonds, $5 billion of secured bonds, and a $2 billion liquidity facility [5][6]. Group 3: Market Implications - The deal represents a significant test for the banking industry in managing and allocating large amounts of capital globally, as it is the largest commitment ever made by a single bank for a leveraged buyout, totaling $55 billion [4]. - The banks plan to sell the debt in the leveraged loan and high-yield bond markets in early 2026, targeting investors interested in a take-and-hold strategy [5].

Core Insights - Large U.S. banks reported strong third-quarter earnings, exceeding revenue and earnings expectations, driven by a favorable market environment [2][3] - Despite positive results, bank executives highlighted the need for vigilance due to geopolitical uncertainties and economic volatility [5][6] Financial Performance - Major banks, including JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo, experienced profit growth compared to the same period last year, with JPMorgan's earnings rising 12% and Goldman Sachs' profits surging 39% [3][6][8] - Investment banking played a significant role in profit increases, with Goldman Sachs reporting a 42% rise in investment-banking fees [8] Market Environment - The stock market's robust performance has positively impacted dealmaking, corporate lending, and asset management returns for banks [3][4] - UBS noted that the results from large banks were contrary to bearish expectations, leading to a rise in bank shares [3] Cautionary Notes - Executives, including JPMorgan's CEO Jamie Dimon, expressed caution regarding the economic outlook, citing factors such as geopolitical conditions, tariffs, and inflation risks [5][6] - Goldman Sachs plans to implement over 1,000 layoffs by year-end, indicating a need for strong risk management in a rapidly changing environment [8]

Group 1: Bank Performance - Major U.S. banks have reported strong third-quarter earnings, exceeding market expectations in both revenue and earnings per share [1][2] - JPMorgan Chase led the earnings announcements, with trading and investment banking fees significantly above analyst forecasts, and it raised its full-year earnings outlook [2] - Bank of America also reported a notable 43% increase in investment banking revenue and a 9.1% rise in net interest income, both surpassing analyst expectations [2] Group 2: Market Impact - The positive earnings reports from banks contributed to a rise in the S&P 500 index, with the S&P 500 Bank Index increasing by 1.2%, marking its first three-day consecutive rise in over three weeks [2] - Bank stocks have generally performed well this year, with significant increases in share prices for major banks like Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and Morgan Stanley, all up between 23% to 40% [2] Group 3: Economic Outlook - Despite strong consumer and corporate conditions, there are concerns about economic uncertainties, with banks preparing for a potentially tougher economic environment [3] - JPMorgan's CEO expressed caution regarding credit quality and the outlook for credit, noting higher loan loss reserves than analysts expected [3] Group 4: Regional Banks and Challenges - Regional banks are slowly recovering from the 2023 crisis but face challenges from non-bank private market operators entering the lending space [4] - Some regional banks, like Fifth Third Bank, reported a 2% year-over-year decline in deposits, indicating ongoing struggles [4] Group 5: Market Risks - There are warnings from bank executives about potential market corrections in the next 12 to 24 months, with concerns about the sustainability of asset price increases [6] - The ongoing tensions in U.S.-China relations and potential government shutdowns could pose risks to market stability and economic data releases [6]

华尔街正在上演一场关于贷款风险的激烈论战。 随着汽车贷款商Tricolor Holdings和汽车零部件供应商First Brands Group的相继倒闭，传统银行与私募股权机构之间的矛盾公开化，双方就谁应为信贷市场动 荡承担责任展开交锋。 摩根大通首席执行官Jamie Dimon警告称"看到一只蟑螂时，可能还有更多"， 暗指1.7万亿美元私募信贷市场存在系统性风险。 这番言论引发私募机构强烈反弹。Blue Owl Capital联席首席执行官Marc Lipschultz反驳称，将私募信贷与这些破产案联系起来是"一种奇怪的制造恐慌行为"， 并暗示银行才应该"看看自家冰箱后面"。 Apollo Global Management首席执行官Marc Rowan也将矛头指向银行， 称两家公司的倒闭是贷款机构多年来追逐高风险借款人的结果。 这场论战凸显了华尔街新旧势力的深层矛盾。近年来企业日益转向私募信贷融资，传统银行将此视为监管套利，抱怨非银行金融机构监管过于宽松。国际货币 基金组织周二呼吁监管机构关注银行对该领域的敞口，指出"银行越来越多地向私募信贷基金放贷，因为这些贷款的净资产回报率往往高于传统商业贷款"。 ...

JP Morgan's Jamie Diamond sending a warning this week after some recent corporate bankruptcies, saying when you see one cockroach, you'll probably s see more. Those comments now have private credit executives on the defensive. Leslie Picker joins us now with more on that.Good morning. Hey, good morning, Andrew. Yeah, Diamond wasn't directly criticizing the private credit industry with his cockroach comments.He acknowledged that JP Morgan isn't omnip omnipotent after $170 million worth of charge offs for its ...

Group 1 - The third quarter earnings season has begun with major Wall Street banks reporting their quarterly results [1][2] - Analysts expect S&P 500 companies to report a 7.9% increase in earnings per share for Q3, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of positive earnings growth, although this represents a slowdown from the 12% growth in Q2 [1] - Major financial institutions including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and BlackRock have reported their earnings, with additional reports expected from Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and others [2][3] Group 2 - The earnings calendar for the week includes results from various companies such as United Airlines, Johnson & Johnson, and American Express, indicating a broad range of sectors reporting [4] - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company provided an important update on its business and chip demand, highlighting the significance of the semiconductor industry in the current earnings season [3]