Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Weaker than Market" rating for the U.S. stock market [1] Core Insights - The U.S. stock market experienced a sudden pullback influenced by non-farm employment data, with the S&P 500 declining by 2.4% and the Nasdaq by 2.2% [3] - Among sectors, large-cap value stocks outperformed large-cap growth and small-cap stocks, indicating a preference for stability in turbulent market conditions [3] - The report highlights that three sectors saw gains while 21 sectors faced declines, with utilities, food and staples retailing, and media and entertainment being the only sectors to rise [3] Summary by Sections Price Trends - The S&P 500 fell by 2.4% and the Nasdaq by 2.2% this week, with large-cap value stocks declining by 1.8% compared to a 3.1% drop in large-cap growth stocks [3] - Utilities (+1.6%), food and staples retailing (+0.9%), and media and entertainment (+0.2%) were the only sectors to increase, while transportation (-5.9%), materials (-5.1%), and retail (-4.8%) faced the largest declines [3] Fund Flows - The estimated fund flow for S&P 500 constituents was -$16.95 billion this week, a significant increase from the previous week's -$2.2 billion [4] - Media and entertainment (+$1.59 billion), utilities (+$0.27 billion), and food and staples retailing (+$0.042 billion) saw inflows, while healthcare equipment and services (-$3.47 billion) and financials (-$4.15 billion) experienced the largest outflows [4] Earnings Forecast - The report indicates a 0.6% upward adjustment in the 12-month EPS forecast for S&P 500 constituents, with 18 sectors seeing an increase and 5 sectors experiencing downgrades [5] - Retail (+3.3%), media and entertainment (+2.0%), and technology hardware (+1.5%) led the upward revisions, while healthcare equipment and services faced a significant downgrade of -3.6% [5]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley's Chief Economist for China, Zhu Haibin, has left the firm to join the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) as Assistant President for Economic Research, effective October 1, 2025 [1][3] - Zhu Haibin has extensive experience in economic research, holding degrees from Peking University, the People's Bank of China, and Duke University, and has previously worked at the Bank for International Settlements [3] - The HKMA was established on April 1, 1993, and its main functions include maintaining monetary stability, promoting a stable financial system, and managing the Exchange Fund [3] Group 2 - In May, Zhu Haibin raised China's economic growth forecast following Sino-U.S. trade talks, indicating a significant policy adjustment in China [4] - The departure of Zhu Haibin follows a trend of high-level exits in the securities sector, including the resignation of executives from Daiwa Securities and Standard Chartered Securities in July [5]

Group 1: Public Fund Activity - E Fund has been actively purchasing 11 H-shares of brokerage firms, including China Galaxy and Huatai Securities, since mid-July, with China Galaxy being the most bought at 13.6555 million shares [2] - The surge in purchases is attributed to a significant increase in the scale of E Fund's Hong Kong Securities ETF, leading to passive allocation demands [2] - H-shares of brokerage firms have shown stronger performance compared to A-shares, with analysts noting a discount in H-share valuations that is expected to narrow as liquidity improves [2] Group 2: Foreign Investment Changes - Ray Dalio has completely exited Bridgewater Associates by selling his remaining shares and stepping down from the board [3] - The sale marks an ideal endpoint in the ownership transition process at Bridgewater, with the firm repurchasing Dalio's shares and issuing new stock to the Brunei Investment Agency [4] Group 3: Bond Fund Market Dynamics - The bond market has experienced significant redemptions, with nearly 40 bond funds announcing large redemptions since July, attributed to a shift in risk appetite [5] - The bond market is expected to maintain a volatile pattern in the medium term, with a focus on short-term recovery opportunities [5] Group 4: Personal Pension Fund Growth - Personal pension funds have seen a notable increase in both performance and scale this year, with Y-shares achieving positive returns, some exceeding 20% [6] - The total scale of personal pension funds has reached 12.41 billion yuan, a 35.7% increase from the end of last year, indicating ongoing expansion in the sector [6] - The personal pension system is anticipated to become a market-driven engine to address aging population challenges, supported by tax incentives and fee reductions [6] Group 5: Regulatory Actions - Shanghai Bank has been fined over 29 million yuan due to violations of eight business regulations, with the penalty stemming from a 2021 comprehensive enforcement inspection [7][8] - The bank has stated that all issues have been rectified in accordance with regulatory requirements and will continue to enhance compliance management [8] Group 6: ETF Fund Inflows - On July 30, stock ETFs saw a net inflow of 7.5 billion yuan, with significant inflows into the ChiNext index despite overall market volatility [9] - Despite recent adjustments in the Hong Kong market, funds continue to flow into related ETFs, with a total net inflow of 30 billion yuan in July for sectors like securities and technology [9] Group 7: Fund Capital Increases - Huiquan Fund announced a capital increase of 4.68 million yuan, raising its registered capital from 100 million yuan to 104.68 million yuan [10] - The fund has struggled with growth, with its public management scale declining from around 3.5 billion yuan in late 2021 to approximately 2.4 billion yuan as of mid-2023 [10] Group 8: Executive Changes - Zhu Haibin from JPMorgan will join the Hong Kong Monetary Authority as Assistant President for Economic Research, effective October 1, 2025 [11] - Zheng Yu has been appointed as the Chairman of W矿证券, marking a generational shift in leadership within the firm [12][13] Group 9: Financial Institution Ownership Changes - Central Huijin has been approved to acquire 9 billion shares of China Agricultural Reinsurance Corporation, increasing its stake to 55.9% [14] Group 10: Stock Market Movements - The stock of Upwind New Materials, which has seen a tenfold increase, was suspended for trading due to significant price fluctuations [15] - Berkshire Hathaway sold one-third of its shares in VeriSign, amounting to approximately 1.23 billion dollars, achieving over five times return since 2012 [16] Group 11: Private Fund Adjustments - Oriental Harbor Investment Fund, managed by Dan Bin, has reduced its holdings in Nvidia while increasing positions in Alphabet and new investments in Netflix and Tesla [17]

人民财讯8月2日电，券中社记者获悉，摩根大通中国首席经济学家、大中华区经济研究主管朱海斌已从 摩根大通离职。另据香港金融管理局官网8月1日消息，香港特区政府财政司司长根据外汇基金咨询委员 会辖下管治委员会建议，批准委任朱海斌为助理总裁（经济研究），将负责宏观经济及金融稳定的相关 研究工作，任命将于2025年10月1日生效。 责任编辑：张恒星 ...

Group 1 - The JPMorgan US Momentum Factor ETF (NYSEARCA: JMOM) focuses on the momentum investment theme and offers a diversified stock allocation across various sectors [1] - The fund is noted for being cheaper than most other momentum funds available in the market [1]

Vision & Strategy - The company's early vision focused on cloud, open source, data, and AI, demonstrating foresight into market trends [1] - The company declined a $10 million offer for on-premise deployment, prioritizing its cloud-based strategy [1] Customer Acquisition & Market Shift - JP Morgan Chase initially stated they would "never be in the cloud" but later became one of the company's biggest customers, highlighting a significant market shift [1] Financials - In the early days, the company's first-year targets were less than $1 million [1]

美国劳工统计局8月1日公布的数据显示，7月美国失业率环比升高0.1个百分点至4.2%，当月非农业就业部 门新增就业岗位表现也逊于市场预期。此外，美国总统特朗普正式宣布对几乎所有美国贸易伙伴全面加征 关税，这些因素引发市场对美国经济和就业形势的担忧加剧。 美国三大股指集体收跌 8月1日美股开盘后跌幅持续扩大，截至收盘，美国三大股指集体收跌，其中道指跌1.23%；标普500指数跌 1.60%；纳指跌2.24%。由于担心经济放缓可能影响借贷，美国银行股本周五大幅下跌，其中摩根大通的股 价收跌2.34%，美国银行和富国银行股价下跌都超3%。本周美国三大股指集体下跌，其中道指跌幅最大， 为2.92%，为4月初以来的最差单周表现。标普500指数下跌2.36%，纳指下跌2.17%。 美国7月非农就业数据远不及预期 市场加大9月降息押注 特朗普当天在社交媒体平台"真实社交"上发文说，他刚刚得知，美国就业数据由前总统拜登任命的官员麦 肯塔弗负责统计。特朗普指责她在2024年大选前伪造就业数据，试图帮助当时的民主党总统候选人哈里斯 胜选。但对于这一指控，特朗普并未提供任何证据。 8月1日，美国劳工统计局公布的数据显示，美国7月新 ...

Economic Indicators - The unemployment rate in the U.S. increased by 0.1 percentage points to 4.2% in July, with non-farm payrolls adding only 73,000 jobs, significantly below the expected 100,000 [1][5] - The job additions for May and June were also revised downwards, indicating a cooling labor market [5] Market Reactions - Following the employment data release, U.S. stock indices experienced significant declines, with the Dow Jones falling by 1.23%, S&P 500 down by 1.60%, and Nasdaq dropping by 2.24% [1] - The week saw the Dow Jones decline by 2.92%, marking its worst weekly performance since early April [1] Federal Reserve Expectations - The weak employment data has led to increased speculation regarding a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with the likelihood of a cut in September rising from 40% to nearly 90% [7] Global Market Impact - European stock indices also fell, with the FTSE 100 down by 0.70%, CAC 40 down by 2.91%, and DAX down by 2.66% due to concerns over tariffs affecting global economic growth [9] Commodity Prices - International oil prices fell due to potential production increases by OPEC and its allies, with WTI crude oil futures dropping by 2.79% and Brent crude by 2.83% on the day [11][12] - Conversely, international gold prices rose by 1.53% to $3,399.80 per ounce, driven by increased market demand for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainty, with a weekly increase of 1.92% [14]

【导读】摩根大通朱海斌将加盟香港金管局！ 中国基金报记者吴娟娟 据香港金融管理局（以下简称香港金管局）官网消息，8月1日，香港特区政府财政司司长根据外汇基金咨询委员会辖下管治委员会建议，批准委任朱海斌 为助理总裁（经济研究），任命将于2025年10月1日生效。香港金管局指出，朱海斌获委任为助理总裁（经济研究）后，将负责宏观经济及金融稳定的相 关研究工作。 简历显示，朱海斌拥有北京大学信息管理系学士学位、中国人民银行研究生部经济学硕士学位及杜克大学经济学博士学位。他在经济研究方面拥有丰富的 经验，专长包括内地、香港宏观经济以及金融稳定方面的政策研究。朱海斌现任摩根大通董事总经理、中国首席经济学家兼大中华区经济研究主管。在加 入摩根大通之前，他曾担任国际清算银行的高级经济学家。 据媒体报道，7月，朱海斌接受采访时表示，在全球宏观格局日益复杂的背景下，中国巨大的市场潜力格外受国际市场关注。中国创新领域信心加速恢 复，国内结构性再平衡政策是稳住全年经济的关键。 官网信息显示，香港金管局成立于1993年4月1日，由外汇基金管理局与银行业监理处合并而成。香港金管局的四项主要职能为：在联系汇率制度的架构内 维持货币稳定；促 ...

美东时间周五，受美贸易政策及7月就业数据"爆冷"，远逊于预期影响，美国三大股指集体收跌。截至收盘，道指跌 1.23%，报43588.58点；标普500指数跌1.60%，报6238.01点；纳指跌2.24%，报20650.13点。 美国国债收益率全线下跌，美元跳水，市场对美联储降息预期极速升温。 CME"美联储观察"最新数据显示，美国7月 非农数据出炉后，美联储9月降息25个基点的概率从前一日的不足40%大幅跃升至近九成。 由于美国前两个月非农数据的"暴力下修"，美国总统特朗普要求解雇美劳工统计局局长。此外，美联储理事阿德里亚 娜·库格勒宣布将于8月8日正式辞去职务。库格勒的理事任期原定于明年1月结束，其提前离职使得美国总统特朗普可 提前几个月对美联储董事会进行新一轮人事任命。这之后，特朗普发文呼吁鲍威尔辞职。他称库格勒"知道鲍威尔在 利率问题上做错了事"，他认为鲍威尔也应当引咎辞职。 美国三大股指集体收跌 美东时间周五，美国三大股指集体收跌。截至收盘，道指跌1.23%，报43588.58点；标普500指数跌1.60%，报6238.01 点；纳指跌2.24%，报20650.13点，创4月以来最大跌幅。美国股市市 ...