智通财经APP获悉，日本央行将于1月23日公布最新利率决议。摩根大通发布研报称，日本央行在下周 的政策会议上采取行动的可能性相当低，相反，市场注意力将集中在其《经济与物价形势展望报告》和 日本央行行长植田和男在记者会上的讲话。小摩表示，将从中寻找有关下次加息条件的线索。该行仍预 计日本央行下次加息将在4月进行，届时包括中小企业在内的春季薪资谈判结果将趋于明朗。 小摩表示，植田和男在记者会上很可能面临许多关于日本央行如何回应高市早苗政府"负责任、积极主 动的财政政策"、以及日元贬值和日本国债收益率上升的问题。 日本央行可能将市场对其终端利率预期在近期的上升视为积极进展。然而，尽管终端利率定价走高，日 元却持续疲软，这表明日本央行可能落后于日益扩张的财政政策，而追赶可能并不容易——这正是市场 担忧的一个根源。 到目前为止，出于政策正常化对金融体系影响的担忧，日本央行一直对连续加息持否定态度。日本政府 方面仍然不情愿提高政策利率的立场也给日本央行带来压力。近期的日元贬值是否会促使这一立场发生 转变，是一个需要关注的关键点。 小摩指出，日本央行直到去年10月仍持谨慎观点，强烈警告美国关税给经济带来的下行风险。但这一观 ...

格隆汇1月16日｜摩根大通正计划在欧洲增加交易业务人员配置，该行预测2026年将成为并购市场的丰 收年。摩根大通全球银行业务联席主管菲利波·戈里上周在米兰接受采访时表示："我们几乎在该地区每 个国家都在招聘。"他与全球投行业务覆盖部门联席主管多萝西·布勒辛共同指出，银行拥有可部署的资 金，问题在于如何最优配置。两位高管表示，在今年头几周与欧洲各地客户的会晤中，市场情绪普遍乐 观。南欧投资者信心尤为强劲。戈里指出，西班牙的企业领袖聚焦于扩张与跨境投资，而意大利的政治 经济稳定持续吸引外资。 ...

【文/观察者网 王一】"杰米·戴蒙警告38万亿美元的美债会'反噬'。"美国《财富》杂志报道称，当地时 间1月12日，这位美国最大银行摩根大通的首席执行官在公司财报电话会议上，向分析师和投资者传递 了现实警示：美国和全球的财政赤字非常高，迟早会对经济造成冲击。 与此同时，美国债务和利息成本继续上升，迫使特朗普在财政方面采取更多行动。花旗集团全球首席经 济学家内森·希茨表示，这意味着必须采取增税与削减支出的组合方案，但这在政治上并不受欢迎，尤 其是在今年中期选举临近之际。 希茨分析称，要控制支出，很可能需要对社会保障和国防进行艰难改革，这两项开支合计占美国联邦预 算的近3/4，而提高税收从来都不受欢迎。 白宫官员曾表示，关税收入将部分抵消政府借款。但戴蒙提醒说，"我们必须应对现实世界，而不是理 想世界"。 在电话会议中，戴蒙对人工智能（AI）前景看法积极，但对美国经济则表达出复杂的态度。他称，尽 管劳动力市场有所放缓，但整体情况似乎并未恶化，消费者支出依然坚韧，企业整体情况仍然健康。展 望2026年，戴蒙也表示短期内美国经济前景良好。 不过，他提醒说，需要考虑宏观"背景"，并指出不同因素作用在不同时间线上会带来不 ...

Financial Sector - The financial sector experienced a significant downturn following President Trump's announcement of a one-year cap of 10% on credit card interest rates, effective January 20, 2026, aimed at protecting consumers from high rates averaging around 20% [2][3] - Major financial institutions like JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo saw their stock prices drop significantly, with JPMorgan's shares falling 4.2% to $310.90 despite better-than-expected earnings [3][4] - Consumer finance firms specializing in credit cards faced even steeper declines, with drops between 8% and 11% for companies like Synchrony Financial and Capital One, while Visa and Mastercard also saw declines of over 2% [4] Semiconductor Industry - A trade deal between the U.S. and Taiwan resulted in a reduction of tariffs on Taiwanese goods from 20% to 15%, in exchange for Taiwan's commitment to invest $250 billion in U.S. semiconductor and AI sectors [6][7] - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported a 35% year-over-year increase in fourth-quarter profit, leading to a 4.5% surge in its U.S.-listed shares, with trading volume increasing by 159% [7] - Despite a new 25% tariff on specific high-end AI chips, Nvidia's stock rebounded by around 3% due to positive earnings from TSMC and exemptions for companies investing in America [8][9] Healthcare Sector - President Trump introduced "The Great Healthcare Plan" aimed at lowering prescription drug prices and insurance premiums, but the lack of details and the need for Congressional approval left the market skeptical [10] - Some healthcare stocks like UnitedHealth Group and Cigna saw modest gains, but the overall market impact was minimal due to concerns over rising premium costs for millions of Americans [10] Geopolitical Developments - President Trump's announcement of a "Board of Peace" in Gaza and withdrawal from 66 global organizations had little immediate market impact, overshadowed by economic news [11] - Oil prices dropped approximately 5% following Trump's de-escalation of military threats against Iran, indicating a positive market reaction to reduced geopolitical tensions [11] Market Volatility - The week illustrated the unpredictable nature of the market under Trump's administration, characterized by sudden policy announcements and immediate market reactions, creating a challenging environment for investors [12]

Banking giant JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s (NYSE:JPM) CEO, Jamie Dimon, firmly ruled out any possibility of leading the Federal Reserve in the near future, but is open to serving as the Secretary of the Treasury, if asked by the President.Dimon Might Consider Treasury Secretary RoleDimon said there was “positively no chance” that he would serve as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, even if he were asked by “a President” of the U.S., in an interview with Bloomberg’s David Rubenstein on Thursday. While the nation ...

【导读】美股收高，银行股、芯片股领涨；原油大跌，黄金白银跳水 美东时间2026年1月15日（周四），美股收高，在台积电财报带动下，美股芯片板块普涨。原油价格创下自2025年6月以来最大跌幅。 道指涨292.81点，涨幅为0.60%，报49442.44点；纳指涨58.27点，涨幅为0.25%，报23530.02点；标普500指数涨17.87点，涨幅为0.26%，报6944.47点。 CME"美联储观察"工具显示，美联储1月降息25个基点的概率为5%，维持利率不变的概率为95%。到3月累计降息25个基点的概率为20.8%，维持利率不变 的概率为78.4%，累计降息50个基点的概率为0.9%。 堪萨斯城联邦储备银行行长施密德于周四表示反对降息。他称通胀"过热"，并警告特朗普政府的政策可能进一步推动经济增长势头。 芝加哥联邦储备银行总裁古尔斯比表示，在有充分证据表明就业市场稳定的情况下，美联储应将重点放在降低通胀上。 美国上周初请失业金人数为19.8万人，预期为21.5万人，前值自20.8万人修正至20.7万人。 芯片股多数上涨 美国白宫发布声明，美国从1月15日起对部分进口半导体、半导体制造设备和衍生品加征25%进 ...

Key Points Peak Financial Advisors initiated a 278,276-share position in JBND during the fourth quarter. The shares were worth about $15.05 million at quarter-end. The position represents 6.6% of 13F reportable assets under management as of December 31. These 10 stocks could mint the next wave of millionaires › On January 12, Peak Financial Advisors disclosed a new position in the JPMorgan Active Bond ETF (NYSE:JBND), acquiring 278,276 shares in an estimated $15.05 million trade based on quarterl ...

美股金融股大涨 美东时间1月15日，美股三大指数集体走强，截至收盘，道指涨0.60%，纳指涨0.25%，标普500指数涨 0.26%。 受业绩利好刺激，美股金融股全线大涨，摩根士丹利大涨近6%，创出历史新高；高盛、花旗大涨超 4%，摩根大通、美国银行小幅收涨。此外，全球最大资产管理公司贝莱德大涨5.9%，其第四季度资产 管理规模攀升至创纪录的14.04万亿美元。 消息面上，周四美股盘前，摩根士丹利公布的2025年第四季度业绩报告显示，去年第四季度，营收录得 178.9亿美元，同比上升10.3%，高于市场预期的177.7亿美元；每股收益2.68美元，亦强于预期的2.44美 元。其中，备受关注的"财富管理"部门净新增资产达到1223亿美元，大幅超出市场预期。 高盛最新披露的财报显示，公司去年第四季度实现营收134.5亿美元，同比下降3%，略低于市场预期； 但Non-GAAP每股收益达14.01美元，远超市场预期2.25美元。该季度股票交易收入远超市场预期，达到 创纪录的43.1亿美元，刷新了由其自身在2025年第二季度创下的华尔街历史最高纪录。 Longbow首席执行官Jake Dollarhide评论称，"投资 ...

Group 1 - The central bank has implemented a series of measures to support high-quality economic development, including a 0.25 percentage point reduction in re-lending and rediscount rates, and an increase of 500 billion yuan in re-lending for agriculture and small enterprises [3] - The U.S. White House announced a 25% import tariff on certain semiconductor products starting January 15, affecting Nvidia's H200 chip and AMD's MI325X, while excluding semiconductors for data centers and public sectors [3] - TSMC's Q4 2025 earnings exceeded expectations with a 35% year-on-year increase in net profit to approximately $16 billion, and the company raised its 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $52-56 billion, nearly 40% higher than previous estimates [3] Group 2 - The Ministry of Commerce plans to combine policies to promote consumption and improve people's livelihoods in 2026, focusing on key areas and potential growth points [4] - The National Development and Reform Commission reported that the total social financing scale in 2025 reached 35.6 trillion yuan, with a net cash injection of 1.31 trillion yuan [5] - The financial regulatory authority emphasized the need to effectively manage risks in small financial institutions and support the real estate sector through coordinated financing mechanisms [5] Group 3 - The A-share market showed divergence with high-level stocks experiencing significant declines, while the semiconductor industry and precious metals sectors performed well [7] - The Hong Kong stock market faced fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.28%, while real estate stocks showed resilience [7] - The first gold ETF in China surpassed 100 billion yuan in circulation, becoming the largest in Asia [8] Group 4 - Major banks in the U.S. conducted over $140 billion in dividends and stock buybacks in 2025, exceeding previous records [21] - Goldman Sachs reported a 3% decline in Q4 2025 revenue to $13.5 billion, primarily due to its credit card business, while Morgan Stanley's revenue rose 10.3% to $17.89 billion [20][21] - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced tax exemptions for foreign institutions investing in government bonds and local government bonds, extending until December 31, 2027 [22]

Goldman Sachs is predicting a blockbuster 2026 for mega-deals across Wall Street as it and the other US banking giants unveiled a string of bumper financial results this week.Goldman shared Thursday it raked in a company record $9.3 billion in investment banking fees for 2025, up 21% from $7.7 billion a year ago. It and the five other major US lenders — Morgan Stanley, Citi, Wells Fargo, JP Morgan, and Bank of America — picked up a combined revenue of $593 billion in 2025, a 6% increase from the previous ye ...