伯恩斯坦将亿滋国际目标价从79美元上调至88美元。 ...

伯恩斯坦将 亿滋国际目标价从79美元上调至88美元。 ...

Group 1 - The total revenue of the companies on the Fortune Global 500 list is approximately $41.7 trillion, which is over one-third of the global GDP, representing a growth of about 1.8% compared to last year [1] - The minimum sales revenue required to be listed increased from $32.1 billion to $32.2 billion [1] - The total net profit of the listed companies grew by approximately 0.4% year-on-year to about $2.98 trillion [1] Group 2 - In the food and beverage sector, the list of companies remains unchanged, but many did not continue the significant ranking improvements seen last year [3] - PepsiCo and Coca-Cola are exceptions, showing resilience in a challenging environment [3] Group 3 - In the "Food: Consumer Products" sub-list, the companies listed are Nestlé, PepsiCo, and Mondelez International, with PepsiCo being the only company to see an increase in ranking and growth in both revenue and profit [5] - Nestlé's revenue increased by 0.2% to $103.7495 billion, while its profit decreased by 0.9% to $12.361 billion [6] - PepsiCo's revenue grew by 0.4% to $91.854 billion, and profit increased by 5.6% to $9.578 billion [9] Group 4 - Mondelez International's ranking dropped by 14 places to 436, with revenue growth of 1.2% to $36.441 billion, but profit decreased by 7% to $4.611 billion [9] - Mars, Inc. is not listed but has a significant revenue of $54.6 billion, which would place it at 267th if it were included [11] Group 5 - In the "Beverages" sub-list, Coca-Cola had the highest revenue growth of 2.9% to $47.061 billion [13] - Anheuser-Busch InBev and Fomento Económico Mexicano maintained stable revenue and rankings, while Heineken's revenue decreased by 1.8% [15] Group 6 - In the "Food: Food Service" sub-list, Compass Group improved its ranking by 28 places to 370, with a revenue increase of 10.5% to $42.002 billion [17] - Starbucks' ranking fell by 23 places to 441, with a slight revenue increase of 0.6% to $36.176 billion [17] Group 7 - In the "Food Production" sub-list, ADM remains at the top despite a drop of 26 places to 143, with revenue of $85.530 billion [22] - JBS and Wilmar International follow, with JBS rising 9 places to 167 [23] Group 8 - China Resources ranked 67th with a revenue of $129.624 billion, up 5 places [26] - COFCO Group ranked 133rd with a revenue of $88.26 billion, down 27 places [28] Group 9 - Walmart remains the largest company globally for the twelfth consecutive year, with a revenue increase of 5.1% to $680.985 billion and a profit increase of 25.3% to $19.436 billion [30] - Saudi Aramco leads in profit with approximately $105 billion, despite a year-on-year decline of about 13% [32] Group 10 - A total of 130 Chinese companies made the list, with 49 improving their rankings and 68 declining [34] - Pinduoduo saw the most significant ranking increase among Chinese companies, rising 176 places to 266 [34]

Market Overview - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached intra-day record highs but closed in the red, with the Dow down 204 points (-0.46%), S&P 500 down 18 points (-0.30%), Nasdaq down 80 points (-0.38%), and Russell 2000 down 13 points (-0.61%) [1] - Trade deals are progressing but lack the strength to drive the market higher, with Q2 earnings showing some weaknesses outside of Big Tech [2] Federal Reserve Policy - A new announcement on Fed policy is expected, with the current interest rate of 4.25-4.50% likely to remain unchanged for the fifth consecutive FOMC meeting [3] - Some analysts anticipate dissent among Fed members regarding the need for rate cuts despite current unemployment at +4.1% and inflation at +2.7% [3] Earnings Reports - **Starbucks (SBUX)**: Reported Q3 earnings of $0.50 per share, missing the consensus of $0.65, attributed to a one-time charge of $0.11. Revenues were $9.50 billion, exceeding expectations of $9.30 billion. Same-store sales fell -2% compared to a -1.3% consensus [4][5] - **Visa (V)**: Reported earnings of $2.98 per share, beating expectations of $2.86, with revenues of $10.2 billion surpassing the $9.87 billion forecast. Despite strong performance, shares fell -3% in after-hours trading [6] - **Booking Holdings (BKNG)**: Reported Q2 earnings of $55.40 per share, exceeding the $50.59 estimate, with revenues of $6.8 billion above the $6.56 billion consensus. Gross bookings reached $46.7 billion [7] - **Mondelez (MDLZ)**: Reported earnings of $0.73 per share, beating estimates by $0.05, with revenues of $8.98 billion exceeding the $8.88 billion expectation. The company faced challenges from rising cocoa prices and tariffs [8] Upcoming Market Events - The earnings season is expected to peak with reports from major companies like Microsoft and Meta Platforms, along with others such as Ford and Qualcomm [9] - Private-sector payroll data from ADP is anticipated, with a consensus of +64K jobs for July, following a previous decline of -33K [10] - Q2 GDP is projected to rebound to +2.3% from Q1's -0.5%, influenced by tariff policies and economic outlook improvements [10]

Mondelez (MDLZ) reported $8.98 billion in revenue for the quarter ended June 2025, representing a year-over- year increase of 7.7%. EPS of $0.73 for the same period compares to $0.86 a year ago. Here is how Mondelez performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts: View all Key Company Metrics for Mondelez here>>> While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare t ...

Core Insights - Mondelez (MDLZ) reported quarterly earnings of $0.73 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.68 per share, but down from $0.86 per share a year ago [1] - The earnings surprise was +7.35%, and the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times in the last four quarters [2] - Mondelez generated revenues of $8.98 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.18% and up from $8.34 billion year-over-year [3] Earnings Performance - The company had a previous quarter earnings expectation of $0.65 per share but reported $0.74, resulting in a surprise of +13.85% [2] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.82 on revenues of $9.84 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $3.03 on revenues of $38.49 billion [8] Stock Performance - Mondelez shares have increased approximately 16.5% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 8.6% [4] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [7] Industry Outlook - The Food - Miscellaneous industry, to which Mondelez belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 35% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may impact stock performance [9] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which investors can track [6]

Product Innovation - Hershey and Mondelez are combining Reese's peanut butter cup and Oreo cookie [1] - The combination is in response to consumer demand [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported good Q2 results with strong pricing, although volume mix remained flat after accounting for downsizing [5] - The bottom line was slightly better than expected, indicating overall financial health [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The chocolate category showed significant pricing increases and revenue growth management (RGM) actions aligning with expectations [6] - The biscuits category in North America is experiencing a decline in volume, while emerging markets are showing double-digit growth [10][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America is facing consumer anxiety and a focus on essential items, leading to a decline in the biscuits category [9][10] - Emerging markets, particularly Brazil, India, and Mexico, are experiencing sustained volume and value growth despite softer consumer confidence [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to boost productivity and implement incremental pricing in North America to counteract inflation and improve profitability [14][16] - There is a focus on maintaining share gains in alternate channels such as club and dollar stores [16] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management does not anticipate a material rebound in the North American category for the remainder of the year, citing ongoing consumer sentiment challenges [13][17] - The company remains cautious about the impact of cocoa prices and consumer behavior on future earnings, with a focus on maintaining gross profit dollar growth [45][46] Other Important Information - The company is actively managing its debt and share repurchase strategy, indicating a pragmatic approach to capital deployment [65] - There is no significant impact from GLP-1 drugs on current volumes, with economic factors being the primary driver of consumer behavior [67][69] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on key geographies and North America actions - Management highlighted a strong quarter in Europe but acknowledged challenges in North America, emphasizing the need for demand-driving actions [4][6] Question: Clarification on guidance for the second half - Management confirmed that the guidance reflects a realistic view of the tougher areas, particularly in chocolate and the U.S. market [20][23] Question: Cocoa market outlook and pricing strategy - Management discussed favorable cocoa market fundamentals and potential pricing strategies for 2026, indicating a cautious but optimistic approach [25][44] Question: Impact of consumer behavior on pricing and volume - Management reassured that the planned pricing increases are selective and aimed at protecting key consumer price points [54][56] Question: Retailer destocking in North America - Management attributed retailer destocking to cash flow management and a slowdown in consumption, indicating a strategy to shift focus to value channels [75][76]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported good overall Q2 results with slight better-than-expected bottom line performance despite volume mix being flattish when adjusted for downsizing [6][7] - The company maintained its full-year outlook, indicating confidence in its financial performance [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The chocolate category showed significant pricing increases and strong performance, aligning with expectations [7] - The biscuits category in North America is experiencing a decline in volume, while emerging markets are showing double-digit growth with sustained volume and value increases [11][39] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America is facing consumer anxiety and a focus on essential items, leading to a decline in the biscuits category [9][10] - Emerging markets, particularly Brazil, India, and Mexico, are performing well despite softer consumer confidence [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on pricing strategies and cost control to boost profitability, especially in North America [14][16] - There is a plan to increase productivity and explore opportunities in alternate channels to offset challenges in traditional retail [16][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management does not anticipate a material rebound in the North American category for the remainder of the year, citing ongoing consumer sentiment issues [13][17] - The company is cautious about the impact of cocoa prices and consumer behavior on future performance, particularly in the context of inflation and economic uncertainty [25][42] Other Important Information - The company is actively managing its debt and share repurchase strategy, indicating a pragmatic approach to capital deployment [62][64] - There is no significant impact from GLP-1 drugs on current volumes, with economic factors being the primary driver of consumer behavior [66][68] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on key geographies and actions in North America - Management highlighted a strong performance in Europe and challenges in North America, with plans for incremental pricing and cost control measures [5][13] Question: Clarification on guidance for the second half - Management reaffirmed guidance, accounting for tougher areas like chocolate and North America, while remaining vigilant on market conditions [19][20] Question: Cocoa market outlook and pricing strategy - Management discussed favorable cocoa market fundamentals and potential pricing strategies for 2026, emphasizing the need for careful monitoring [24][25] Question: Impact of consumer behavior on North American volumes - Management attributed volume declines to economic anxiety rather than GLP-1 drugs, indicating a minimal effect from the latter [66][68] Question: Retailer destocking in North America - Management explained that retailer destocking was driven by cash flow management and an overall slowdown in consumption, with expectations for recovery in Q3 [71][74]

Financial Performance - Q2 2025 - Organic Net Revenue grew by 5.6%, driven by a 7.1 percentage point increase in pricing, offset by a 1.5 percentage point decline in volume/mix[11] - Adjusted Gross Profit decreased by 11.3%[11] - Adjusted EPS decreased by 14.5%[11] - Free Cash Flow YTD 2025 reached $0.8 billion[11] Financial Performance - YTD 2025 - Organic Net Revenue grew by 4.3%, with a 6.8 percentage point increase from pricing and a 2.5 percentage point decline in volume/mix[11] - Adjusted Gross Profit decreased by 11.7%[11] - Adjusted EPS decreased by 16.5%[11] Regional Performance - Q2 2025 - Emerging Markets Organic Net Revenue grew by 10.2%, with a 0.8 percentage point decline in volume/mix[24] - Developed Markets Organic Net Revenue grew by 2.7%, with a 1.8 percentage point decline in volume/mix[24] - North America revenue growth decreased 3.4% with volume/mix decreasing 2.4 percentage points[32] - Europe revenue growth increased 12.5% with volume/mix decreasing 1.3 percentage points[32] Category Performance - Q2 2025 - Chocolate Organic Net Revenue grew by 16.9%, with a 3.8 percentage point decline in volume/mix[26] - Biscuits & Baked Snacks Organic Net Revenue grew by 1.6%, with a 0.1 percentage point increase in volume/mix[26] Outlook - The company is maintaining its 2025 outlook, expecting approximately 5% Organic Net Revenue growth and over $3 billion in Free Cash Flow[50]