近些年，国内各地的房价一直处于下跌的趋势之中。先是像郑州、石家庄、天津等二三线城市，之后就是上海、深圳等一线城市也加入到下跌的队伍中来， 全国平均房价跌幅超过30%。不过，各种救市利好政策不断。除了绝大多数地区全面放开限购之外，还有银行把房贷利率、首付比例降到历史最低。税务部 门也减免了购房家庭的契税、增值税等。 而面对当前房地产市场扑朔迷离的走势，有网友提出：到2030年，300万的房子还值多少钱？为此，DeepSeek给出的答案是：不同的城市存在的房价泡沫各 不相同，通常前期房价下跌较多的二三线城市，房价下跌的空间会相对有限，而像一线城市房价收入之比超过40，未来5年房价仍有较大下跌空间。 对于DeepSeek给出的答案，很多人提出质疑，现在各种救市政策持续不断，未来几年房价应该是止跌回稳，怎么可能还会下跌呢？实际上，任何救市政策 只能迟滞房价下跌进程。从长远来看，并不能改变房价长期下跌的趋势。而2030年房价到底会怎么走。我们应从几个方面来看。 第一，刚需购房数量越来越少 此外，在经历了多年疫情之后，现在的居民买房也越来越理性，不会再像过去那样冲动买房，而是会根据自身的家庭情况决定是否买房。 第三，房子 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the demand for computing power driven by AI applications is experiencing sustained high growth, marking a pivotal moment for the widespread adoption of AI applications both domestically and internationally [1] - The current version of the DeepSeek online model has been upgraded to DeepSeek-V3.1-Terminus, indicating advancements in AI technology [1] - The domestic computing power capacity bottleneck is believed to have been broken, with expectations of significant growth in capacity by 2026 [1] Group 2 - As of September 24, 2025, the CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index (930713) has increased by 0.04%, with notable stock performances including 360 (601360) up by 5.77% and iFlytek (002230) up by 4.16% [1] - The AI Artificial Intelligence ETF (512930) has risen by 0.09%, with a latest price of 2.14 yuan, and has accumulated a 1.47% increase over the past week [1] - The CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index consists of 50 listed companies that provide foundational resources, technology, and application support for AI, reflecting the overall performance of AI-related securities [1] Group 3 - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index account for 60.82% of the index, with companies such as NewEase (300502) and Zhongji Xuchuang (300308) leading the list [2] - The performance of individual stocks within the index shows varied results, with Zhongji Xuchuang (300308) down by 3.30% and iFlytek (002230) up by 4.16% [3] - The AI Artificial Intelligence ETF has several linked products, including Ping An CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme ETF Initiated Link A (023384) and others [5]

Core Viewpoint - DeepSeek has released an update to its model, DeepSeek-V3.1-Terminus, which aims to improve stability and consistency based on user feedback, but the anticipated release of the next-generation model, DeepSeek-R2, has been delayed, causing disappointment in the industry [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Expectations and Delays - The initial release of DeepSeek-R1 was a significant success, outperforming top models from OpenAI and establishing high expectations for the subsequent model, R2 [3][5] - Since the launch of R1, there have been over ten rumors regarding the release of R2, with initial expectations set for May 2025, but these have not materialized, leading to a sense of frustration in the market [5][6] - The delay in R2's release is attributed to internal performance issues and external pressures, including supply chain challenges related to NVIDIA chips [6][12] Group 2: Strategic Developments - Despite the delay of R2, DeepSeek has made significant strides in building an open-source ecosystem, launching several models and tools that lower the cost of AI technology [8][9] - The company has introduced various components aimed at enhancing training and inference efficiency, such as FlashMLA and DeepGEMM, which reportedly improve inference speed by approximately 30% [9][11] - DeepSeek's open-source strategy has positioned it as a key player in promoting accessible AI technology in China, although the absence of R2 raises concerns about its competitive edge [8][17] Group 3: Challenges Faced by DeepSeek - DeepSeek faces a "triple dilemma" regarding the delay of R2, including the need for technological breakthroughs, managing high market expectations, and navigating intense competition from domestic rivals like Alibaba and Baidu [11][12][13] - The company must overcome technical challenges related to transitioning from NVIDIA to Huawei's Ascend chips, which has hindered R2's development [11][12] - DeepSeek's lack of a robust content ecosystem compared to larger tech companies limits its ability to continuously improve its models, leading to issues such as "hallucinations" in its outputs [15][16]

Core Insights - The article highlights the emergence of DeepSeek as a significant player in the AI landscape, particularly in Silicon Valley, where it is considered a "can't say" secret due to its cost-effectiveness and performance compared to Western models like OpenAI and Anthropic [14][15][23] - Paddy Cosgrave, CEO of Web Summit, emphasizes that China's AI competition is likely to surpass that of the United States, driven by a combination of high citation rates in core journals and the presence of Chinese talent in Silicon Valley [11][16] - The article discusses the rapid influx of venture capital into AI, leading to the creation of numerous unicorns with substantial annual recurring revenue (ARR) in a short time [11][12] Company Insights - DeepSeek is noted for its free model that has gained widespread adoption among companies in San Francisco, even those not traditionally involved in AI [14][15] - Lovable, a European AI unicorn, achieved $100 million in ARR within eight months, showcasing the competitive landscape where companies feel the need to work harder to outperform Chinese counterparts [12][19] - The article mentions the cultural differences in work ethic, with European companies adopting a "997" work culture to compete with Chinese firms, which may escalate to "998" [19] Industry Trends - The article indicates that AI will become as ubiquitous as electricity, with companies providing the necessary infrastructure (computing power, bandwidth, storage) likely to be the most profitable [17] - It also points out that while many companies will make money in AI, only a few will reach valuations in the hundreds of billions, suggesting a potential bubble in the AI sector in the West [17] - The ongoing chip export controls from the U.S. to China are seen as a challenge for Chinese startups, yet companies like DeepSeek are still making significant advancements despite these restrictions [17][18] Cultural Insights - Cosgrave predicts that the next wave of innovation in China will focus on soft power, including cultural exports like films, anime, and toys, similar to Japan's historical trajectory [26][27] - The article illustrates a growing interest among younger generations in Western countries towards Chinese brands and culture, indicating a shift in perception [22][27]

Core Insights - DeepSeek has released an upgraded version, DeepSeek-V3.1-Terminus, which shows significant performance improvements over its predecessor [1][2] - The new version achieved a score of 21.7 in the "Humanitys Last Exam" test, a 36% increase from the previous score of 15.9, and a 28.3% improvement in the "BrowseComp" test [1][2] Company Developments - The API pricing remains unchanged, with input costs at 0.5 yuan per million tokens and output costs at 12 yuan [1] - The update addresses user feedback by enhancing language consistency and improving the performance of Code Agent and Search Agent [2] Industry Context - The rapid updates and bug fixes in the AI model are crucial for retaining developers in a highly competitive open-source model landscape [2] - Analysts highlight DeepSeek's advantages, including high performance, low cost, and innovative algorithms, positioning it competitively against global counterparts [2] - The demand for AI computing power is expected to grow, benefiting various segments of the computing industry, including AI chips and server systems [2]

Core Insights - The new version DeepSeek-V3.1-Terminus has been launched, featuring both "Thinking Mode" and "Non-Thinking Mode" with support for 128K long context [1] Group 1: Model Upgrades - The deepseek-chat and deepseek-reasoner models have been unified and upgraded to DeepSeek-V3.1-Terminus, with deepseek-chat corresponding to Non-Thinking Mode and deepseek-reasoner to Thinking Mode [1] - Key optimizations include improved language consistency, significantly alleviating issues with mixed Chinese and English as well as abnormal characters, resulting in more standardized outputs [1] - The Agent capabilities have been further enhanced, particularly the execution performance of Code Agent and Search Agent [1] Group 2: Output Length and Pricing - In terms of output length, Non-Thinking Mode supports a default of 4K, with a maximum of 8K, while Thinking Mode has a default of 32K and can be expanded up to 64K, catering to different generation length requirements [1] - Pricing for the new model is set at 0.5 yuan for cache hits and 4 yuan for cache misses per million tokens input, with an output pricing of 12 yuan per million tokens, providing developers with a cost-effective AI large model service [1]

Core Insights - DeepSeek has released an updated version, DeepSeek-V3.1-Terminus, which shows significant performance improvements over its predecessor [1][3] - The new version's scores in various benchmarks have increased, with "Humanity's Last Exam" score rising from 15.9 to 21.7, a more than 36% improvement [1][2] - The update addresses user feedback, enhancing language consistency and agent capabilities, which are crucial in the competitive landscape of open-source models [3] Company Analysis - DeepSeek demonstrates high performance, low cost, and effective distillation, showcasing China's competitive strength in AI technology innovation [4] - The rapid updates and bug fixes are essential for retaining developers in a highly competitive environment [3] - The release of new computing architectures is expected to drive demand for AI computing power, benefiting various segments of the computing industry [4]

Group 1 - Aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) closed at a gain of 0.35% as of September 22, 2025, marking two consecutive days of increase with a turnover rate of 27.34% and a transaction volume of 120 million yuan, indicating active market trading [2] - The latest scale of Aerospace ETF Tianhong reached 491 million yuan with a total of 429 million shares, achieving a new high in nearly one month [2] - The net inflow of funds into Aerospace ETF Tianhong was 47.7466 million yuan, with a total of 51.0593 million yuan accumulated over the last five trading days [2] Group 2 - Aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) serves as an efficient tool to capture core military aerospace opportunities, tracking the National Securities Aerospace Index, with a military attribute of 97.86%, making it the highest military content index in the market [3] - The weight of aerospace equipment in the ETF is as high as 66.8%, significantly exceeding that of the CSI Military and CSI National Defense indices [3] Group 3 - The recent successful launch and recovery training of the Navy's third type of carrier-based aircraft on the Fujian ship marks a significant breakthrough in China's aircraft carrier development, contributing to the transformation of the Navy [4] - The Navy's carrier-based aviation has accelerated its development, achieving a significant leap from single aircraft to a system, from land-based to carrier-based operations, and from conventional takeoff to electromagnetic catapult [4] Group 4 - Zhonghang Securities assesses that the military industry sector is currently in a state with ample upward potential and a solid bottom, with short-term volatility risks in rapidly rising sub-sectors and individual stocks, but a relatively low likelihood of structural deep adjustments [5] - The military industry is expected to perform better in the second half of the year compared to the first half, with emerging themes such as low-altitude economy, commercial aerospace, deep-sea technology, large aircraft, and military intelligence likely to remain active [5]

Core Insights - DeepSeek announced the update of its model to DeepSeek-V3.1-Terminus, enhancing its existing capabilities while addressing user feedback [1] Improvements - The update focuses on two main areas: - Language consistency, which alleviates issues related to mixed Chinese and English text and occasional abnormal characters [1] - Enhanced performance of intelligent agents, specifically the Code Agent and Search Agent [1]

Core Insights - DeepSeek has released an updated model, DeepSeek-V3.1-Terminus, which improves upon the previous version by enhancing language consistency and fixing bugs related to unexpected character outputs [1][7][20] - The model has been open-sourced, allowing broader access and potential community contributions [1][7] Performance Improvements - Benchmark tests show that DeepSeek-V3.1-Terminus has achieved performance improvements ranging from 0.2% to 36.5% compared to DeepSeek-V3.1, with notable enhancements in the Human's Last Exam (HLE) test, which assesses high-level knowledge and reasoning capabilities [3][5] - In non-Agent evaluations, the model's performance in MMLU-Pro improved from 84.8 to 85.0, and in HLE, it increased from 15.9 to 21.7 [5] Bug Fixes - The previous version had a significant bug where the model would output random characters, which has been resolved in the new version [7][8] - Additionally, issues with multilingual outputs, particularly in translating minor languages, have also been addressed, resulting in more coherent translations [9][10] Enhanced Capabilities - The model demonstrates improved programming and search capabilities, successfully simulating physical effects in programming tasks and providing comprehensive recommendations for plant care based on specific criteria [13][17] - The model's ability to cross-verify information and present it in a readable format has also been highlighted as a significant improvement [17] Future Outlook - The name "Terminus" suggests that this version may represent the culmination of the current technological path for DeepSeek, although future updates, including an Agent model, are anticipated by the end of the year [20][21]