业绩符合预期，新产品新领域齐发力 比亚迪(002594) ——比亚迪 24 年报点评 | | | ——比亚迪 24 年报点评 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | | 增持 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [table_Authors] 徐强(分析师) | 牟俊宇(分析师) | 吴晓飞(分析师) | [Table_Target] | 上次评级: | 增持 | | 010-83939805 | 0755-23976610 | 0755-23976003 | 目标价格： | 上次预测: | 437.25 313.15 | | xuqiang@gtjas.com | moujunyu@gtjas.com | wuxiaofei@gtjas.com | | | | | 登记编号 S0880517040002 | S0880521080003 | S0880517080003 | Table_CurPrice] [当前价格： | | 369.59 | 本报告导读： 公司 24 年业绩符合预期，销量领跑行业。后续看好公司智能驾驶、超级 e 平台技术 对产品竞争力 ...

2、汽车，吴晓飞团队认为，近期商用车更新补贴细则落地，补贴金额更大、范围更广，政策有望 推动销量增长。推荐潍柴动力、宇通客车，受益标的中国重汽。 [Table_Summary] 1、滴滴出行，批零社服刘越男团队认为，业绩符合预期，中国业务稳定增长且释放利润，海外 延续高增长且如期减亏。后续将补贴效率提升与规模效应将继续驱动利润率提升。给与中国区业 务 2026 年行业平均 15xEV/EBITA 估值，目标市值 2317 亿人民币，320 亿美元，对应目标价 6.61 美元。 3、产业，鲍雁辛团队认为，中国核聚变可分为合肥、成都两大高地，合肥系以中科院等离子体 所为代表，成都系以核工业西南物理研究院为代表，未来中国核聚变的角逐也是合肥、成都两大 核聚变高地的角逐。 2025 年 03 月 26 日 国泰君安证券股份有限公司 研究所 国泰君安晨报 4、粤海投资，环保徐强团队认为，粤海置地 2024 年减值 10.34 亿港元，拖累公司 2024 年业绩， 派息符合预期。公司持续经营业务净现金流入 91.50 亿港元，现金流充足。上调对公司 2025-2026、 增加 2027 年预测净利润分别为 44.15、4 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][5] Core Views - The company exceeded revenue expectations in 2024, with a projected continuation of steady growth into 2025 [2][5] - The increase in profit is attributed to disposal gains, which significantly enhanced overall profitability [5] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 28,663 million RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.8% [4] - Net profit for 2024 is expected to be 6,241 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 36.9% [4] - The gross profit margin for 2024 is anticipated to be 28.1%, an increase of 3.8 percentage points compared to the previous year [5] - The company plans to maintain a high dividend payout ratio of 56% for 2024 [5] Growth Drivers - The revenue growth in 2024 is primarily driven by volume increases, particularly due to higher-than-expected orders from Uniqlo [5] - The company expects a low double-digit capacity growth in 2025, with stable average selling prices (ASP) and gross margins [5] - Positive sales guidance from key clients such as Adidas and Uniqlo indicates strong growth potential for 2025 [5]

农药行业底部盘整，公司业绩韧性凸显 扬农化工(600486) ——扬农化工 2024 年年报点评 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.03.26 基础化工 [Table_Industry] /原材料 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | | 增持 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 上次评级: | 增持 | | [Table_Target] 目标价格： | | 68.96 | | | 上次预测: | 78.57 | | Table_CurPrice] [当前价格： | | 54.85 | 本报告导读： 公司 2024 年利润下滑幅度明显小于行业水平，目前大部分农药价格已见底，公司葫 芦岛基地一期一阶段已建成调试，成长性有望在周期底部体现。 投资要点： | 股 | | --- | | 票 | | 研 | | 究 | 公 司 更 新 报 [Table_Market] 交易数据 52 周内股价区间（元） 46.81-66.53 总市值（百万元） 22,307 总股本/流通A股（百万股） 407/403 流通 B 股/H 股（百万股） 0/0 [Table_Balance] 资产负 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The performance of Yuehai Investment in 2024 was negatively impacted by Yuehai Land, which recorded an impairment of HKD 1.034 billion, although the dividend payout met expectations [2][5] - The company reported a net cash inflow from continuing operations of HKD 9.15 billion, indicating strong cash flow [2][5] - The company plans to divest Yuehai Land through a special dividend distribution, which is expected to enhance focus on its water assets [5] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2024 is projected at HKD 18.505 billion, a decrease of 24% from 2023 [4] - Net profit for 2024 is expected to be HKD 3.142 billion, a slight increase of 0.64% compared to the previous year [4] - The company’s PE ratio is projected to be 13.96 for 2024, with a PB ratio of 1.05 [4] Operational Insights - Water supply revenue from Hong Kong is expected to increase by 3% to HKD 5.136 billion, while revenue from Shenzhen and Dongguan is projected to decrease by 11% to HKD 1.224 billion due to exchange rate impacts [5] - The company’s net cash inflow from continuing operations, excluding Yuehai Land, is projected to be HKD 9.15 billion [5] - The company’s capital expenditure for 2024 is expected to be HKD 1.857 billion, significantly reduced from HKD 7.696 billion in 2023 [5]

本报告来源于"慧博投研",请勿外传! 全球资产多数波动率高位回落 -- 全球风险监控周报(20250325) 本报告导读: 该报告对全球宏观经济和权益、债券、商品、外汇市场的风险进行监控,为投资者 提供当前全球风险指标动态。 投资要点: 权益市场:全球主要股票市场 30日波动率多数上升。全球股票市场 10 日波动率下降居多,发达市场波动率全数下降。 债券市场:美债收益率曲线下移。美国高收益债信用利差继续上行。 全球主要市场 10Y 国债收益率波动率普遍下降。 商品市场:商品市场波动率多数回落,金铜比价震荡,黄金的避险 需求小幅下降。金油比价、金银比价上升。 外汇市场:发达市场汇率波动率涨跌各半。发达市场汇率10日波动 率延续下跌趋势,美元兑人民币波动率继续上涨。 跨市场比较:全球资产 10 日波动率多数下降,金属商品逆势上升。 全球大类资产相关性矩阵显示,美元指数其他发达市场国债收益率 负相关性增强。 风险提示:全球央行货币政策超预期;风险指标选择具有局限性。 相关报告 本周小市值风格占优,价量、估值因子表现较好 2025.03.24 Q 全球宏观风险 上周(2025/03/17-2025/03/21)美国、 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [2][8] Core Views - The education industry remains buoyant, with the company experiencing significant revenue growth in 2024 and further potential for growth in 2025 [3][8] - The company has shown a remarkable increase in contract liabilities, indicating strong pre-sales in its quality education segment [8] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 11.02 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 125.2% [8] - Gross profit for 2024 is expected to be 5.10 billion RMB, up 121.9% year-on-year [8] - Net profit for 2024 is forecasted at 1.92 billion RMB, reflecting a 114% increase compared to the previous year [8] - The company’s gross margin for 2024 is estimated at 46.3%, slightly down by 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [8] - Contract liabilities reached 6.02 billion RMB, a significant increase of 184.27% year-on-year, primarily driven by prepayments in the quality education business [8] Business Segmentation - Revenue from quality education in 2024 is expected to be 7.13 billion RMB, a substantial increase of 411.75% year-on-year [8] - Full-time education revenue is projected at 2.07 billion RMB, with a modest growth of 0.98% year-on-year [8] - Tutoring project revenue is anticipated to be 1.81 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 25.20% [8] Market Position and Technology Integration - The company is expected to enhance its market share in the Guangzhou and Shenzhen markets, supported by AI applications that improve operational efficiency [8] - The integration of AI into the company's educational systems aims to provide personalized learning experiences and improve teaching effectiveness [8]

国泰君安晨报 2025 年 03 月 25 日 国泰君安证券股份有限公司 研究所 [Table_Summary] 重点推荐： 1、食品饮料，2025 年春糖参与热度同比较低，酒厂、渠道、资本市场更加理性。从调研反馈来 看，白酒节后动销平稳，表现符合预期；大众品部分品类边际改善，以创新驱动增长。 2、龙源电力，风电装机占比较高，受益来风好转短期盈利改善在即；随着老旧风场改造、资产 注入推进，长期盈利空间打开。 3、电子，测试机作为 AI 算力铲子环节，随着 GPU 和 HBM 芯片放量，量价齐升。国内 AI 基建 爆发，测试机从 0 到 1，将深度受益。 4、钢铁，中信特钢 2024 年业绩符合预期。行业需求下行，公司积极调整产品结构，持续提升高 端产品的占比，同时不断降本、加大研发，业绩行业领先。 5、建筑，预测 2025 年广义基建资金同比增长 7.3%，增速提高 14 个百分点。受益地方化债节奏 前置，2025 年基建有望提早发力，推荐低估值高股息的央企和地方建筑公司等。 6、有色，2024 年紫金矿业金铜量价齐升，业绩再创新高，2025-2026 年公司多个核心项目迎收获 期，美联储降息周期下，金铜价格 ...

大 类 资 产 配 置 全球资产多数波动率高位回落 [Table_Authors] 王鹤(分析师) ——全球风险监控周报（20250325） 本报告导读： 该报告对全球宏观经济和权益、债券、商品、外汇市场的风险进行监控，为投资者 提供当前全球风险指标动态。 投资要点： [Table_Summary] 全球宏观风险 上周（2025/03/17-2025/03/21）美国、中国和新兴市场经济意外指数 上行，欧洲、日本经济意外指数下行。美英每日经济政策不确定性 指数高位回落。美联储和欧洲央行缩表节奏平稳，美国银行业存款 净流入，OFR 金融压力指数继续回落。地缘政治风险指数高位回落。 全球市场风险 权益市场：全球主要股票市场 30 日波动率多数上升。全球股票市场 10 日波动率下降居多，发达市场波动率全数下降。 债券市场：美债收益率曲线下移。美国高收益债信用利差继续上行。 全球主要市场 10Y 国债收益率波动率普遍下降。 商品市场：商品市场波动率多数回落，金铜比价震荡，黄金的避险 需求小幅下降。金油比价、金银比价上升。 外汇市场：发达市场汇率波动率涨跌各半。发达市场汇率 10 日波动 率延续下跌趋势，美元兑人民币波 ...