[Table_MainInfo]行业研究/汽车与零配件 证券研究报告 行业跟踪报告 2024 年 11 月 12 日 [Table_InvestInfo] 投资评级 优于大市 维持 市场表现 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------------------|------------|-------------------------------------------------| | | | | | | | | | | | [Table_QuoteInfo] 20.64% | 汽车与零配件 | | 海通综指 | | 12.06% 3.48% | | | | | -5.10% -13.67% -22.25% 2023/11 | 2024/2 | 2024/5 | 2024/8 | | | | | | | 资料来源：海通证券研究所 | | | | | 相关研究 [Ta ...

[Table_MainInfo] 公司研究/纺织与服装/服装与奢侈品 证券研究报告 伟星股份（002003）公司季报点评 2024 年 11 月 12 日 [Table_InvestInfo] 投资评级 优于大市 维持 | --- | --- | |---------------------------------------------------------------|----------------| | 股票数据 | | | 1 [ 1 Table_StockInfo 月 11 日收盘价（元） ] | 12.74 | | 52 周股价波动（元） | 9.33-15.28 | | 总股本 / 流通 A 股（百万股） | 1169/1010 | | 总市值 / 流通市值（百万元） | 14892/12871 | | 相关研究 | | | [Table_ReportInfo] 《产能利用率再提高，核心竞争力持续提升》 | | | 2024.08.21 | | | 《 24Q1 扣非归母同比增 46% | 》 2024.05.16 | | 《 2023 年归母净利润同比增 | 14.2% ，超业绩 | | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" and is maintained [1] Core Viewpoints - The company's performance continues to grow rapidly, with significant increases in both revenue and net profit driven by AI-related business [4] - The company is expected to maintain its leading position in the optical module industry, with stable growth in business revenue and further expansion of growth space [5] - The company's 2024-2026 revenue is forecasted to be 75.17 billion, 142.27 billion, and 184.82 billion yuan, respectively, with net profit attributable to the parent company expected to be 2.40 billion, 4.55 billion, and 5.88 billion yuan [5] Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 51.30 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 145.82%, and net profit attributable to the parent company of 16.46 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 283.20% [4] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 42.34%, an increase of 14.14 percentage points year-on-year [4] - In Q3 2024, the company's revenue was 24.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 207.12%, and net profit attributable to the parent company was 7.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 453.07% [4] Valuation and Forecast - The company's 2025 dynamic PE range is estimated to be 28-30X, with a reasonable value range of 179.76-192.60 yuan [5] - The company's EPS for 2024-2026 is forecasted to be 3.39, 6.42, and 8.29 yuan, respectively [5] - The company's gross profit margin is expected to be 44.8%, 43.9%, and 42.9% for 2024-2026, respectively [7] Industry Comparison - The average PE ratio for comparable companies in 2024 and 2025 is 40X and 25X, respectively [8] - The company's valuation is supported by its strong performance and leading position in the optical module industry [5] Financial Ratios and Efficiency - The company's net profit margin is expected to be 31.9%, 32.0%, and 31.8% for 2024-2026, respectively [9] - The company's asset turnover ratio is forecasted to be 0.93, 1.11, and 0.96 for 2024-2026, respectively [10] - The company's inventory turnover days are expected to decrease from 204.83 days in 2023 to 157.29 days in 2024 [10]

请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和法律声明 [Table_InvestInfo] 投资评级 优于大市 维持 | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------------------------|-------------| | 股票数据 | | | 11 [ Table_StockInfo 月 11 日收盘价（元） ] | 53.27 | | 52 周股价波动（元） | 31.51-68.18 | | 总股本 / 流通 A 股（百万股） | 135/93 | | 总市值 / 流通市值（百万元） | 7169/4942 | | 相关研究 | | | [Table_R 《产品覆盖更深更广，临床端认可度提升》 eportInfo] | | | 2024.04.21 | | 市场表现 [Table_QuoteInfo] -50.99% -39.99% -28.99% -17.99% -6.99% 2023/11 2024/2 2024/5 2024/8 澳华内镜 海通综指 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |------------- ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue and profit due to a reduction in the number of housing projects delivered, resulting in a 55.69% year-on-year decrease in operating income to 14.463 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024 [5][9] - The net loss attributable to shareholders for the same period was 4.283 billion yuan, a 39.71% increase in losses compared to the previous year, primarily due to decreased revenue, lower gross margins, and increased expense ratios [5][9] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 6.91%, down 5.09 percentage points from the same period in 2023 [5][10] - The company has seen an increase in the proportion of projects located in Beijing, with 44.15% of the sold (pre-sold) area being in this region, up 5.02 percentage points year-on-year [6][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported total revenue of 14.463 billion yuan, a decrease of 55.69% year-on-year, attributed to fewer housing deliveries [9] - The total cost of operations was 18.967 billion yuan, down 43.68% year-on-year [9] - The company recorded a net cash flow from operating activities of -2.472 billion yuan, a decline of 140.23% year-on-year, mainly due to reduced sales receipts [6][10] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of September 30, 2024, the company's cash and cash equivalents stood at 13.701 billion yuan, a decrease of 42.38% year-on-year [6][10] - The debt-to-asset ratio was 76.12%, a slight decrease of 0.04 percentage points from the same period in 2023 [6][10] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 0.08 yuan and 0.14 yuan for 2024 and 2025, respectively [7][12] - The estimated price-to-book (P/B) ratio for 2024 is projected to be between 0.5 and 0.6, suggesting a reasonable value range of 4.22 to 5.06 yuan per share [7][12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Views - The company reported a Q3 revenue of 1.379 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.70%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 93 million yuan, down 34.87% year-on-year [5] - For the first three quarters, the company achieved a cumulative revenue of 3.963 billion yuan, up 12.93% year-on-year, and a net profit of 375 million yuan, down 6.69% year-on-year [5] - The decline in net profit is attributed to product structure adjustments, rising raw material costs, and intensified external competition, which led to a decrease in gross margin [5][6] - The company is actively expanding into the home and commercial cleaning robot markets and enhancing e-commerce and new retail channels, resulting in increased expenses [5] Financial Performance Summary - Q3 gross margin decreased by 2.29 percentage points to 42.01%, with the expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and finance increasing year-on-year [6] - The net profit margin for Q3 decreased by 4.93 percentage points to 6.75% [6] - For the first three quarters, the gross margin was 42.88%, down 0.55 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 9.46%, down 1.98 percentage points [6] Investment Recommendations - The company has entered the "AI+" phase, focusing on core advantages and enhancing underlying technology research and development [7] - Continuous innovation in smart home products and IoT cloud platform services is expected to contribute more to revenue as the product structure is optimized [7] - The forecast for the company's net profit in 2024 is 570 million yuan, with a valuation range of 32.40 to 36.00 yuan based on a PE ratio of 45-50x [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 0.952 billion yuan in Q3 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.45% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.37%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 62.84% year-on-year and 20.62% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to a reduction in subsidies [4] - The company is recognized as a leader in the lithium battery separator industry, with significant advancements in production efficiency and technology innovation, including the sixth generation of dry production lines and the fifth generation of super wet production lines [4][5] - The company is expanding its production capacity both domestically and internationally, with new bases in Nantong and Foshan, and is actively pursuing overseas projects in Sweden and Malaysia [5] - The company is increasing its R&D investments, focusing on solid-state batteries and coated separators, which are expected to create new profit growth points [5] Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of 0.401 billion yuan, 0.482 billion yuan, and 0.609 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with year-on-year changes of -30.5%, +20.2%, and +26.4% [6] - Revenue is projected to grow from 3.013 billion yuan in 2023 to 6.218 billion yuan in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 24.8% [7][11] - The gross margin is expected to decline from 44.4% in 2023 to 30.1% in 2024, stabilizing thereafter [11] Production and Sales Forecast - The company anticipates separator shipments of 4.0 billion square meters, 5.5 billion square meters, and 6.88 billion square meters for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with a unit price of 0.9 yuan per square meter [8][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 1.44 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 53%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 460 million yuan, up 25% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 430 million yuan, an increase of 24% year-on-year. The net cash flow from operating activities reached 640 million yuan, a significant increase of 323% year-on-year [4] - In Q3 2024, the company experienced a decline in total revenue to 110 million yuan, down 68% year-on-year, with a net loss attributable to the parent company of 11.89 million yuan, a decrease of 107% year-on-year. This decline was primarily due to the release of only one film during the quarter compared to multiple films in the same period last year [5] - The company has a rich pipeline of animated films, with key projects such as "Little Qian," "Nezha's Devil Child," and "The Stars of the Three Kingdoms" awaiting release dates. Additionally, several other film and TV projects are in various stages of production [6][7] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company expects total revenue from its film business to be 1.12 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year decrease of 13%, followed by a significant increase of 64.5% in 2025. The revenue from the television business is projected to be 300 million yuan in 2024, with a slight decline in subsequent years [7][10] - The overall revenue forecast for the company is 1.74 billion yuan in 2024, 2.49 billion yuan in 2025, and 2.65 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.8%, 42.8%, and 6.3% respectively [8][10] - The company’s net profit is expected to reach 508 million yuan in 2024, 962 million yuan in 2025, and 1.003 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding growth rates of 21.6%, 89.4%, and 4.3% [8][13] Valuation - The company is valued using both PE and PB methods, with a projected PE range of 30-35 times for 2025, leading to a reasonable value range of 9.90-11.55 yuan per share. The PB valuation suggests a range of 9.93-11.59 yuan per share for 2025. The combined reasonable value range is estimated to be between 9.92 yuan and 11.57 yuan per share [9][12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.861 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 28.49%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 493 million yuan, up 22.8% year-over-year [5][6] - In Q3 2024 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 1.4 billion yuan, which is a 26.2% increase year-over-year, with a net profit of 174 million yuan, reflecting a 15.62% year-over-year growth [6][7] - The company's growth is driven by a focus on seven core product categories and a multi-channel strategy, enhancing brand influence and channel capabilities [7][8] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company experienced a gross margin decline of 2.62 percentage points, attributed to changes in channel and product category structures, but gross profit increased by 18.73% year-over-year [6] - The company expects revenues of 5.268 billion yuan in 2024, with net profits projected at 652 million yuan, corresponding to an EPS of 2.39 yuan per share [8][11] - The projected revenue growth rates for 2024-2026 are 28.0%, 25.6%, and 24.8%, respectively, with net profit growth rates of 28.9%, 27.9%, and 26.3% [9][11] Market Position and Strategy - The company is enhancing its market position by transitioning its strategy from a "product + channel" dual-driven growth model to a "channel-first, product-leading" approach, optimizing sales product and channel structures [7][8] - The company is expanding its presence in e-commerce and other retail formats, including partnerships with platforms like Douyin to increase brand visibility [7][8] Valuation and Recommendations - The company is assigned a valuation range of 59.75 to 71.70 yuan based on a PE ratio of 25-30 times for 2024E [8][10] - The average PE ratio of comparable companies is noted to be 53.23 times for 2024E, indicating a competitive positioning in the market [10]

Email:ksy15683@haitong.com | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------|---------------------------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------------------------------------| | | | 行业研究 / 机械工业 / 新能源板块 \n行业专题报告 | 证券研究报告 \n2024 年 11 月 11 日 | | | 优于大市 维持 | 铜箔行业：至暗时刻已过，涨价曙光初现 | | | | | [Table_Summary] 投资要点： | | ...