Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [26]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading player in the nuclear valve market, expected to benefit from the normalization of nuclear power approvals, with 11 nuclear units approved in 2024, a historical high [26]. - The company maintains a high market share in the metallurgical and chemical special valve markets, which are anticipated to grow alongside the special valve industry [26]. - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2024 at 2.26 billion yuan, 2025 at 2.40 billion yuan, and 2026 at 2.55 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 290 million yuan, 329 million yuan, and 374 million yuan respectively [26]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in the research, development, production, and sales of new special valves, including butterfly valves and ball valves, with over 2000 specifications across 145 series [48]. - The company has a dominant position in the nuclear valve sector, securing over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade butterfly and ball valves [48]. Market Analysis - The global industrial valve market reached a size of 79 billion USD in 2022, with a projected growth to 82.1 billion USD in 2023 and 92.3 billion USD by 2026, reflecting a CAGR of 3.9% from 2021 to 2026 [1]. - The Chinese special valve market is recovering, with significant growth observed in 2022, and the low-temperature valve market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10.26% from 2024 to 2032 [10][48]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 2.13 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 9.1%, with a net profit of 269 million yuan, up 18.2% [76]. - The company’s revenue is primarily derived from the nuclear power sector, energy equipment, metallurgy, and energy-saving services, with respective contributions of 32.56%, 30.58%, 17.05%, and 12.22% to total revenue in 2023 [98]. Future Outlook - The nuclear valve market is expected to grow significantly, with the market size projected to reach 6.2 billion yuan by 2024 [48]. - The company is also expanding into the hydrogen energy sector, aligning with the increasing market size for hydrogen energy applications [58].

计算机 行业研究/行业周报 | --- | |-------| | | | | 正文目录 | --- | |-------| | | | | | | 产业发展不及预期、政策推进力度不及预期、国产替代不及预期 | --- | |--------------------------------------------| | | | 1. 本周市场行情回顾（20241216-20241220） . | | 1.1. 全球主要大盘指数及科技指数 . | | 1.2. 全球 AI 产业链重点标的行情 . | | 2. 全球 AI 产业链大事提醒 | | 2.1. 重点标的业绩披露日期 | | 2.2. 其他大事提醒 | | 3. 核心观点及投资建议 . | | 3.1. 核心观点 | | 3.2. 投资建议 | | 4. 风险提示 | 图 1: 本周全球主要市场大盘指数涨跌幅 图 2: 本周全球主要科技指数涨跌幅 表 1: 全球 AI 产业链重点标的行情 . 表 2: 全球 AI 产业链重点标的业绩披露日期 . 表 3: 其他大事提醒. 2 1. 本周市场行情回顾（20241216-20241220） 本周，全球市场主 ...

本周，申万计算机三级行业涨跌幅分别为：其他计算机设备(2.24%)、 IT 服务Ⅲ(0.38%) 、安防设备(-0.05%)、横向通用软件(-0.47%) 、垂直应用 软件(-1.74%) 。 请务必阅读报告正文后各项声明 4 行业周报 海外市场指数整体走势较弱。本周，海外指数涨跌幅由高到低分别为： 恒生资讯科技业(2.95%)、道琼斯美国科技(-1.01%)、纳斯达克(-1.78%)、Wind 美国中资股软件与服务(-3.57%) 、台湾信息服务(-4.39%)。 图4:海外指数涨跌幅情况 资料来源：Wind，甬兴证券研究所 2.95% -1.01% -1.78% -3.57% -5% -4.39% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 2.2. 个股表现 个股涨跌幅后十位分别为：信息发展（-19.66%）、金财互联（-18.9%）、 请务必阅读报告正文后各项声明 5 行业周报 龙宇股份（-17.44%）、佳创视讯（-13.91%）、汇金科技（-13.2%）、榕基软件 （-12.71%）、麦迪科技（-12.54%）、达实智能（-12.39%）、魅视科技（-12.37%）、 赢时胜（- ...

Group 1: Policy Layout and New Quality Productivity - The "246" industrial cluster plan aims to establish two trillion-level industrial clusters in green petrochemicals and automobiles, along with four five-hundred billion-level clusters in high-end equipment, electronic information, new materials, and software services, and six hundred billion-level clusters in key components, smart home appliances, fashion textiles, biomedicine, sports goods, and energy conservation [7][29]. - The "361" plan emphasizes the trend of "green, new, and high" in future industrial development, targeting a revenue of 3.7 trillion yuan for large-scale enterprises and the formation of five national-level industrial clusters by 2027 [9][29]. - These plans are expected to enhance the resilience and stability of the industrial supply chain, promote collaborative innovation, and resource sharing within industrial clusters, thereby strengthening Ningbo's position in the global manufacturing landscape [9][29]. Group 2: Industrial Chain Clusters Supporting New Quality Productivity - Ningbo's automotive manufacturing cluster has become a leading domestic automotive base, particularly in the new energy vehicle sector, with a complete supply chain including batteries, motors, and electronic controls [34][64]. - The high-end equipment manufacturing sector is a strategic industry for Ningbo, with a focus on smart equipment, modern energy equipment, and next-generation electronic information equipment, aiming for a significant increase in industrial output value by 2025 [12][45]. - The city has established a robust ecosystem for innovation, with over 7,000 high-tech enterprises and a significant increase in R&D investment, which reached 63.1 billion yuan in 2023, marking a 5.29% increase from 2022 [37][75]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key industries in Ningbo's mid-to-high-end manufacturing and high-tech sectors, including chemical new materials, new energy vehicles, smart robots, magnetic materials, smart photovoltaics, batteries and energy storage, and optical modules [54][80]. - The investment orientation includes eight major industrial clusters and 18 key sub-industries, emphasizing digital industries, green petrochemicals, high-end equipment, new functional materials, new energy, key components, smart home appliances, and modern health industries [52][80].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating that the stock price is expected to outperform the benchmark index by more than 20% [3][21]. Core Insights - The company has announced a placement and convertible bond financing totaling over 5 billion RMB, which will effectively enhance its liquidity and ability to withstand future market fluctuations [2]. - The cash cost of production is projected to decrease from 37.84 RMB/kg in Q1 2024 to 33.18 RMB/kg in Q3 2024, with potential to fall below 30 RMB/kg, allowing the company to cover its cash costs with current silicon prices [2]. - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 are 17.057 billion RMB, 30.523 billion RMB, and 42.118 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of -49%, +79%, and +38% respectively [3]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to report a net profit attributable to shareholders of -2.921 billion RMB in 2024, followed by 1.544 billion RMB in 2025 and 4.326 billion RMB in 2026, with corresponding growth rates of -216%, +153%, and +180% [3][4]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025 and 2026 are projected to be 19 times and 7 times, respectively, indicating a significant potential for earnings recovery [3]. Market Position - The company is positioned in the power equipment industry, with a current market capitalization of approximately 27.405 billion RMB [5].

证 券 研 究 报 告 行 业 研 究 | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

医药生物 行业研究/行业周报 | --- | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

Domestic Liquidity - The yield on 2-year and 10-year government bonds continued to decline, with the yield spread increasing to 0.6312%[11] - The central bank's net withdrawal from the open market was 430.2 billion yuan, and the MLF net withdrawal was 1.45 trillion yuan[35] Fundraising and Market Activity - In December, 8 companies conducted IPOs, raising approximately 4.4 billion yuan[73] - A total of 64 new funds were established in December, with 23 being equity funds, raising a total of 9.6 billion yuan[72] ETF Market - The number of newly established ETFs in 2024 remained the same as in 2023, with 157 ETFs launched, including 9 equity ETFs in December, which issued 3.03 billion shares[19] - The total scale of ETF equity funds was 2.9168 trillion yuan, with a trading volume accounting for 15.5% of the total scale, down by 3.4 percentage points[20] Southbound Capital - Southbound capital saw a net inflow of 243 billion yuan last week, with a total net inflow of 715.6 billion yuan for the year, marking a historical high[46] - The banking sector had the largest net inflow of 7.61 billion yuan, followed by telecommunications and retail, while media and consumer services saw significant outflows[23] Margin Financing - Margin financing buy-in amounts decreased, accounting for a lower proportion of A-share trading volume, with an average buy-in of 135.4 billion yuan, down 24.3% week-on-week[32] - The total margin financing balance was approximately 1.89 trillion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.04%[60]

电力设备 行业研究/行业点评 | --- | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

资料来源：中国重汽官网，甬兴证券研究所 中国重汽主要研发、生产、销售各种载重汽车、特种汽车、专用车及发 动机、变速箱、车桥等总成和汽车零部件，拥有黄河、汕德卡、豪沃等全系 请务必阅读报告正文后各项声明 3 公司深度 列商用汽车品牌，是我国重卡行业驱动形式和功率覆盖最全的重卡企业之 一。下属三个上市公司，分别为中国重汽（香港）有限公司（香港红筹公司）、 中国重汽集团济南卡车股份有限公司（深圳 A 股上市公司）、中通客车股份 有限公司（深圳 A 股上市公司）。其中，根据中国重汽港股上市公司 2022 年的年报，中国重汽 A 股上市公司（000951.SZ）是中国重汽 H 股上市公司 公司深度 资料来源：wind，甬兴证券研究所 资料来源：wind，甬兴证券研究所 资料来源：wind，甬兴证券研究所 资料来源：wind，甬兴证券研究所 2014-2024 年上半年，中国重汽的销售毛利率在 9%上下波动，销售净 利率在 3%上下波动，盈利能力持平微升。四费率从 6.00%逐步下行至大约 2.69%，成本控制能力优秀。 图8:中国重汽销售毛利率与销售净利率 图9:中国重汽费用率 2.1. 重卡行业与国民经济密切相关，中 ...