Report Industry Investment Rating The document does not provide the industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints - Interest rate bonds: Treasury bond yields declined, and the term spread narrowed. From July 25, 2025, to August 1, 2025, the central bank conducted a total of 2.8525 trillion yuan in reverse repurchase operations, with 2.0438 trillion yuan in reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net injection of 808.7 billion yuan. Inter - bank funding prices generally decreased. The 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, 7 - year, and 10 - year treasury bonds decreased by 1.01BP, 3.26BP, 3.62BP, 2.02BP, and 2.65BP respectively, and the 10Y - 1Y term spread narrowed to 33.25BP [1]. - Credit bonds: The majority of credit bond yields declined. From July 28, 2025, to August 3, 2025, 610 new credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 668.086 billion yuan, a decrease of 540.715 billion yuan from the previous period. The net financing amount was 16.326 billion yuan. The issuance of asset - backed securities accounted for the largest proportion in terms of bond types. In terms of bond ratings, the issuance scale of AAA - rated bonds was 17.63 billion yuan, accounting for 62.66%. In terms of maturity, credit bond issuance was mainly concentrated in the 5 - 10 - year range. In terms of industry, the financial industry had the largest number of bond issuances. From July 25, 2025, to August 1, 2025, the majority of urban investment bond yields declined, with the 1 - year AA - rated bond having the largest decline of 6.94BP [2]. - Observation of major asset classes: From July 25, 2025, to August 1, 2025, the three major US stock indexes declined. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2.92% weekly, the S&P 500 index fell 2.36% weekly, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 2.17% weekly. European and Asian - Pacific stock indexes also declined. US Treasury yields decreased, the US dollar index rose 1.04% weekly, and most non - US currencies weakened. Crude oil and gold prices rose during the week [2]. Summary by Directory 1. Interest rate bonds: Treasury bond yields declined, and the term spread narrowed 1.1. Liquidity observation: Liquidity was net - injected, and funding prices generally decreased - From July 25, 2025, to August 1, 2025, the central bank conducted a total of 2.8525 trillion yuan in reverse repurchase operations, with 2.0438 trillion yuan in reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net injection of 808.7 billion yuan. Inter - bank and exchange - market funding prices generally decreased [14]. 1.2. Primary market issuance: Net financing increased, and local government bond issuance decreased - From July 28, 2025, to August 3, 2025, the primary market for interest rate bonds issued 672.435 billion yuan, with a total repayment of 119.178 billion yuan for matured bonds, and a net financing amount of 553.257 billion yuan. The issuance of local government bonds decreased compared to the previous period [24]. 1.3. Secondary market trading: Treasury bond yields declined, and the term spread narrowed - From July 25, 2025, to August 1, 2025, the yields of 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, 7 - year, and 10 - year treasury bonds decreased by 1.01BP, 3.26BP, 3.62BP, 2.02BP, and 2.65BP respectively, and the 10Y - 1Y term spread narrowed from 34.89BP to 33.25BP. The yields of 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, 7 - year, and 10 - year policy - bank bonds decreased by 2.52BP, 3.50BP, 3.20BP, 3.47BP, and 4.64BP respectively, and the 10Y - 1Y term spread narrowed from 28.57BP to 26.45BP [30][31]. 2. Credit bonds: The majority of credit bond yields declined 2.1. Primary market issuance: Issuance volume decreased compared to the previous period - From July 28, 2025, to August 3, 2025, 610 new credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 668.086 billion yuan, a decrease of 540.715 billion yuan from the previous period. The net financing amount was 16.326 billion yuan. Asset - backed securities had the largest number of issuances, and medium - term notes had the highest issuance amount. In terms of bond ratings, AAA - rated bonds accounted for 62.66% of the total issuance. In terms of maturity, credit bond issuance was mainly concentrated in the 5 - 10 - year range. The financial industry had the largest number of bond issuances [42]. 2.2. Secondary market trading: The majority of credit bond yields declined - From July 25, 2025, to August 1, 2025, the majority of urban investment bond yields declined, with the 1 - year AA - rated bond having the largest decline of 6.94BP. The yields of medium - and short - term notes also decreased, with the 3 - year AA - rated note having the largest decline of 6.98BP [52]. 2.3. Review of weekly credit default events - From July 28, 2025, to August 3, 2025, there were no defaults on corporate credit bonds [54]. 3. Observation of major asset classes 3.1. European and American stock indexes declined - From July 25, 2025, to August 1, 2025, the three major US stock indexes and European and Asian - Pacific stock indexes all declined [55]. 3.2. US Treasury yields declined - From July 25, 2025, to August 1, 2025, the yields of 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, 7 - year, and 10 - year US Treasury bonds decreased by 22.00BP, 19.00BP, 18.00BP, 18.00BP, and 17.00BP respectively, and the 10Y - 1Y term spread changed by 5.00BP to 36.00BP [57]. 3.3. The US dollar index strengthened, and most non - US currencies weakened - From July 25, 2025, to August 1, 2025, the US dollar index rose 1.04% weekly, and most non - US currencies weakened [59]. 3.4. Crude oil and gold prices rose during the week - From July 25, 2025, to August 1, 2025, the price of COMEX gold futures rose 0.93% weekly, and the price of London spot gold rose 0.10% weekly. The price of Brent crude oil rose 1.80% weekly, and the price of WTI crude oil rose 3.33% weekly [61][63]. 4. Investment suggestions - The recent VAT policy adjustment on the interest income of bonds such as treasury bonds may have multiple impacts on bond funds. It may compress direct returns, increase short - term market volatility, and lead to adjustments in bond - fund investment strategies. It is suggested to pay attention to the relevant allocation opportunities after the adjustment of new and old interest rate bonds, and this tax policy is conducive to guiding the optimization of the market structure and guiding funds to flow into the credit - bond market [3][65].

Export Performance - In July, exports showed resilience with a year-on-year increase of 7.2% compared to 5.9% in the previous month, while imports rose by 4.1% from 1.1%[1] - Cumulative export value from January to July increased by 6.1% year-on-year, up from 5.9%, while cumulative imports decreased by 2.7%, an improvement from a decline of 3.8%[1] - The trade surplus in July was $98.24 billion, down from $114.75 billion in the previous month[1] Price and Quantity Indices - The export price index reached 100.5, up from 98.7, marking a recovery since May 2023, while the export quantity index was 106.7, down from 107.7[1] - The import price index slightly increased to 99.3 from 99.2, with the import quantity index rising to 103.0 from 98.7[1] Product Structure - Cumulative export value of electromechanical products rose by 8.1%, accounting for 60.0% of total exports, while high-tech products increased by 6.0%, making up 24.2%[2] - Integrated circuit exports surged by 20.5%, and automotive exports (including chassis) grew by 9.7%, while household appliances and mobile phones saw declines of -0.4% and -10.5%, respectively[2] Regional Export Trends - Exports to the U.S. fell by 12.6%, while exports to ASEAN and the EU increased by 13.5% and 7.0%, respectively[3] - The share of exports to the U.S. was 11.8%, while ASEAN accounted for 17.7% and the EU for 14.9% of total exports[3] Investment Insights - The report highlights the resilience of Chinese exports supported by diversification in destinations and product structure upgrades[4] - Risks include fluctuating U.S. tariff policies and insufficient global demand recovery[5]

Group 1 - The report indicates a decline in the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields in the US, with the 10-year yield falling to 4.23% and the 2-year yield to 3.69% during the week of July 28 to August 1 [3][22][23] - The report highlights a significant net inflow of southbound funds, totaling 819.5 billion yuan year-to-date, with major inflows into non-bank financials (+13 billion yuan), pharmaceuticals (+10.66 billion yuan), and electronics (+3.79 billion yuan) [6][44][47] - The report notes a decrease in financing buy-in amounts, averaging 189.3 billion yuan, which represents a 0.4% week-on-week decline, while the proportion of financing buy-in to total A-share trading volume increased [7][51] Group 2 - In July, 135 new funds were established, with 78 being equity funds, totaling approximately 35.5 billion units issued, compared to 83 funds in July 2024 [6][29][33] - The report states that 32 new equity ETFs were launched in July, with a total issuance of 13.9 billion units, reflecting a significant increase from the previous year [6][35][39] - The report mentions that the IPO activity in July included 8 companies raising approximately 24.2 billion yuan, with a total equity financing scale of about 66.2 billion yuan [7][56]

Group 1 - The report indicates an increase in the margin trading balance, with a notable rise in the proportion of financing purchases, reaching 11.72% of total A-share trading volume, up by 0.40 percentage points from the previous week [16][19] - The overall market sentiment is positive, with major indices experiencing a broad increase in trading volume, particularly the CSI 500, which saw a significant rise of 11.61% in trading volume compared to the previous week [19][20] - The report highlights that the current A-share market maintains a high investment cost-effectiveness, with the stock-bond yield spread at -1.04%, which is above the average since the beginning of 2025 [13][14] Group 2 - The report notes that the PE valuation percentiles for major indices have generally increased, with the CSI 1000 leading with a rise of 2.0 percentage points, followed by the CSI 500 with an increase of 1.9 percentage points [24][27] - In terms of style, the stable style has seen the largest decline in PE valuation percentiles, down by 3.8 percentage points, while the growth style has increased by 2.2 percentage points, indicating a shift in market preferences [35][38] - The electronic industry has led the sectoral PE valuation increases, with a rise of 5.1 percentage points, while the automotive sector has experienced the largest decline, down by 9.4 percentage points [53][54]

Group 1: Interest Rate Bonds - During the period from July 18 to July 25, 2025, the central bank conducted a total of 23,438.00 billion yuan in reverse repurchase operations, with 21,315.00 billion yuan maturing, resulting in a net injection of 2,123.00 billion yuan[2] - The overall interbank funding prices increased, with DR001 rising by 6.08 basis points to 1.5174% and DR007 increasing by 14.56 basis points to 1.6523%[2] - In the primary market, the issuance of interest rate bonds totaled 9,398.05 billion yuan, with total maturing bonds amounting to 7,306.36 billion yuan, resulting in a net financing amount of 2,091.69 billion yuan[2] - The yields on government bonds for various maturities increased: 1-year up by 3.45 basis points to 1.3835%, 3-year up by 7.34 basis points to 1.4777%, 5-year up by 7.92 basis points to 1.6048%, 7-year up by 7.31 basis points to 1.6926%, and 10-year up by 6.72 basis points to 1.7324%[2] - The 10Y-1Y yield spread widened from 31.62 basis points to 34.89 basis points[2] Group 2: Credit Bonds - From July 21 to July 27, 2025, a total of 956 credit bonds were newly issued (including interbank certificates of deposit), with an issuance scale of 12,074.83 billion yuan, a decrease of 1,330.33 billion yuan compared to the previous period[3] - The total repayment of credit bonds was 14,553.08 billion yuan, resulting in a net financing amount of -2,478.24 billion yuan[3] - Among the newly issued bonds, the AAA-rated bonds accounted for 5,334.28 billion yuan, representing 77.67% of the total issuance[3] - The yields on city investment bonds increased overall, with the 3-year AA-rated bonds experiencing the largest rise of 12.27 basis points[3] - The yields on medium-term notes also increased, with the 10-year AAA-rated bonds rising by 11.99 basis points[3]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - **Interest Rate Bonds**: From July 18 to July 25, 2025, the central bank conducted a net injection of 212.3 billion yuan. The prices of inter - bank funds and exchange funds rose. The primary market of interest rate bonds had a net financing of 209.169 billion yuan. The yields of treasury bonds and policy - bank bonds increased, and the term spreads widened [1][15][33]. - **Credit Bonds**: From July 21 to July 27, 2025, the issuance volume of credit bonds decreased month - on - month, with a net financing of - 247.824 billion yuan. The yields of credit bonds, including urban investment bonds and medium - and short - term notes, increased overall. One enterprise's credit bond defaulted during the week [2][58][60]. - **Major Asset Weekly Observation**: During July 18 - July 25, 2025, most European and American stock indexes rose. The yields of US Treasury bonds were differentiated. The US dollar index fell, and non - US currencies strengthened. Crude oil and gold prices declined [3][62][72]. 3. Investment Recommendations The July Politburo meeting is expected to focus on the dual main lines of "stable growth" and "structural adjustment": - **Stable Growth and Domestic Demand Expansion**: The economic growth rate in the first half of 2025 was 5.3%, providing room for the annual target of 5%. In the second half, the pressure of stable growth is relatively controllable. The key is to give full play to the effectiveness of existing policies and appropriately introduce incremental policies [4][76]. - **Structural Adjustment**: Measures such as rectifying local protectionism and improving the market access and exit mechanism are expected to be detailed. The ten - industry stable growth plans announced by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology are expected to be implemented intensively [4][77]. - **Real Estate Market**: Multi - dimensional measures may be taken on both the supply and demand sides. The supply side will clarify the standards for "good houses", and the demand side may relax the purchase threshold [77]. - **Capital Market**: Long - term funds are encouraged to enter the market. The delisting system of listed companies will be improved, and supervision will be strengthened [78]. - **Livelihood Field**: Stable employment is the core. New employment opportunities will be created through "two new and two important" projects [79]. - **Stabilizing Foreign Investment and Expanding Opening - up**: Policies will focus on stabilizing foreign investment and expanding opening - up in parallel to cope with the pressure of tariff reconstruction [79]. - **Medium - and Long - Term Layout**: The meeting may announce the time of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee and review the suggestions for formulating the 15th Five - Year Plan, with new productive forces as the strategic focus [79]. Investors should pay attention to the main lines of consumer service, new impetus for infrastructure, industrial upgrading, and capital market reform, and be vigilant against external tariff shocks. For the bond market, it is recommended to adopt a coupon strategy, adjust the duration flexibly, and seize trading opportunities [4][80]. 4. Summary by Relevant Directory 4.1 Interest Rate Bonds - **Liquidity Observation**: The central bank conducted a net injection of 212.3 billion yuan. The prices of inter - bank and exchange funds rose. For example, DR001 rose 6.08BP to 1.5174%, and GC001 rose 3.00BP to 1.4130% [15][19][21]. - **Primary Market Issuance**: From July 21 to July 27, 2025, the primary market of interest rate bonds issued 939.805 billion yuan, with a net financing of 209.169 billion yuan. The issuance of local government bonds increased [27]. - **Secondary Market Trading**: The yields of treasury bonds and policy - bank bonds increased. The 10Y - 1Y term spread of treasury bonds widened from 31.62BP to 34.89BP, and that of policy - bank bonds widened from 23.82BP to 28.57BP [33][34]. 4.2 Credit Bonds - **Primary Market Issuance**: From July 21 to July 27, 2025, 956 credit bonds were newly issued, with a total issuance scale of 1207.483 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 133.033 billion yuan. Company bonds had the largest proportion of issuance volume, and AAA - rated bonds accounted for 77.67% of the total issuance scale. The issuance was mainly short - term, and the financial industry had the largest number of issuances [2][50]. - **Secondary Market Trading**: The yields of urban investment bonds and medium - and short - term notes increased overall. The 3 - year AA - rated urban investment bonds had the largest increase of 12.27BP, and the 10 - year AAA - rated medium - and short - term notes had the largest increase of 11.99BP [58]. - **One - Week Credit Default Event Review**: One enterprise's credit bond defaulted during July 21 - July 27, 2025 [60]. 4.3 Major Asset Weekly Observation - **Most European and American Stock Indexes Rose**: The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.26%, the S&P 500 Index rose 1.46%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.02%. Among European stock indexes, the German DAX Index fell 0.30%, the French CAC40 Index rose 0.15%, and the UK FTSE 100 Index rose 1.43% [3][62][63]. - **Differentiated Yields of US Treasury Bonds**: The yields of 1 - year and 3 - year US Treasury bonds rose, while those of 5 - year, 7 - year, and 10 - year US Treasury bonds fell. The 10Y - 1Y term spread changed by - 5.00BP to 31.00BP [65]. - **Weakening US Dollar Index and Strengthening Non - US Currencies**: The US dollar index fell 0.80%. The pound sterling, euro, and Japanese yen strengthened against the US dollar [70]. - **Decline in Crude Oil and Gold Prices**: The prices of COMEX gold futures and London spot gold fell. Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil prices also declined [72].

Core Insights - The report indicates an increase in IPO amounts in July, with significant net inflows from southbound funds and financing into the pharmaceutical sector [1][4][34]. Macro Liquidity - Domestic: During the week of July 21-25, the yields on 2-year and 10-year government bonds rose, with the 10-year and 2-year bond yield spread widening. The central bank's net injection in the open market was 109.5 billion yuan, and the MLF net injection was 100 billion yuan [2][12]. - International: The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield increased while the 10-year yield decreased, leading to a decline in the dollar index. As of July 25, the spread between Chinese and U.S. 10-year government bonds narrowed to -2.67% [2][16][17]. Market Liquidity Public Funds - In July 2025, 110 new funds were established, with 62 being equity funds, totaling approximately 28.3 billion units issued [3][22]. ETF Funds - 35 new ETF funds were established in July 2025, with 25 being equity ETFs, totaling 11 billion units issued [3][25]. Southbound Funds - Significant net inflows were observed in southbound funds, with a total net inflow of 765.4 billion yuan year-to-date as of July 25 [3][34]. Margin Financing - The average financing purchase amount was 190 billion yuan, a 27.7% increase from the previous week, with notable net inflows in the non-ferrous metals and pharmaceutical sectors [4][42]. Fundraising - In July, there were 6 IPOs raising approximately 23.3 billion yuan, with total equity financing of about 60.7 billion yuan [4][46]. Sector Analysis - The non-bank financial sector saw the largest net inflow of 10.42 billion yuan, followed by pharmaceuticals and computers, totaling approximately 17 billion yuan [3][36].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Increase" [6] Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector outperformed the market by 1.93 percentage points during the week of July 21-25, 2025, with the index closing at 2,855.04, reflecting a weekly increase of 3.62% [1][15] - The pig farming sector is experiencing a decline in prices, with the average price of pigs at 14.15 yuan/kg, down 0.84% week-on-week and down 26.15% year-on-year [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of cost control for listed pig farming companies to navigate the pig cycle effectively [4] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The agricultural sector's index increased by 3.62%, ranking 9th among 31 sectors [1][15] - The breeding sector showed the best performance with a 5.27% increase, followed by planting, fishery, feed, agricultural product processing, and animal health sectors [17] 2. Industry Dynamics 2.1 Pig Farming - The profit from self-breeding pigs is 62.16 yuan/head, down 28.73 yuan/head week-on-week, while the profit from purchased piglets is -71.39 yuan/head, down 52.73 yuan/head [2] 2.2 Poultry - Chicken chick prices have rebounded, with an average price of 1.93 yuan/chick, up 40.88% week-on-week, and white feather chicken prices at 6.70 yuan/kg, up 4.69% [3] 2.3 Agricultural Products - Wheat and rice prices have increased, with wheat at 2,444.56 yuan/ton (up 0.20%) and rice at 2,912.00 yuan/ton (up 0.69%), while soybean meal prices have decreased to 2,964.00 yuan/ton (down 0.07%) [3] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the pig farming sector, particularly companies with strong cost control such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [4] - For poultry, it recommends looking at integrated industry leaders like Shennong Development and Lihua Stock [4] - In the feed sector, it highlights Haida Group and Hefeng Stock as key players benefiting from the recovery in livestock inventory [4] - For agricultural products, it suggests monitoring Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry, specifically in the power equipment sector [5]. Core Insights - The intelligent computing center industry is experiencing rapid expansion driven by a combination of policy support, local government initiatives, and surging market demand. The investment scale in China's intelligent computing center market reached 87.9 billion yuan in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of over 90%. It is projected to reach 288.6 billion yuan by 2028 [1][20]. - Local governments and basic telecom operators are the primary participants in the construction of intelligent computing centers, accounting for over 50% of the projects in operation, under construction, or planned as of August 2024. Internet and cloud service providers contribute approximately 17.7% of the projects [20][21]. Summary by Sections 1. Demand Driven Growth in AIDC - The investment scale of intelligent computing centers is significantly increasing due to the resonance of policy support and the demand for large models. The rapid growth in data volume driven by large model applications is pushing the intelligent computing center into an expansion phase [16][17]. - Major telecom operators and internet companies are ramping up their investments in computing power. For instance, China Mobile plans to invest 37.3 billion yuan in computing power, which will constitute 25% of its capital expenditure in 2025 [2][27]. 2. Evolution of Data Center Power Supply Architecture - The current power supply systems in data centers primarily utilize UPS, but there is a gradual shift towards HVDC and Panama power systems. HVDC systems offer significant advantages in reliability, efficiency, and economic viability compared to traditional UPS systems [3][26]. - The Panama power system demonstrates clear advantages in investment costs and operational efficiency, achieving a conversion efficiency of 97% [3][26]. 3. Future Trends in Power Supply Architecture - The transition towards medium and high voltage power supply systems is becoming a trend, with a focus on high-density and energy-efficient solutions in the AIDC era [3][38]. - The report suggests that companies like Kehua Data and Kstar, as well as leaders in HVDC and Panama power systems like Zhongheng Electric, are well-positioned to benefit from the increasing capital expenditures by internet companies [4][38].

Group 1 - Market sentiment has improved with an increase in margin trading balance, turnover rate, and transaction volume across major indices [2][19] - The average margin trading balance reached approximately 1.92 trillion yuan, up 1.48% from the previous week, with the financing purchase ratio rising to 11.13% of total A-share transaction volume [16][19] - The turnover rate for major indices increased, with the CSI 500 showing the largest growth in transaction volume at 18.30% [19][20] Group 2 - The PE valuation percentiles for major indices increased, with the Shenzhen Component Index leading with a rise of 5.1 percentage points [24][28] - Stable style sectors led the increase in PE valuation percentiles, rising by 2.6 percentage points, while the consumer style also saw a rise of 2.5 percentage points [36][39] - The construction industry led the sectoral PE valuation increases with a rise of 9.4 percentage points, while the banking sector saw a decline of 2.0 percentage points [53][54]