食品及饲料添加剂 华恒生物（688639.SH） 增持-A(下调) 一季度业绩显著改善，新品推广取得积极进展 2025 年 5 月 9 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 | | | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | 126.89/25.60 | | --- | --- | | 流通A股/总股本（亿）： | 2.49/2.50 | | 流通 股市值（亿）： A | 72.00 | | 总市值（亿）： | 72.07 | 基础数据：2025 年 3 月 31 日 | 基本每股收益(元)： | 0.20 | | --- | --- | | 摊薄每股收益(元)： | 0.20 | | 每股净资产(元)： | 10.44 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | 1.88 | | 资料来源：最闻 | | 冀泳洁 执业登记编码：S0760523120002 电话：0351-8686985 邮箱：jiyongjie@sxzq.com 王锐 执业登记编码：S0760524090001 邮箱：wangrui1@sxzq.com 我们预测 2025 年至 2027 年，公司分别实现营收 25.36/29.05/32.8 ...

| 年 月 市场数据：2025 | 5 | 日 8 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元）： | | | 37.17 | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | | | 48.56/14.47 | | 流通 A 股/总股本（亿 | | | 2.69/2.71 | | 股）： | | | | | 流通 股市值（亿）： A | | | 100.13 | | 总市值（亿）： | | | 100.88 | | 年 基础数据：2025 | 月 3 | 日 31 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元)： | | | -0.03 | | 摊薄每股收益(元)： | | | -0.03 | | 每股净资产(元)： | | | 8.54 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | | | -0.65 | | 资料来源：最闻 | | | | 2025 年 5 月 9 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 方闻千 执业登记编码：S0760524050001 邮箱：fangwenqian@szxq.com 邹昕宸 邮箱：zouxinchen@sxzq.com 基础软 ...

2025 年 5 月 9 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 | 市场数据：2025 | 年 5 | 月 8 | 日 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元）： | | | | 37.17 | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | | | | 48.56/14.47 | | 流通 A | 股/总股本（亿 | | | 2.69/2.71 | | 股）： | | | | | | 流通 A | 股市值（亿）： | | | 100.13 | | 总市值（亿）： | | | | 100.88 | | 年 基础数据：2025 | 月 3 | 日 31 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元)： | | | -0.03 | | 摊薄每股收益(元)： | | | -0.03 | | 每股净资产(元)： | | | 8.54 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | | | -0.65 | | 资料来源：最闻 | | | | 方闻千 执业登记编码：S0760524050001 邮箱：fangwenqian@szxq.com 邹昕宸 邮箱：zou ...

证券Ⅲ 东吴证券（601555.SH） 增持-A(维持) 投资业务驱动增长，轻资产质效提升 2025 年 5 月 9 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 2024 年公司实现营业收入 115.34 亿元，同比增长 2.24%，实现归母净利 润 23.66 亿元，同比增长 18.19%。加权平均净资产收益率 5.81%，提升 0.65pct。 2025 年一季度实现营业收入 30.92 亿元，同比增长 38.95%，归母净利润 9.80 亿元，同比增长 114.86%。 事件点评 市场数据：2025 年 5 月 8 日 投资业务成为业绩增长重要驱动。固定收益类投资业务采用配置和交易 并重的投资策略，连续多年实现投资收益率领先市场水平。丰富交易品种及 策略，扩大交易对手范围，专业化投资交易能力有效提升。2024 年投资业务 实现收入 27.34 亿元，同比增长 16.36%，一季度实现投资业务收入 11.20 亿 元，同比增长 104.08%。 公募管理规模大幅提升。通过渠道拓展与机构合作，落地多笔机构委外 专户，积极拓展债券投顾，年末受托管理规模 595.27 亿元，同比增长 4.01%。 东 ...

2024 年公司实现营业收入 115.34 亿元，同比增长 2.24%，实现归母净利 润 23.66 亿元，同比增长 18.19%。加权平均净资产收益率 5.81%，提升 0.65pct。 2025 年一季度实现营业收入 30.92 亿元，同比增长 38.95%，归母净利润 9.80 亿元，同比增长 114.86%。 事件点评 投资业务成为业绩增长重要驱动。固定收益类投资业务采用配置和交易 并重的投资策略，连续多年实现投资收益率领先市场水平。丰富交易品种及 策略，扩大交易对手范围，专业化投资交易能力有效提升。2024 年投资业务 实现收入 27.34 亿元，同比增长 16.36%，一季度实现投资业务收入 11.20 亿 元，同比增长 104.08%。 公募管理规模大幅提升。通过渠道拓展与机构合作，落地多笔机构委外 专户，积极拓展债券投顾，年末受托管理规模 595.27 亿元，同比增长 4.01%。 东吴基金规模大幅增长 55.81%达到 398.57 亿元，其中权益类基金增长 75.66%，债券类基金增长 105.27%，通过打造中长期绝对收益优势和销售体 系转型推动品牌建设，资管业务实现收入 1.69 亿元 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" investment rating for China Shenhua Energy Company (601088.SH) [3][8] Core Views - The company reported a 21.1% year-on-year decline in revenue for Q1 2025, totaling 69.585 billion yuan, and an 18.0% decrease in net profit attributable to shareholders, amounting to 11.949 billion yuan [3] - The increase in long-term contracts has stabilized performance, and dividend growth is expected [3][7] - The coal segment's gross margin improved to 30.1%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, despite a decrease in coal sales volume [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - Q1 2025 basic earnings per share (EPS) was 0.601 yuan, with a return on equity (ROE) of 2.80%, down 0.74 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company’s total assets as of March 30, 2025, were 672.307 billion yuan, a 0.60% increase year-on-year, while net assets rose by 3.2% to 433.114 billion yuan [3] - The average coal selling price decreased by 11.5% to 506 yuan per ton, while the average unit sales cost fell by 13.07% to 353 yuan per ton [3][4] Segment Performance Summary - The coal segment generated revenue of 51.599 billion yuan, down 25.7% year-on-year, with a gross profit of 15.509 billion yuan [3] - The power segment's revenue was 20.854 billion yuan, a 14.7% decline, with a gross margin of 15.4%, down 1.3 percentage points [4] - The transportation segment's revenue decreased across various divisions, with coal chemical gross margins improving [5] Future Outlook - EPS forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.74, 2.89, and 2.96 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 14.1, 13.4, and 13.1 [8][10] - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of at least 65% of net profit attributable to shareholders over the next three years [7]

研究早观点 2025 年 5 月 9 日 星期五 市场走势 国内市场主要指数 | 指数 | | 收盘 | "设备+耗材"一体化驱动成长 涨跌幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | | 3,352.00 | 0.28 | | 深证成指 | | 10,197.66 | 0.93 | | 沪深 | 300 | 3,852.90 | 0.56 | | 中小板指 | | 6,334.29 | 0.63 | | 创业板指 | | 2,029.45 | 1.65 | | 科创 | 50 | 1,026.44 | -0.36 | 资料来源：最闻 分析师： 李召麒 执业登记编码：S0760521050001 电话：010-83496307 邮箱：lizhaoqi@sxzq.com 【今日要点】 资料来源：最闻 【山证宏观策略】降准降息落地，内需线或仍有可为 【山证专精特新】龙图光罩（688721.SH）2025 一季报点评-新工厂摊销叠 加策略性降价销售使公司 2025Q1 业绩承压 【山证煤炭】中国神华（601088.SH）一季报点评：-长协稳定业绩，分红 成长可期 【公司评论】宏华数 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company Longtu Guozhao (688721.SH) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance is under pressure due to new factory amortization and strategic price reductions, leading to a decline in revenue and net profit [2][5] - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 54.37 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.97%, and a net profit of 17.33 million yuan, down 30.00% year-on-year [3][5] - The decline in revenue and profit is attributed to the new Zhuhai factory still ramping up production capacity, with depreciation and amortization increasing [5] - As the Zhuhai project progresses, the utilization rate of equipment is expected to improve, leading to a recovery in revenue and profit [5][6] - The company is focusing on higher process product development, aiming to expand its product process level to 90nm and 65nm, which will meet the needs of large wafer fabs [7] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company's gross margin was 52.44%, down 7.27 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 31.88%, down 9.58 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The increase in the expense ratio contributed to the decline in net profit margin, with the selling expense ratio at 3.59%, management expense ratio at 4.56%, financial expense ratio at 0.62%, and R&D expense ratio at 10.40% [6] - The company forecasts revenues of 348 million, 509 million, and 788 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 41.0%, 46.6%, and 54.6% [8][10] - Net profits are expected to be 103 million, 162 million, and 263 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 11.8%, 57.6%, and 62.3% [8][10] - The corresponding EPS for these years is projected to be 0.77, 1.21, and 1.97 yuan, leading to P/E ratios of 59.8X, 38.0X, and 23.4X based on the closing price of 46.00 yuan on May 8 [8][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company Longtu Photomask (688721.SH) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance was under pressure due to the new factory's depreciation and strategic price reductions, leading to a decline in revenue and net profit [5][6] - Despite the current challenges, the report anticipates a gradual improvement in revenue and profit as the new factory's capacity utilization increases and customer purchasing levels normalize [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 54.37 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.97% - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 17.33 million yuan, down 30.00% year-on-year - The basic earnings per share (EPS) was 0.13 yuan, a decline of 48.00% compared to the previous year [4][5] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 348 million, 509 million, and 788 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 41.0%, 46.6%, and 54.6% respectively - Net profits are projected to be 103 million, 162 million, and 263 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 11.8%, 57.6%, and 62.3% respectively [7][10] Valuation Metrics - The report provides projected EPS of 0.77, 1.21, and 1.97 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 59.8X, 38.0X, and 23.4X based on the closing price of 46.00 yuan on May 8 [7][10]

宏观策略 【山证宏观策略】降准降息落地，内需线或仍有可为 2025 年 5 月 8 日 策略研究/事件点评 配置建议：低波红利股→防御性基石，内需复苏线→进攻性抓手。在轮 动加快的结构市行情判断假设下，建议以低波动红利资产为防御性底仓夯实 收益安全垫，同时把握阶段性估值修复的窗口期，沿内需复苏及政策催化双 主线进行动态再平衡。 风险提示 事件回顾 5 月 7 日，国新办举行新闻发布会，介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预 期"有关情况。 投资要点： 发布会中宣布了哪些政策？ 分析师： 央行：量价协同精准施策，稳市促新强实体。围绕 "量价协同+精准滴 灌" ，通过降准降息释放万亿级流动性，同时创新结构性工具（科创再贷 款、消费养老再贷款）定向支持科技创新、普惠金融和消费升级领域。通过 调降再贷款利率和公积金利率降低社会融资成本，并强化资本市场维稳工具 （8000 亿证券基金保险互换额度），为实体经济与金融市场提供双重托底， 确保货币环境"适度宽松但精准有效"。 金融监管总局：稳楼市活股市扩险资，科创小微双护航。聚焦 "稳楼 市+活股市+促科创" 三角发力：优化房地产融资制度（白名单贷款扩容至 6.7 万亿）和保险 ...