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金龙鱼(300999):公司事件点评报告:经营边际改善,渠道增量空间充足
华鑫证券· 2025-03-25 09:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1][8] Core Views - The company has shown improvement in operating margins, with a continuous optimization of gross profit margins. In 2024, total operating revenue was 238.87 billion yuan, a decrease of 5% year-on-year, primarily due to falling product prices outweighing sales growth. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.50 billion yuan, down 12% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit was 0.97 billion yuan, down 26% year-on-year [5][8] - The company's main product sales have increased, with ample incremental channel space. In 2024, the revenue from kitchen foods was 145.42 billion yuan, a decrease of 2% year-on-year, with sales volume at 24.07 million tons, an increase of 4% year-on-year. The company is focusing on high-end product development and expanding into the health sector to diversify its business [6][8] - The company is expected to recover further as market demand improves and raw material and end-product prices stabilize. The forecasted EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.52, 0.65, and 0.84 yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 62, 50, and 38 times [8][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, total operating revenue was 63.41 billion yuan, an increase of 1% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 1.07 billion yuan, up 49% year-on-year. The non-recurring net profit was 0.73 billion yuan, up 78% year-on-year, mainly due to improved performance in the flour business and enhanced product profitability from the feed raw materials and oil technology industry chain [5][6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve operating revenues of 256.33 billion yuan in 2025, 276.85 billion yuan in 2026, and 302.89 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 7.3%, 8.0%, and 9.4%, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 2.81 billion yuan in 2025, 3.50 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.53 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 12.4%, 24.6%, and 29.4%, respectively [10][11]
基础化工行业周报:硫酸、硫磺等涨幅居前,建议继续关注原油、钛白粉板块和轮胎板块-2025-03-25
华鑫证券· 2025-03-25 08:10
2025 年 03 月 25 日 硫酸、硫磺等涨幅居前,建议继续关注原油、 钛白粉板块和轮胎板块 2、《基础化工行业周报:硫酸、硫 磺等涨幅居前,建议继续关注原 油、钛白粉板块和轮胎板块》2025- 03-10 3、《基础化工行业周报:硫酸、硫 磺等涨幅居前,建议继续关注钛白 粉板块和轮胎板块》2025-03-02 ▌ 硫磺、硫酸等涨幅居前,苯酚、天然气等跌幅较大 本 周 涨 幅 较 大 的 产 品 : 硫 磺 ( 温 哥 华 FOB 合同价, 16.44%),硫酸(杭州颜料化工厂 105%,12.86%),挂牌纯 MDI(烟台万华,6.98%),硝酸(安徽 98%,6.90%),合成 氨(江苏新沂,4.35%),国际石脑油(新加坡,2.99%), 国际汽油(新加坡,2.16%),电石(华东地区,2.05%), 甲醛(华东,1.74%),燃料油(新加坡高硫 180cst, 1.64%)。 推荐(维持) 投资要点 分析师:张伟保 S1050523110001 zhangwb@cfsc.com.cn 行业相对表现 表现 1M 3M 12M 基础化工(申万) 2.2 4.0 8.4 沪深 300 0.2 -1.3 ...
计算机行业点评报告:地平线机器人:2024年业绩创纪录,软硬一体生态优势凸显
华鑫证券· 2025-03-25 07:32
2025 年 03 月 24 日 研 究 报 告 地平线机器人(9660.HK):2024 年业绩创纪 录,软硬一体生态优势凸显 推荐(维持) 事件 | 分析师:宝幼琛 | S1050521110002 | | --- | --- | | baoyc@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人:谢孟津 | S1050123110012 | | xiemj@cfsc.com.cn | | 行业相对表现 | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 计算机(申万) | -9.5 | 6.1 | 21.4 | | 沪深 300 | -0.9 | -1.2 | 11.0 | 市场表现 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 (%) 计算机 沪深300 资料来源:Wind,华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《计算机行业周报:Genio720 和 Genio520 联合发布,视频生成模型 Open-Sora2.0 发布》2025-03-20 2、《计算机行业点评报告:阿里云 QwQ-32B 开源模型全球首发,引领超 低密度智能与端侧生态范式革命》 2025-03-11 3、 ...
华菱线缆:公司事件点评报告:拟现金收购星鑫航天,聚焦航空、航天及低空经济特种电缆和材料-20250325
华鑫证券· 2025-03-25 06:51
2025 年 03 月 24 日 券 研 究 报 告 拟现金收购星鑫航天,聚焦航空、航天及低空经 济特种电缆和材料 买入(首次) 事件 分析师:高永豪 S1050524120001 gaoyh7@cfsc.com.cn 联系人:何鹏程 S1050123080008 hepc@cfsc.com.cn | 基本数据 | 2025-03-24 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 10.97 | | 总市值(亿元) | 59 | | 总股本(百万股) | 534 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 270 | | 52 周价格范围(元) | 6.65-11.18 | | 日均成交额(百万元) | 108.63 | 市场表现 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 (%) 华菱线缆 沪深300 资料来源:Wind,华鑫证券研究 相关研究 —华菱线缆(001208.SZ)公司事件点评报告 华菱线缆发布公告,公司拟通过现金方式以控制为目的收购 湖南星鑫航天新材料股份有限公司股权,具体的收购比例将 由各方协商后在正式的交易协议中确定。 投资要点 ▌航天防热材料领军者,高端线缆业务整合迈向世 界一流 ...
鑫融讯:双融日报-2025-03-25
华鑫证券· 2025-03-25 02:06
2025 年 03 月 25 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师:万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪:38 分(较冷) 最近一年大盘走势 25 (%) 沪深300 资料来源:Wind,华鑫证券研究 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 相关研究 1、《双融日报》2025-03-24 2、《双融日报》2025-03-21 3、《双融日报》2025-03-20 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标:(较冷) 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示,昨日市场情绪综合评分为 38 分,市场情绪处于"较冷"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1。 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题:算力、家电、深海经济 宏观经济意外下滑、地缘不确定风险、流动性收紧超预期、 行业政策低于预期。 c 1、算力主题:据媒体报道,我国全面启动"东数西算" 工程已满 3 年,三大运营商、数据中心服务商以及相关产业 链企业积极跟进,多领域发力,各地新型数字基础设施加速 建设,全国一体化算力体系加快形成。据 2024 中国算力大会 数据,我国在用算力中心机架总规模超 830 万标准机架,算 力总规模达 246EFLOPS ...
计算机行业点评报告:地平线机器人(9660):2024年业绩创纪录,软硬一体生态优势凸显
华鑫证券· 2025-03-25 01:25
2025 年 03 月 24 日 研 究 报 告 地平线机器人(9660.HK):2024 年业绩创纪 录,软硬一体生态优势凸显 推荐(维持) 事件 | 分析师:宝幼琛 | S1050521110002 | | --- | --- | | baoyc@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人:谢孟津 | S1050123110012 | | xiemj@cfsc.com.cn | | 行业相对表现 | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 计算机(申万) | -9.5 | 6.1 | 21.4 | | 沪深 300 | -0.9 | -1.2 | 11.0 | 市场表现 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 (%) 计算机 沪深300 资料来源:Wind,华鑫证券研究 地平线在 ADAS 市场份额超 40%,与全球顶尖企业建立合作, 推动自驾解决方案全球化。全年产品交付量达 290 万套,累 计 770 万套。与此同时,推出 Horizon SuperDrive,预计 2025 年三季度规模化量产。公司技术领先,J6M 芯片市占率 预计超 50%, ...
金徽酒:公司事件点评报告:业绩符合预期,产品结构优化-20250324
华鑫证券· 2025-03-24 09:58
2025 年 03 月 24 日 业绩符合预期,产品结构优化 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师:孙山山 | S1050521110005 | | --- | --- | | sunss@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人:肖燕南 | S1050123060024 | | xiaoyn@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2025-03-21 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 19.02 | | 总市值(亿元) | 96 | | 总股本(百万股) | 507 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 507 | | 52 周价格范围(元) | 15.59-23.55 | | 日均成交额(百万元) | 85.23 | 市场表现 3、《金徽酒(603919):业绩高质 量增长,产品结构持续优化》2024- 04-20 —金徽酒(603919.SH)公司事件点评报告 2025 年 3 月 21 日,金徽酒发布 2024 年年报。 投资要点 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 (%) 金徽酒 沪深300 资料来源:Wind,华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《金徽酒(603919): ...
克明食品:公司事件点评报告:利润扭亏为盈,持续发力品牌培育-20250324
华鑫证券· 2025-03-24 09:58
2025 年 03 月 24 日 利润扭亏为盈,持续发力品牌培育 ▌主业经营承压,利润端扭亏为盈 2024 年公司实现营收 45.67 亿元(同减 12%),主要系养殖 工厂清洗致使生猪销售减少所致,归母净利润 1.46 亿元 (2023 年为亏损 0.66 亿元),扣非归母净利润 1.38 亿元 (2023 年为亏损 0.64 亿元),同比扭亏为盈。其中 2024Q4 实现营收 10.92 亿元(同减 13%),归母净利润为亏损 0.09 亿元(2023Q4 为亏损 0.77 亿元),扣非归母净利润为亏损 0.07 亿元(2023Q4 为亏损 0.71 亿元)。利润端来看, 2024Q4 毛利率同增 8pct 至 20.87%,主要系生猪价格上涨、 小麦价格回落,养殖板块与食品板块盈利能力均有所提升, 销售/管理费用率分别同增 2/1pct 至 8.87%/6.38%,净利率 同增 7pct 至-4.38%。 ▌发力品牌培育,生猪业务企稳回升 产品端来看,2024 年公司面条营收为 25.60 亿元(同减 6%),公司挂面产品持续聚焦软弹面高端战略产品,加大终 端费投,计划 2025 年打造亿元级大单品。2 ...
舍得酒业:公司事件点评报告:业绩短期承压,期待企稳回升-20250324
华鑫证券· 2025-03-24 06:30
2025 年 03 月 24 日 业绩短期承压,期待企稳回升 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师:孙山山 | S1050521110005 | | --- | --- | | sunss@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人:肖燕南 | S1050123060024 | | xiaoyn@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2025-03-21 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 58.71 | | 总市值(亿元) | 196 | | 总股本(百万股) | 333 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 333 | | 52 周价格范围(元) | 40.18-82.9 | | 日均成交额(百万元) | 630.28 | 市场表现 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 (%) 舍得酒业 沪深300 资料来源:Wind,华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《舍得酒业(600702):调整期 业绩承压,发布回购方案彰显信 心》2024-10-29 2、《舍得酒业(600702):利润不 及预期,短期去库释放压力》2024- 08-22 3、《舍得酒业(600702):收入符 合预期,利润略承压 ...
华润饮料:公司事件点评报告:收入整体稳健,利润持续释放-20250324
华鑫证券· 2025-03-24 01:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1][8] Core Views - The company reported a slight revenue growth of 0.05% and a net profit increase of 23.12% for 2024, with revenues and net profits reaching 13.521 billion and 1.637 billion respectively [4] - The gross margin improved to 47.31%, up by 2.66 percentage points, attributed to increased production from self-owned factories and reduced raw material costs [4] - The beverage business saw significant growth, with revenue increasing by 30.80%, while packaged drinking water revenue declined by 2.59% [5] - The company is actively expanding its national presence and increasing the proportion of self-owned production, aiming for over 60% self-owned capacity by the end of the current five-year plan [6] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company expects revenues of 13.521 billion, with projected growth rates of 6.8%, 7.5%, and 7.7% for the years 2025 to 2027 [10] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.84, 0.97, and 1.12 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 16, 14, and 12 [8][10] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to remain stable around 14.5% to 15.1% over the forecast period [10] Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on enhancing its distribution channels, with a 15% increase in retail coverage and over 20% growth in commercial refrigeration units [6] - New product launches and flavor innovations are driving the beverage segment, with a 122% increase in sales volume for a key product line [5][8] - The company is also investing in expanding production capacity, adding 22 new production lines, which includes 14 high-speed water lines and 3 sterile beverage lines [6]