2025 年 05 月 05 日 市场表现 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 (%) 溯联股份 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 股权激励提升团队凝聚力，数据中心液冷产品打 造第二增长曲线 1、《溯联股份（301397）：汽车尼 龙管路龙头，积极拓展数据中心业 务》2025-03-02 买入(维持) 事件 —溯联股份（301397.SZ）公司事件点评报告 分析师：任春阳 S1050521110006 rency@cfsc.com.cn 分析师：林子健 S1050523090001 linzj@cfsc.com.cn | 基本数据 | 2025-04-30 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 36.21 | | 总市值（亿元） | 43 | | 总股本（百万股） | 120 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 55 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 20.01-42.28 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 65.55 | 公司近期公告：1）2024 年报：报告期内公司实现营收 12.42 亿元，同比增长 22.89%，实现归母净利润 1.23 亿元，同比 下降 18. ...

2025 年 05 月 05 日 五月策略和十大金股 —5 月十大金股 投资要点 ▌ 总量观点 5 月海外关税冲击边际减弱，等待经济数据进一步走弱 后的降息重启。美股波动有望再度放大，美债重回震 荡，黄金等待更具性价比位置。国内业绩落地，PMI 走 弱但短期难有超预期政策。景气投资难度较大，红利资 产筹码松动，科技成长题材活跃。 行业选择：银行股季报不及预期，市场担心分红不可持 续，银行股抱团快速解体调整。基本面承压，景气投资 难度加大。财报落地，小微盘风险逐步出清，科技成长 活跃度有望提升，关注产业催化（AI、机器人、智驾 等）、自主可控（半导体、机器人、军工等）。 ▌ 本期金股组合： 电子：致尚科技（301486.SZ） 电子：星宸科技（301536.SZ） 计算机&AI&互联网：迈信林（688685.SH） 计算机&AI&互联网：金桥信息（603918.SH） 传媒新消费：姚记科技（002605.SZ） 中小盘&主题&北交所：唯科科技（301196.SZ） 汽车：嵘泰股份（605133.SH） 电力设备：蓝黛科技（002765.SZ） 医药：一品红（300723.SZ） 化工：瑞丰新材（300910.S ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [4][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, with revenue at 2127.7 billion yuan, down 3.22% year-on-year, and net profit at 841.6 billion yuan, down 3.99% year-on-year [4][5]. - The company's total assets grew by 8.3% year-on-year to 51.5 trillion yuan, with deposits increasing by 4% to 36.4 trillion yuan and loans rising by 8.5% to 29.7 trillion yuan [6]. - The net interest margin decreased by 9 basis points to 1.33%, primarily due to a larger decline in asset yield compared to the improvement in liability costs [7]. - Non-interest income fell by 4.2% year-on-year, attributed to increased fair value losses due to rising market interest rates [8]. - The non-performing loan ratio improved to 1.33%, with a provision coverage ratio of 215.7%, indicating continued asset quality improvement [9][10]. - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is 3644 billion yuan, 3757 billion yuan, and 3884 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.02, 1.05, and 1.09 yuan [11][13]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2127.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.22% year-on-year, and a net profit of 841.6 billion yuan, down 3.99% year-on-year [4][5]. - The total assets reached 51.5 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.3% [6]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio was 1.33%, with a provision coverage ratio of 215.7%, showing improvement in asset quality [9][10]. Profitability Forecast - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3644 billion yuan, 3757 billion yuan, and 3884 billion yuan respectively, with EPS estimates of 1.02, 1.05, and 1.09 yuan [11][13].

2025 年 05 月 05 日 AI 应用热度有望重燃 推荐(维持) 投资要点 | 分析师：朱珠 | S1050521110001 | | --- | --- | | zhuzhu@cfsc.com.cn | | | 分析师：于越 | S1050522080001 | | yvyue@cfsc.com.cn | | 行业相对表现 表现 1M 3M 12M 传媒(申万) -2.2 2.4 11.4 沪深 300 -3.0 -1.2 4.6 市场表现 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 (%) 传媒 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《传媒行业周报：内需看 A 计划 科技与消费并驾齐驱》2025-04-20 2、《传媒行业周报：持续看好内需 且洼地的成长型选手》2025-04-12 3、《传媒行业专题报告："情绪经 济"专题》2025-04-10 ▌ 本周观点更新 年报与一季度均落地，总体看，2025 年一季度处于修复向好 态势，虽关税因子对部分细分行业的影响仍需要观察，但总 体看传媒应用板块有望持续获 AI 赋能。自上而下看，政策持 续护航 AI 应用发展，2025 年 4 ...

2025 年 05 月 03 日 关税冲击下企业收缩业务 分析师：罗云峰 S1050524060001 luoyf2@cfsc.com.cn 分析师：杨斐然 S1050524070001 yangfr@cfsc.com.cn 事件 4 月制造业 PMI 为 49.0，环比下降 1.5；非制造业 PMI 4 月 环比下降 0.4 至 50.4；综合 PMI 下降 1.2 至 50.2，继续高于 临界点。经济扩张步伐有所放缓，但企业生产经营活动仍保 持扩张。 投资要点 ▌ 制造业：关税冲击下企业避险主动去库 1）供需方面，4 月生产指数下降 2.8 至 49.8；新订单指数下 降 2.6 至 49.2，其中新出口订单下降 4.3 至 44.7，内需相对 回升。食品、医药等行业供需两指数均位于 53.0 及以上，产 需较快释放；纺织服装、金属制品等行业供需两指数明显回 落，均低于临界点。 2）价格与利润方面，企业利润空间继续恶化受市场需求不足 和近期部分大宗商品价格持续下行等因素影响，主要原材料 购进价格指数和出厂价格指数分别为 47.0 和 44.8，分别比 上月下降 2.8 和 3.1。 3）不确定性令企业主动 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Hainan Huatie (603300.SH) [1] Core Viewpoints - The company has completed its transformation into a state-owned enterprise, which is expected to lower financing costs and enhance its market position [12] - The AI computing power leasing business is experiencing significant growth due to increased demand from domestic internet giants following export restrictions on NVIDIA H20 chips [7][8] - The company reported a revenue increase of 16.58% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with net profit rising by 21.72% [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 5.171 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.38%, while net profit decreased by 24.49% to 605 million yuan [5] - For Q1 2025, revenue reached 1.288 billion yuan, up 16.58% year-on-year, and net profit was 191 million yuan, an increase of 21.72% [5][6] Business Development - The company is expanding its AI computing power leasing business, which generated over 50 million yuan in revenue in Q1 2025 and over 1 billion yuan in net profit [6] - The engineering equipment leasing business is solid, with a significant increase in forklift rental rates from 8% to 84% [10] Strategic Partnerships and Market Position - The company has signed strategic cooperation agreements with key players in the computing power industry, enhancing its service offerings and market reach [11] - Following its transformation into a state-owned enterprise, the company has gained access to better financing options, including a credit rating of AA+ and low-interest bonds [12] Future Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 6.774 billion, 8.333 billion, and 9.366 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.45, 0.60, and 0.68 yuan [13][16]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [1]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated significant growth in revenue and profitability, with a 291.77% year-on-year increase in Q1 2025 revenue and a return to profitability with a net profit of 44.37 million yuan [4]. - The company is a leader in the MEMS gyroscope field, with a strong performance in various application areas, including high-end industrial, surveying, oil exploration, commercial aerospace, intelligent driving, and high-reliability sectors [5][6]. - The company has secured substantial orders, including contracts worth approximately 270 million yuan and 163.75 million yuan for gyroscopes and accelerometers, which are expected to positively impact operational performance [7][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 405 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.57%, and a net profit of 222 million yuan, up 34.33% [5]. - The company forecasts revenues of 628 million yuan, 881 million yuan, and 1.198 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.80, 1.07, and 1.43 yuan [9][11]. Product Development - The company has made significant advancements in MEMS gyroscopes and has introduced high-performance FM accelerometers, marking a breakthrough in the accelerometer field [6]. - The company is actively developing a range of pressure sensors to meet diverse market demands, including low-range and high-range products [6]. Market Position - The company has established a strong market presence with increasing penetration rates and a growing number of end customers across various sectors [5]. - The company is focusing on the automotive sector, with plans to develop six-axis chips for future applications and collaborations with automotive manufacturers [8].

2025 年 04 月 30 日 煤价承压但氧化铝原料环比走弱，业绩仍有支撑 —神火股份（000933.SZ）公司事件点评报告 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：傅鸿浩 | S1050521120004 | | --- | --- | | fuhh@cfsc.com.cn | | | 分析师：杜飞 | S1050523070001 | | dufei2@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2025-04-29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 16.98 | | 总市值（亿元） | 382 | | 总股本（百万股） | 2249 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 2243 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 13.2-24.44 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 617.64 | 市场表现 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 (%) 神火股份 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《神火股份（000933）：2024Q3 因煤价下跌、氧化铝成本上涨利润 同比小幅下降，但环比 Q2 改善》 2024-10-23 2、《神火股份（000933 ...

2025 年 04 月 30 日 养殖成本保持优势地位，产能规模有望延续增长 势头 | 基本数据 | 2025-04-29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 29.21 | | 总市值（亿元） | 153 | | 总股本（百万股） | 525 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 523 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 24.81-44.99 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 123.21 | 市场表现 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 (%) 神农集团 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《神农集团（605296）：成本优 势地位稳固，定增扩产维持独一档 负债率表现》2025-04-14 2、《神农集团（605296）：业绩实 现高增长，成本优势持续巩固》 2024-08-29 3、《神农集团（605296）：养殖成 本行业领先，出栏量快速增长》 2024-08-07 —神农集团（605296.SH）公司事件点评报告 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：娄倩 | S1050524070002 | | --- | --- | | louqian@cf ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 met expectations, with total revenue of 2.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 160 million yuan, up 11.9% year-on-year [2][6] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 660 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 48.23 million yuan, up 13.8% year-on-year [3][6] - The company is focusing on the human-shaped robot sector, establishing a joint venture to develop key components for humanoid robots [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 2.35 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 16.4% and a net profit of 160 million yuan, reflecting an 11.9% increase [2] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 660 million yuan, a 29.7% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 48.23 million yuan, up 13.8% [3] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 21.6%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [3] Product Segmentation - The company's revenue from automotive parts, automotive molds, and general equipment in 2024 was 1.91 billion, 200 million, and 160 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.7%, 182.7%, and 6.8% [2] - The gross margins for these segments were 20.8%, 47.7%, and 40.4%, with changes of +1.9, -22.2, and -2.0 percentage points year-on-year [2] Market Expansion - The company has been actively expanding into North American and European markets, securing multiple new project designations [2][6] - In 2024, the company achieved a production volume of over 17 million units in its core shell products, with a sales increase of 16.3% [6] Strategic Initiatives - The company is deepening its focus on the humanoid robot sector, planning to establish a joint venture for the development of planetary roller screws and ball screws [6] - The company aims to enhance its capabilities in core components such as screw bearings, reducers, micro motors, sensors, drivers, and controllers through partnerships and acquisitions [6] Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 3.12 billion, 3.99 billion, and 4.94 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 256 million, 316 million, and 390 million yuan [7][9]