证 券 研 报 公 司 研 2024 年 10 月 22 日 究 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------------|-----------------------------------------|-------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

证 2024 年 10 月 22 日 研 报 告 基本数据 2024-10-22 当前股价（元） 25.6 总市值（亿元） 264 总股本（百万股） 1029 流通股本（百万股） 699 52 周价格范围（元） 20.95-34.39 日均成交额（百万元） 308.81 公 司 研 究 Q3 业绩持续高增长，摩洛哥项目快速推进 —森麒麟（002984.SZ）公司事件点评报告 森麒麟发布三季度业绩报告：2024 年前三季度实现营业总收 入 63.4 亿元，同比增长 10.42%；实现归母净利润 17.26 亿 元，同比大增 73.72%。其中，2024Q3 单季度实现营业收入 22.30 亿元，同比增长 1.13%，环比增长 11.82%；实现归母 净利润 6.48 亿元，同比大增 67.48%，环比增长 13.04%。 投资要点 ▌ 轮胎业务保持高速增长，销量创历史新高 2024 年 1-9 月，公司半钢胎/全钢胎产量同比分别增长 14%/26%，销量同比分别增长 7%/30%，实现了产销双增，其 中以三季度数据最为亮眼。三季度海外轮胎需求持续回暖， 叠加二季度受海运延迟发货影响的部分产品业绩在三季度集 中体 ...

证 2024 年 10 月 22 日 研 报 告 研 究 究 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

Investment Rating - Buy (First Coverage) [2] Core Views - The company's profitability remains stable, with continuous R&D investment [2] - The company has diversified its business layout, with significant progress in both domestic and international markets [2] - The subsidiary WIKO has successfully entered the notebook market, marking a new growth area [2][3] - The company is expected to see strong revenue growth from 2024 to 2026, driven by its 3C business, new energy vehicle sales, and the notebook market [4] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, the company achieved revenue of RMB 51.052 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.63% [2] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was approximately RMB 977.64 million, a year-on-year decrease of 90.89% [2] - Gross profit margin was 2.53% in the first half of 2024, down 0.16 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Net profit margin was 0.03%, down 0.20 percentage points year-on-year [2] Business Segments - The company maintains deep cooperation with leading manufacturers such as Apple, Samsung, and Huawei, securing a leading position in the smart terminal sales market [2] - Apple business: The company is a core agent for Apple in China, with over 1,800 authorized stores and more than 1,000 authorized specialty stores [2] - Samsung business: The company is one of the largest national agents for Samsung in China, with 2,311 managed stores as of the first half of 2024 [2] - Huawei business: The company has optimized and upgraded authorized stores, with over 1,400 authorized stores and a presence in the new energy vehicle sales market [2] - International business: The company is steadily advancing its internationalization strategy, focusing on the mobile phone trade business and establishing a parallel export platform for cars [2] Subsidiary WIKO - WIKO successfully completed the trademark registration for HiMateBook in May 2024, marking its entry into the notebook market [2] - The company has launched the HiMateBook MASH-32 and NICG-16 models, which have passed certification by the China Quality Certification Center [3] - WIKO has also made significant progress in the smartphone market, with the Hi Enjoy 70 model achieving strong sales performance [3] Future Outlook - Revenue is expected to grow to RMB 107.876 billion in 2024, RMB 123.343 billion in 2025, and RMB 141.242 billion in 2026 [4] - EPS is forecasted to be RMB 0.08 in 2024, RMB 0.20 in 2025, and RMB 0.33 in 2026 [4] - The company's PE ratio is expected to be 166x in 2024, 63x in 2025, and 38x in 2026 [4] Financial Metrics - The company's ROE is projected to increase from 2.5% in 2024 to 9.8% in 2026 [6] - The net profit margin is expected to rise from 0.1% in 2024 to 0.3% in 2026 [6] - The company's asset-liability ratio is forecasted to remain stable at around 86% from 2024 to 2026 [6]

证 2024 年 10 月 21 日 研 报 行 研 究 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------|----------------------------------------------------|---------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

证 券 2024 年 10 月 21 日 研 究 报 告 基本数据 2024-10-21 当前股价（元） 43.22 总市值（亿元） 2362 总股本（百万股） 5465 流通股本（百万股） 3811 52 周价格范围（元） 31.64-49.35 日均成交额（百万元） 1060.76 公 司 研 究 回购专项贷款助力优化融资成本，回购方案稳步 推进 买入(维持) 事件 分析师：娄倩 S1050524070002 louqian@cfsc.com.cn 联系人：卫正 S1050124080020 weizheng2@cfsc.com.cn 市场表现 -20 0 20 40 60 (%) 牧原股份 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《牧原股份（002714）：Q3 业绩 增长预期兑现，养殖成本持续下 探》2024-10-10 2、《牧原股份（002714）：业绩实 现扭亏为盈，成本下降有望进一步 释放盈利空间》2024-08-04 —牧原股份（002714.SZ）公司事件点评报告 2024 年 10 月 20 日，牧原股份发布关于签署《专项贷款合 同》公告，近日与中信银行股份有限公司南 ...

证 券 研 报 行 研 2024 年 10 月 21 日 究 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------|-----------------|---------------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Feirongda (300602 SZ) [3][4] Core Views - Feirongda's Q3 2024 profit performance is in line with expectations, with significant growth in both consumer electronics and communication sectors [3][4] - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 is expected to reach approximately 3 422 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17% [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company for the first three quarters of 2024 is projected to be between 103 million yuan and 110 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 109 74% to 124% [4] Business Performance Consumer Electronics - The company benefits from the recovery in domestic consumer electronics demand, with increased market share and shipment volumes for mobile phones and laptops, leading to improved gross margins and profitability [4] Communication Sector - Feirongda has increased its market share in the communication sector, with released capacity and significantly improved gross margins, resulting in a year-on-year increase in profitability [4] New Energy Business - The company is actively expanding its new energy vehicle business, enhancing product competitiveness, and experiencing continuous growth in order volumes However, gross margins in the new energy sector have declined due to rising raw material prices, new customer onboarding, and new project sampling [4] - Orders for photovoltaic inverters and energy storage businesses have declined due to market conditions, with revenue falling short of expectations [4] Financial Forecasts - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 231 million yuan, 349 million yuan, and 456 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [4] - EPS is expected to be 0 40 yuan, 0 60 yuan, and 0 79 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [4] - The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 55, 37, and 28 times for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [4] Market Strategy - Feirongda focuses on major clients such as Huawei, Sungrow, Meta, Microsoft, and Lenovo, concentrating on core products like thermal management and electromagnetic shielding, and actively expanding product categories and customer base [4] - The company is strengthening its core competitiveness and exploring new areas such as liquid cooling [4]

证 2024 年 10 月 21 日 告 行 研 究 究 报 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------|-----------------|---------------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

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