Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and antimony industries [11]. Core Views - The report highlights that the recent announcement by Trump to impose tariffs on the EU has increased global economic uncertainty, which supports a bullish trend in gold prices. Central banks continue to purchase gold, indicating a sustained long-term bullish outlook [3]. - For copper and aluminum, while there is a short-term weakness in downstream operations, the long-term supply-demand dynamics are expected to remain tight, justifying a "Recommended" rating for both industries [11]. - Tin prices are expected to stabilize at a high level, with corporate profits projected to gradually increase, leading to a "Recommended" rating for the tin industry [11]. - Antimony prices are currently weak due to short-term demand decline, but long-term supply constraints are expected to support prices, hence a "Recommended" rating is maintained [11]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector (Shenwan) showed a monthly performance increase of 3.1%, a quarterly increase of 4.3%, and a yearly increase of 3.5%, outperforming the CSI 300 index [1]. Macroeconomic Indicators - China's real estate development investment from January to April decreased by 10.3%, while the industrial added value in April grew by 6.1%, exceeding expectations [4][28]. - The U.S. Markit Manufacturing PMI for May was reported at 52.3, significantly above the expected 49.9 [3][28]. Gold Market Data - The London gold price increased to $3342.65 per ounce, a rise of 3.48% from the previous week [32]. - SPDR Gold ETF holdings rose to 29.66 million ounces, an increase of 120,000 ounces [32]. Copper Market Data - LME copper closed at $9565 per ton, up by $52 from the previous week, while SHFE copper closed at 77,790 yuan per ton, down by 880 yuan [41]. - Domestic copper social inventory was reported at 139,900 tons, a decrease of 790 tons from the previous week [41]. Aluminum Market Data - Domestic electrolytic aluminum prices rose to 20,400 yuan per ton, an increase of 170 yuan [42]. - The operating rate of leading aluminum profile enterprises was reported at 56.0%, a slight decrease of 0.5 percentage points [42]. Tin and Antimony Market Data - Domestic refined tin prices were reported at 265,070 yuan per ton, a slight decrease of 370 yuan [43]. - Antimony ingot prices were reported at 220,500 yuan per ton, down by 2,000 yuan [43].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the chemical industry, including Sinopec, China National Petroleum, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation [10]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights significant price increases in products such as butadiene (up 19.15%), domestic naphtha (up 13.10%), and coal tar (up 10.94%), while products like liquid chlorine and sulfur experienced substantial declines [4][5][20]. - It suggests focusing on investment opportunities in import substitution, domestic demand, and high-dividend stocks due to the stabilization of international oil prices and easing of US-China tariff issues [6][21]. Summary by Sections Industry Tracking - International oil prices have shown volatility, with WTI and Brent prices at $61.53 and $64.78 per barrel, respectively, indicating a slight decline [6][23]. - The chemical industry is experiencing mixed performance across sub-sectors, with some like the tire and lubricant industries performing better than expected [7][22]. Price Movements - Notable price increases this week include butadiene (19.15%), domestic naphtha (13.10%), and coal tar (10.94%), while significant declines were seen in liquid chlorine (-71.43%) and sulfur (-61.30%) [4][5][20]. - The report emphasizes the need to monitor the price trends of key chemical products, as they reflect broader market conditions [20][31]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that are likely to benefit from import substitution, such as lubricant additives and specialty coatings, as well as those in the fertilizer and coal chemical sectors [8][22]. - It also highlights the attractiveness of high-dividend stocks in the oil sector, particularly the "three barrels of oil" companies, which are expected to maintain strong asset quality and dividend yields [8][22]. Company Focus and Earnings Forecast - Specific companies recommended for investment include Xinyangfeng, Senqilin, Ruifeng New Materials, and others, with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth and favorable price-to-earnings (PE) ratios [10].

2025 年 05 月 26 日 宇树格斗大赛展现机器人优秀稳定性，小米 YU7 发布有望延续 SU7 爆款节奏 推荐(维持) 投资要点 分析师：林子健 S1050523090001 linzj@cfsc.com.cn 行业相对表现 表现 1M 3M 12M 汽车(申万) 6.3 -1.1 34.6 沪深 300 2.5 -2.0 7.8 市场表现 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 (%) 汽车 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《汽车行业周报：特斯拉发布强 化学习视频，优必选、越疆等本体 企业与模型厂商达成合作》2025- 05-19 2、《汽车行业周报：恒而达收购磨 床企业 SMS 布局上游设备，吉利拟 全资私有化极氪内部整合加速》 2025-05-11 3 、 《 汽 车 行 业 周 报 ： 特 斯 拉 OptimusGen3 更新在即，上海车展智 能驾驶及智能座舱成行业焦点》 2025-04-28 ▌海内外催化共振，机器人机遇频现 特斯拉：更新速度趋于频繁，马斯克工作重心回归。本周特 斯拉展示 optimus 通过现实视频数据学习人类日常生活中动 作，快速推进 ...

2025 年 05 月 26 日 宇树格斗大赛展现机器人优秀稳定性，小米 YU7 发布有望延续 SU7 爆款节奏 推荐(维持) 投资要点 分析师：林子健 S1050523090001 linzj@cfsc.com.cn 行业相对表现 表现 1M 3M 12M 汽车(申万) 6.3 -1.1 34.6 沪深 300 2.5 -2.0 7.8 市场表现 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 (%) 汽车 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《汽车行业周报：特斯拉发布强 化学习视频，优必选、越疆等本体 企业与模型厂商达成合作》2025- 05-19 2、《汽车行业周报：恒而达收购磨 床企业 SMS 布局上游设备，吉利拟 全资私有化极氪内部整合加速》 2025-05-11 3 、 《 汽 车 行 业 周 报 ： 特 斯 拉 OptimusGen3 更新在即，上海车展智 能驾驶及智能座舱成行业焦点》 2025-04-28 ▌海内外催化共振，机器人机遇频现 特斯拉：更新速度趋于频繁，马斯克工作重心回归。本周特 斯拉展示 optimus 通过现实视频数据学习人类日常生活中动 作，快速推进 ...

2025 年 05 月 26 日 双融日报 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：固态电池、黄金、苹果链 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：31 分（较冷） 最近一年大盘走势 -5 0 5 10 15 20 (%) 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -15 相关研究 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（较冷） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 31 分，市场情绪处于"较冷"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1。 1、固态电池主题：第十七届深圳国际电池技术交流会与 博览会(CIBF2025)将于 5 月 15 日至 17 日在深圳举办。 CIBF2025 同期还将举办 CIBF2025 先进电池前沿技术研讨 会，主题为"绿色能源驱动未来"，会议涉及先进锂离子动力 电池技术、电池安全与测评、固态及新体系电池、大功率快 充技术、智能装备与制造数字孪生等内容。相关标的：海顺 新材(300501)、国轩高科(002074) 2、黄金主题：5 月以来，国际金价剧烈波动，大涨大 跌、震荡调整。此前，全球贸易战风险支撑金价，但中美经 贸高 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the food and beverage industry [8]. Core Insights - The white liquor sector is experiencing a market sentiment impact due to new regulations on government dining that restrict alcohol service, although the fundamental demand is expected to stabilize during the Dragon Boat Festival [5]. - The report highlights that Kweichow Moutai has the ability to navigate through economic cycles and is focusing on internationalization and youth engagement for long-term growth [5]. - The overall valuation of the liquor sector is considered low, with many companies engaging in stock buybacks and increasing dividends, indicating potential for capital inflow [5]. - In the mass consumer goods sector, companies like Anjuke Foods and Three Squirrels are shifting towards product-driven strategies and expanding their product lines, indicating strong growth potential [6][7]. Summary by Sections Industry News - Guizhou announced a 660 million yuan investment project in the liquor sector [16]. - The industrial added value of Guizhou's liquor and tea industry grew by 4.7% from January to April [16]. - Wine imports increased by over 26% in the same period [16]. Company News - Kweichow Moutai launched a new product, a 1.935L Moutai 1935 [16]. - Other companies like Shanxi Fenjiu and Yanghe are focusing on market expansion and addressing development challenges [16]. Key Company Feedback - The report provides earnings forecasts for key companies, with several companies like Luzhou Laojiao and Gujing Gongjiu receiving "Buy" ratings based on their earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios [9]. Industry Performance - The food and beverage sector has shown varied performance, with the liquor segment facing a slight decline in sentiment due to regulatory changes, while mass consumer goods are recovering [3][5]. Core Data Trends - The white liquor industry reported a cumulative production of 4.145 million tons in 2024, a decrease of 7.72% year-on-year, while revenue for the industry reached 756.3 billion yuan, an increase of 9.7% [34]. - The seasoning industry has seen significant growth, with the market size increasing from 259.5 billion yuan in 2014 to 592.3 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a CAGR of 9.6% [38].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the food and beverage industry [8] Core Views - The report highlights that the liquor sector is experiencing a temporary emotional impact due to new regulations on government dining, which restricts alcohol service. However, the fundamental demand for liquor is expected to stabilize during the Dragon Boat Festival, with a focus on maintaining market stability and long-term strategic positioning for companies like Moutai [5][6] - The report emphasizes the growth potential in the consumer goods sector, particularly for companies like Anjuke Foods and Three Squirrels, which are innovating and expanding their product lines to drive long-term growth [6][7] - The report notes that the overall valuation of the liquor sector is low, with many companies engaging in stock buybacks and increasing dividends, indicating potential for capital inflow as domestic policies are expected to support the sector [5][6] Summary by Sections Industry News - Guizhou announced a 660 million yuan investment project in the liquor sector [16] - The industrial added value of Guizhou's liquor and tea industry grew by 4.7% from January to April [16] - Wine imports increased by over 26% in the same period [16] Company News - Moutai launched a new product, a 1.935L Moutai 1935 [16] - Other companies like Fenjiu and Yanghe are focusing on market expansion and addressing development challenges [16] Key Company Feedback - The report provides earnings forecasts for key companies, indicating a positive outlook for major players in the liquor and consumer goods sectors, with several companies rated as "Buy" [9] Industry Performance - The food and beverage sector has shown varied performance, with liquor experiencing a decline of 7.72% in production year-on-year, while revenue for the liquor industry increased by 9.7% in 2023 [34][34] Market Trends - The report indicates a significant growth trend in the seasoning industry, with the market size increasing from 259.5 billion yuan in 2014 to 592.3 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a CAGR of 9.6% [38]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" investment rating for the company, marking its first coverage [9] Core Views - The company has demonstrated consistent performance with significant revenue and profit growth driven by both internal and external factors [5][6] - The tourism market is recovering, and the company is focusing on its core business strategy of becoming a "leisure tourism destination" [7][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 864 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 147 million yuan, a decrease of 3% [5] - For Q1 2025, total revenue reached 212 million yuan, up 55% year-on-year, with a net profit of 31 million yuan, an increase of 159% [5] Investment Highlights - The company has enhanced its scale through asset acquisitions, leading to substantial increases in revenue and profit [6] - The gross margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 49.43% and 50.05%, respectively, with net profit margins improving significantly in Q1 2025 due to new acquisitions and government subsidies [6] Market Strategy - The company is expanding its tourism projects, with visitor numbers increasing by 18% in 2024, and revenue from tourism services rising by 768% [7] - The company has successfully launched new tourism products and services, including luxury cruise offerings, and is exploring innovative business models [8] Earnings Forecast - The company aims to maintain steady growth, with projected EPS of 0.33, 0.39, and 0.46 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9] - The expected revenue growth rates for 2025 to 2027 are 57.2%, 13.7%, and 13.3% [11]

2025 年 05 月 25 日 首推债券——资产配置周报 分析师：罗云峰 S1050524060001 luoyf2@cfsc.com.cn 分析师：黄海澜 S1050523050002 huanghl@cfsc.com.cn 相关研究 1、《债券或逐步跌出交易机会—— 资产配置周报》2025-05-18 2、《5 月重回缩表——资产配置周 报》2025-05-11 3、《美国经济增速仍高于趋势水平 ——资产配置周报》2025-05-04 投资要点 ▌ 一、国家资产负债表分析 负债端。最新更新的数据显示，2025 年 3 月实体部门负债增 速录得 8.7%，前值 8.4%，符合我们之前的预期。预计 4 月实 体部门负债增速小幅反弹至 9.0%附近，以月末时点数衡量， 形成年内极值高点，5 月转而不再上升，后续重回缩表。按 照两会公布的财政计划，我们预计年底实体部门负债增速将 下降至 8%附近。金融部门方面，上周资金面边际上继续有所 收敛。2025 年政府工作报告中明确指出："使社会融资规 模、货币供应量增长同经济增长、价格总水平预期目标相匹 配"，这表明，稳定宏观杠杆率的大方向没有任何动摇，中 国仍然处于边 ...

—行业和风格因子跟踪报告 投资要点 ▌ 行业因子最新变动情况 2025 年 05 月 25 日 行业轮动因子指向内需和偏防御板块 上周大盘指数下破 3350，热点较少且无持续性。因子角度 来看资金流仍然聚焦于净买入口径，其次财报质量、估 值、短期分析师预期更有效。市场正处于热点匮乏时期， 出现新热点之前或将以主力资金净买入口径为主。动量反 转层面上期提及可以提前关注短期动量有效性的回升，本 期开始向二个月动量转移。财报质量因子继续偏向成长口 径，景气投资思路有效性继续小幅回升。 整体看行业轮动因子指向内需和防御板块：大盘成交金额 持续在 1.1 万亿以上，主题投资向上速度减缓，景气投资 反弹但反复，主力资金因子小幅回调，本期主力资金因子 行业选择农林牧渔、医药、非银行金融、有色金属、商贸 零售、消费者服务。长期分析师预期非银行金融、交通运 输、建材、消费者服务、家电、银行，空头无意义。短期 分析师预期指向非银行金融、消费者服务、钢铁、基础化 工、电力设备及新能源、机械。本期选择行业继续偏向内 需中的成长，继续关注低位消费短期反弹机会。 ▌ 定量行业推荐 基于权重分配，我们推荐内资主力资金流（25%）、细分因子 ...