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下游需求减弱业绩短期承压,碳监测龙头有望乘双碳之风起航
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Accumulate" [6][13]. Core Views - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for 2023, achieving 1.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 0.37%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 28.51% to 203 million yuan [4][6]. - The company has made significant advancements in technology and product offerings, including the development of a helium discharge ionization detector and the launch of new products such as explosion-proof gas chromatographs [5][14]. - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of downstream demand as the economy continues to recover, which may lead to improved performance in the coming years [5][15]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2023, the company achieved revenue of 563 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.33%, and a net profit of 81 million yuan, up 50.61% year-on-year [4]. - The company’s revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 1.625 billion yuan, 1.854 billion yuan, and 2.103 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 7.6%, 14.1%, and 13.4% respectively [6][17]. - The net profit forecasts for the same period are 225 million yuan, 279 million yuan, and 324 million yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 11%, 24%, and 16% [6][17]. Business Segment Performance - The ecological environment monitoring system, industrial process analysis system, and other businesses generated revenues of 1.21 billion yuan, 240 million yuan, and 58 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -5.53%, +42.16%, and +6.95% [14]. - The overall gross margin for the company was 41.41%, a decrease of 5.1 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to weak market demand and increased competition [14]. Market Outlook - The government has emphasized the need to enhance carbon emission statistics and verification capabilities, which is expected to drive growth in the carbon measurement sector [15]. - The company has formed strategic partnerships with several power generation groups to advance carbon emission measurement and monitoring, positioning itself to benefit from the expansion of the carbon market [15].
公司2023年年报业绩点评:海天精工:利润端增速快于收入端,产能&市场布局愈发完善
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-26 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the market [7][12]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading domestic CNC machine tool manufacturer, with accelerated development in overseas markets [3][19]. - The company achieved a revenue of 3.32 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.59%, while the net profit reached 609 million yuan, up 17.06% year-on-year [15][16]. - The report highlights the company's focus on product innovation and market expansion, particularly in the high-end CNC machine tool sector [18][19]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, the company reported revenues of 3.32 billion yuan, with a net profit of 609 million yuan, and a cash dividend distribution of 141 million yuan to shareholders [3][15]. - The revenue breakdown by product shows that the CNC gantry machining center generated 1.70 billion yuan, accounting for 51.21% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 31.21% [3][4]. - The company’s gross profit margin improved to 29.94% in 2023, an increase of 2.63 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin rose to 18.34%, up 1.95 percentage points year-on-year [4][15]. Market Outlook - The CNC machine tool industry is expected to benefit from macroeconomic support and favorable policies aimed at promoting industrial development, which will create new market opportunities [19]. - The company is actively enhancing its production capacity and expanding its product range to meet the growing demand in both domestic and international markets [18][19].
电子行业点评:地平线拟赴港上市,国产自动驾驶芯希望
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-26 16:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业点评 电子 2024年03月27日 地平线拟赴港上市,国产自动驾驶 电子 芯希望 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 [ 投Tab 资le_ 要Su 点mm :ar y] 陈蓉芳 资格编号:S0120522060001 事件:3月26日,自动驾驶芯片头部企业地平线向港交所递交招股书;此前,3月 邮箱:chenrf@tebon.com.cn 22 日,黑芝麻智能亦再次向港交所提交了主板上市申请;至此,地平线、黑芝麻 智能两大国产自动驾驶芯片企业均有望上市获得进一步成长。 市场表现 2021-2023年,地平线营收持续高速增长,毛利率水平稳定在70%左右,2023年 电子 沪深300 同比减亏。营收方面,2021年、2022年、2023年公司分别创造营收4.67、9.06、 15% 7% 15.52 亿元;2022 年及 2023 年分别同比增长 94.1%及 71.3%。分业务来看,公 0% 司营收主要由汽车产品解决方案和非车解决方案构成,汽车解决方案主要由产品解 -7% -15% 决方案和授权及服务构成。2021-2023年,汽车产品解决方案下的产品解决方案分 ...
铜产量突破百万大关,旗舰矿山蓄势


Tebon Securities· 2024-03-26 16:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 紫金矿业(601899.SH) 2024年03月26日 紫金矿业(601899.SH):铜产 买入(维持) 所属行业:有色金属/工业金属 量突破百万大关,旗舰矿山蓄势 当前价格(元):15.53 投资要点 证券分析师 翟堃 事件:公司发布2023年年度报告。公司全年实现营收2934亿元,同比+8.54%; 资格编号:s0120523050002 实现归母净利211亿元,同比+5.38%;实现扣非归母净利216亿元,同比+10.68%; 邮箱:zhaikun@tebon.com.cn 经营性净现金流 369 亿元,同比增长 28.5%。全年矿产品毛利率为49.09%,同 张崇欣 比下降5.20个百分点,公司全年铜C1成本和黄金AISC成本均位于全球前20% 资格编号:S0120522100003 分位,矿产品毛利率下降主要原因是成本上升,包含人民币汇率贬值因素、入选品 邮箱:zhangcx@tebon.com.cn 位下降、燃料、电力成本及生产辅料等价格上涨、采剥运输距离增加,以及低品位 研究助理 矿山产量提升拉高平均成本等原因;全年综合毛利率为 15. ...
23年盈利能力改善驱动业绩增长,新签高增支撑未来成长
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-26 16:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 中材国际(600970.SH) 2024年03月27日 买入(维持) 中材国际(600970.SH):23 年盈利能力改善 所属行业:建筑装饰/专业工程 驱动业绩增长,新签高增支撑未来成长 当前价格(元):10.89 证券分析师 投资要点 闫广 资格编号:S0120521060002 事件:2024 年 3 月 26 日,公司发布 2023 年年度报告,23 年公司实现营收约 邮箱:yanguang@tebon.com.cn 457.99亿元,同比+6.94%,实现归母净利润约29.16亿元,同比+14.74%,实现 王逸枫 扣非归母净利润约26.77亿元,同比+26.84%。单季度来看,23Q4公司实现营收 资格编号:S0120524010004 约142.89亿元,同比+11.34%,环比+30.37%,实现归母净利润约9.14亿元,同 邮箱:wangyf6@tebon.com.cn 比+34.48%,环比+44.22%,实现扣非归母净利润约6.71亿元,同比+28.88%, 研究助理 环比-1.86%。公司拟向全体股东每10股派发现金红利4.00 ...
产能提升,矿山再发展
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-26 16:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 恒邦股份(002237.SZ) 2024 年 03 月 27 日 所属行业:有色金属/贵金属 当前价格(元):10.50 翟堃 市场表现 -26% -17% -9% 0% 9% 17% 恒邦股份 沪深300 相关研究 恒邦股份(002237.SZ):产能 提升,矿山再发展 贵金属量价齐升及硫酸价格下行构成公司业绩变动的主要原因。贵金属方面,2023 年公司贵金属产品量价齐升。从产量来看,公司 2023 年共完成黄金产量 73.88 吨, 较上年同期增加 58.02%;白银产量 952.47 吨,较上年同期增加 15.38%。此外, 公司黄金产品产能有进一步提升,从 2022 年的 50 吨提升至 2023 年的 98.33 吨。 从产品价格来看,2023 年黄金以及白银的价格分别为 449.91 元/克、5.56 元/克, 分别同比提升 14.7%、17.8%。硫酸方面,2023 年硫酸价格为 237.05 元/吨,较 2022 年同比下滑 58.0%,受硫酸价格下滑影响,公司硫酸业务利润有所下滑,毛 利润为-1.62 亿元。 投资建议。公司冶炼业务及自产 ...
23年业绩超预期,静待妆字新品放量+医美获批
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-26 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of HKD 35.24 billion in 2023, representing a growth of 49.0%, and a net profit of HKD 14.52 billion, up by 44.9%, exceeding expectations primarily due to the growth in e-commerce channels [5] - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory with projected revenues of HKD 46.64 billion, HKD 59.02 billion, and HKD 72.47 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, alongside net profits of HKD 17.64 billion, HKD 22.00 billion, and HKD 27.01 billion [5][8] Revenue and Profit Performance - In 2023, the company's gross margin was 83.6%, slightly down by 0.76 percentage points, while the net profit margin was 41.1%, down by 1.27 percentage points [5] - The sales expense ratio increased to 33.0%, up by 3.17 percentage points, due to high sales expenses from e-commerce channel investments [5] Brand and Product Development - The company's two main brands, 可复美 and 可丽金, have shown significant growth, with 可复美 achieving a revenue of HKD 27.88 billion, up by 72.9% [5] - The product matrix has been enhanced with new launches, including collagen milk and creams, expanding into repair and deep cleansing categories [5] E-commerce Channel Growth - The direct-to-consumer (DTC) online sales reached HKD 21.55 billion, a growth of 77.5%, accounting for 61.2% of total revenue [6] - The company has seen substantial growth in its online channels, with significant increases in GMV across platforms like Tmall and JD [6] Future Outlook - The company aims to strengthen its R&D investments and expand its product offerings to solidify its position as a leader in collagen skincare [5][6] - The projected P/E ratios for the upcoming years are 22X, 18X, and 14X for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [5][8]
宏观ABC系列之一:利率体系与传导机制新特征
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-26 16:00
Group 1: Interest Rate System Overview - China's interest rate system consists of two main chains: the deposit and loan interest rate system and the financial market interest rate system, with banks acting as intermediaries[13] - The deposit interest rate marketization adjustment mechanism was established in 2022, transitioning from a benchmark to a reference system based on market rates[14] - The central bank's open market operation rates, including reverse repo and MLF rates, serve as policy anchors for financial market pricing[15] Group 2: Recent Trends and Changes - Since 2022, major state-owned banks have lowered their one-year fixed deposit rates to between 1.45% and 1.48%, marking the first time these rates fell below the benchmark[29] - The one-year LPR has been reduced nine times since the 2019 reform, with a cumulative decrease of 80 basis points, currently standing at 3.45%[55] - The LPR is not necessarily bound to the MLF rate; structural changes in the LPR pricing mechanism can lead to independent adjustments[57] Group 3: Implications for Banks - The pressure on net interest margins has led banks to expect a reduction in deposit rates, which could effectively lower their funding costs[6] - A reduction in deposit rates may be a more effective way to drive down LPR than a decrease in MLF rates, as banks may lower their spreads in response to deposit rate changes[16] - The connection between government bond yields and deposit rates is crucial, as the deposit rate adjustment mechanism requires reference to the 10-year government bond yield and the one-year LPR[5]
2023年收入业绩快速增长,国际化战略持续推进
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-26 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][3] Core Insights - The company reported a rapid revenue growth in 2023, achieving an operating income of 10.57 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 52%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 810 million yuan, up 71% year-over-year [3] - The company is actively expanding its customer base, focusing on high-end foreign and joint venture brands, and has secured projects for new vehicle models [3] - The company is also diversifying its product offerings by expanding into new categories such as exterior parts, and is continuing its internationalization strategy with significant investments in Slovakia and the United States [3] Financial Performance - In Q4 2023, the company achieved an operating income of 3.25 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 46%, and a net profit of 240 million yuan, up 57% year-over-year [3] - The comprehensive gross margin for 2023 was 20.0%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points year-over-year, while the net profit margin was 7.6%, up 0.8 percentage points year-over-year [3] - The company expects net profits for 2024-2026 to be 1.131 billion, 1.454 billion, and 1.722 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18.89, 14.70, and 12.41 [3][5] Market Position and Strategy - The company is deepening its engagement with domestic brand passenger car clients and expanding into the electric vehicle market, partnering with notable brands such as Ideal, Geely, and BYD [3] - The report highlights the company's strong cost control and leading profitability in the industry, which positions it well for future growth [3] - The company is increasing its production capacity both domestically and internationally, aiming to enhance its global market share [3]
业绩高增,发展可期
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-25 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in operating profit of 2.1 billion yuan for 2023, up 29.79% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.4 billion yuan, an increase of 26.79% year-on-year [4] - Rising gold prices have positively impacted the company's performance, with gold prices increasing from 392.21 yuan/gram in 2022 to 449.91 yuan/gram in 2023 [4] - The company has a strong cost advantage, with production costs for gold, silver, lead, and zinc being 176.42 yuan/gram, 2.34 yuan/gram, 8022.34 yuan/ton, and 7777.03 yuan/ton respectively, allowing it to mitigate risks associated with price fluctuations [4] - The company has substantial resource reserves and clear growth plans, targeting gold production of 12 tons by 2025 and 28 tons by 2030, with resource reserves expected to reach 600 tons [4][5] Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 8.106 billion yuan in 2022, with projections of 9.142 billion yuan in 2023 and 9.905 billion yuan in 2024 [6] - The net profit is projected to grow to 2.48 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit margin increasing from 19.3% in 2022 to 29.6% in 2025 [7] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.51 yuan in 2023 to 1.09 yuan in 2025 [7] Market Comparison - The company's absolute growth rate was 14.82% in March 2023, outperforming the market index [2] - The relative growth rate compared to the market index was 13.79% in March 2023, indicating strong market performance [2]