Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Add" [1] Core Insights - The report indicates that the port thermal coal spot price has decreased by 31 CNY/ton week-on-week, closing at 672 CNY/ton. The average daily inflow to the four ports in the Bohai Rim region is 1.6071 million tons, a decrease of 30,000 tons or 1.83% from the previous week. Meanwhile, the average daily outflow has increased by 64,600 tons or 4.22% to 1.5963 million tons. The inventory at the ports has risen to 29.872 million tons, an increase of 220,000 tons or 0.74% from the previous week. The overall inventory trend is upward, with limited demand release leading to a decline in coal prices [1][2][27][32]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,963.68 points, up 46 points or 1.18% week-on-week. The coal sector index closed at 2,772.29 points, down 29 points or 1.03% with a trading volume of 37.2 billion CNY, a decrease of 5.6 billion CNY or 13% from the previous week [10]. 2. Domestic Coal Prices - As of December 26, the price of 5500 kcal thermal coal in Datong remained stable at 550 CNY/ton, while the price in Inner Mongolia was stable at 430 CNY/ton. The price of 6000 kcal thermal block coal in Yanzhou increased by 130 CNY/ton to 1,110 CNY/ton. The port thermal coal price has decreased by 31 CNY/ton to 672 CNY/ton [16][19]. 3. Inventory and Shipping - The average daily inflow to the Bohai Rim ports has decreased, while the outflow has increased. The average daily outflow is 1.5963 million tons, up 4.22%, and the average daily inflow is 1.6071 million tons, down 1.83%. The total inventory at the ports has increased to 29.872 million tons, up 0.74% [27][32]. 4. Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on insurance capital inflows and maintaining positive growth in premium income, with a preference for resource stocks. It recommends specific thermal coal stocks such as Haohua Energy and Guanghui Energy due to their low valuations and elastic performance [2][37].

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观周报 金融产品周报 20251228 聚焦主线板块，关注 ETF 组合推荐 2025 年 12 月 28 日 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 事件 ◼ 基金配置建议： 证券分析师 芦哲 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 唐遥衎 执业证书：S0600524120016 tangyk@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《25Q3 美国 GDP：过时的数据，过度 的反应——美国 2025 年三季度 GDP 数据点评》 2025-12-24 《2026 年转债策略：从收益增强转向 风险平衡》 2025-12-22 东吴证券研究所 1 / 18 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ A 股市场行情概述：（2025.12.22-2025.12.26） ◼ 权益类 ETF 基金规模变化统计：前三名的权益类 ETF 类型：规模指数 ETF（832.92 亿元），主题指数 ETF（73.08 亿元），行业指数 ETF（16.61 亿元）。前三名的 ETF 产品：中证 A500ETF（115.41 亿元），A500ETF 南 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report presents a weekly analysis of the large refining and chemical industry, covering data on key domestic and foreign refining projects, the polyester, refining, and chemical sectors, as well as performance and profit forecasts of relevant listed companies [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Big Refining Weekly Data Briefing - **Stock Price and Market Performance**: The report tracks the stock price changes of six major private refining and chemical companies in the past week, month, three - month, and one - year periods. For example, from 2025/12/26, Rongsheng Petrochemical had a weekly increase of 12.1%, a monthly increase of 16.4%, a three - month increase of 16.9%, and a one - year increase of 21.6% [8]. - **Profit Forecast**: It provides profit forecasts for these six companies from 2024 to 2027, including归母净利润, PE, and PB. For instance, Hengli Petrochemical's 2024A归母净利润 was 7044 million yuan, and it is expected to reach 10657 million yuan in 2027E [8]. - **Oil Prices and Refining Spreads**: International crude oil prices (Brent and WTI) showed an increase this week. The average price of Brent was 61.7 dollars/barrel, with a week - on - week increase of 2.7%. The average price of WTI was 57.7 dollars/barrel, with a week - on - week increase of 2.5%. The spread of domestic refining projects was 2640.2 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 0.1%. The spread of foreign refining projects was 1254.1 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 3.5% [8]. - **Polyester Sector**: - **Upstream Products**: The average price of PX was 903.0 dollars/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 64.4 dollars/ton. The average price of MEG was 3616.4 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 19.3 yuan/ton. The average price of PTA was 4990.0 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 345.0 yuan/ton [10]. - **Polyester Filament**: The average prices of POY, FDY, and DTY increased, but their profits decreased. For example, the average price of POY was 6385.7 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 92.9 yuan/ton, but the profit per ton decreased by 130.9 yuan. The inventory of FDY decreased by 8.2 days, and the inventory of DTY decreased by 3.0 days [10]. - **Short Fiber and Bottle Chip**: The average price of polyester short fiber was 6404.3 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 137.1 yuan/ton, and the profit per ton decreased by 101.5 yuan. The average price of polyester bottle chip was 5900.0 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 224.3 yuan/ton, and the profit per ton decreased by 42.7 yuan [10]. - **Downstream Products**: The inventory of weaving enterprises increased by 0.2 days, and the operating rate decreased by 2.2 percentage points [10]. - **Refining Sector**: The prices of gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene in China and the US decreased this week, while in Europe, the prices of gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene showed a mixed trend, and in Singapore, the prices of gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene decreased [10]. - **Chemical Sector**: The prices and spreads of various chemical products changed. For example, the price of EVA photovoltaic material decreased by 339 yuan/ton, and the price of LLDPE decreased by 197 yuan/ton [10]. 3.2 Big Refining Weekly Report - **Big Refining Index and Project Spread Trends**: The report may analyze the trends of the big refining index and the spreads of key domestic and foreign refining projects, but specific analysis content is not provided [12]. - **Polyester Sector**: It includes the price, profit, inventory, and operating rate of various products in the polyester industry chain, as well as the relationship between polyester filament and downstream weaving operating rates [12]. - **Refining Sector**: It analyzes the price and spread changes of refined oil products in different regions such as China, the US, Europe, and Singapore [12]. - **Chemical Sector**: It presents the price and spread changes of various chemical products [12].

Group 1: Market Predictions - A-shares are expected to continue an upward trend, with a new volatility center established in 2026[7] - The rotation between growth and value styles will be crucial for trading success in 2026[12] - In the first half of 2026, the technology growth style is anticipated to lead, with a broadening trend in growth stocks[17] Group 2: Sector and Investment Trends - AI-related products, such as AI glasses, may replicate the growth seen in TWS earphones post-2019[25] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" will drive investment in emerging industries, including quantum technology and hydrogen energy[28] - Commodity prices are expected to reach a mid-term peak in the second quarter of 2026[31] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve is projected to cut interest rates 1-2 times in the first half of 2026, then halt cuts in the second half[39] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) negative range is expected to continue narrowing, indicating potential economic recovery[42] - Risks include slower-than-expected economic recovery and geopolitical events that could impact market stability[3]

证券研究报告·行业深度报告·电子 电子行业深度报告 AI 基建，光板铜电—光&铜篇 主流算力芯片 Scale up&out 方案全解析 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 产业链相关公司： 光芯片：长光华芯、源杰科技、仕佳光子等 铜缆：华丰科技、兆龙互连、沃尔核材等 ◼ 风险提示：算力互联需求不及预期，客户拓展及份额提升不及预期，产 品研发及量产落地不及预期，行业竞争加剧 -15% -8% -1% 6% 13% 20% 27% 34% 41% 48% 2024/12/27 2025/4/27 2025/8/26 2025/12/25 电子 沪深300 相关研究 《从云端算力国产化到端侧 AI 爆发， 电子行业的戴维斯双击时刻——电子 行业 2026 年投资策略》 2025-12-10 2025 年 12 月 27 日 证券分析师 陈海进 执业证书：S0600525020001 chenhj@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 解承堯 执业证书：S0600125020001 xiechy@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 《Credo 营收超预期&Marvell 收 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the retail industry [1] Core Insights - The implementation of the new duty-free policy in Hainan since November 1 has led to a significant increase in duty-free sales, with a year-on-year growth rate of 27.1% in November [4][9] - Following the closure of the island on December 18, the duty-free market in Sanya has seen a surge, with sales exceeding 1 billion yuan for five consecutive days, and a total sales amount of 5.35 billion yuan from December 18 to 22, marking a 50.3% year-on-year increase [4][9] - The average transaction value for duty-free sales in November 2025 reached 7,227 yuan, a 41% increase compared to the same period last year [4][10] - The report suggests monitoring companies that benefit from the duty-free policy, including China Duty Free Group, Hainan Airlines Group, and Wangfujing [4][10] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The retail industry has shown a positive trend with the duty-free sales in Hainan experiencing a notable increase post-policy implementation [4][9] - The average price of high-value items like gold and smartphones has decreased significantly compared to mainland prices, contributing to higher average transaction values [4][10] Market Performance - The retail index increased by 10.00% year-to-date, while the broader market indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 18.26% [11][12] Company Valuation Table - The report includes a valuation table for various companies in the retail sector, highlighting their market capitalization and projected earnings [18][19]

绿色债券周度数据跟踪 （20251222-20251226） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 观点 ◼ 一级市场发行情况： 本周（20251222-20251226）银行间市场及交易所市场共新发行绿色债券 28 只，合计发行规模约 227.61 亿元，较上周增加 16.51 亿元。发行年限 多为 3 年；发行人性质为中央国有企业、央企子公司、地方国有企业、 大型民企；主体评级多为 AAA、AA+级；发行人地域为上海市、内蒙古 自治区、浙江省、湖北省、广东省、贵州省、北京市、重庆市、江西省、 甘肃省、天津市、山西省；发行债券种类为交易商协会 ABN、企业 ABS、 商业银行普通债、一般公司债、超短期融资券、中期票据、定向工具 （PPN）、私募公司债。 证券研究报告·固定收益·固收点评 固收点评 20251227 ◼ 二级市场成交情况： 本周（20251222-20251226）绿色债券周成交额合计 645 亿元，较上周减 少 156 亿元。分债券种类来看，成交量前三为非金公司信用债、金融机 构债和利率债，分别为 302 亿元、298 亿元和 50 亿元；分发行期限来 看，3Y 以下绿色债 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance industry [1] Core Views - The insurance industry showed improvement in premium growth for both life and non-life insurance in November, with a positive outlook for the "New Year" performance in life insurance [1] - The report highlights a narrowing decline in life insurance premiums, with a year-to-date original premium of CNY 44,206 billion, up 9.2% year-on-year, and a scale premium of CNY 49,969 billion, up 8.4% year-on-year [6] - The health insurance sector also saw a year-on-year premium increase of 3.3% in November, indicating a long-term growth potential in the market [6] - Non-life insurance premiums increased by 2.3% year-on-year in November, with improvements in both auto and non-auto insurance segments [6] - The report anticipates continued strong market demand and an optimistic outlook for new premium growth and new business value (NBV) growth, supported by favorable product pricing compared to bank deposits [6] Summary by Sections Life Insurance - November saw a single-month original premium of CNY 1,548 billion, with a year-on-year decline of 2.4%, which is an improvement from the previous month [6] - The report expects strong demand for insurance products in 2026, with a continued increase in the proportion of participating insurance products, which will help optimize liability costs [6] Health Insurance - Health insurance premiums for the year-to-date increased by 2.4%, with November showing a 3.3% year-on-year growth, reflecting a positive trend [6] - The report suggests that regulatory policies may further stimulate growth in long-term health insurance products [6] Non-Life Insurance - Non-life insurance premiums reached CNY 16,157 billion year-to-date, up 3.9% year-on-year, with November premiums at CNY 1,248 billion, marking a 2.3% increase [6] - The report notes that the growth in auto insurance premiums has turned positive, with a year-to-date increase of 3.1% [6] - The report anticipates that the implementation of "reporting and operation integration" in non-auto insurance may create short-term pressure on premium growth but will improve overall profitability in the long term [6] Market Outlook - The report indicates that both liability and asset sides are improving, with significant upside potential in valuations [6] - The current valuation of the insurance sector is at historical lows, with expected PEV ratios between 0.67-1.0 and PB ratios between 1.31-2.17 [6]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the industry investment rating in the report 2. Core View of the Report - The report presents a weekly data tracking of secondary - capital bonds from December 22, 2025, to December 26, 2025, covering primary - market issuance, secondary - market trading, and valuation deviation of individual bonds [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Primary - Market Issuance - During the week from December 22, 2025, to December 26, 2025, 8 new secondary - capital bonds were issued in the inter - bank and exchange markets, with a total issuance scale of 53.15 billion yuan. The issuance term was 10 years, and the issuers included local state - owned enterprises, private enterprises, other enterprises, and central financial enterprises. The issuer regions were Sichuan, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Beijing, and Hunan, and the subject ratings were AA +, AA -, A +, and AAA [1] 3.2 Secondary - Market Trading - **Trading Volume**: The total weekly trading volume of secondary - capital bonds was approximately 272.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 1 billion yuan compared to the previous week. The top three bonds in terms of trading volume were 25 Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 03A(BC) (19.41 billion yuan), 25 China Construction Bank Secondary Capital Bond 03BC (9.691 billion yuan), and 25 Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 01BC (8.304 billion yuan). By issuer region, the top three in trading volume were Beijing (about 217.1 billion yuan), Shanghai (about 19.3 billion yuan), and Guangdong (about 10 billion yuan) [2] - **Yield to Maturity**: As of December 26, for 5Y secondary - capital bonds, the yield - to - maturity changes of AAA -, AA +, and AA - rated bonds compared to the previous week were 1.19BP, 0.00BP, and 0.00BP respectively; for 7Y bonds, the changes were - 1.05BP, - 1.52BP, and - 1.52BP; for 10Y bonds, the changes were - 1.92BP, - 0.95BP, and - 0.95BP [2] 3.3 Valuation Deviation of Top 30 Individual Bonds - **Overall Situation**: The overall valuation deviation of the weekly average trading price of secondary - capital bonds was not significant. The proportion of discount transactions was less than that of premium transactions, but the discount magnitude was greater than the premium magnitude [3] - **Discount Bonds**: The top three bonds with the highest discount rates were 22 Shengjing Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (- 0.5385%), 24 Chang'an Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (- 0.4596%), and 25 Jilin Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (- 0.3868%). The Zhongzheng implied ratings were mainly AAA -, AA, and AA +, and the regions were mainly Beijing, Tianjin, and Guangdong [3] - **Premium Bonds**: The top three bonds with the highest premium rates were 23 Huaxing Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (0.3868%), 22 China Construction Bank Secondary Capital Bond 02B (0.2792%), and 23 Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 01B (0.2319%). The Zhongzheng implied ratings were mainly AAA -, AA, and AA -, and the regions were mainly Beijing, Shanghai, and Sichuan [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Conant Optical (02276.HK), indicating a positive outlook for investment [1]. Core Insights - Conant Optical is a leading global manufacturer of lenses, with significant growth potential in the smart glasses market. The company has established a strong position in the resin lens sector and is expanding its international presence [11][70]. - The lens industry is experiencing steady growth, driven by increasing demand for corrective lenses among children and the elderly, as well as the rising popularity of smart glasses. The market for high-refractive lenses is expected to grow significantly [30][40]. - The company has a robust business model, with a mature sales network covering over 90 countries, and is well-positioned to benefit from the upcoming boom in the smart glasses sector [11][70]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Conant Optical is a leading resin lens manufacturer in China, with production bases in Shanghai, Jiangsu, and Japan. The company has been actively expanding its smart glasses business and has established partnerships with several global technology giants [11][70]. - The company has a concentrated shareholding structure, with the founder holding 44.33% and GoerTek as the second-largest shareholder with 20.03%. This collaboration is expected to enhance the company's capabilities in the XR (Extended Reality) sector [13]. 2. Industry Growth - The global lens market is projected to grow from $4.5 billion in 2020 to $6.2 billion by 2024, with a CAGR of 8.3%. The Chinese lens market is also expanding, with sales expected to reach 20.72 billion yuan by 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 11.5% [31][35]. - The demand for functional lenses, such as blue light blocking and anti-fatigue lenses, is increasing due to changing consumer needs. The market for high-refractive lenses is still underdeveloped in China, presenting significant growth opportunities [46]. 3. Financial Performance - The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a CAGR of 17.2% from 2020 to 2024, and net profit growth at a CAGR of 35.2% during the same period. The gross margin has improved from 35.0% in 2020 to 41.0% in the first half of 2025 [18][26]. - The company's revenue for 2023 is projected at 1.76 billion yuan, with net profit expected to reach 327.02 million yuan, indicating a solid financial outlook [1]. 4. Smart Glasses Market Potential - The smart glasses market is at a critical turning point, with major tech companies like Alibaba and Amazon entering the space. The demand for smart glasses is expected to surge, with global shipments projected to reach 20 million units by 2028 [59][61]. - Traditional lens manufacturers are well-positioned to benefit from this trend, as the need for high-refractive lenses in smart glasses increases. The integration of advanced technologies in smart glasses is expected to enhance the value of lens products [66][67].