Group 1: Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - No information provided about the industry investment rating in the report Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the primary market, 15 green bonds were newly issued in the inter - bank and exchange markets from January 12 to January 16, 2026, with a total issuance scale of about 9.561 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.365 billion yuan from the previous week. The issuance terms are mostly 3 - year and 5 - year, and the issuers are mainly central enterprise subsidiaries, local state - owned enterprises, and large private enterprises, with most of the subject ratings being AAA and AA+ [1]. - In the secondary market, the weekly trading volume of green bonds from January 12 to January 16, 2026, totaled 64.8 billion yuan, an increase of 7.1 billion yuan from the previous week. Non - financial corporate credit bonds, financial institution bonds, and interest - rate bonds had the top three trading volumes. Green bonds with a term of less than 3 years had the highest trading volume, accounting for about 84.38%. The industries with the top three trading volumes were finance, public utilities, and transportation equipment, and the regions with the top three trading volumes were Beijing, Guangdong, and Hubei [2]. - From January 12 to January 16, 2026, the overall deviation of the weekly average trading price valuation of green bonds was not large. The discount trading amplitude was smaller than the premium trading amplitude, and the proportion of discount trading was greater than that of premium trading [3]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Primary Market Issuance - 15 green bonds were newly issued with a total scale of about 9.561 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.365 billion yuan from the previous week. The issuance terms were mostly 3 - year and 5 - year. Issuers included central enterprise subsidiaries, local state - owned enterprises, and large private enterprises, with subject ratings mainly being AAA and AA+. Issuers were from Guangdong, Zhejiang, Shanghai, Beijing, Guangxi, Hunan, and Jiangsu. The bond types included enterprise ABS, private corporate bonds, general corporate bonds, and medium - term notes [1]. Secondary Market Trading - The weekly trading volume was 64.8 billion yuan, an increase of 7.1 billion yuan from the previous week. By bond type, non - financial corporate credit bonds, financial institution bonds, and interest - rate bonds had the top three trading volumes of 29 billion yuan, 26.5 billion yuan, and 7 billion yuan respectively. By issuance term, bonds with a term of less than 3 years had the highest trading volume, accounting for about 84.38%. By issuer industry, finance, public utilities, and transportation equipment had the top three trading volumes of 31 billion yuan, 11.8 billion yuan, and 3.4 billion yuan respectively. By issuer region, Beijing, Guangdong, and Hubei had the top three trading volumes of 21.2 billion yuan, 7.6 billion yuan, and 4.7 billion yuan respectively [2]. Valuation Deviation of the Top 30 Individual Bonds - The overall deviation of the weekly average trading price valuation was not large. The discount trading amplitude was smaller than the premium trading amplitude, and the proportion of discount trading was greater than that of premium trading. - For discount bonds, the top three discount rates were G20 Ji'an 1 (- 2.9131%), 24 Yuezu G2 (- 1.4942%), and 25 Shuineng (- 1.0577%). The main subject industries were steel, finance, and public utilities, with ChinaBond implicit ratings mainly being AA, AA+, and AAA+. The regions were mainly Shanghai, Guangdong, and Guangxi. - For premium bonds, the top three premium rates were 25 Fudi Leasing ABN001 Priority (Green) (46.9921%), 20 Yichun Venture Capital Green Bond (0.9221%), and 24 Xinyang G1 (0.9098%). The main subject industries were construction, finance, and steel, with ChinaBond implicit ratings mainly being AA, AA+, and AAA-. The regions were mainly Guangdong, Shanghai, and Hubei [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The supply side of the spandex industry is nearing the end of capacity expansion, and the elimination of outdated capacity is expected to improve industry prosperity [4][9] - The demand for spandex is robust due to its excellent performance and wide application, with a CAGR of 11% in apparent consumption from 2017 to 2024 [4][19] - The competitive landscape shows that China is a major producer of spandex, with a high industry concentration, as indicated by a CR5 of 84% by the end of 2025 [4][22] Supply Side Summary - As of the end of 2025, China's spandex capacity is 1.44 million tons/year, with an industry operating rate of 85% [4] - The industry has been experiencing a continuous oversupply from 2022 to 2025, with an average annual operating rate between 70%-80% [4][24] - Major spandex producers include Huafeng Chemical (400,000 tons/year), Xiaoxing Spandex (246,000 tons/year), and others, indicating a significant head effect in the industry [4][24] Demand Side Summary - Spandex is often referred to as the "MSG of textiles," significantly enhancing the performance and quality of fabrics even in small proportions [4][19] - The demand for spandex is expected to grow rapidly as its application range and blending ratio in textiles expand [4][19] Competitive Landscape Summary - China's spandex production capacity accounts for 79% of the global total, with a production capacity of 1.375 million tons in 2024 [22] - The industry is characterized by fierce competition, with many companies operating at a loss due to low overall operating rates [22][24] Price Review and Outlook Summary - As of January 15, 2026, the price of spandex in China is 23,000 yuan/ton, with a price difference of 10,864 yuan/ton [4][28] - The price of spandex has been under pressure due to oversupply, but the report anticipates a recovery in prices as outdated capacity is eliminated [27][31] Investment Targets Summary - Key investment targets in the spandex industry include Huafeng Chemical, Xinxiang Chemical Fiber, and Taihe New Materials, each with varying capacities and profitability levels [33][47] - Huafeng Chemical is noted for its significant market share and cost advantages, while Xinxiang Chemical Fiber is expanding its capacity despite market fluctuations [47][56]

观点 证券研究报告·固定收益·固收点评 固收点评 20260116 耐普转 02：矿山耐磨新材料领域先行者 2026 年 01 月 16 日 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 事件 证券分析师 李勇 执业证书：S0600519040001 010-66573671 liyong@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 陈伯铭 执业证书：S0600523020002 chenbm@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《债市逆风中的生存法则：历史调整 对当前的启示》 2026-01-14 《周观：股债跷跷板效应凸显，宽松 基调下曲线陡峭》 2026-01-12 东吴证券研究所 1 / 11 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 耐普转 02（123265.SZ）于 2026 年 1 月 16 日开始网上申购：总发行规 模为 4.50 亿元，扣除发行费用后的募集资金净额用于秘鲁年产 1.2 万吨 新材料选矿耐磨备件制造项目。 ◼ 当前债底估值为 118.90 元，YTM 为 2.97%。耐普转 02 存续期为 6 年, 中证鹏元资信评估股份有限公司资信评级为 A+/A+，票面面值为 100 元，票面 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a narrowing decline in Q4 revenue, with expectations for profit margins in 2025 to exceed forecasts [1] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, increasing them to 2.68 billion, 2.86 billion, and 3.05 billion RMB respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 17, 16, and 15 [1] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 27.6 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 6.96% - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is expected to be 3.19 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 21.58% - The latest diluted EPS for 2023 is estimated at 1.23 RMB, with a P/E ratio of 14.43 [1][8] Operational Insights - In Q4, the company's overall retail revenue (excluding young segment) saw a low single-digit year-on-year decline, with offline and e-commerce channels experiencing middle single-digit and flat year-on-year changes respectively [1] - The company opened its first outdoor store and "Dragon Store" in November and December 2025, respectively, targeting new customer segments [1] - The company aims to improve profitability by closing loss-making stores and enhancing cost efficiency [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.33 to 1.51 billion RMB in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 64% to 86% [8] - The growth is driven by the increasing penetration of hybrid vehicles, expansion into overseas markets, and steady growth in the traditional fuel vehicle sector [8] - The company is the only domestic supplier of wet paper-based friction plates for passenger vehicles, benefiting from the trend of domestic substitution [3][8] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is projected to grow from 206.56 million RMB in 2023 to 433.80 million RMB in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 38.78% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase from 49.18 million RMB in 2023 to 137.39 million RMB in 2025, reflecting a CAGR of 69.53% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.87 RMB in 2023 to 2.43 RMB in 2025 [1] Market Expansion and Product Development - The company is expanding its product applications beyond passenger and commercial vehicles to include special vehicles, ships, and low-altitude aircraft [3] - The introduction of the new electronic control limited-slip differential (ELSD) is anticipated to significantly enhance vehicle stability and safety, particularly for new energy vehicles [3] - The global electronic differential market is projected to grow from 4.22 billion USD in 2024 to 11.14 billion USD by 2032, indicating a substantial market opportunity for the company [3] Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 95.28 in 2023 to 34.11 in 2025, indicating an improving valuation as earnings grow [1] - The company’s market capitalization is approximately 4.68 billion RMB, with a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 8.56 [6]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电网设备 思源电气（002028） 2025 年业绩快报点评：业绩大超预期，稳步 迈进 next level 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 12,460 | 15,458 | 21,205 | 29,560 | 39,025 | | 同比（%） | 18.25 | 24.06 | 37.18 | 39.40 | 32.02 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,559 | 2,049 | 3,163 | 4,523 | 6,059 | | 同比（%） | 27.75 | 31.42 | 54.35 | 43.01 | 33.96 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 2.00 | 2.62 | 4.05 | 5.79 | 7.76 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 84.66 | 64.42 | 41.74 | 29.18 | 21.79 | [Table_Ta ...

Group 1: Financial Data Overview - In December 2025, the new social financing (社融) was 220.75 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 646.2 billion RMB[1] - The total social financing for 2025 was 3.56 trillion RMB, an increase of 334 billion RMB compared to the previous year[1] - By the end of 2025, the stock of social financing grew by 8.3% year-on-year[1] Group 2: Loan and Financing Trends - In December 2025, RMB loans increased by 910 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 80 billion RMB[2] - Corporate loans rose by 1.07 trillion RMB, an increase of 580 billion RMB year-on-year[2] - The proportion of direct financing (including corporate bonds and stock financing) in new social financing reached 46.92%, up by 5.08 percentage points from 2024[1] Group 3: Monetary Supply and Policy - By the end of 2025, M1 grew by 3.8% year-on-year, while M2 increased by 8.5%[3] - The gap between M2 and M1 expanded to 4.70%[3] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) implemented a targeted interest rate cut of 0.25 percentage points, reducing the one-year re-lending rate to 1.25%[4] Group 4: Economic Outlook and Risks - The PBOC indicated that there is still room for further interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio (RRR) reductions in 2026[6] - The demand for loans is expected to improve, with corporate bond financing showing strong performance[6] - Risks include potential impacts from overseas economic policies and the transmission of easing effects from a series of incremental policies[7]

Macro Strategy - The report discusses the impact of RMB appreciation on exports, suggesting that RMB exchange rate is more a result of export recovery rather than a cause [8] - Historical data shows that during previous RMB appreciation periods, export growth remained stable, indicating that exchange rate fluctuations do not significantly hinder export performance [8] - The report highlights that the competitive advantage of Chinese exports is increasingly driven by technological barriers rather than price advantages, as the structure of exports continues to optimize [8] Fixed Income - The report analyzes the bond market dynamics from 2016 to 2018, noting that the primary driver of the bear market was policy tightening, which led to a significant rise in short-term interest rates [12] - Current conditions differ as long-term rates are rising due to economic recovery expectations, while short-term rates remain low, suggesting that a repeat of the 2017 bear market is unlikely [12] - Historical examples indicate that a bear market typically requires both rising short-term rates and liquidity tightening, which is not present in the current environment [12] Company Analysis Dazhu CNC (301200) - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 7.85-8.85 billion RMB in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 160.64% to 193.84% [13] - The growth is driven by accelerated expansion in AI PCB production and increased demand for high-end PCB equipment [13] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards due to strong market demand, with a projected net profit of 8.4 billion RMB in 2025 [13] Changjiang Power (600900) - The company reported a net profit of 341.67 billion RMB for 2025, a 5.14% increase year-on-year, driven by stable power generation growth [15] - The report indicates that the company’s revenue is supported by increased electricity sales from its hydropower stations [15] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 341.67 billion RMB for 2025, reflecting a slight downward revision due to expected declines in electricity prices [15] CITIC Securities (600030) - The company achieved a net profit of 300.5 billion RMB in 2025, marking a 38% increase year-on-year, supported by a vibrant market trading environment [16] - The report highlights the company's strong position in the equity underwriting market, with significant growth in IPO and refinancing activities [16] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised upwards, with expected net profits of 301 billion RMB in 2025 [16]

Investment Rating - The report recommends a positive investment outlook for the machinery equipment industry, particularly focusing on companies with high export potential and strong growth prospects in overseas markets [3][10]. Core Insights - The report identifies three major opportunities for machinery equipment exports: the Belt and Road Initiative driving demand in resource-rich countries, strong demand recovery in Europe and the US, and the shift from capacity export to technology export in high-end manufacturing [3][4][5]. - Key companies recommended for investment include SANY Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and Hengli Hydraulic in the engineering machinery sector, and Jerry Holdings and Neway in the oil service sector [3][4][5][67]. Summary by Sections Belt and Road Initiative - Investment in oil, gas, and mineral resources in resource-rich countries is accelerating, driving demand for domestic equipment and expanding global market share [3]. - The engineering machinery sector is expected to benefit from rising prices of non-ferrous metals and increased capital expenditure by mining companies, leading to higher demand for high-margin excavators [3][10]. European and American Demand - The report highlights a recovery in overseas production capacity and macroeconomic recovery, focusing on high-quality targets with significant exposure to European and American markets [4]. - Key recommendations include leading Chinese hand tool exporter Juxing Technology and companies in the industrial forklift sector such as Hangcha Group and Anhui Heli [4]. High-End Manufacturing Export - The shift from capacity export to technology export is emphasized, with Chinese equipment manufacturers leveraging their advantages to enhance export ceilings [5]. - Companies involved in the production of optical module equipment, lithium battery equipment, and photovoltaic equipment are highlighted as key players, with specific recommendations for firms like Meiwai and Aotewi [5]. Engineering Machinery Export - The report anticipates a new upward cycle for overseas engineering machinery demand starting in 2025, driven by recovery in global demand and increased capital expenditure in mining and infrastructure [10][11]. - Key companies with established overseas operations and competitive advantages in mining and large infrastructure projects are expected to benefit significantly [10][11]. Oil Service Market - The Middle East is identified as a core market for oil service companies, with high certainty for growth due to stable capital expenditure and strong demand [67][69]. - Recommended companies include Jerry Holdings, which has a comprehensive international certification system and strong project execution capabilities, and Neway, which has a significant presence in the aftermarket service sector [67][69].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2025 is projected to be 85.882 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.64%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 34.167 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5.14%, aligning with market expectations. The growth is primarily driven by an increase in electricity sales from six hydropower stations and a reduction in financial costs [1][7] - The company emphasizes shareholder returns with a proposed cash dividend of 0.21 yuan per share for the first nine months of 2025, amounting to a total cash dividend of 5.138 billion yuan, which represents an 18% payout ratio [7] - The report highlights that the ten-year government bond yield remains low, creating a favorable environment for dividend-paying stocks like the company. The expected dividend yield for 2026 is 3.83%, with a spread of 1.98% over the ten-year bond yield, indicating potential for dividend growth [7] Financial Summary - The total revenue forecast for 2023 is 78.144 billion yuan, increasing to 87.609 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.64% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 27.245 billion yuan in 2023 to 36.431 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 5.14% [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 1.11 yuan in 2023 to 1.49 yuan in 2027, indicating a steady increase in profitability [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to decrease from 24.09 in 2023 to 18.01 in 2027, suggesting an improving valuation over time [1][8]