Core Viewpoints - The report reiterates the focus on "price increase" opportunities due to current market conditions, including geopolitical disturbances and upcoming quarterly reports, suggesting that sectors with price increase expectations are the most certain investment opportunities [1][2][3] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The current price increase trend is similar to that of 2020-2021, driven by global monetary easing and structural supply-demand mismatches in various industries, such as the semiconductor sector affected by pandemic-induced demand shifts [2][3] - The semiconductor industry, particularly storage, is experiencing price increases due to AI demand, with potential future impacts from tightened rare earth exports affecting supply chains [2][3] Metal Sector Precious Metals - Gold and silver are seen as strategic assets, with gold benefiting from geopolitical instability and central bank purchases, while silver has both precious and industrial metal attributes, showing strong price support due to supply-demand gaps [4][6] Minor Metals - Prices for cobalt, tungsten, antimony, and rare earths are expected to rise due to export restrictions and increasing demand from downstream industries, with cobalt's price expected to rise following changes in export regulations [6][8] Chemical Sector - The PTA industry is anticipated to recover as major players seek to improve profitability through potential production cuts, while pesticide prices, particularly glyphosate, have seen significant increases [7][8] Semiconductor Sector - The storage chip market is entering a growth phase driven by recovering consumer electronics and unexpected AI server demand, leading to price hikes across various storage products [8][9] New Energy Sector Battery and Raw Materials - The demand for energy storage and power batteries is surging, with rising raw material costs pushing up battery prices, particularly for lithium iron phosphate and electrolyte [9][10] Wind Power - The wind power sector is witnessing a rebound in bidding prices due to industry self-regulation and increased global demand for wind installations [11][12] Photovoltaic Silicon - The multi-crystalline silicon industry is seeing a reduction in effective capacity due to policy-driven supply-side adjustments, moving towards a more balanced supply-demand scenario [12] Copper Clad Laminate - The demand for copper clad laminate is increasing due to rising capital expenditures from major internet companies, leading to price increases from manufacturers [13] Diesel Generators/UPS Lead-Acid Batteries - The demand for diesel generators and UPS lead-acid batteries is growing rapidly due to the expansion of data centers, with supply constraints leading to price increases [14]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Yum China (09987.HK) for the first time [1]. Core Views - Yum China is a leading player in the Western-style dining sector, demonstrating strong operational resilience and a diversified brand portfolio, including KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell [11][17]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing non-Chinese fast food segment in China, with a market share of 7.5% in the domestic chain dining sector as of 2024 [46]. - The report anticipates steady revenue growth and profitability improvements, with projected revenues of $12.02 billion, $12.76 billion, and $13.50 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [1][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Yum China operates in three main segments: Western fast food, Chinese restaurants, and coffee shops, with KFC being the primary revenue driver [11][17]. - As of H1 2025, the number of KFC and Pizza Hut outlets in China reached 12,238 and 3,864, respectively [11]. 2. Market Position and Growth - The Chinese dining service market is projected to reach ¥54,730 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 8.48% from 2020 to 2024 [34]. - The fast food segment is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.94% during the same period, indicating a robust growth trajectory for Yum China [38]. 3. Competitive Advantages - KFC's global store count is expected to reach 32,000 by 2024, supported by a strong brand identity and innovative product offerings [61]. - The company has a stable shareholding structure and an experienced management team, enhancing its strategic execution capabilities [14]. 4. Financial Projections - The report forecasts revenues of $12.02 billion, $12.76 billion, and $13.50 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with corresponding net profits of $951.62 million, $1.02 billion, and $1.09 billion [1][4]. - The projected P/E ratios for 2025 and 2026 are 16.79x and 15.71x, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation [1].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [1]. Core Insights - The petrochemical industry is expected to benefit from the recently introduced stable growth plan, positioning the company as a leading private refining enterprise [8]. - The company is projected to recover its profitability as the industry moves away from excessive competition and implements stable growth policies [8]. - The company has a strong partnership with Saudi Aramco, which will enhance raw material supply stability and expand sales channels [8]. Financial Projections - Total revenue is forecasted to be 325,112 million RMB in 2023, with a slight increase to 326,475 million RMB in 2024, followed by a decline to 311,311 million RMB in 2025 [1]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to drop significantly to 724.48 million RMB in 2024, before rebounding to 1,899.02 million RMB in 2025 and reaching 4,091.34 million RMB by 2027 [1]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.12 RMB in 2023, decreasing to 0.07 RMB in 2024, and then increasing to 0.41 RMB by 2027 [1]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company operates a world-class integrated refining and chemical project with significant processing capabilities, allowing it to adapt to market conditions effectively [8]. - The company’s product structure is flexible, and its technology is mature and reliable, representing the most advanced levels globally [8]. - The company is enhancing its competitive edge through strategic collaborations and technological advancements in key product areas [8].

Group 1 - The report predicts that the index will maintain a fluctuating upward trend in October, supported by positive overseas market performance and domestic monetary policy adjustments [1][2] - The focus remains on high-quality development sectors, particularly technology growth, as indicated by recent government articles emphasizing economic policy [2][3] - The report highlights the importance of macroeconomic factors over valuation metrics in determining market trends, especially in the context of the current weak dollar environment [2][3] Group 2 - The investment strategy emphasizes a core focus on self-sufficient chip production, alongside sectors benefiting from price increases and favorable market conditions [3][4] - The recommended stocks include companies like Haiguang Information, Kunlun Wanwei, and Zhaoyi Innovation, which are positioned to benefit from the ongoing trends in technology and AI [4][9] - The report outlines financial projections for the recommended stocks, indicating expected growth in revenue and net profit for the years 2025 to 2027 [67] Group 3 - Haiguang Information is expected to see steady growth in CPU and DCU product revenues due to the domestic push for AI capabilities [12][13] - Kunlun Wanwei is advancing its AI business across the entire industry chain, with significant developments in AI applications and models [15][16] - Zhaoyi Innovation is projected to achieve substantial revenue growth driven by its competitive position in the NOR and DRAM markets, particularly benefiting from the AI wave [20][21] Group 4 - Aerospace Electronics is positioned for rapid growth in the commercial aerospace sector, focusing on satellite internet and drone systems [31][32] - High Energy Environment is benefiting from rising metal prices and a stable resource recycling operation, with significant profit contributions expected [36][37] - Northern Huachuang is set to gain from increased domestic equipment adoption and the expansion of semiconductor production lines [42][43] Group 5 - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical is accelerating its internationalization process with a robust pipeline of innovative drugs, expected to yield significant licensing revenues [54][55] - Ningde Times is projected to maintain strong growth in battery production, driven by increasing demand in energy storage and electric vehicles [58][59] - Shanghai Washba is focusing on solid-state battery technology, with anticipated significant profit growth from its recent acquisitions and expansions [63][64]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents a weekly data tracking of secondary - capital bonds from September 29, 2025, to October 10, 2025, covering primary - market issuance, secondary - market trading, and valuation deviation of individual bonds [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Primary - Market Issuance - One new secondary - capital bond was issued in the inter - bank and exchange markets, with a scale of 1.2 billion yuan, a 10 - year term, the issuer being a local state - owned enterprise in Hebei Province with an AA+ credit rating [1]. 3.2 Secondary - Market Trading 3.2.1 Trading Volume - The total weekly trading volume of secondary - capital bonds was approximately 44.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 185.4 billion yuan from the previous week. The top three bonds in terms of trading volume were 22 Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 04A (1.808 billion yuan), 25 Agricultural Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 03B(BC) (1.23 billion yuan), and 25 Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 01BC (1.219 billion yuan) [2]. - By the issuer's region, the top three regions in terms of trading volume were Beijing (about 30 billion yuan), Shanghai (about 4.7 billion yuan), and Zhejiang (about 3.1 billion yuan) [2]. 3.2.2 Yield to Maturity - As of October 10, for 5 - year secondary - capital bonds, the yield - to - maturity changes of AAA -, AA+, and AA - rated bonds compared to the previous week were - 2.57BP, - 4.00BP, and - 2.00BP respectively; for 7 - year bonds, the changes were 0.18BP, 0.84BP, and 0.84BP respectively; for 10 - year bonds, the changes were 3.73BP, 3.74BP, and 3.74BP respectively [2]. 3.3 Valuation Deviation of Top 30 Individual Bonds - The overall valuation deviation of the weekly average trading price of secondary - capital bonds was not significant. The proportion of discount transactions was greater than that of premium transactions, and the discount amplitude was smaller than the premium amplitude. - Among the discount bonds, the top three with the highest discount rates were 24 Sichuan Bank Secondary Capital Bond (- 0.4401%), 23 Hankou Bank Secondary Capital Bond 02 (- 0.4225%), and 22 Ningbo Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (- 0.3864%). The implied ratings of ChinaBond were mainly AAA -, AA+, and AA, and the bonds were mostly from Beijing, Shanghai, and Zhejiang [3]. - Among the premium bonds, the top three with the highest premium rates were 24 Yangzhou Rural Commercial Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (0.5852%), 25 Mintai Commercial Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (0.5313%), and 25 Luzhou Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (0.5006%). The implied ratings of ChinaBond were mainly AAA -, AA+, and AA, and the bonds were mostly from Beijing, Zhejiang, and Tianjin [3].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents a weekly data tracking of green bonds from September 29, 2025, to October 10, 2025, covering primary market issuance, secondary market trading, and valuation deviation of the top 30 individual bonds [1][2][3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Primary Market Issuance - **Number and Scale**: A total of 11 green bonds were newly issued in the inter - bank and exchange markets, with a total issuance scale of approximately 15.25 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.724 billion yuan compared to the previous week [1]. - **Issuance Terms**: Most issuance terms were 3 years [1]. - **Issuer Nature**: Issuers included local state - owned enterprises, large private enterprises, and central financial enterprises [1]. - **Subject Ratings**: Most subject ratings were AAA and AA+ [1]. - **Issuer Regions**: Issuers were from Guangdong, Beijing, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Henan [1]. - **Bond Types**: Bond types included medium - term notes, commercial bank ordinary bonds, enterprise ABS, and ABN of the National Association of Financial Market Institutional Investors [1]. Secondary Market Trading - **Total Turnover**: The weekly turnover of green bonds was 41.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 28.5 billion yuan compared to the previous week [2]. - **By Bond Type**: The top three in trading volume were non - financial corporate credit bonds (22.9 billion yuan), financial institution bonds (14.4 billion yuan), and interest - rate bonds (3.9 billion yuan) [2]. - **By Issuance Term**: Green bonds with a term of less than 3 years had the highest trading volume, accounting for approximately 88.62% [2]. - **By Issuer Industry**: The top three industries in trading volume were finance (16.2 billion yuan), public utilities (9.7 billion yuan), and transportation equipment (1.5 billion yuan) [2]. - **By Issuer Region**: The top three regions in trading volume were Beijing (15.9 billion yuan), Guangdong (4.1 billion yuan), and Hubei (4 billion yuan) [2]. Valuation Deviation of the Top 30 Individual Bonds - **Overall Situation**: The overall valuation deviation of the weekly average trading price of green bonds was not significant. The discount trading amplitude was smaller than the premium trading amplitude, and the discount trading proportion was greater than the premium trading proportion [3]. - **Discount Bonds**: The top three discount bonds were 20 Yichun Venture Capital Green Bond (-0.4666%), GC Sanxia K2 (-0.4627%), and 24 China Power GN003 (Carbon - Neutral Bond) (-0.1594%). The subject industries were mainly finance, public utilities, and energy, and the regions were mainly Guangdong, Beijing, and Tianjin [3]. - **Premium Bonds**: The top three premium bonds were 25 Rongwang G1 (0.7270%), 19 Tianjin 32 (0.3605%), and 25 Xiangyu GN010 (0.3512%). The subject industries were mainly finance, construction, and transportation, and the regions were mainly Beijing, Zhejiang, and Jiangsu [3].

证券研究报告·行业点评报告·保险Ⅱ 保险Ⅱ行业点评报告 非车险"报行合一"落地，预计推动行业盈 利表现改善 增持（维持） 2025 年 10 月 10 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 曹锟 执业证书：S0600524120004 -17% -13% -9% -5% -1% 3% 7% 11% 15% 2024/10/10 2025/2/8 2025/6/9 2025/10/8 保险Ⅱ 沪深300 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 相关研究 《推动健康险高质量发展，分红型健 康险产品将回归市场》 2025-09-30 《保险行业 8 月保费：寿险单月保费 强势增长，财险非车业务短期承压》 2025-09-26 东吴证券研究所 1 / 4 ◼ 【事件】10 月 10 日，金监总局发布《关于加强非车险业务监管有关事 项的通知》，就非车险业务强化监管要求，新规自 11 月 1 日起执行。 ◼ 优化考核机制由追求规模、速度向追求质量、效益转变。1）新规范围 包括车险以外的其他财险业务，农险和出口信用保险另有规定的 ...

Macro Strategy - The report highlights that the overseas market during the National Day holiday was dominated by two major events: the U.S. government shutdown and the unexpected election of Kishi Nobuo as the president of the Liberal Democratic Party in Japan. The government shutdown led to increased risk aversion and a rise in expectations for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, while Kishi's victory raised expectations for "loose fiscal and monetary" policies in Japan, driving gold and Bitcoin to new historical highs [1][17]. Fixed Income - The report indicates that there was no new issuance of secondary capital bonds in the interbank and exchange markets during the week of September 22-26, 2025. However, the total transaction volume of secondary capital bonds reached approximately 229.9 billion yuan, an increase of 52.1 billion yuan compared to the previous week [2]. - In the green bond market, 23 new green bonds were issued during the same week, with a total issuance scale of approximately 30.974 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.414 billion yuan from the previous week. The total transaction volume of green bonds was 70.3 billion yuan, an increase of 9.9 billion yuan compared to the previous week [3]. Banking Sector - The report analyzes the bond investment pressure and outlook for the banking sector, noting that the actual bond investment income of 42 listed banks in the first half of 2025 was approximately 1.42 trillion yuan, a slight increase of 3.82% compared to the same period in 2024. The growth was primarily driven by investment income, while coupon income faced downward pressure in a declining interest rate environment [4][6]. - Different types of banks showed varied performance, with state-owned banks experiencing relatively controllable pressure due to their significant bond allocation and liquidity advantages. In contrast, joint-stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks faced greater challenges in maintaining profitability in bond investments [6]. Energy Equipment Industry - The report emphasizes the strong demand for energy storage, predicting a growth rate of 30-40% in large-scale energy storage in China due to the gradual introduction of compensation electricity prices. The global energy storage installation CAGR from 2025 to 2028 is expected to be 30-50% [8]. - In the lithium battery sector, production in September slightly exceeded previous expectations, with a further 10% increase in October. The report anticipates continued price increases in Q4 due to supply constraints [8]. Automotive Sector - The report notes that in September, the domestic delivery of 15 major new energy vehicle companies reached 877,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 15%. Key players like Xpeng, Xiaomi, and Great Wall all surpassed 40,000 units for the first time [10]. - The automotive sector is entering a new phase where electric vehicle benefits are waning, and the focus is shifting towards intelligent vehicles. Investment opportunities are identified in AI smart cars and related technologies [10]. Semiconductor Industry - The report highlights that Chiplet technology and its applications are a strategic focus for the company, which has been developing this technology for five years. The company is leading in the fields of AIGC and intelligent driving systems [16]. - The company expects significant revenue growth from its semiconductor IP licensing and custom chip design business, with a strong order backlog and a focus on various processing IPs [16].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company, Tehai International, serves as the overseas listing platform for Haidilao, leading the expansion of Chinese cuisine internationally. It aims to enhance its global store layout and accelerate the internationalization of Chinese dining [6][11]. - The overseas hot pot market is projected to reach a scale of $30 billion, supported by over 60 million overseas Chinese, with local consumers also contributing to brand expansion [6][41]. - Tehai International is positioned as the largest Chinese dining brand in international markets, leveraging its strong brand presence and operational capabilities [6][47]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Tehai International operates as the overseas platform for Haidilao, with 122 stores globally as of 2024, focusing on direct operations and local product offerings [11][12]. - The company has achieved significant revenue growth, with a projected revenue of $778.31 million in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.07% [1][6]. Industry Overview - The report highlights that the internationalization of Chinese cuisine is timely, with Tehai International being a key player in this trend. The company is expected to benefit from the growing acceptance of hot pot among local consumers [6][37]. - The international Chinese dining market is characterized by low concentration, providing opportunities for growth, especially for standardized offerings like hot pot [6][45]. Competitive Advantages - Tehai International is recognized as the leading hot pot brand, with a robust operational framework and supply chain management that supports its international expansion [6][56]. - The company has optimized its store model, reducing the average return period to 5.1 years, and is enhancing customer engagement through localized services and cultural events [6][31]. Financial Analysis - The financial projections indicate a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 50.6% for net profit from 2025 to 2027, with expected profits of $49.45 million in 2025 [1][6]. - The report anticipates a steady increase in the number of overseas stores, reaching 149 by 2027, further solidifying the company's market position [6][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is expected to recover its main business performance and stabilize its orders, with a target of 220-230 billion yuan in orders for 2025, showing a significant increase in overseas orders [7] - The company is the only global manufacturer capable of delivering a complete line of solid-state battery production equipment, which has gained recognition from major clients in Europe, America, Japan, and South Korea [7] - The stock option incentive plan aims to bind team interests and attract core talent in new technology fields, particularly in solid-state battery research and development [7] - The company has set ambitious revenue growth targets of at least 20% for 2025 and 2026, with performance assessments based on these targets [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to be 11,855 million yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of -28.71%, and is expected to recover to 19,000 million yuan by 2027, with a growth rate of 19.87% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 286.10 million yuan in 2024, with a significant rebound to 2,484 million yuan by 2027 [1][8] - The latest diluted EPS is expected to be 0.18 yuan in 2024, increasing to 1.59 yuan by 2027 [1][8] - The current price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to be 340.60 in 2024, decreasing to 39.23 by 2027 [1][8]