Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The convertible bond market was mainly volatile this week (0908 - 0912), with valuations hovering at high levels. High - priced bonds were better than medium - priced ones, and medium - priced were better than low - priced. Small - cap bonds were better than mid - cap ones, and mid - cap were better than large - cap [1][35] - The opportunities in the current convertible bond market are highly structured, rooted in the highly structured equity market. The technology - themed (core is AI computing power) market has not effectively driven the rotation and supplementary rise of the cyclical sectors due to the relatively lagging marginal improvement of the overall economic fundamentals [1][35] - The market index may show a pattern of grinding at the top and oscillating. The CSI Convertible Bond Index has risen by more than 30% since the low in August 2024, and the parity premium rate has increased by about 8 - 12 pct during the same period. In the short term, the rise of medium - and low - priced cyclical targets is slow and the elasticity is low, and the strong redemption demand of high - priced thematic targets will suppress the further rise of the index. In the long term, the index's oscillation center may move up [1][36] - In the short - term strategy, it is still not recommended to significantly reduce positions, but the structure needs to be adjusted. Reduce high - volatility technology - themed targets and increase the proportion of balanced targets to control drawdowns, and increase the allocation proportion of cyclical sectors such as non - ferrous metals, lithium batteries, and chemicals in the medium - and low - price ranges [1][36] Group 3: Summary According to the Directory 1. Week - on - Week Market Review 1.1 Equity Market Overall Rise, Most Industries Rise - From September 8th to September 12th, the equity market overall rose. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.52%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 2.65%, the ChiNext Index rose 2.10%, and the CSI 300 rose 1.38%. The average daily trading volume of the two markets decreased by about 2708.96 billion yuan to 22986.80 billion yuan compared with last week, a week - on - week decrease of 10.54% [6][9] - Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 25 industries closed up, with 11 industries rising more than 2%. Electronics, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, media, non - ferrous metals, and steel led the gains, rising 6.15%, 4.81%, 4.27%, 3.76%, and 3.72% respectively. Banking, petroleum and petrochemicals, pharmaceutical biology, social services, and household appliances led the losses [13] 1.2 Convertible Bond Market Overall Rise, Some Industries Rise - From September 8th to September 12th, the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.43%. Among the 29 Shenwan primary industries, 13 industries closed up, with 3 industries rising more than 2%. Food and beverage, non - ferrous metals, electronics, communications, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery led the gains, rising 5.78%, 3.12%, 2.52%, 1.72%, and 1.51% respectively. Media, petroleum and petrochemicals, non - bank finance, household appliances, and banking led the losses [15] - The average daily trading volume of the convertible bond market this week was 869.91 billion yuan, a significant reduction of 59.05 billion yuan, a week - on - week change of - 6.36%. The top ten convertible bonds in terms of trading volume had an average trading volume of 102.49 billion yuan, and the first - ranked one reached 174.00 billion yuan. About 53.29% of individual bonds rose, about 25.17% of individual bonds rose in the 0 - 1% range, and 18.14% of individual bonds rose more than 2% [15] - The overall market conversion premium rate continued to decline this week, with an average daily conversion premium rate of 36.11%, a decrease of 0.59 pct compared with last week. In terms of price ranges, except for bonds below 90 yuan, the average daily conversion premium rates of bonds in other price ranges widened. In terms of parity ranges, the situation was similar [21] - 20 industries' conversion premium rates widened, with 9 industries widening by more than 2 pcts. Household appliances, media, petroleum and petrochemicals, national defense and military industry, and pharmaceutical biology led the widening. 23 industries' parity increased, with 17 industries increasing by more than 2% [25][29] 1.3 Comparison of Stock and Bond Market Sentiments - This week, the weekly weighted average and median of the convertible bond and underlying stock markets were positive, and the underlying stocks had a larger weekly increase. The trading volume of the underlying stock market increased more significantly and was at a higher quantile level. More underlying stocks closed up, and the individual underlying stocks could achieve higher returns. Overall, the trading sentiment of the underlying stock market was better this week [32] - On different trading days, the trading sentiment of the underlying stock market was better on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, while the trading sentiment of the convertible bond market was better on Thursday and Friday [33] 2. Outlook and Investment Strategy - The convertible bond market may show a pattern of grinding at the top and oscillating in the short term, and the oscillation center may move up in the long term [1][36] - In the short - term strategy, do not significantly reduce positions, but adjust the structure. Reduce high - volatility technology - themed targets and increase the proportion of balanced targets and the allocation of cyclical sectors in the medium - and low - price ranges [1][36] - The top ten convertible bonds with the highest predicted downward - revision probability next week are Lanfan Convertible Bond, Dongshi Convertible Bond, Baolai Convertible Bond, etc. The top ten high - rated, medium - and low - priced convertible bonds with the greatest potential for parity premium rate repair next week are Pufa Convertible Bond, Fenghuo Convertible Bond, Jinneng Convertible Bond, etc. [1][36]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry [1] Core Insights - The 2025 World Conference on Lung Cancer (WCLC) highlighted the promising clinical data of domestic lung cancer drugs, particularly the innovative drug iza-bren developed by BaiLi Tianheng, which demonstrated a 100% objective response rate (ORR) in first-line patients with EGFR mutation non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) [2][17] - The report suggests a favorable outlook for the pharmaceutical sector, particularly in innovative drugs, research services, and CXO [3][12] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The A-share pharmaceutical index has seen a year-to-date increase of 26.8%, while the Hang Seng Biotechnology Index has surged by 103.3% [11] - Notable stock performances include Zhend Medical (+41.3%) and Haooubo (+28.0%), while Yuekang Pharmaceutical (-18.4%) and Maiwei Biological (-14.4%) faced significant declines [11] New Drug Developments - Novartis' lung cancer drug, Capmatinib, received approval for a new indication in China, and Johnson & Johnson initiated a Phase III clinical trial for its KLK2/CD3 dual antibody [2] - BaiLi Tianheng's iza-bren showed a 100% ORR in a Phase II study for EGFR mutation NSCLC, with a median progression-free survival (mPFS) of 12.5 months [17][21] Investment Recommendations - The report ranks preferred sub-sectors as follows: innovative drugs > research services > CXO > traditional Chinese medicine > medical devices > pharmacies [3][12] - Specific companies to watch include: - From GLP-1 perspective: BoRui Pharmaceutical, GeLi Pharmaceutical, and XinDa Biologics - From PD-1/VEGF dual antibody perspective: Kangfang Biologics and Shenzhou Cell - From AI drug development perspective: JingTai Holdings and Chengdu XianDao [3][12] Clinical Research Updates - The HARMONi study by Kangfang Biologics showed improved overall survival (OS) with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.78, indicating a significant benefit for patients, especially in North America [25] - The report emphasizes the ongoing clinical trials for innovative drugs, including the registration Phase III study for iza-bren [20][24]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints The report presents a weekly analysis of the large refining and chemical industry, highlighting that the cost - end support is weak, and filament prices are under pressure. It provides detailed data on various segments such as refining, polyester, and chemicals, as well as the performance of related listed companies [1][3]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Big Refining Weekly Data Briefing - **6 Major Private Refining Companies' Performance** - **Stock Price Changes**: As of September 12, 2025, the stock prices of private refining companies showed different trends. For example, New Fengming had a weekly increase of 7.1%, while Hengli Petrochemical had a weekly decrease of 1.4% [9]. - **Earnings Forecast**: The report provides the net profit forecasts of these companies from 2024 to 2027. For instance, the expected net profit of Rongsheng Petrochemical in 2025 is 2.616 billion yuan [9]. - **Oil Prices and Refining Spreads** - **International Crude Oil**: The average price of Brent crude oil this week was 66.5 dollars/barrel, a decrease of 1.2 dollars/barrel (-1.8%) compared to last week, and a year - on - year decrease of 6.6%. The average price of WTI crude oil was 62.6 dollars/barrel, a decrease of 1.5 dollars/barrel (-2.4%) compared to last week, and a year - on - year decrease of 7.9% [9]. - **Refining Spreads**: The spread of domestic key large refining projects this week was 2,579.4 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 96.5 yuan/ton (+3.9%); the spread of foreign key large refining projects was 1,197.0 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 62.6 yuan/ton (+5.5%) [9]. - **Polyester Sector** - **Product Prices and Profits**: The average prices of POY, FDY, and DTY this week were 6,789.3 yuan/ton, 7,078.6 yuan/ton, and 8,021.4 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week decreases of 82.1 yuan/ton, 67.9 yuan/ton, and 28.6 yuan/ton. The weekly average profits of POY, FDY, and DTY were 107.8 yuan/ton, 34.3 yuan/ton, and 62.8 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of - 4.5 yuan/ton, +5.0 yuan/ton, and +31.0 yuan/ton [10]. - **Inventory and Operating Rates**: The inventories of POY, FDY, and DTY were 19.3 days, 27.6 days, and 31.1 days respectively, with week - on - week increases of 1.9 days, 1.2 days, and 1.4 days. The operating rate of filament was 91.3%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.2 pct [10]. - **Refining Sector** - **Domestic Refined Oil**: This week, the prices of domestic gasoline and diesel decreased [3]. - **US Refined Oil**: This week, the prices of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel decreased [3]. - **Chemical Sector** - **PX**: The average price of PX this week was 835.6 dollars/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 7.0 dollars/ton. The spread between PX and crude oil was 350.3 dollars/ton, a week - on - week increase of 1.7 dollars/ton. The operating rate of PX was 85.9%, a week - on - week increase of 1.2 pct [3]. 3.2 Big Refining Weekly Report - **Big Refining Index and Project Spread Trends** - **Market Performance of Six Private Big Refining Companies**: The report presents the market performance trends of six private big refining companies from 2020 to 2025, including Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, etc. [16][17] - **Refining Spreads and Oil Prices**: It shows the historical trends of domestic and foreign big refining project spreads and Brent oil prices from 2020 to 2025 [20][22] - **Polyester Sector** - **Raw Material and Product Prices**: It presents the price trends of crude oil, PX, PTA, MEG, etc., as well as the price and profit trends of various polyester products such as POY, FDY, DTY, polyester staple fiber, and polyester bottle chips from 2020 to 2025 [24][26][38] - **Operating Rates and Inventories**: It shows the operating rate trends of PX, PTA, MEG, filament, and polyester staple fiber from 2020 to 2025, as well as the inventory trends of PTA, filament, and polyester staple fiber [33][56][76] - **Sales and Production Rates**: It presents the sales and production rate trends of filament and polyester staple fiber in the Jiangsu - Zhejiang region from 2020 to 2025 [49][72] - **Refining Sector** - **Domestic Refined Oil**: It shows the price trends of domestic gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel and their spreads with crude oil from 2020 to 2025 [85][94] - **US Refined Oil**: It shows the price trends of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel and their spreads with crude oil from 2020 to 2025 [99][107] - **European Refined Oil**: It shows the price trends of European gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel and their spreads with crude oil from 2020 to 2025 [112][121] - **Singapore Refined Oil**: It shows the price trends of Singapore gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel and their spreads with crude oil from 2020 to 2025 [126][134] - **Chemical Sector** - **Chemical Product Prices**: It shows the price trends of various chemical products such as polyethylene LLDPE, homopolymerized polypropylene, EVA, styrene, acrylonitrile, PC, MMA, etc., and their spreads with crude oil from 2020 to 2025 [140][148]

Economic Indicators - The weekly ECI supply index is at 50.04%, up 0.01 percentage points from last week, while the demand index is at 49.91%, also up 0.01 percentage points[6] - The monthly ECI supply index decreased by 0.03 percentage points from August, while the demand index increased by 0.01 percentage points[7] - The construction sector shows improvement with a significant increase in infrastructure workload in early September, with a year-on-year improvement in construction activity[6] Market Trends - The ELI index remains stable at -0.69%, indicating rising market expectations for the resumption of government bond trading[11] - Despite seasonal recovery in August financial data, new loan demand remains weak, posing risks to social financing growth and M2 supply[14] - The real estate market shows signs of recovery, with a 6.8% increase in transaction area in major cities compared to a -9.9% decline in August[6] Consumer Behavior - Passenger car retail sales in early September show a decline of 10.0% year-on-year, with average daily sales recorded at 43,483 units[21] - The consumer price index for key monitored vegetables is at 5.11 yuan/kg, reflecting a slight increase[38] Investment Insights - The operating rate for asphalt plants increased by 6.80 percentage points to 34.90%, indicating a recovery in infrastructure investment[26] - The average price of ordinary Portland cement is recorded at 272.80 yuan/ton, showing a slight increase[27] Export Performance - The export growth rate for South Korea in early September is at 3.80%, recovering from a previous decline[32] - The Shanghai export container freight index decreased to 1398.11 points, down 46.33 points from the previous week[33] Monetary Policy - The central bank conducted a net monetary injection of 196.1 billion yuan this week, with a total reverse repurchase operation of 1.2645 trillion yuan[41] - The 10-year government bond yield increased slightly to 1.8650% from 1.8466% at the beginning of the week[41] Risk Factors - Uncertainties remain regarding U.S. tariff policies and the sustainability of real estate market improvements[48]

Report Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. Core Viewpoints - This week, the average prices and gross profits of pure MDI, polymeric MDI, and TDI in the polyurethane sector decreased compared to the previous week [2]. - In the oil, gas, and olefin sector, the average prices of ethane, propane, and naphtha increased slightly, while the average prices of polyethylene and polypropylene decreased. The theoretical profits of various production processes also decreased [2]. - In the coal chemical sector, the average prices of synthetic ammonia, urea, and DMF decreased, while the average price of acetic acid increased. The gross profits of these products also showed corresponding changes [2]. Summary by Directory 1. Basic Chemical Weekly Data Briefing - **Related Company Performance Tracking** - The Basic Chemical Index rose by 2.4% in the past week, 6.1% in the past month, 17.5% in the past three months, 50.4% in the past year, and 25.1% since the beginning of 2025 [8]. - Among the related companies, Wanhua Chemical rose by 2.9% in the past week, Baofeng Energy fell by 0.7%, Satellite Chemical rose by 0.6%, Huaxin Chemical rose by 0.5%, and New Hope Liuhe rose by 4.7% [8]. - The report also provides the total market value, net profit attributable to the parent company, PE, and PB of these companies [8]. - **Polyurethane Industry Chain** - The average prices of pure MDI, polymeric MDI, and TDI were 17,779 yuan/ton, 14,929 yuan/ton, and 13,585 yuan/ton respectively, with week-on-week decreases of 71 yuan/ton, 143 yuan/ton, and 702 yuan/ton respectively [2][8]. - The gross profits of pure MDI, polymeric MDI, and TDI were 4,533 yuan/ton, 2,683 yuan/ton, and 2,716 yuan/ton respectively, with week-on-week decreases of 51 yuan/ton, 122 yuan/ton, and 220 yuan/ton respectively [2][8]. - **Oil, Gas, and Olefin Industry Chain** - The average prices of ethane, propane, and naphtha were 1,302 yuan/ton, 4,259 yuan/ton, and 4,266 yuan/ton respectively, with week-on-week increases of 8 yuan/ton, 12 yuan/ton, and 15 yuan/ton respectively [2][8]. - The average price of polyethylene was 7,707 yuan/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 61 yuan/ton. The theoretical profits of ethane cracking, CTO, and naphtha cracking to produce polyethylene were 1,122 yuan/ton, 1,866 yuan/ton, and -125 yuan/ton respectively, with week-on-week decreases of 57 yuan/ton, 40 yuan/ton, and 46 yuan/ton respectively [2]. - The average price of polypropylene was 6,800 yuan/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 50 yuan/ton. The theoretical profits of PDH, CTO, and naphtha cracking to produce polypropylene were -330 yuan/ton, 1,463 yuan/ton, and -352 yuan/ton respectively, with week-on-week decreases of 37 yuan/ton, 33 yuan/ton, and 40 yuan/ton respectively [2]. - **Coal Chemical Industry Chain** - The average prices of synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid were 2,129 yuan/ton, 1,707 yuan/ton, 3,982 yuan/ton, and 2,287 yuan/ton respectively, with week-on-week changes of -10 yuan/ton, -25 yuan/ton, -154 yuan/ton, and +48 yuan/ton respectively [2]. - The gross profits of synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid were 179 yuan/ton, 13 yuan/ton, -193 yuan/ton, and 25 yuan/ton respectively, with week-on-week changes of -9 yuan/ton, -31 yuan/ton, -90 yuan/ton, and +5 yuan/ton respectively [2]. 2. Basic Chemical Weekly Report - **Basic Chemical Index Trend** - There is no specific content about the basic chemical index trend in the provided text. - **Polyurethane Sector** - The average prices and gross profits of pure MDI, polymeric MDI, and TDI decreased this week [2]. - **Oil, Gas, and Olefin Sector** - The prices of raw materials such as ethane, propane, and naphtha changed slightly, while the prices of polyethylene and polypropylene decreased. The profits of various production processes also decreased [2]. - **Coal Chemical Sector** - The prices and gross profits of coal chemical products such as synthetic ammonia, urea, and DMF showed different degrees of change [2].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the domestic bond market, due to the "stock - bond seesaw" and concerns about the increased redemption fees for bond funds in the new regulations, the 10 - year Treasury bond yield has risen. The passive index non - ETF bond funds and short - term pure bond funds are expected to be most affected, and investors are advised to shorten the duration. The yield curve is expected to steepen [1][16]. - In the overseas market, gold has strong allocation value currently. The U.S. PPI and CPI data in August 2025, along with the "dovish" speech of Powell, indicate that the Fed is likely to restart interest rate cuts in the September meeting, and the long - term U.S. bonds may show higher volatility [1][17][27]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 One - Week Views - **Impact of new regulations on bond funds**: The new regulations on public offering fund sales fees have increased the short - term redemption costs of bond funds. Passive index non - ETF bond funds and short - term pure bond funds are most affected. The former can be replaced by government financial bond ETFs, and the latter can turn to inter - bank certificate of deposit index funds [16]. - **Analysis of U.S. economic data and bond market**: The U.S. PPI and core PPI in August were significantly lower than expected, and the CPI showed a mild rebound with stable core inflation. Combined with the "dovish" speech of Powell, the Fed is likely to restart interest rate cuts in September, and the long - term U.S. bonds may have higher volatility [18][23][27]. 3.2 Domestic and Overseas Data Aggregation 3.2.1 Liquidity Tracking - **Open - market operations**: From September 5 to 12, 2025, the total net investment in open - market operations was 1961 billion yuan [33]. - **Interest rate indicators**: The money market interest rates, bond yields, and term spreads showed different degrees of changes during the week [34][46][49]. 3.2.2 Domestic and Overseas Macroeconomic Data Tracking - **Domestic data**: The total commercial housing transaction area decreased, steel prices fluctuated, and LME non - ferrous metal futures official prices generally increased [57][59]. - **Overseas data**: The U.S. consumer confidence index, CPI, PPI, and unemployment benefit claims data were released. Gold prices rose, and the U.S. bond yield curve moved down in parallel [17][21][23]. 3.3 Local Bond One - Week Review 3.3.1 Primary Market Issuance Overview - **Issuance scale**: A total of 53 local bonds were issued in the primary market this week, with a total issuance of 3016.72 billion yuan, a repayment of 1088.93 billion yuan, and a net financing of 1927.79 billion yuan [85]. - **Regional distribution**: 12 provinces and cities issued local bonds, with Guangdong, Guizhou, Guangxi, Sichuan, and Hunan ranking in the top five in terms of issuance volume. Hunan issued 20 billion yuan of special refinancing bonds for replacing hidden debts [88][90]. 3.3.2 Secondary Market Overview - **Trading volume and turnover rate**: The stock of local bonds was 53.29 trillion yuan, the trading volume was 4145.76 billion yuan, and the turnover rate was 0.78%. The top three provinces with active trading were Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Hebei [98]. 3.3.3 Local Bond Issuance Plan for This Month - The local bond issuance plan shows the planned issuance scale of different provinces and cities from September 15 to 19, 2025 [105]. 3.4 Credit Bond Market One - Week Review 3.4.1 Primary Market Issuance Overview - **Total issuance and net financing**: A total of 297 credit bonds were issued in the primary market this week, with a total issuance of 2812.62 billion yuan, a total repayment of 1893.91 billion yuan, and a net financing of 918.71 billion yuan, an increase of 1471.38 billion yuan compared with last week [106]. - **Sub - category issuance**: The net financing of urban investment bonds was 146.43 billion yuan, and that of industrial bonds was 772.29 billion yuan [107]. 3.4.2 Issuance Interest Rates - The issuance interest rates of short - term financing bills increased by 3.16 BP, medium - term notes decreased by 12.09 BP, and corporate bonds increased by 22.38 BP [115]. 3.4.3 Secondary Market Transaction Overview - The total trading volume of credit bonds in the secondary market was 4727.84 billion yuan, with different trading volumes for different bond types and credit ratings [117]. 3.4.4 Maturity Yields - The maturity yields of various credit bonds, including national development bonds, short - term financing bills, medium - term notes, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds, generally increased [119][120][123][125]. 3.4.5 Credit Spreads - The credit spreads of short - term financing bills and medium - term notes showed a differentiated trend, the credit spreads of corporate bonds generally narrowed, and the credit spreads of urban investment bonds also showed a differentiated trend [128][131][135]. 3.4.6 Grade Spreads - The grade spreads of short - term financing bills and medium - term notes generally widened, the grade spreads of corporate bonds generally widened, and the grade spreads of urban investment bonds showed a differentiated trend [140][144][147].

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观周报 海外周报 20250914 weiy@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 王茁 9 月 FOMC 前瞻：降息已成定局，关注点阵 图指引与美联储独立性 ◼ 美国 8 月 CPI：基本符合预期，关税冲击影响渐弱。本周四公布的美国 8 月 CPI 同比+2.9%，预期+2.9%，前值+2.7%；环比+0.4%，预期+0.3%， 前值+0.2%。核心同比+3.1%，预期+3.1%，前值+3.1%；核心环比+0.3%， 预期+0.3%，前值+0.3%。数据公布后，市场押注降息加码，美债利率与 美元指数下降，黄金、美股与美铜上涨。从结构上看，①核心商品中对 关税更敏感，6、7 月大幅上涨的家具、服饰、休闲商品在本次表现不佳， 进一步强化了"关税的冲击是一次性"的论点。②高利率环境下美国房 价保持低位震荡，这意味着居住通胀未来的趋势亦是低位震荡，而本期 居住通胀的主要分项自住房折算 OER 和租金 RPR 的反弹更像是震荡趋 势中的"插曲"。③剔除掉机票酒店后的超核心通胀本次基本没有增长， 反映出需求的疲软，也与近期劳务市场的下行相对应。向前看，在不同 通胀环比中枢路径下，未来 2 个月美国 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the power equipment industry [1] Core Views - The demand for energy storage has exceeded expectations, with solid-state and humanoid robots accelerating industrialization [1] - The report highlights significant growth in the lithium battery sector, with a projected increase in demand for energy storage systems [3][7] - The report emphasizes the robust performance of the electric vehicle market, with a forecasted 25% growth in sales for the year [28] Industry Trends - The power equipment sector saw a 0.53% increase, underperforming compared to the broader market [3] - The report notes a decline in photovoltaic (PV) prices, with a 3.7% drop in the solar sector [3] - The energy storage market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 30-50% from 2025 to 2028 [7] Company Insights - Companies like CATL, BYD, and LONGi Green Energy are highlighted as key players with strong growth potential [6] - The report mentions that CATL's battery installations reached approximately 23.175 GWh in August 2025, with a cumulative total of about 180.051 GWh [3] - The report indicates that companies such as Trina Solar and JinkoSolar are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing demand in the solar market [6] Investment Strategy - The report recommends investing in leading companies in the lithium battery and energy storage sectors, including CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and Aiko Technology [3][6] - It suggests a focus on companies involved in humanoid robotics, with significant market potential expected in the coming years [11] - The report also highlights the importance of companies that are well-positioned in the wind and solar energy sectors, anticipating continued growth [3][6]

Report Title - "Crude Oil Weekly Report: OPEC+ Rapidly Increases Production, International Oil Prices Decline" [1] Report Date - September 14, 2025 [1] Report Authors - Energy and Chemical Chief Securities Analyst: Chen Shuxian, CFA [1] - Energy and Chemical Analyst: Zhou Shaowen [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - This week, Brent/WTI crude oil futures had weekly average prices of $66.7/$62.7 per barrel, down $0.8/$1.2 from last week respectively. In the US, crude oil production, inventory, and the number of active rigs and fracturing fleets increased, while refinery processing volume decreased, and import and export volumes changed. US refined oil prices, inventory, production, and demand also showed various changes. [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Crude Oil Weekly Data Briefing - **Upstream Key Company Performance**: For example, China National Offshore Oil Corporation (600938.SH) had a weekly increase of 2.2%, and China National Petroleum Corporation (601857.SH) had a weekly decrease of 2.4%. [8][9] - **Crude Oil Price**: Brent, WTI, Russian Urals, and Russian ESPO crude oil prices had different degrees of decline compared to last week. [9] - **Crude Oil Inventory**: US total crude oil inventory, commercial crude oil inventory, strategic crude oil inventory, and Cushing crude oil inventory were 8.3/4.2/4.1/0.2 billion barrels respectively, with weekly changes of +445/+394/+51/-37 million barrels. [2][9] - **Crude Oil Production**: US crude oil production was 13.5 million barrels per day, up 70,000 barrels per day from last week. The number of active crude oil rigs was 416, up 2, and the number of active fracturing fleets was 164, up 5. [2][9] - **Refinery Data**: US refinery crude oil processing volume was 16.82 million barrels per day, down 50,000 barrels per day, and the refinery operating rate was 94.9%, up 0.6 pct. [2][9] - **Import and Export Volume**: US crude oil imports, exports, and net imports were 6.27/2.75/3.53 million barrels per day, with weekly changes of -47/-114/+67 million barrels per day. [2][9] - **Refined Oil Data**: US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel had weekly average prices of $83/$97/$90 per barrel, down $1.8/$1.5/$4.1 from last week respectively. Inventory, production, demand, and import and export volumes also changed. [2][11] 2. This Week's Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Market Review - **Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Performance**: Not detailed in the given content - **Sector Listed Company Performance**: Many listed companies in the petroleum and petrochemical sector showed different degrees of rise and fall this week. For example, Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (600871.SH) had a weekly increase of 3.4%, and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (600028.SH) had a weekly decrease of 1.2%. [24] 3. Crude Oil Sector Data Tracking - **Crude Oil Price**: Analyzed the price relationships and spreads among various types of crude oil, such as Brent, WTI, Russian Urals, and Russian ESPO, as well as the relationships between the US dollar index, LME copper price, and WTI crude oil price. [9][38] - **Crude Oil Inventory**: Studied the correlations between US commercial crude oil inventory and oil prices, and changes in US total crude oil inventory, commercial crude oil inventory, strategic crude oil inventory, and Cushing crude oil inventory. [45][49] - **Crude Oil Supply**: Focused on US crude oil production, the number of oil rigs, and the number of fracturing fleets, and their relationships with oil prices. [60][62] - **Crude Oil Demand**: Mainly looked at US refinery processing volume and operating rate. [9] - **Crude Oil Import and Export**: Analyzed US crude oil import, export, and net import volumes. [78] 4. Refined Oil Sector Data Tracking - **Refined Oil Price**: Analyzed the price adjustment rules of domestic refined oil based on international oil prices, and the price relationships and spreads between crude oil and refined oil in the US, Europe, and Singapore. [89][116] - **Refined Oil Inventory**: Studied the inventory changes of US gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and Singapore gasoline and diesel. [11][130] - **Refined Oil Supply**: Focused on US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel production. [152] - **Refined Oil Demand**: Mainly looked at US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel consumption and the number of US airport passenger security checks. [156][157] - **Refined Oil Import and Export**: Analyzed US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel import, export, and net export volumes. [170][173] 5. Oil Service Sector Data Tracking - **Day Rate**: Presented the average daily rates of self - elevating drilling platforms and semi - submersible drilling platforms. [187][188] Recommended Companies - Recommended companies include CNOOC Limited (600938.SH/0883.HK), PetroChina Company Limited (601857.SH/0857.HK), Sinopec (600028.SH/0386.HK), CNOOC Oilfield Services Limited (601808.SH), Offshore Oil Engineering Co., Ltd. (600583.SH), and CNOOC Energy Technology & Services Limited (600968.SH). Companies to be concerned about include Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (600871.SH/1033.HK), China Petroleum Engineering & Construction Corporation (600339.SH), and Sinopec Machinery Co., Ltd. (000852.SZ) [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal mining industry is entering the off-season, with port coal prices experiencing fluctuations. As of September 12, the spot price of thermal coal at ports increased by 1 CNY/ton to 680 CNY/ton. Supply from the four ports in the Bohai Rim averaged 1.6136 million tons per day, a decrease of 207,900 tons week-on-week, representing an 11.41% decline. Demand also saw a reduction, with daily outflows dropping by 25.59% to 1.5834 million tons. The inventory at the four ports decreased slightly to 22.687 million tons, down 0.10% from the previous week. The report suggests that as the industry enters the off-season, with a notable drop in temperatures and residential electricity demand, there may be short-term pressure on inventory depletion, leading to a forecast of fluctuating coal prices in the near term [1][2][5] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,870.60 points, up 1.14% week-on-week. The coal sector index closed at 2,642.87 points, down 0.14% with a trading volume of 38.209 billion CNY, a decrease of 13.07% [10] 2. Price Movements - The price of thermal coal at production sites showed mixed trends. As of September 12, the price for 5500 kcal thermal coal in Datong increased by 6 CNY/ton to 560 CNY/ton, while the price for 4000 kcal thermal coal in Inner Mongolia decreased by 10 CNY/ton to 370 CNY/ton. The port price for 5500 kcal thermal coal at Qinhuangdao rose by 1 CNY/ton to 680 CNY/ton [15][17] 3. Inventory and Shipping - The average daily coal inflow at the four Bohai Rim ports was 1.6136 million tons, down 11.41% week-on-week. The average daily outflow was 1.5834 million tons, down 13.91%. The number of anchored vessels decreased to 71, a drop of 8.82% [25][28] 4. Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring insurance capital inflows and suggests focusing on resource stocks. It recommends specific thermal coal stocks, including Haohua Energy and Guanghui Energy, which are considered undervalued [2][33]