Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-bank financial sector [1] Core Views - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from economic recovery and rising interest rates, with a significant increase in the sales proportion of savings products [44] - The securities sector is anticipated to experience new growth points due to transformation and favorable market conditions [44] - The multi-financial sector is entering a stable transition period, with trust companies focusing on management enhancement and product innovation [36] Summary by Sections Non-Bank Financial Sector Performance - In the recent five trading days (November 5-9, 2025), only the insurance sector outperformed the CSI 300 index, rising by 1.23%, while the overall non-bank financial sector declined by 0.17% [9][10] - Year-to-date performance shows the insurance sector up by 14.76%, multi-financial up by 11.49%, and securities up by 6.63%, all trailing the CSI 300 index which is up by 18.90% [10][11] Securities Sector Insights - Trading volume remains high, with the average daily stock trading amount reaching 23,661 billion yuan in November, a year-on-year increase of 10.44% [16] - The margin financing balance as of November 6 was 24,988 billion yuan, up 39.83% year-on-year [16] - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio for the securities industry is projected at 1.3x for 2025E, indicating potential for quality brokers to benefit from active capital market policies [22] Insurance Sector Insights - The insurance industry reported a 10.2% year-on-year increase in original premium income for the first nine months of 2025, totaling 40,895 billion yuan [24] - The third quarter saw a 25% year-on-year growth in life insurance premiums, although September's growth rate fell to -4.2% due to product switching [24][29] - The insurance sector's valuation is currently at 0.58-0.95 times 2025E P/EV, which is considered low historically, supporting an "Overweight" rating [29] Multi-Financial Sector Insights - The trust industry is projected to have total assets of 29.56 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23.58% [30] - The futures market saw a trading volume of 7.70 billion contracts in September, with a transaction value of 71.50 trillion yuan, marking a 33.16% year-on-year increase [37] - The report suggests that innovation in risk management will be a key focus for the futures industry moving forward [43] Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The recommended ranking for the non-bank financial sector is insurance > securities > other multi-financial services, with key companies including China Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CITIC Securities, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings [44]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yum China (09987.HK) [1] Core Insights - In Q3 2025, Yum China's system sales increased by 4%, driven by a 4% contribution from net new stores and a 1% increase in same-store sales. This marks the 11th consecutive quarter of same-store sales growth [7] - The company plans to open 1,600 to 1,800 new stores in 2025, with a target of increasing the proportion of franchise stores in new openings [7] - The report adjusts revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to $11.7 billion, $12.4 billion, and $13.1 billion, respectively, and net profit forecasts to $918 million, $989 million, and $1.059 billion, respectively [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at $10.978 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 14.72% [1] - Net profit for 2023 is expected to be $827 million, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 87.10% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted at $2.28 for 2023, with a P/E ratio of 19.00 [1] Store Expansion and Sales Growth - As of September 2025, Yum China had a total of 17,514 stores, with KFC and Pizza Hut accounting for 12,640 and 4,022 stores, respectively [7] - In Q3 2025, KFC's system sales, same-store sales, and same-store transaction volume grew by 5%, 2%, and 3%, respectively [7] - Pizza Hut's system sales, same-store sales, and same-store transaction volume increased by 4%, 1%, and 17%, respectively, continuing the trend of growth [7] Operational Efficiency - Q3 operating profit and core operating profit both achieved an 8% year-on-year growth, with operating profit margin increasing to 12.5% [7] - The improvement in restaurant profit margin is attributed to reduced costs in food, packaging, and rent [7] Innovation and Brand Strategy - The company emphasizes innovation and efficiency, with new product launches such as the crispy chicken wings at KFC and the handmade thin-crust pizza at Pizza Hut showing strong sales performance [7] - The brand KPRO, focusing on energy bowls and milkshakes, has opened over 100 locations in high-density cities [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry [1]. Core Views - The report highlights a positive change in the specialty raw materials sector, recommending companies such as Aorite and Prolo Pharmaceuticals [1]. - The report suggests that the Q3 performance of raw material pharmaceutical companies has reached a bottom, indicating potential recovery in profitability as high-cost inventory is consumed [19][20]. Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The recommended sub-industry rankings are: Innovative Drugs > Research Services > CXO > Traditional Chinese Medicine > Medical Devices > Pharmacies [3][12]. - Specific stock recommendations include: - From raw materials: Aorite, Qianhong Pharmaceutical - From Traditional Chinese Medicine: Zorui Pharmaceutical, Fangsheng Pharmaceutical, Dong'e Ejiao - From medical devices: United Imaging Healthcare, Yuyue Medical - From AI pharmaceuticals: Jingtai Holdings - From GLP-1 sector: Lianbang Pharmaceutical, Borui Pharmaceutical, Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical, and Innovent Biologics - From PD-1/VEGF dual antibodies: Sanofi Biopharmaceuticals, Kangfang Biologics, and Rongchang Biopharmaceuticals - From innovative drugs: Innovent Biologics, BeiGene, HengRui Medicine, Zai Lab, Baillie Tianheng, Kelun Pharmaceutical, Dize Pharmaceutical, and Haizheng Pharmaceutical [3][15]. Industry Trends - The A-share pharmaceutical index has seen a year-to-date increase of 18.2%, while the Hang Seng Biotechnology Index has increased by 76.6% [6][11]. - The report notes that the raw material pharmaceutical sector is under pressure due to high base effects and declining prices, with significant revenue impacts [19][20]. R&D Progress and Company Dynamics - Recent approvals include Novartis' radioligand therapy drug, which received dual indications for prostate cancer treatment [2]. - The report provides an overview of ongoing clinical trials and drug approvals, emphasizing the importance of innovation in the pharmaceutical sector [30]. Market Performance - The report indicates that the pharmaceutical sector has experienced adjustments, with notable stock performances including significant gains for companies like Hezhong China (+61%) and Wanze Shares (+30%) [11]. - The report also highlights the performance of various pharmaceutical stocks, noting both gains and losses in the market [16][17]. Raw Material Pricing Trends - The price of 6-APA has dropped significantly, from 370 RMB/kg in 2022 to 180 RMB/kg in October 2025, a decrease of 51% [23]. - The price of Amoxicillin has also decreased from 320 RMB/kg in January 2023 to 190 RMB/kg in October 2025, a decline of 41% [23]. Conclusion - The report suggests that as high-cost inventory is depleted, the gross margins for raw material producers are expected to improve, indicating a potential recovery in profitability for companies like Fuxiang Pharmaceutical and Lukang Pharmaceutical [19][23].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The port inventory is at a low level year-on-year, and coal prices have increased month-on-month. The average spot price of thermal coal at ports rose by 47 CNY/ton to 817 CNY/ton during the week of November 3 to November 7 [1] - The supply side shows a stable supply from production areas, with an increase in port supply. The average daily inflow to the four ports in the Bohai Rim was 1.9407 million tons, up by 35,000 tons week-on-week, an increase of 1.84% [1] - On the demand side, the average daily outflow from the four ports in the Bohai Rim decreased to 1.8601 million tons, down by 163,100 tons week-on-week, a decline of 8.06% [1] - The report anticipates that coal prices will maintain a fluctuating trend due to the upcoming cold winter and sufficient inventory levels [2] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,997.56 points, up 0.53% week-on-week. The coal sector index closed at 3,076.78 points, up 1.96% week-on-week [11] - The top five companies by weekly increase were Huayang Co. (+11.50%), Jinkong Coal Industry (+10.11%), Zhongmei Energy (+8.54%), Electric Power Investment Energy (+6.85%), and Shaanxi Coal Industry (+6.30%) [13] 2. Production and Pricing - The price of thermal coal in production areas has shown a steady increase. For instance, the price of 5500 kcal thermal coal in Datong rose by 63 CNY/ton to 685 CNY/ton [17] - The international thermal coal price index has also shown a stable increase, with the Newcastle coal price index rising by 2.49 USD/ton to 106.23 USD/ton [20] 3. Inventory and Shipping - The Bohai Rim's coal inventory increased to 23.63 million tons, up by 461,000 tons week-on-week, an increase of 1.99% [34] - The average shipping cost on domestic routes rose by 6.03 CNY/ton to 51.36 CNY/ton, an increase of 13.31% [36] 4. Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on resource stocks, particularly recommending Haohua Energy and Guanghui Energy as core targets due to their low valuations and elastic performance [39]

Core Insights - The spring market trend is shifting towards an earlier start and finish, with significant historical evidence showing that in 4 out of the last 8 years, the spring rally began in December of the previous year [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Timing and Trends - The traditional spring rally in A-shares typically starts in January-February and lasts until March-April, but recent trends indicate a notable shift towards earlier initiation [1][2] - The analysis of market performance since 2010 reveals that the spring rally's time window has significantly advanced, with the most substantial gains occurring before the Spring Festival [1][3] Group 2: Economic and Policy Factors - The "running ahead" phenomenon is attributed to two main factors: the transformation of economic regulation, which has weakened the seasonal characteristics of policies, and the "learning effect" among market participants leading to preemptive positioning [2][3] - The reliance on traditional growth engines, such as real estate and infrastructure, has diminished, resulting in a reduced impact of early-year liquidity injections on market confidence [2][3] Group 3: Sector Performance and Positioning - Historical data indicates that growth styles have consistently outperformed during spring rallies, with small-cap and growth styles typically beating large-cap and value styles [5][6] - The average return of the index during spring rallies has been 21.7%, with an 81% success rate for generating excess returns [6][19] Group 4: Future Market Outlook - The upcoming spring rally is expected to focus on growth-oriented sectors, particularly those aligned with global trends in technology, such as AI, and domestic policy initiatives under the "14th Five-Year Plan" [7][8] - The anticipated policy focus on technological innovation and modern industrial systems is likely to enhance the attractiveness of sectors related to advanced manufacturing and supply-side reforms [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the machinery equipment industry, particularly highlighting opportunities in oil service equipment and engineering machinery driven by domestic demand and overseas expansion [1]. Core Insights - The machinery equipment sector is expected to benefit from both domestic and international demand, with a notable increase in excavator sales projected for October 2025, showing a year-on-year growth of 7.77% [1]. - The oil service equipment segment is poised for growth due to Saudi Aramco's increased natural gas production plans and the rising demand for domestic equipment in international markets [2]. - The humanoid robot sector is anticipated to experience a surge in November 2025, driven by key catalysts such as Tesla's third-generation release and IPO applications from industry players [3]. Summary by Sections Engineering Machinery - In October 2025, excavator sales reached 18,096 units, with domestic sales at 8,468 units (up 2.44% year-on-year) and exports at 9,628 units (up 12.9% year-on-year) [1]. - The report emphasizes the resilience of the domestic market, particularly in small excavators driven by water conservancy projects and labor substitution [1]. - The overseas market is expected to see significant growth, particularly in regions like the US, Africa, and South America, with a strong outlook for the next 2-3 years [1]. Oil Service Equipment - Saudi Aramco's Q3 report indicated a net profit of $28 billion, with a focus on cost control and increased oil production to maintain cash flow [2]. - The company has raised its natural gas production target for 2030, which is expected to enhance the demand for oil service equipment [2]. - The report recommends companies like Jereh and Neway for their potential in the Middle Eastern market [2]. Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot sector is expected to see a significant uptick in activity in November 2025, with several key industry events and product launches [3]. - The report identifies core companies in the humanoid robot supply chain, including Top Group and Zhejiang Rongtai, as potential investment opportunities [3]. - The focus is on companies that are well-positioned to benefit from the upcoming technological advancements and market demand [3].

Group 1: Midterm Election Insights - The 2026 midterm elections are crucial for Trump, as they will determine the political landscape and his ability to implement policies during his final years in office[1] - Historical data shows that the president's party typically loses an average of 25.7 seats in the House and 3.3 seats in the Senate during midterm elections, with a 36.36% chance of maintaining control after a sweep[11][12] - The significance of the 2026 midterms is heightened for Trump, as a loss could amplify political resistance during his remaining term[17] Group 2: Trade Policy Outlook - Trump's trade policy is expected to remain volatile, with potential for renewed tariff conflicts as a political strategy[25] - The U.S. Supreme Court may rule against Trump's use of IEEPA for imposing tariffs, prompting him to seek alternative legal frameworks for tariff implementation[26][29] - Tariff revenues have significantly increased, reaching approximately $174 billion in the first nine months of 2025, nearly tripling from the previous year[37] Group 3: Monetary Policy Expectations - The new Federal Reserve chair, expected to take office in May 2026, is anticipated to implement more aggressive rate cuts, with a total of at least four cuts projected by the end of next year[49][51] - The Fed's actions are likely to exceed market expectations and economic needs, resulting in lower interest rates and deteriorating credit conditions[38] - Trump's push for lower rates is driven by the need to stimulate the economy and alleviate fiscal pressures, especially in light of the projected $3.4 trillion deficit from the "Big Beautiful Plan" over the next decade[39][41]

证券研究报告 高切低视角，哪些产业值得关注？ ——每周主题、产业趋势交易复盘和展望 证券分析师：陈刚 执业证书编号：S0600523040001 邮箱：cheng@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理：孔思迈 执业证书编号：S0600124070019 邮箱：kongsm@dwzq.com.cn 2025年11月9日 注：本报告所涉及个股/公司仅代表与产业或交易热点有关联，所引述资讯/数据/观点仅以展示为目的，不构成投资建议，个股层面请参照东吴证券研究所各行业组所推荐标的。 目录 1、本周市场回顾 2、产业趋势交易回顾与展望 3、风险提示 2 注：本报告所涉及个股/公司仅代表与产业或交易热点有关联，所引述资讯/数据/观点仅以展示为目的，不构成投资建议，个股层面请参照东吴证券研究所各行业组所推荐标的。 1. 本周市场回顾 注：本周交易日为11月3日-11月7日 （如无特殊说明）后文同 3 注：本报告所涉及个股/公司仅代表与产业或交易热点有关联，所引述资讯/数据/观点仅以展示为目的，不构成投资建议，个股层面请参照东吴证券研究所各行业组所推荐标的。 一：大盘表现 ✓ 上证指数走势 4 注：本报告所涉及个股/公司仅代表与 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Report's Core View - This is a weekly data tracking report on secondary capital bonds from November 3, 2025, to November 7, 2025, covering primary market issuance, secondary market trading, and valuation deviation of individual bonds [1][2][3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Primary Market Issuance - Two secondary capital bonds were newly issued in the inter - bank and exchange markets, with a total issuance scale of 15 billion yuan. The issuance term is 10 years, the issuers are subsidiaries of central enterprises and local state - owned enterprises, the issuer ratings are AAA, and the issuer regions are Guangdong and Shandong provinces [1][6] Secondary Market Trading - **Trading Volume**: The weekly trading volume of secondary capital bonds was approximately 186 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.8 billion yuan compared to the previous week. The top three bonds in terms of trading volume were 25 Agricultural Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 03A(BC) (16.084 billion yuan), 25 Agricultural Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 03B(BC) (10.937 billion yuan), and 25 Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 01BC (5.996 billion yuan). By issuer region, the top three in trading volume were Beijing (about 140.8 billion yuan), Shanghai (about 11.6 billion yuan), and Fujian (about 8.6 billion yuan) [2] - **Yield to Maturity**: As of November 7, for 5Y secondary capital bonds, the yield - to - maturity changes of ratings AAA-, AA+, and AA compared to the previous week were 4.16BP, 3.24BP, and 3.24BP respectively; for 7Y bonds, they were 1.30BP, - 0.08BP, and - 0.08BP respectively; for 10Y bonds, they were 0.64BP, 0.64BP, and 0.64BP respectively [2][11] Valuation Deviation of Top 30 Individual Bonds - **Discount Bonds**: The top three discount bonds were 21 Jiutai Rural Commercial Secondary (-48.9752%), 22 Jiangshan Rural Commercial Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (-0.4149%), and 24 Longwan Rural Commercial Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (-0.3907%). The Zhongzheng implied ratings were mainly AA+, AA-, and A+, and the regional distribution was mostly in Tianjin, Guangdong, and Shanghai [3][14] - **Premium Bonds**: The top three premium bonds were 24 Qingdao Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (0.5969%), 23 Chouzhou Commercial Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (0.5512%), and 25 Jinshang Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (0.4984%). The Zhongzheng implied ratings were mainly AAA-, AA+, and AA, and the regional distribution was mostly in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangdong [3][15]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating in the report Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the primary market, 17 new green bonds were issued in the inter - bank and exchange markets from November 3, 2025, to November 7, 2025, with a total issuance scale of about 41.219 billion yuan, an increase of 31.983 billion yuan from the previous week. The issuance terms are mostly 3 years, and the issuers have diverse natures, ratings, regions, and bond types [1] - In the secondary market, the weekly trading volume of green bonds from November 3, 2025, to November 7, 2025, totaled 71.3 billion yuan, an increase of 4.4 billion yuan from the previous week. Non - financial corporate credit bonds, financial institution bonds, and interest - rate bonds had the highest trading volumes. Green bonds with a term of less than 3 years had the highest trading volume. The financial, public utilities, and transportation equipment industries had the highest trading volumes, and Beijing, Guangdong, and Hubei were the top three regions in terms of trading volume [2] - From November 3, 2025, to November 7, 2025, the overall deviation of the trading average price valuation of green bonds was not large. The discount trading amplitude was greater than the premium trading, and the discount trading ratio was less than the premium trading. The report lists the top three discount and premium individual bonds and their characteristics [3] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Primary Market Issuance - In the week of November 3 - 7, 2025, 17 new green bonds were issued in the inter - bank and exchange markets, with a total scale of about 41.219 billion yuan, up 31.983 billion yuan from the previous week. Issuance terms are mostly 3 years, issuers include local state - owned enterprises, central enterprise subsidiaries, central state - owned enterprises, large private enterprises, etc., with most having AAA or AA+ ratings. Issuers are from various regions, and the bond types include medium - term notes, private corporate bonds, enterprise ABS, and ABN [1] Secondary Market Trading - Weekly trading volume from November 3 - 7, 2025, was 71.3 billion yuan, up 4.4 billion yuan from the previous week. By bond type, non - financial corporate credit bonds, financial institution bonds, and interest - rate bonds had the highest trading volumes. By term, bonds under 3Y had the highest trading volume, accounting for about 84.63%. By industry, the financial, public utilities, and transportation equipment industries had the highest trading volumes. By region, Beijing, Guangdong, and Hubei had the highest trading volumes [2] Valuation Deviation of Top 30 Individual Bonds - The overall deviation of the trading average price valuation of green bonds was not large. The discount trading amplitude was greater than the premium trading, and the discount trading ratio was less than the premium trading. For discount bonds, the top three discount rates were for 20 Changding Green Bond 02 (-1.0176%), 25 Puzhi G1 (-0.7639%), and 25 Guangxi Jintou PPN002 (Green) (-0.4849%). For premium bonds, the top three premium rates were for 20 Guangdong Bond 19 (0.3269%), 20 Fujian Bond 14 (0.3112%), and 25 Anyang Iron and Steel MTN004 (Science and Technology Innovation Bond) (0.2649%) [3]