- The "Five-Dimensional Industry Rotation Model" is constructed based on Dongwu Securities' multi-factor stock selection system, categorizing micro factors into five major types: volatility, fundamentals, trading volume, sentiment, and momentum. The model leverages style indicators to classify stocks within industries, creating intra-industry dispersion and traction indicators, which are synthesized into five types of industry factors. These factors form the foundation of the five-dimensional industry rotation model[8][3][13] - The model's performance was backtested from January 1, 2015, to October 31, 2025. For six-group long-short hedging within Shenwan Level-1 industries, the annualized return was 21.41%, annualized volatility was 10.83%, IR was 1.98, monthly win rate was 72.58%, and the maximum historical drawdown was 13.30%. For long positions hedging against the market's equal-weighted industry portfolio, the annualized return was 10.50%, annualized volatility was 6.56%, IR was 1.60, monthly win rate was 70.16%, and the maximum historical drawdown was 9.36%[3][13][17] - The model's October 2025 performance showed that the long portfolio achieved a return of 2.00%, with an excess return relative to the benchmark of 2.12%. The highest scoring group was the long portfolio, while the lowest scoring group was the short portfolio[3][18][19] - The performance metrics for individual factors within the model during the backtesting period (2015/01/01-2025/10/31) are as follows: - **Volatility Factor**: Annualized return 10.64%, volatility 10.38%, IR 1.02, win rate 59.69%, maximum drawdown 14.81%, IC -0.08, ICIR -1.36, RankIC -0.06, RankICIR -1.01 - **Fundamentals Factor**: Annualized return 7.31%, volatility 12.10%, IR 0.60, win rate 56.59%, maximum drawdown 26.32%, IC 0.15, ICIR 3.25, RankIC 0.04, RankICIR 0.72 - **Trading Volume Factor**: Annualized return 8.20%, volatility 11.74%, IR 0.70, win rate 59.69%, maximum drawdown 18.40%, IC -0.06, ICIR -0.99, RankIC -0.07, RankICIR -0.95 - **Sentiment Factor**: Annualized return 7.93%, volatility 12.78%, IR 0.62, win rate 64.34%, maximum drawdown 14.79%, IC 0.03, ICIR 0.51, RankIC 0.03, RankICIR 0.49 - **Momentum Factor**: Annualized return 11.26%, volatility 10.56%, IR 1.07, win rate 60.16%, maximum drawdown 13.52%, IC 0.02, ICIR 0.40, RankIC 0.05, RankICIR 0.74 - **Composite Factor**: Annualized return 21.41%, volatility 10.83%, IR 1.98, win rate 72.58%, maximum drawdown 13.30%, IC -0.03, ICIR -0.63, RankIC -0.10, RankICIR -1.59[17][19][13] - The November 2025 latest holdings of the five-dimensional industry rotation model are categorized by factor: - **Volatility**: Pharmaceutical & Biological, Utilities, Transportation, Banking, Coal - **Fundamentals**: Agriculture, Food & Beverage, Social Services, Media, Non-Banking Finance - **Trading Volume**: Food & Beverage, Retail, Social Services, Banking, Environmental Protection - **Sentiment**: Basic Chemicals, Non-ferrous Metals, Pharmaceutical & Biological, Electrical Equipment, Machinery - **Momentum**: Agriculture, Basic Chemicals, Electronics, Home Appliances, Light Manufacturing[22][21][3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the building materials industry [1] Core Views - The global trade situation is expected to stabilize over the next year, with a focus on exports [1] - The construction materials sector has shown a positive performance, with a weekly increase of 1.29%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [4] - The report highlights the importance of the U.S.-China trade agreement in shaping future trade stability [4] Summary by Sections 1. Bulk Building Materials Fundamentals and High-Frequency Data - **Cement**: The national average price for high-standard cement is 351.7 RMB/ton, up by 3.5 RMB/ton from last week, but down by 65.2 RMB/ton compared to the same period in 2024. The average cement inventory ratio is 69.6%, up by 1.8 percentage points from last week [13][14][22] - **Glass**: The average price for float glass is 1202.7 RMB/ton, down by 41.0 RMB/ton from last week and down by 126.0 RMB/ton year-on-year. The inventory of float glass stands at 62 million heavy boxes, down by 470,000 boxes from last week [48][50] - **Fiberglass**: The market price for non-alkali fiberglass remains stable, with mainstream prices ranging from 3250 to 3700 RMB/ton [46] 2. Industry Dynamics Tracking - The report notes a rebound in new orders and business activity expectations in the construction sector, linked to recent policy financial support [4] - The report recommends focusing on export-oriented industries, particularly in the fiberglass sector, and companies involved in home decoration consumption [4] 3. Weekly Market Review and Sector Valuation - The report indicates that the cement market is experiencing a slight increase in prices, particularly in the southwestern region, while demand is expected to weaken as northern regions enter winter [13][14] - The report emphasizes the importance of maintaining supply discipline within the cement industry, which is expected to lead to better profitability compared to the previous year [4][13]

Macro Strategy - The core viewpoint discusses the potential candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair, highlighting the importance of loyalty to Trump and the need for a candidate who can maintain a dovish stance while being politically balanced [1]. Fixed Income - The report indicates a moderate credit expansion across industries, with structural differentiation being the main theme. While some sectors are actively leveraging, overall leverage remains limited. Industries like light manufacturing, electronics, and public utilities show signs of credit expansion, while real estate and consumer goods are experiencing credit contraction [2][3]. Insurance Industry - The insurance sector's third-quarter report for 2025 shows significant profit growth driven by improved investment performance and a rise in new business value (NBV). The liability and asset sides have both improved, indicating a substantial upward valuation potential [3][4]. Individual Company Reports - **Yingke Recycling (688087)**: The company reported revenue and profit growth in Q1-Q3 2025, with a significant increase in operating cash flow. The net profit forecast for 2025 is adjusted to 303 million yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [5]. - **Diwei (688377)**: The company experienced a 34% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3 and plans to issue convertible bonds to enhance its deep-sea and gas turbine component business. The profit forecast for 2025-2027 is maintained at 140/200/260 million yuan [6]. - **China CRRC (601766)**: The company’s rapid growth is driven by railway equipment and new industry business. The profit forecast for 2025-2027 is slightly adjusted to 138.08/147.57/158.60 billion yuan [7]. - **Hongsheng (603090)**: The company is seeing a significant increase in profits from liquid cooling, with a profit forecast of 100/200/320 million yuan for 2025-2027 [8]. - **Hengxuan Technology (688608)**: The company reported stable revenue growth in Q3 2025, with a net profit of 502 million yuan, reflecting a 73.50% year-on-year increase [9]. - **Shanghai Xiba (603200)**: The company maintains a strong performance in water treatment and lithium sulfide production, with a profit forecast of 140/200/630 million yuan for 2025-2027 [10]. - **Huangyuan Green Energy (603185)**: The company’s profit forecast is raised significantly due to improved silicon wafer shipments and cost advantages, with expected profits of 510/1010/1410 million yuan for 2025-2027 [11]. - **Kehua Data (002335)**: The company’s profit forecast is adjusted downwards due to a slight delay in data center bidding, with expected profits of 500/900/1400 million yuan for 2025-2027 [12]. - **Dike (300842)**: The company’s profit forecast is adjusted downwards due to silver price fluctuations, with expected profits of 140/410/580 million yuan for 2025-2027 [13]. - **Jianghuai Automobile (600418)**: The company’s profit forecast is adjusted to -600 million yuan for 2025, but increased for 2026 and 2027 to 1900/5000 million yuan [14]. - **Sany Heavy Energy (688349)**: The company’s revenue for Q1-Q3 2025 is reported at 144.5 billion yuan, with a profit forecast of 1.2 billion yuan [15]. - **JinkoSolar (688223)**: The company’s profit forecast is adjusted to -4.12 billion yuan for 2025, with a positive outlook for 2026 and 2027 [16]. - **China Pacific Insurance (02328.HK)**: The company maintains a profit forecast of 480/494/528 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [17]. - **AIA Group (01299.HK)**: The company’s profit forecast is slightly adjusted upwards, with expected internal values of 733/781/836 billion USD for 2025-2027 [21]. - **Proya Cosmetics (603605)**: The company’s profit forecast is adjusted downwards due to a challenging adjustment period, with expected profits of 161/178/203 million yuan for 2025-2027 [22]. - **Sailis (601127)**: The company’s profit forecast is adjusted downwards due to increased competition, with expected profits of 8600/12100/16000 million yuan for 2025-2027 [23]. - **Jucheng Technology (688049)**: The company reported record high revenue and net profit in Q1-Q3 2025, with a revenue of 722 million yuan and a net profit of 152 million yuan [25][26].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the power equipment industry [1] Core Views - The energy storage sector continues to show high prosperity, with improvements in lithium battery supply and demand leading to better profitability [1] - The report highlights significant growth potential in energy storage, with expectations of a 40-50% increase in demand next year, driven by various market factors [3][4] - The report emphasizes the strong performance of lithium battery manufacturers and the anticipated price increases in battery materials, indicating a bullish outlook for the lithium battery sector [4] Industry Trends - The electric equipment sector has shown a 4.29% increase, outperforming the market, with solar energy and lithium batteries seeing significant price increases [3] - The report notes a robust demand for energy storage solutions, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, with substantial growth in installed capacity expected [7][15] - The report discusses the ongoing advancements in humanoid robots and the expected market expansion, with a projected market size exceeding 15 trillion yuan [6][12] Company Performance - Notable companies such as BYD, Sunshine Power, and CATL are highlighted for their strong revenue growth, with BYD reporting a revenue of 566.27 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.7% [3][4] - The report provides detailed financial performance metrics for various companies, indicating a mix of growth and challenges across the sector [5] Investment Strategy - The report recommends several key companies for investment, including CATL, Sunshine Power, and BYD, citing their strong market positions and growth potential [4][5] - It suggests a focus on energy storage and lithium battery sectors, with specific emphasis on companies that are expected to benefit from rising demand and price increases [4][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company has achieved rapid growth in performance, with significant contributions from both 3C equipment and battery swap station businesses [5] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.653 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.57%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 332 million yuan, up 30.94% year-on-year [2] - The sales gross margin slightly decreased to 29.65%, down 5.13 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin increased to 8.71%, up 1.12 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company’s contract liabilities increased significantly by 364.63% year-on-year, indicating a substantial rise in order volume [4] Financial Performance Summary - The company’s total revenue for 2023 is projected at 4.84 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.59% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 390.41 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.80% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 1.24 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 26.89 based on the current price [1] - The operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 improved significantly, reaching 710 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 411.18% [4] Business Segment Insights - The 3C business is expected to benefit from partnerships with major North American clients, focusing on flexible modular production lines and key projects [5] - The company is positioned to benefit from the rapid expansion of battery swap stations, with plans to complete 1,000 stations by 2025 and a long-term goal of increasing to 30,000 stations [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiamen Xiangyu (600057) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a year-on-year increase of 84% in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by growth in both volume and revenue from bulk commodity operations [1][7] - The "anti-involution" policy is contributing to a recovery in the industry, with the company's core business seeing a dual increase in both transaction volume and revenue [7] - The company has improved its financial structure through a successful private placement and enhanced operational efficiency, leading to a reduction in financial costs and an increase in profit margins [7] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company reported total revenue of 316.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.44%, and a net profit of 1.63 billion yuan, up 83.6% year-on-year [7] - In Q3 2025 alone, revenue reached 112.9 billion yuan, representing a 19.9% increase year-on-year, while net profit soared to 600 million yuan, a staggering 443% increase year-on-year [7] - The company's gross margin and net profit margin for Q3 2025 were 2.29% and 0.74%, respectively, both showing a year-on-year increase of 0.4 percentage points [7] Future Earnings Forecast - The report revises the net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, increasing them to 2.17 billion, 2.40 billion, and 2.65 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 53%, 10%, and 10% [7] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.76 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.87 based on the closing price on October 31 [1][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is focusing on three emerging business areas: FPC (Flexible Printed Circuit), low-altitude economy, and humanoid robots, which are expected to drive future growth [3][8] - The company reported a revenue of 1.89 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.76%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 64 million yuan, up 58.26% year-on-year [8] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 16.85%, an increase of 2.34 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 3.36%, up 1.01 percentage points year-on-year [8] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 630 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.09% [8] - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 11 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 425.8% [8] - The company’s FPC business is expected to see a turnaround in gross margin, improving from -98.17% to -17.18% in the first half of 2025 [8] - The company has secured projects in the low-altitude economy sector, with mass production expected to begin in 2026 [8] - The company is actively expanding its robotics segment, having established a wholly-owned subsidiary for robotics and invested in sensor technology [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 90 million, 188 million, and 320 million yuan respectively [8] - The current market capitalization corresponds to a P/E ratio of 87, 41, and 24 times for 2025-2027 [8] - The company’s strategic positioning in FPC, low-altitude economy, and humanoid robots is expected to lay a solid foundation for future growth [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 26.3 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 30%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 5.3% year-on-year to 770 million yuan [8] - The company plans to invest 1.5 billion pounds in establishing a localized manufacturing base in Scotland, which is expected to enhance its presence in the European offshore wind market [8] - The report indicates a decrease in expenses by 20.4% year-on-year, leading to a reduction in the expense ratio to 9.1% [8] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 1.18 billion, 2.44 billion, and 3.36 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 240.9%, 106.7%, and 37.7% [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 28,124 million, 27,158 million, 35,515 million, 38,616 million, and 43,200 million yuan respectively [1] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for the same years is 376.72 million, 346.11 million, 1,179.92 million, 2,438.44 million, and 3,358.40 million yuan respectively [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 0.17, 0.15, 0.52, 1.07, and 1.48 yuan per share respectively [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Accumulate" [1] Core Insights - The company reported a 10.5% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to the parent company for Q3 2025, indicating effective operational adjustments [7] - The company has experienced a significant improvement in profitability, with a notable recovery trend in profits over the last two quarters [7] - Strategic investments in Saint Pharma and international collaborations are expected to enhance long-term growth prospects [7] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 3.16 billion, down 18.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 250 million, down 30.3% year-on-year [7] - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 900 million, a decrease of 15.2% year-on-year, but a net profit of 31.53 million, an increase of 55.6% year-on-year [7] - The gross profit margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 70.7%, a decrease of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 69.9%, a decrease of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The company’s operating expenses ratio decreased by 4.9 percentage points year-on-year in Q3 2025, with the sales expense ratio reaching its lowest level in five years [7] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company has been revised down from 720 million and 860 million for 2025 and 2026 to 380 million and 520 million, respectively [7] - The new forecast for 2027 net profit is 620 million, with corresponding P/E ratios of 69, 50, and 42 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 2025 performance was below expectations due to exchange rate impacts, but it is expected to maintain high growth in 2026 [8] - The company achieved a revenue of 3.028 billion yuan from January to Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.80%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 150 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.32% [8] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 30.47%, down 4.88 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to an increase in shipments to the Australian market, which has a lower gross margin [8] - The report estimates that the company's net profit for 2025-2027 will be 220 million, 410 million, and 630 million yuan respectively, reflecting a growth of 10%, 82%, and 55% [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 4.473 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.01% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 1.065 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 6.12% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023 is 6.65 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 11.19 [1] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 7.784 billion yuan by 2025, with total liabilities of 3.220 billion yuan [9] - The operating cash flow for 2024 is expected to be 754 million yuan, increasing to 1.118 billion yuan in 2025 [9]