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策略周报:市场继续盘整等待经济企稳
东方财富· 2024-09-24 05:33
]yrtsudnI_elbaT[ [Table_Title] 策略周报 市场继续盘整等待经济企稳 2024 年 09 月 24 日 [Table_Summary] 【策略观点】 本周(9 月 18 日-20 日)深证 100、上证 380、沪深 300 表现居前, 涨幅分别为 1.37%、1.33%、1.32%。 申万一级行业角度,本周涨幅前五的分别是房地产(6.86%)、有色 金属( 5.21% ) 、 家 用 电 器 ( 4.3% ) 、 计 算 机 ( 4% )、煤炭 (3.64%)。跌幅前五分别是医药生物(-0.79%)、国防军工(- 0.78%)、农林牧渔(-0.37%)、电力设备(-0.37%)、电子(- 0.17%)。 近五日,主力资金净流入居前的概念板块分别是鸿蒙概念(本周净 流入 13.93 亿)、华为昇腾(本周净流入 12.75 亿)、麒麟电池 (本周净流入 9.34 亿)、国资云概念(本周净流入 8.1 亿)、黄金 概念(本周净流入 6.69 亿)。 个股方面,近五日资金净流入规模前三名分别为宁德时代(10.84 亿 元)、常山北明(6.26 亿元)、拓维信息(5.29 亿元)。 两融资 ...
医疗器械行业2024半年报总结:关注设备换新政策递延拐点和高耗集采落地品类结构性机会
东方财富· 2024-09-23 10:28
[Table_Title] 医药生物行业专题研究 行 业 研 究/ 医 药 生 物/ 证 券 研 究 报 告 医药生物 沪深300 医疗器械行业2024半年报总结:关注设 备换新政策递延拐点和高耗集采落地 品类结构性机会 2024 年 09 月 23 日 [Table_Summary] 【投资要点】 2024 上半年医疗器械行业概览:24H1 器械板块处于行业整顿和 DRGs 执行等政策面主导的阶段性承压阶段。随着以旧换新和集采政策的落 地执行,我们看好设备类和高耗类龙头企业的估值修复进程有望持 续。与其他板块相比,考虑到包括设备和耗材在内的传统中游制造板 块在政策纠偏、业绩表现、资本预期等方面都经历了更为深刻彻底的 出清,预计其未来确定性的弹性向上将更为明显,我们持续看好 24H2 及未来整体医疗器械板块的投资机会。 上市医疗器械企业 2024 年半年报总结:1)从收入&利润看,耗材稳 步放量带动业绩回暖,设备受外部环境影响业绩短期承压。24H1 医疗 耗材/医疗设备公司分别实现营收 424.50/567.95 亿元,同比 +6.96%/-1.32%。随着集采品种的先后落地,高值耗材部分领域产品 随手术量和 ...
双杰电气:2024年中报点评:各业务协同发展,盈利能力持续提升
东方财富· 2024-09-20 08:23
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to Shuangjie Electric (300444) for the first time [2] Core Views - Shuangjie Electric has achieved stable growth in its core smart electrical business, with H1 2024 revenue reaching 1.674 billion yuan, a 13.15% YoY increase [1] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders reached 86 million yuan in H1 2024, a 43.31% YoY growth, with non-GAAP net profit surging 109.59% to 95 million yuan [1] - New energy businesses (photovoltaic, wind power, energy storage, charging/swapping) are driving growth, with new energy intelligent equipment contributing 265 million yuan (24.06% of total revenue) and a 39.83% gross margin [1] - Overseas expansion is progressing well, with international revenue reaching 75.16 million yuan in 2023, a 38.75% YoY increase, and further growth expected in 2024 [1] Business Performance - Transformer business generated 261.6 million yuan in H1 2024, accounting for 23.71% of total revenue with an 18.38% gross margin [1] - New energy construction and development contributed 215.7 million yuan (19.54% of total revenue) with a 10.95% gross margin [1] - Ring main unit business achieved 188 million yuan in revenue (17.04% of total) with a 23.31% gross margin [1] - High and low voltage switchgear business generated 169 million yuan (15.27% of total revenue) with a 17.17% gross margin [1] Financial Metrics - Gross margin improved to 20.44% in H1 2024, up 3.54 percentage points YoY, while net margin increased to 5.35%, up 1.11 percentage points [1] - The company's total market capitalization stands at 4.52022 billion yuan, with a circulating market cap of 3.35242 billion yuan [3] - 52-week high/low stock prices are 8.99 yuan and 4.44 yuan respectively, with a 52-week turnover rate of 1148.09% [3] Future Projections - Revenue is expected to grow to 4.85118 billion yuan in 2024, 6.03728 billion yuan in 2025, and 7.38943 billion yuan in 2026 [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to reach 395.84 million yuan in 2024, 519.99 million yuan in 2025, and 685.68 million yuan in 2026 [5] - EPS is forecasted to be 0.50 yuan in 2024, 0.65 yuan in 2025, and 0.86 yuan in 2026 [5] - P/E ratio is expected to decline to 10.79 in 2024, 8.22 in 2025, and 6.23 in 2026 [5] Industry Position - The company has established a standardized product system for power transmission and distribution equipment that adapts to China's new power system operating environment [4] - It possesses core technologies across the new energy industry chain, including wind, solar, storage, charging, and swapping [4] - The company's products have successfully entered multiple European markets, including Sweden, Finland, Spain, and Portugal [1]
天孚通信:2024年中报点评:24H1受益AI算力需求,高速光器件持续增长
东方财富· 2024-09-20 08:03
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [3]. Core Views - The company benefited from the demand for AI computing power, leading to continuous growth in high-speed optical devices. In the first half of 2024, the company's revenue reached 1.556 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 134.27%, with a net profit of 654 million yuan, up 177.20% year-on-year [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.556 billion yuan, representing a 134.27% increase year-on-year. The second quarter revenue was 824 million yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 12.66%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 654 million yuan, up 177.20% year-on-year, with the second quarter net profit at 375 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 34.58% [2]. - The overall gross margin for the first half of 2024 was 57.77%, an increase of 6.81% year-on-year. The company experienced a decrease in sales expense ratio, management expense ratio, and R&D expense ratio compared to the same period last year [2]. - The net cash flow generated from operations was 480 million yuan, compared to 289 million yuan in the same period last year [2]. Industry Outlook - According to third-party market research from LightCounting, the overall market for optical modules is expected to grow by over 40% in 2024, with the data communication optical modules anticipated to grow the fastest. The industry is projected to continue growing at over 20% in 2025 and maintain double-digit growth rates through 2026-2027 [2]. - The report highlights that the demand for optical devices in the telecommunications sector is growing at a slower pace, while the demand for high-speed optical devices in data centers is steadily increasing due to ongoing global data center expansions [2]. Company Strategy and Operations - The company positions itself as a provider of overall solutions for optical devices and advanced optical packaging services, focusing on the R&D, mass production, and sales of high-speed optical devices. It has accumulated several globally leading core process technologies in various foundational materials [4]. - The company is actively advancing its global industrial layout, with dual headquarters in Suzhou and Singapore, and R&D centers in Japan, Shenzhen, and Suzhou. Production bases are located in Jiangxi and Thailand, with the Thai factory gradually commencing production [4]. - The company aims to improve production efficiency and reduce costs through lean production practices and enhanced financial management, while also pushing for digital transformation to enhance operational capabilities [2][4]. Profit Forecast - The updated profit forecast estimates the company will achieve revenues of 3.680 billion yuan, 5.296 billion yuan, and 6.880 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profits of 1.451 billion yuan, 2.104 billion yuan, and 2.754 billion yuan for the same years. The corresponding P/E ratios are projected to be 28.41, 19.60, and 14.97 [4][5].
家电行业2024半年报总结:板块分化明显,海外需求提振
东方财富· 2024-09-20 06:03
行 业 研 究 / 家 电/ 证 券 研 究 报 告 挖掘价值 投资成长 家电 沪深300 [Table_Title] 家电行业专题研究 家电行业2024半年报总结:板块分化明 显,海外需求提振 2024 年 09 月 20 日 2024 年上半年行业数据总览:1>内需来看,国内市场有效需求不足、 社会预期偏弱,消费景气度下滑。地产端仍面临较大压力,地产开工 及竣工指标未显著改善,白电需求以更新换代为主。2>家电更新周期 已至,以旧换新政策有望推动家电更新换代需求。上一轮"家电下乡" 产品更换周期已至,大家电平均使用周期在 8-10 年,正值家电更新 换代周期,大家电更新换代需求有望持续增强。3>成本端铜价上行, 汇率趋于稳定。2024 年上半年汇率走势趋于平稳,维持在 7.11-7.13 之间。在铜价上涨阶段,白电龙头有更为灵活的成本传导手段和更强 上下游议价能力。 上市公司 2024 年半年报总结:1>上半年白电内销出货节奏前高后低, Q2 相对平淡。据产业在线,家用空调 2024Q1/Q2 内销分别同比 +17%/-2%,上半年累计+0.8%,Q2 基数走高,增速环比回落,上半年 长期阴雨天气因素影响叠 ...
电子行业2024年半年报总结:自主可控持续推进,AI创新带动产业升级
东方财富· 2024-09-19 10:03
行 业 研 究 / 电 子 设 备/ 证 券 研 究 报 告 挖掘价值 投资成长 电子设备 沪深300 [Table_Title] 电子设备行业专题研究 电子行业2024年半年报总结:自主可控 持续推进,AI创新带动产业升级 2024 年 09 月 19 日 [Table_Summary] 【投资要点】 2024 年上半年,电子行业整体业绩提升。电子行业上市公司 2024 年 上半年营业总收入和归母净利润分别为 15506.99 亿元和 647.13 亿 元,同比分别增长 17.27%和 39.26%。电子行业为 24H1 公募基金第一 大持仓板块。根据公募基金 2024 年半年报,公募 A 股和港股持仓市 值为 55639 亿元,其中电子公司市值为 7293 亿元,占比为 13.1%,在 31 个申万行业当中排名第 1,超配比例为 5.4%。24H1 公募基金增持 工业富联、鹏鼎控股、深南电路、立讯精密、京东方 A 等,减持通富 微电、卓胜微、紫光国微、三安光电和中芯国际等。2024 年 1-8 月, 申万电子指数下跌 12.9%,同期沪深 300 指数下跌 3.2%,电子行业在 全行业中涨跌幅排名为 11 ...
新易盛:2024年中报点评:24H1行业景气度持续提升,带动高速率产品需求快速增长
东方财富· 2024-09-19 08:23
]yrtsudnI_elbaT[ 公 司 研 究 / 信 息 技 术/ 证 券 研 究 报 告 [Table_Title] 新易盛(300502)2024年中报点评 24H1行业景气度持续提升,带动高速率 产品需求快速增长 2024 年 09 月 19 日 [【投资要点】 Table_Summary] 2024 年上半年公司实现营业收入 27.28 亿元,同比增长 109.07%,归 母净利润 8.65 亿元,同比增长 200.02%,主要是受益于行业景气度持 续提升,带动高速率产品需求快速增长。上半年公司综合毛利率 43.04%,同比增长 13.63%,盈利能力的提升,一方面是公司固有产品 结构、技术方案、工艺流程等成本管控的优势,也持续通过多种方式 优化成本管控能力,一方面光模块随着新技术、新产品的持续迭代和 上量,公司高速率产品的销售占比持续提升。上半年公司销售费用率、 管理费用率、研发费用率分别为 1.45%、2.48%、4.75%,销售费用率 同比增长主要是持续开拓市场导致,研发费用率同比增长主要是人员 薪酬及股份支付费用增加。上半年公司经营产生的净现金流为-2.91 亿元,去年同期为 4.83 亿 ...
电子设备行业专题研究:24H1通信行业整体稳健增长,AI相关板块高景气
东方财富· 2024-09-18 03:23
[Table_Title] 电子设备行业专题研究 挖掘价值 投资成长 | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ...
有色金属行业专题研究:业绩拐点已现,景气周期可期
东方财富· 2024-09-18 02:03
[Table_Title] 有色金属行业专题研究 业绩拐点已现,景气周期可期 2024 年 09 月 18 日 [Table_Summary] 【投资要点】 二季度收入和利润增速回升明显。2024 年上半年上市有色金属行业样 本企业实现营业收入 16057.8 亿元,同比增长 1.1%;实现归母净利润 632.1 亿,同比下降 9.8%。季度而言,2024Q2 有色金属样本企业实现 收入 8749.5 亿元,同比增长 6.3%;实现归母净利润 392.2 亿元,同 比增长 17.1%。在经历 2023Q1 至 2024Q1 四个季度负增长之后,2024Q2 有色行业利润同比增速转正。分板块,黄金和铜受益于上半年价格上 涨,收入保持强劲增长,磁性材料、非金属新材料、稀土和锂等行业 利润增速相对承压。 盈利能力同环比均迎来修复,现金流环比显著回升。2024Q2 有色金属 样本企业归母净利润率为 4.5%,同比回升 0.4pct,环比回升 1.2pct。 二季度行业整体盈利能力修复明显,主要原因系铝、黄金、钨和铅锌 等板块归母净利润率二季度环比显著回升,回升幅度分别为 2.3pct、 1.7 pct、1.5 pct ...
电子设备行业动态点评:AI景气,关注光通信等板块
东方财富· 2024-09-18 02:03
[Table_Title] 电子设备行业动态点评 AI景气,关注光通信等板块 2024 年 09 月 18 日 [Table_Summary] 【事项】 甲骨文云业务经营良好,资本开支强劲。 9 月 9 日甲骨文公告最新一 期财报,其中云服务同比增长 21%,云服务已经成为公司最大业务。 甲骨文在全球拥有 162 个正在运营和建设的云数据中心,这些数据中 心中最大的是 800 兆瓦,将包含数英亩的英伟达 GPU 集群,用于训练 大规模人工智能模型,在最新这个季度公司增加了 42 个云 GPU 合同, 签署总额为 30 亿美元。甲骨文以其数据库软件而闻名,目前专注于 扩大租用计算机电源和存储的云基础设施业务,以与亚马逊 (AMZN.US)、微软(MSFT.US)和 Alphabet(GOOGL.US)等公司竞争。甲骨 文高管表示,预计 2025 财年的资本支出将是 2024 财年的两倍。 英伟达需求强劲,云服务回报率高。周三黄仁勋在高盛集团举办的技 术会议上发表了讲话,表示对英伟达产品的需求非常强劲,英伟达的 技术不仅加快了传统的工作负载处理,还能处理旧有技术无法应对的 AI 任务。根据黄仁勋的说法,云服务提供 ...